M12 Flemington – 15th September 2018

Selections for: Australian Racing

Our selections for the M12 Flemington – 15th September 2018 are below: Good Luck! Back to Performance page

M12 Flemington – 15th September 2018

M12: Flemington Races (Vic) - 15th Sep, 2018

Start time:2:30 pm
Weather:SHOWERY
Track:GOOD

Overview

Group 1 Makybe Diva Stakes day and there's some terrific spring form races throughout the card. Which miler will come out on top in the feature?

Day's "Best"

R2 (7) Smart Melody

Best "Each Way"

R8 (12) Tavisan

Best "Roughie"

R4 (5) Crockett

Race 1 - JDRF PIN & WIN PLATE
Time: 2:30 | Distance: 2500m | Prize $130000

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
ROYAL BLUE, WHITE EPAULETTES, STRIPED CAP
2 Jaameh   F: X1618
  B(3) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Mark Zahra )
Won
Dividends : $5.00 $1.80
Very average when running last at Caulfield but the 2.8-length win at Flemington prior to that was super. Nice hope if it has recovered.
Main Danger
ROYAL BLUE, LIME BRACES, LIME AND BLACK HALVED SLEEVES
7 Tiffany's Lass   F: 21221
  B(5) W(54)
 ( T-  Danny, Laws )
Hasn't produced a bad run all season and gets in with a light weight. Not easy at Flemington and it has never won there, but consider.
Next Best
BLACK AND WHITE HOUNDSTOOTH, RED BAND AND SLEEVES
1 High Church   F: 56041
  B(7) W(59)
 ( J-  Damian Lane )
 ( T-  Darren, Weir )
Tough to beat on its day and the confidence is back up after a last start win at Caulfield. Drifting but wouldn't be leaving it out.
Include in Multis
NAVY BLUE AND GOLD HOOPS, WHITE SLEEVES AND CAP
3 Master Zephyr   F: 99574
  B(1) W(54.5)
 ( J-  Craig Williams )
 ( T-  Darren, Weir )
Getting better, slowly, this campaign. Has the ability to lead them up and provide a kick down the long straight.
Longer Odds
EMERALD GREEN, WHITE CHECKED SLEEVES, WHITE CAP
6 The Statesman   F: 62415
  B(4) W(54)
 ( J-  Luke Nolen )
 ( T-  Darren, Weir )
Has more upside than many of these and the overseas form will show up.

Remarks

Moderate field to open the card but it's an even betting affair
race-image
Jaameh could rebound

Results

Race Dividends
Win 2 $ 5.00
Place1 2 $ 1.80
Place2 4 $ 1.90
Place3 5 $ 3.00
Quinella 2,4 $ 13.40
Trifecta 2:4:5 $ 214.10
First4 2:4:5:1 $ 1235.30

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 3, 6, 7
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 2 - CAP D'ANTIBES STAKES 3YO SWP LISTED
Time: 3:05 | Distance: 1100m | Prize $130000

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top PickThe 'Day's Best'
RED, BLACK STRIPES
7 Smart Melody   F: 111
  B(14) W(55)
 ( T-  Kris, Lees )
Won
Dividends : $2.10 $1.40
Unbeaten from three starts and it has looked mightily impressive. Drawn wide down the straight but that shouldn't be a negative.
Main Danger
ROYAL BLUE
4 Multaja   F: 1X12
  B(5) W(55)
 ( J-  Dwayne Dunn )
Had every chance to win last time out when second at Moonee Valley. Drawn to get a good run and it has a good amount of quality.
Next Best
YELLOW, RED DISC, ARMBANDS AND CAP
10 Music Bay   F: 12X
  B(13) W(55)
 ( J-  Craig Williams )
Placed
Dividend : $2.60
Interesting money coming for the filly. Trained by Phillip Stokes and he doesn't bring them over unless they're winning hopes. Consider.
Include in Multis
WHITE, EMERALD BAND, ROYAL BLUE STRIPE, WHITE CROSS, ROYAL BLUE SLEEVES, WHITE CROSSES, EMERALD CAP
6 Sweet Rockette   F: 21
  B(7) W(55)
 ( J-  Michelle Payne )
Upset them when scoring at Moonee Valley last start. Stays at nice odds and it shouldn't be ignored.
Longer Odds
LIME, ROYAL BLUE BRACES, ROYAL BLUE SLEEVES, LIME ARMBANDS AND CAP
8 Thine is the Power   F: 211
  B(6) W(55)
 ( J-  Cory Parish )
Might need to find a length to win again but winning form is good form.

