M12 Flemington – 26th September 2018

Selections for: Australian Racing

Our selections for the M12 Flemington – 26th September 2018 are below: Good Luck! Back to Performance page

M12 Flemington – 26th September 2018

M12: Flemington Races (Vic) - 26th Sep, 2018

Start time:3:00 pm
Weather:FINE
Track:GOOD

Overview

Derby and Oaks Trials on at Flemington, which boasts a strong card of eight races

Day's "Best"

R3 (12) Amphitrite

Best "Each Way"

R8 (13) Tan Tat Trusting

Best "Roughie"

R4 (7) Eshtiraak

Race 1 - BRISEIS HANDICAP 4YO+ RATING 78
Time: 3:00 | Distance: 1800m | Prize $43500

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
WHITE, RED STRIPES
8 Our Libretto   F: 40X11
  B(2) W(55)
 ( J-  Jordan Childs )
 ( T-  Grahame, Begg )
Won
Dividends : $1.70 $1.10
Looks a nice type in the making after recording back-to-back wins. Rise in distance looks good and it should be going well again.
Main Danger
BLACK, LIME GREEN SLEEVES AND CAP
5 Coral Coast   F: 744X7
  B(4) W(57)
 ( J-  Jye McNeil )
Hasn't shown overly much throughout its career but there has been strong money throughout the week. Include based on that.
Next Best
WHITE, RED SPOTS, SLEEVES AND CAP
6 Moscow Red   F: X3213
  B(6) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Ben Melham )
 ( T-  Henry, Dwyer )
Doesn't know how to run a bad race as its record suggests. Likes to stick it out and battle well in the straight so include at all levels.
Include in Multis
RED, GREY SPOTS, ARMBANDS AND CAP
1 Ma Jones   F: 62254
  B(8) W(60)
 ( T-  Darren, Weir )
Patiently waiting for it to return to form. Gets some weight relief and at its best it could trouble this field.
Longer Odds
ROYAL BLUE AND GOLD SPOTS, RED CAP
2 Lopartega   F: X4832
  B(1) W(59.5)
 ( T-  Doug, Harrison )
Placed
Dividend : $2.00
Inside draw helps and it has returned to form with some recent placings. Chance.

Remarks

Strong money for the favourite and former Kiwi here
race-image
Three in a row for Our Libretto?

Results

Race Dividends
Win 8 $ 1.70
Place1 8 $ 1.10
Place2 9 $ 5.00
Place3 2 $ 2.00
Quinella 8,9 $ 18.50
Trifecta 8:9:2 $ 119.50
First4 8:9:2:5 $ 413.00

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 5, 6, 8
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 2 - CUP WEEK HANDICAP 3YO RATING 64
Time: 3:35 | Distance: 1000m | Prize $43500

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
PALE BLUE, CERISE MALTESE CROSS AND STRIPED SLEEVES, STRIPED CAP
8 Leveraged   F: 4X1
  B(2) W(59)
Easy 3.3-length winner last start and this stable is firing at the moment. Ran fourth behind a subsequent winner on debut so respect that form.
Main Danger
ROYAL BLUE, PINK DIAGONAL STRIPES AND STRIPED SLEEVES, PINK AND ROYAL BLUE SEAMS CAP
6 Final Choice   F: 5X1
  B(5) W(59.5)
Won
Dividends : $7.40 $2.60
Returned a winner with a good win last start and it has obviously strengthened up. Must be included despite the betting drift.
Next Best
EMERALD GREEN, BLACK LIBRAN SYMBOL, WHITE AND BLACK SPOTS SLEEVES AND CAP
4 Bleu Roche   F: 1
  B(1) W(59.5)
 ( J-  Ben Melham )
 ( T-  Matt, Laurie )
Placed
Dividend : $2.30
Scored by just under a length on debut when backed at each way odds. Inside draw is good for this race and it should be around the mark.
Include in Multis
WHITE, ROYAL BLUE CROSSED SASHES, CHECKED SLEEVES, CHECKED CAP
11 Just Remember This   F: 2
  B(3) W(58)
 ( J-  Jordan Childs )
Placed
Dividend : $2.90
Second behind a potential smart type on debut. Will only improve and there's good confidence in the market.
Longer Odds
WHITE, NAVY CHECKS, BLACK ARMBANDS WITH CHESS KNIGHT AND KING, CHECKED CAP
3 Aasira   F: 31X
  B(9) W(59.5)
 ( T-  Darren, Weir )
Showed enough in two runs last campaign to be a serious contender here.

Remarks

Plenty of talent in this field
race-image
Leveraged could win again

Results

Race Dividends
Win 6 $ 7.40
Place1 6 $ 2.60
Place2 4 $ 2.30
Place3 11 $ 2.90
Quinella 4,6 $ 24.20
Trifecta 6:4:11 $ 290.00
First4 6:4:11:7 $ 4325.80
Trifecta - Selected!

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
3, 4, 6, 8, 11
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 3 - ROSE OF MAY HANDICAP 3YO RATING 64
Time: 4:10 | Distance: 1420m | Prize $43500

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top PickThe 'Day's Best'
WHITE, FLYING START SYNDICATIONS LOGO, BLACK AND TEAL CHECKED SLEEVES, QUARTERED CAP
12 Amphitrite   F: 422X1
  B(5) W(57)
 ( J-  Craig Williams )
 ( T-  Darren, Weir )
Won
Dividends : $2.00 $1.10
One of the best-backed runners of the day. Good winner last time out and the form in behind looks good. Good to see Craig Williams in the saddle.
Main Danger
WHITE, ROYAL BLUE SPOTS, ROYAL BLUE AND WHITE SPOTS SLEEVES AND CAP
14 Masterbrax   F: 2321
  B(8) W(58.5)
 ( T-  Darren, Weir )
Stablemate to the favourite and it's also coming off a strong win. Tricky draw but with some luck, it represents a good winning hope.
Next Best
RED, WHITE GATECRASHER
13 Thousand Wishes   F: 21
 ( J-  scratched )
 ( T-  Danny, O'Brien )
Over the odds at the double-figure price. Did nothing wrong when scoring last start and despite a huge betting drift, include it.
Include in Multis
LIME, PURPLE AND GOLD BRACES AND ARMBANDS
2 Big Night Out   F: 1
  B(11) W(59.5)
 ( J-  Michael Dee )
 ( T-  John, Sadler )
Won at odds on debut but take nothing away from the performance. Chance of impressing again.
Longer Odds
YELLOW, RED DIAMOND AND SLEEVES, YELLOW DOUBLE ARMBANDS
8 Subraise   F: 441
  B(1) W(59)
 ( J-  John Allen )
 ( T-  Darren, Weir )
Another Weir-trained runner which won last start. Respect that form.

Remarks

Darren Weir's runners have come for support
race-image
Big money for Amphitrite

Results

Race Dividends
Win 12 $ 2.00
Place1 12 $ 1.10
Place2 6 $ 3.80
Place3 3 $ 3.00
Quinella 6,12 $ 14.00
Trifecta 12:6:3 $ 146.90
First4 12:6:3:8 $ 917.50

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
2, 8, 12, 13, 14
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 4 - MARTINI-HENRY HANDICAP RATING 64
Time: 4:45 | Distance: 1420m | Prize $43500

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
WHITE, ROYAL BLUE SIDES, WHITE, ORANGE AND ROYAL BLUE HOOPED SLEEVES, ORANGE CAP
5 Vinland   F: 086X2
  B(2) W(61)
 ( T-  Tony, McEvoy )
Won
Dividends : $4.70 $1.90
Tough to get over that last start defeat but it's a talented type at best and we're prepared to give it another chance.
Main Danger
PINK, WHITE CHECKS, QUARTERED CAP
3 Rebellious Lord   F: 24X74
  B(13) W(61.5)
Needed both runs back in this campaign and it looks ready to strike. Just needs some serious luck from a tough barrier of 16.
Next Best
NAVY BLUE, WHITE SASH, LIME GREEN STRIPED SLEEVES, QUARTERED CAP
11 Woulda Thought So   F: 20460
 ( J-  scratched )
Not an easy runner to follow as the form line suggests. Likely to drop back and hope they go quickly up front. Watch for it late.
Include in Multis
RED, GREEN CELTIC CROSS, SLEEVES AND CAP
16 Aberro   F: 5546X
  B(8) W(59.5)
 ( J-  Ben Melham )
 ( T-  Matt, Laurie )
Has good fresh up form of two starts for one win and a placing. Has the ability to strike against this level of opposition.
Longer OddsThe 'Best Roughie'
ROYAL BLUE, WHITE EPAULETTES, STRIPED CAP
7 Eshtiraak   F: 9799X
  B(9) W(60.5)
 ( J-  Regan Bayliss )
Placed
Dividend : $2.70
Showed nothing last campaign but it has more talent than that.