Remarks

Punters have narrowed it down to two and they're both smart
race-image
Smart Melody is very smart indeed

Results

Race Dividends
Win 7 $ 2.10
Place1 7 $ 1.40
Place2 10 $ 2.60
Place3 12 $ 10.30
Quinella 7,10 $ 10.30
Trifecta 7:10:12 $ 453.60
First4 7:10:12:6 $ 3520.80
Double 2/7 $ 8.40
DBL conc 2/10 $ 11.10

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
4, 6, 7, 8, 10
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 3 - THE SOFITEL 4YO+ LISTED
Time: 3:40 | Distance: 1400m | Prize $130000

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
YELLOW AND RED STRIPES, NAVY BLUE SLEEVES, NAVY BLUE AND YELLOW SPOTS CAP
1 Theanswermyfriend   F: 58111
  B(6) W(59.5)
 ( J-  Mark Zahra )
 ( T-  Darren, Weir )
Has a good record at Flemington despite the long straight. Will lead and it's a runner in top form having scored three straight last start.
Main Danger
NAVY, WHITE SOUTHERN CROSS, NAVY, RED AND WHITE STRIPED SLEEVES, RED CAP
8 Waging War   F: 214X3
 ( J-  scratched )
There's some good confidence with the Adelaide runner which ran 1.5 lengths behind the top pick last start. Capable of reversing the placings.
Next Best
WHITE, ROYAL BLUE SIDES, WHITE, ORANGE AND ROYAL BLUE HOOPED SLEEVES, ORANGE CAP
2 Dollar for Dollar   F: 29X10
  B(3) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Luke Currie )
 ( T-  Tony, McEvoy )
Placed
Dividend : $2.10
Didn't handle the Group 2 grade last time out but this is much easier. Close enough in a blanket finish.
Include in Multis
ROYAL BLUE
3 Flow   F: 37212
  B(5) W(57)
 ( J-  Dwayne Dunn )
Rarely puts in a bad run and it knows how to fight. Drifting in the betting but it should be respected.
Longer Odds
MAROON, WHITE STAR, WHITE AND MAROON STARS SLEEVES, WHITE AND MAROON STAR CAP
5 Cliff's Edge   F: 158X0
  B(1) W(56)
 ( J-  John Allen )
 ( T-  Darren, Weir )
Average fresh but allow the run and stick with it at odds.

Remarks

Not much separating top to bottom in this field
race-image
Theanswerismyfriend could win four straight

Results

Race Dividends
Win 9 $ 10.40
Place1 9 $ 3.00
Place2 2 $ 2.10
Place3 12 $ 3.00
Quinella 2,9 $ 37.50
Trifecta 9:2:12 $ 1117.10
First4 9:2:12:4 $ 6882.60

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 3, 5, 8
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 4 - ANTLER LUGGAGE PLATE 3YO SWP LISTED
Time: 4:15 | Distance: 1400m | Prize $130000

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
NAVY, YELLOW LIGHTNING BOLT, ARMBANDS AND CAP
3 Brutal   F: 11
  B(1) W(57)
 ( J-  Dwayne Dunn )
Won
Dividends : $2.80 $1.70
Didn't win as well as many had predicted last start but it got the job done. Work to do off the inside but it has ability and it will get better with time.
Main Danger
NAVY BLUE, GOLD AUSTRALIAN CHINESE JOCKEY CLUB LOGO, GOLD ARMBANDS AND CAP
13 Declarationofheart   F: 1X1
  B(10) W(56)
 ( J-  Mark Zahra )
Another unbeaten runner which has come through some easy midweek races. Makes the rise in class now but the betting is telling.
Next Best
SKY BLUE, WHITE LIGHTNING BOLT, HOOPED SLEEVES, STAR CAP
6 The August   F: 1142
  B(8) W(56)
 ( J-  Noel Callow )
 ( T-  Brent, Stanley )
2.8 lengths behind Native Soldier last start and that looks to be a good form race. Fifth start so is fighting fit and ready to go.
Include in Multis
DARK BLUE, YELLOW SLEEVES
11 Leonardo da Hinchi   F: 113
  B(5) W(56)
 ( J-  Damian Lane )
 ( T-  Darren, Weir )
Placed
Dividend : $2.60
Had support last start and it wasn't too bad. Wins prior were nice and it has drawn to get a nice run. Each way chance.
Longer OddsThe 'Best Roughie'
WHITE, ROYAL BLUE SIDES, WHITE, ORANGE AND ROYAL BLUE HOOPED SLEEVES, ORANGE CAP
5 Crockett   F: X3451
  B(9) W(56)
 ( J-  Regan Bayliss )
 ( T-  Tony, McEvoy )
Last start winner and it has always been a confidence type. Chance.

Remarks

This is a race where the form could stack up for a season or two
race-image
Brutal could be the next big thing

Results

Race Dividends
Win 3 $ 2.80
Place1 3 $ 1.70
Place2 11 $ 2.60
Place3 2 $ 2.80
Quinella 3,11 $ 12.30
Trifecta 3:11:2 $ 108.50
First4 3:11:2:13 $ 402.10

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
3, 5, 6, 11, 13
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 5 - BOBBIE LEWIS QUALITY 4YO+
Time: 4:50 | Distance: 1200m | Prize $217000

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
NAVY BLUE, PALE YELLOW SPOTS, HALVED SLEEVES, QUARTERED CAP
7 Kemono   F: 370X7
  B(9) W(53)
 ( J-  Craig Williams )
 ( T-  Darren, Weir )
Placed
Dividend : $1.80
There has been confidence in the camp since arriving in Australia and although we prefer Japanese staying form, it looks a top contender.
Main Danger
WHITE, ROYAL BLUE SIDES, WHITE, ORANGE AND ROYAL BLUE HOOPED SLEEVES, ORANGE CAP
1 Hey Doc   F: 1X7X5
  B(3) W(59)
 ( J-  Luke Currie )
 ( T-  Tony, McEvoy )
Had some excuses when fifth at The Valley last start and although up in weights, it has class and it is a three-time winner on this track.
Next Best
DARK BLUE AND LIGHT BLUE DIAMONDS, DARK BLUE AND WHITE STRIPED SLEEVES, DARK BLUE CAP AND POM POM
4 Rich Charm   F: 614X4
  B(8) W(55)
 ( T-  Udyta, Clarke )
Has won and placed second-up and it wasn't far behind Ball Of Muscle last start. Gets the weight advantage and a chance of winning.
Include in Multis
WHITE, ROYAL BLUE STARS, ROYAL BLUE AND WHITE STARS SLEEVES AND CAP
2 Crack Me Up   F: 1404X
  B(2) W(56)
 ( J-  John Allen )
 ( T-  Liam, Birchley )
Fresh here and although it has never won without a freshener, it could run into the money at nice odds.
Longer Odds
ROYAL BLUE, YELLOW SASH AND ARMBANDS WITH ROYAL BLUE CLOVER LEAF, YELLOW CAP
6 First Among Equals   F: 56126
  B(1) W(53.5)
 ( J-  Dean Yendall )
 ( T-  Darren, Weir )
Placed
Dividend : $2.30
Has the fitness under the belt and it could strike at good odds.

Remarks

Competitive sprint field with Group form throughout
race-image
Rich Charm is the feel good story

Results

Race Dividends
Win 3 $ 13.70
Place1 3 $ 3.30
Place2 6 $ 2.30
Place3 7 $ 1.80
Quinella 3,6 $ 73.90
Trifecta 3:6:7 $ 512.10
First4 3:6:7:8 $ 4748.80
Double 3/3 $ 36.40
DBL conc 3/6 $ 6.90
Treble 9/3/3 $ 754.40
Quaddie 7/9/3/3 $ 2026.70

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 4, 6, 7
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 6 - LET'S ELOPE STAKES 4YO+ SWP
Time: 5:30 | Distance: 1400m | Prize $217000