Remarks

One of the more intriguing races on the card
race-image
Vinland could rebound after last start

Results

Race Dividends
Win 5 $ 4.70
Place1 5 $ 1.90
Place2 4 $ 9.00
Place3 7 $ 2.70
Quinella 4,5 $ 82.20
Trifecta 5:4:7 $ 1715.20
First4 5:4:7:6 $ 11269.90
Double 12/5 $ 5.40
DBL conc 12/4 $ 18.80
Treble 6/12/5 $ 76.30
Quaddie 8/6/12/5 $ 106.70

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
3, 5, 7, 11, 16
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 5 - STAR OF THE REALM HANDICAP RATING 70
Time: 5:20 | Distance: 1100m | Prize $43500

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
RED AND BLACK STARS
5 Bravo Tango   F: X380X
  B(9) W(60.5)
 ( J-  Ben Melham )
Placed
Dividend : $1.50
Boasts a placing behind Nature Strip on this track. That's hot form for a midweek race and it could hit the ground running this campaign.
Main Danger
ROYAL BLUE
6 Haunted   F: 721X1
  B(7) W(60.5)
 ( J-  Damian Lane )
Won
Dividends : $2.00 $1.20
Improved nicely last campaign and kicked off this preparation with a win. Still has some improvement left and it has been well-backed here.
Next Best
WHITE, NAVY BLUE YOKE AND ARMBANDS, NAVY BLUE AND WHITE SPOTS CAP, WHITE POM POM
15 Won Ball   F: 13X36
 ( J-  scratched )
 ( T-  Darren, Weir )
Best form has come at the midweek level but it wasn't too bad last start and more improvement is expected.
Include in Multis
CERISE AND BLACK DIAMONDS, BLACK SLEEVES, DIAMONDS CAP
8 Like to Think So   F: 21138
  B(10) W(59.5)
 ( J-  Harry Coffey )
 ( T-  Kym, Hann )
Placed
Dividend : $2.50
Underrated runner which didn't handle the rise in class last time out. Much better suited to midweek quality.
Longer Odds
BLACK, LIGHT BLUE BAND, SLEEVES AND CAP
11 Indernile   F: 40X10
  B(6) W(59)
Last start was too bad to be true. Include at value odds.

Remarks

Great field to kick off the quaddie with many Saturday-grade types involved
race-image
Stick with Won Ball

Results

Race Dividends
Win 6 $ 2.00
Place1 6 $ 1.20
Place2 8 $ 2.50
Place3 5 $ 1.50
Quinella 6,8 $ 6.90
Trifecta 6:8:5 $ 51.10
First4 6:8:5:2 $ 783.10
Trifecta - Selected!

Betting Suggestions

Quaddies
R5 (5) Bravo Tango(6) Haunted (8) Like to Think So (15) Won Ball
R6 (1) Fiera Vista(5) Greysful Glamour (9) Oregon Dreamer (12) Sizzleme
R7 (2) Approach Discreet(3) Fun Fact (7) Merchant Of Venice (9) Savoie
R8 (10) Data Point(12) Primitivo (13) Tan Tat Trusting
Quaddies % to a $20 stake:

Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
5, 6, 8, 11, 15
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 6 - KENNEDY OAKS TRIAL 3YO SWP
Time: 5:55 | Distance: 1800m | Prize $65200

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
ROYAL BLUE AND GOLD STRIPES, HOOPED SLEEVES AND QUARTERED CAP
12 Sizzleme   F: 23X51
  B(4) W(55.5)
 ( J-  Craig Williams )
Wasn't respected in the betting last start but did the job nicely from in front. Likely to lead again and Williams has stuck with it.
Main Danger
WHITE, GREEN AND YELLOW CHECKED SASH AND CAP
1 Fiera Vista   F: X1531
  B(11) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Damian Lane )
 ( T-  Darren, Weir )
Two-time winner already this campaign and the most recent came by three lengths. Tough draw but has time to find a spot.
Next Best
WHITE, DARBY RACING LOGO, NAVY BLUE ARMBANDS WITH DARBY RACING LOGO, NAVY BLUE CAP, WHITE POM POM
5 Greysful Glamour   F: 4X623
  B(10) W(55.5)
 ( J-  Tim Clark )
 ( T-  Mark, Newnham )
Won
Dividends : $6.50 $2.00
Exposed form is good without winning this time in. Only a matter of time before it breaks through and there's good confidence in the betting.
Include in Multis
YELLOW, BROWN BR LOGO AND SLEEVES, DEEP PINK CAP
9 Oregon Dreamer   F: 21
  B(5) W(55.5)
This stable knows how to prepare their younger types and the seven-length win at Kilmore showed some class.
Longer Odds
YELLOW, ROYAL BLUE KNIGHT, ROYAL BLUE AND YELLOW STRIPE SLEEVES, YELLOW AND ROYAL BLUE STAR CAP
8 Once in a Lifetime   F: 9X21
  B(2) W(55.5)
 ( J-  Luke Currie )
 ( T-  Tony, McEvoy )
At long odds but don't discount this last start winner.

Remarks

Wide open Oaks trial which some runners looking to progress to the next level
race-image
Sizzleme could lead throughout

Results

Race Dividends
Win 5 $ 6.50
Place1 5 $ 2.00
Place2 13 $ 2.80
Place3 10 $ 1.90
Quinella 5,13 $ 41.50
Trifecta 5:13:10 $ 428.70
First4 5:13:10:12 $ 1270.70

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 5, 8, 9, 12
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 7 - AAMI VICTORIA DERBY TRIAL 3YO SWP
Time: 6:30 | Distance: 1800m | Prize $65200

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
YELLOW, RED DIAMOND AND SLEEVES, YELLOW DOUBLE ARMBANDS
2 Approach Discreet   F: 3114
  B(7) W(56.5)
 ( J-  John Allen )
 ( T-  Darren, Weir )
Placed
Dividend : $1.90
Had little go its way last start at Moonee Valley when travelling wide throughout. Should enjoy this track more so put on top.
Main Danger
YELLOW AND NAVY BLUE STRIPES, YELLOW AND NAVY BLUE STARS CAP
7 Merchant Of Venice   F: 11
  B(11) W(55.5)
 ( J-  Ben Melham )
 ( T-  Jason, Warren )
Needs some find some luck from out wide but Flemington is the best track for that. Likely to be hitting the line with purpose late.
Next Best
NAVY BLUE, WHITE LIGHTNING BOLT SASH, SEAMS SLEEVES AND LIGHTNING BOLTS ON CAP
9 Savoie   F: 5321
  B(13) W(55.5)
 ( J-  Dean Yendall )
 ( T-  Darren, Weir )
Won
Dividends : $5.30 $2.10
Strong money coming for the Weir-trained runner which scored by 5.5 lengths last start. Another drawn deep but consider.
Include in Multis
ORANGE, PURPLE QUARTERS WITH YELLOW SEAMS
3 Fun Fact   F: 71413
  B(6) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Dwayne Dunn )
Could provide the speed in the race and have them all chasing at the turn. Should make for an interesting race and it could steal it.
Longer Odds
ROYAL BLUE
6 Leatherhead   F: 21425
  B(1) W(55.5)
 ( J-  Craig Williams )
One for the future and we wouldn't be surprised to see it going close.

Remarks

Plenty of impressive types lining up in the Derby trial. Could be a good form guide for the feature
race-image
Approach Discreet is the class runner

Results

Race Dividends
Win 9 $ 5.30
Place1 9 $ 2.10
Place2 12 $ 4.70
Place3 2 $ 1.90
Quinella 9,12 $ 62.60
Trifecta 9:12:2 $ 296.20
First4 9:12:2:6 $ 2629.70

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
2, 3, 6, 7, 9
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 8 - WALLACE HANDICAP RATING 78
Time: 7:05 | Distance: 1630m | Prize $43500

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top PickThe 'Best Each Way'
PINK, YELLOW STAR, PINK AND YELLOW STAR CAP
13 Tan Tat Trusting   F: 12514
  B(4) W(56)
 ( J-  Luke Currie )
 ( T-  Tony, McEvoy )
Placed
Dividend : $2.80
Didn't win as the favourite last start but it wasn't far off them. Good win prior and it's over the odds.
Main Danger
PALE BLUE AND YELLOW CHECK, WHITE SLEEVES AND CAP
12 Primitivo   F: 872X1
  B(7) W(56)
 ( J-  Regan Bayliss )
Scored an overdue win last time out in a much weaker field than this. Respected in the market and it has the confidence up.
Next Best
NAVY BLUE, WHITE SASH, HOOPED CAP
10 Data Point   F: 0X552
  B(13) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Craig Williams )
 ( T-  Michael, Kent )
Has shown the ability to win at high levels in the past. Good showing for second last start and it will be storming home late.
Include in Multis
ROYAL BLUE, RED DICE AND SEAMS
11 Benny Goes Berzerk   F: 42167
  B(8) W(56)
 ( J-  John Allen )
 ( T-  Darren, Weir )
Last couple have been only fair but its performances prior to that were solid. Looks a good each way inclusion.
Longer Odds
NAVY BLUE, PALE YELLOW SPOTS, HALVED SLEEVES, QUARTERED CAP
2 A Shin Rook   F: X1405
  B(12) W(61)
Won
Dividends : $7.40 $2.30
Too talented to be left out of calculations.

Remarks

Another great contest
race-image
Value with Tan Tat Trusting

Results

Race Dividends
Win 2 $ 7.40
Place1 2 $ 2.30
Place2 13 $ 2.80
Place3 3 $ 3.60
Quinella 2,13 $ 32.50
Trifecta 2:13:3 $ 735.40
First4 2:13:3:10 $ 3699.00
Double 9/2 $ 30.70
DBL conc 9/13 $ 15.90
Treble 5/9/2 $ 535.20
Quaddie 6/5/9/2 $ 670.10

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
2, 10, 11, 12, 13
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%