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
WHITE, GREEN SASH, BLACK SLEEVES AND CAP
9 La Bella Diosa   F: 6X5X1
  B(1) W(55)
 ( J-  Regan Bayliss )
Former Kiwi which put the writing on the wall when winning last start. Terrific effort and although the inside draw doesn't suit, watch for it to settle back and strike late.
Main Danger
CERISE, DARK BLUE STARS
8 Merriest   F: 55X41
  B(6) W(55)
 ( J-  Damien Oliver )
 ( T-  Danny, O'Brien )
Has always been a confidence runner and it hit top gear when scoring last start. Nicely weighted and ready to win again.
Next Best
RED, WHITE CHECKS
2 Bella Martini   F: 161X4
  B(13) W(58)
 ( J-  Dwayne Dunn )
Placed
Dividend : $2.90
Unbeaten from two second-up starts. Not far behind a nice type at Caulfield last start and we wouldn't be surprised to see it winning.
Include in Multis
PALE GREEN, PURPLE QUARTERS, HOOPED SLEEVES, CHECKED CAP
1 I Am a Star   F: 00X43
  B(12) W(58)
 ( J-  Ben Melham )
 ( T-  Shane, Nichols )
Won
Dividends : $9.10 $3.10
Scored a big win last preparation but followed that up with nothing. Must respect its talent so include here.
Longer Odds
PURPLE, GREEN BAND
13 Petition   F: 463X4
  B(8) W(55)
 ( J-  Jye McNeil )
Long overdue a win and punters are getting frustrated, but include at odds.

Remarks

Wide open race to kick off the quaddie
race-image
Merriest is in winning form

Results

Race Dividends
Win 1 $ 9.10
Place1 1 $ 3.10
Place2 2 $ 2.90
Place3 12 $ 5.00
Quinella 1,2 $ 22.20
Trifecta 1:2:12 $ 716.60
First4 1:2:12:5 $ 5828.80

Betting Suggestions

Quaddies
R6 (1) I Am a Star(2) Bella Martini (8) Merriest (9) La Bella Diosa
R7 (3) Humidor(10) Kings Will Dream (11) Kementari
R8 (2) Marcel From Madrid(3) Native Soldier (11) Ocean Knight (12) Tavisan
R9 (2) Orderofthegarter(9) Seaburge (10) Mr Garcia (15) Furrion
Quaddies % to a $20 stake:

Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 8, 9, 13
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 7 - PFD FOOD SERVICES MAKYBE DIVA STAKES 3YO+ WFA
Time: 6:10 | Distance: 1600m | Prize $815000

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
ROYAL BLUE
11 Kementari   F: 0X242
  B(8) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Craig Williams )
Did it tough last start and still stuck on well. Has the x-factor and although win-less this campaign, that won't last long.
Main Danger
GREY, BLACK AND OLIVE TARTAN, OLIVE SLEEVES AND CAP, BLACK POM POM
10 Kings Will Dream   F: 11X43
  B(10) W(59)
 ( J-  John Allen )
 ( T-  Darren, Weir )
Placed
Dividend : $1.90
Lovely type which will excel over more distance but it has shown the ability to run well over the mile. Still on the way up which is scary.
Next Best
LIGHT GREEN, BLACK SEAMS, DARK GREEN YOKE AND SLEEVES, QUARTERED CAP
3 Humidor   F: 84X81
  B(1) W(59)
 ( J-  Damian Lane )
 ( T-  Darren, Weir )
Can't overlook its win last start when beating most of these. Inside draw could make it tricky but it's the only horse to push Winx close in the last few years.
Include in Multis
YELLOW, WHITE CHECKED SASH, CHECKED SLEEVES AND CAP
6 Comin' Through   F: 561X1
  B(5) W(59)
 ( J-  Michael Walker )
 ( T-  Chris, Waller )
Tough type which found the line well when scoring last start. Shouldn't be overlooked at double-figure odds.
Longer Odds
WHITE, RED STRIPE, GREEN SLEEVES, RED SEAMS CAP, GREEN POM POM
5 Jon Snow   F: 139X4
  B(4) W(59)
 ( J-  Stephen Baster )
Placed
Dividend : $5.90
The lack of speed could play right into its hands. Goes forward and kicks.

Remarks

Great field and it should be one of the early spring classics
race-image
Kementari looks tough to hold out

Results

Race Dividends
Win 12 $ 10.70
Place1 12 $ 2.80
Place2 10 $ 1.90
Place3 5 $ 5.90
Quinella 10,12 $ 27.80
Trifecta 12:10:5 $ 1008.80
First4 12:10:5:11 $ 6258.70

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
3, 5, 6, 10, 11
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 8 - DANEHILL STAKES 3YO SWP
Time: 6:50 | Distance: 1200m | Prize $217000

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top PickThe 'Best Each Way'
WHITE, ORANGE STARS
12 Tavisan   F: 57X12
  B(3) W(56)
 ( J-  Ben Melham )
 ( T-  Mick, Price )
Placed
Dividend : $2.90
Went close to beating Brutal last start and that could be a good form guide for this. Nicely weighted and it has obvious ability.
Main Danger
ROYAL BLUE, YELLOW QUARTERS, HOOPED SLEEVES, QUARTERED CAP
3 Native Soldier   F: 13X31
  B(12) W(57)
 ( J-  Dean Yendall )
 ( T-  Darren, Weir )
Booming upset winner last time out and drawing wide won't be an issue down the straight. Should be hitting its straps here.
Next Best
SKY BLUE AND GOLD STARS, GOLD AND SKY BLUE STARS CAP
2 Marcel From Madrid   F: 11X4
  B(10) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Damian Lane )
Liked the way it won its first two starts before running fourth behind Brutal. Has upside and every chance of improving here.
Include in Multis
DARK GREEN, SILVER CARBINE THOROUGHBREDS LOGO AND CUFFS, LOGO ON SLEEVES AND CAP
11 Ocean Knight   F: 16X5
  B(9) W(56)
 ( J-  Regan Bayliss )
Another which comes out of the Brutal race and it was a good run from off the pace when they weren't making ground from the back.
Longer Odds
PURPLE, WHITE QUARTERS, CHECKED SLEEVES, QUARTERED CAP
4 Ef Troop   F: 420X2
  B(4) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Damien Oliver )
 ( T-  Tony, Gollan )
Trial form is hot for this and it represents nice value.

Remarks

Always a good form race
race-image
Punters are coming for Native Soldier

Results

Race Dividends
Win 1 $ 15.50
Place1 1 $ 4.40
Place2 9 $ 5.40
Place3 12 $ 2.90
Quinella 1,9 $ 186.70
Trifecta 1:9:12 $ 2515.70
First4 1:9:12:6 $ 42248.50

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
2, 3, 4, 11, 12
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 9 - SOFITEL GIRLS' DAY OUT HANDICAP
Time: 7:30 | Distance: 1700m | Prize $130000

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
ROYAL BLUE AND WHITE CHECKS, GREEN SLEEVES AND CAP
15 Furrion   F: 112X1
  B(1) W(54)
 ( J-  Jye McNeil )
 ( T-  Darren, Weir )
Won
Dividends : $2.10 $1.30
A horse on the rise after winning four from five starts. Dangerous type for Darren Weir and the money has come for it.
Main Danger
ROYAL BLUE, WHITE HORSESHOE, BLACK AND WHITE CHECKED SLEEVES AND CAP
10 Mr Garcia   F: 15X82
  B(5) W(56.5)
 ( T-  Darren, Weir )
Stablemate to the top pick which made up nice ground last start. Should get a better run here and go close.
Next Best
NAVY BLUE, WHITE ARMBANDS AND CAP
2 Orderofthegarter   F: 5627X
  B(13) W(58)
 ( J-  Ben Melham )
 ( T-  Liam, Howley )
Placed
Dividend : $2.20
The imports should always garner respect until they prove otherwise. Scored a fresh up win at Naas in 2017.
Include in Multis
ROYAL BLUE, LIME HOOPS, HOOPED CAP
9 Seaburge   F: 32697
  B(14) W(57)
 ( J-  Jordan Childs )
Getting longer in the tooth and hasn't won forever but the talent is there. Could surprise this field.
Longer Odds
BLACK AND PINK CHECKS, BLACK SLEEVES, PINK CAP
11 Willi Willi   F: 741X0
  B(6) W(55)
 ( J-  Regan Bayliss )
Better than what it showed last time out.

Remarks

Tricky staying field to close the card
race-image
Furrion has the x-factor

Results

Race Dividends
Win 15 $ 2.10
Place1 15 $ 1.30
Place2 2 $ 2.20
Place3 17 $ 5.00
Place6 2,3,11/3,6,7/1,2,12/5,10,12/1, $ 1337.90
Quinella 2,15 $ 6.60
Trifecta 15:2:17 $ 126.80
First4 15:2:17:1 $ 1523.30
Double 1/15 $ 35.00
DBL conc 1/2 $ 54.00
Treble 12/1/15 $ 462.20
Quaddie 1/12/1/15 $ 5190.70

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
2, 9, 10, 11, 15
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%