M11 Randwick – 24th August 2019

Selections for: Australian Racing

Our selections for the M11 Randwick – 24th August 2019 are below: Good Luck! Back to Performance page

M11 Randwick – 24th August 2019

M11: Randwick - 24th Aug, 2019

Start time:2:05 pm
Weather:Fine
Track:Good

Overview

Group 1 Winx Stakes and many other high-quality races on the Randwick card

Day's "Best"

R3 (3) True Detective

Best "Each Way"

R6 (6) Cascadian

Best "Roughie"

R8 (12) Into the Abyss

Race 1 - TAB HIGHWAY HANDICAP
Time: 2:05 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
13 Bellarina Magic   F: 52711
  B(13) W(53)
 ( J-  Kerrin McEvoy )
Back-to-back wins coming into this and only the wide draw is of concern. 53kg on the back helps, however, so it goes on top.
Main Danger
6 Galaxy Force   F: 31X16
  B(7) W(57)
 ( T-  Donna Scott )
Placed
Dividend : $2.80
Only fair last start but its form prior to that was good. Included two wins and it has been steady in the betting throughout the week. Nice chance.
Next Best
14 Outta Reach   F: X4122
  B(3) W(53)
 ( J-  Kathy O'Hara )
At better odds than expected after running second at its last two starts. Good winner prior to that and it's another light weight chance.
Include in Multis
8 Lady Demi   F: 43122
  B(12) W(56)
 ( J-  Brock Ryan )
Last four starts have been its career best. Includes one win and three minor placings. Tough to overlook that form.
Longer Odds
5 Eleazar   F: 9X034
  B(17) W(57)
 ( T-  Jeremy Gask )
Better than advertised and worth including at odds.

Remarks

Looks another competitive Highway Handicap
race-image
Bellarina Magic could win again

Results

Race Dividends
Win 10 $ 8.80
Place1 10 $ 2.90
Place2 12 $ 6.60
Place3 6 $ 2.80
Quinella 10:12 $ 126.70
Trifecta 10:12:6 $ 1820.60
First4 10:12:6:7 $ 7715.50

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
5, 6, 8, 13, 14
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 2 - CITY TATTERSALLS CLUB HANDICAP
Time: 2:40 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
2 Travancore   F: 31331
  B(8) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Jason Collett )
Placed
Dividend : $2.40
Scratched from an easier field during the week and that's typically a good sign. In winning form and that's key for this race.
Main Danger
7 Adana   F: 072X7
  B(1) W(53.5)
 ( J-  Kerrin McEvoy )
Getting plenty of chances to win but hasn't been taking them. Has ability at best and dropping to the light weight should see it go close.
Next Best
3 Cyber Intervention   F: 1X220
  B(5) W(57)
Needs to turn around a poor showing last start but the form prior was good. Gets a nice run from the draw and it shouldn't be far off them.
Include in Multis
5 Missybeel   F: 62725
  B(6) W(54.5)
 ( J-  Tim Clark )
 ( T-  Bjorn Baker )
Carrying 54.5kg will help its cause and Tim Clark might go forward and try to control the race. Worth including.
Longer Odds
8 The Promise   F: 48X95
  B(4) W(52)
 ( J-  Rachel King )
Better effort last start and it's carrying a very light weight. Chance at odds.

Remarks

Even betting market
race-image
Travancore has upside

Results

Race Dividends
Win 1 $ 7.80
Place1 1 $ 3.30
Place2 2 $ 2.40
Quinella 1:2 $ 11.70
Trifecta 1:2:8 $ 201.10
First4 1:2:8:5 $ 693.70

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
2, 3, 5, 7, 8
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 3 - THE LUXURY NETWORK UP AND COMING STAKES
Time: 3:15 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top PickThe 'Day's Best'
3 True Detective   F: 1X22
  B(3) W(55.5)
 ( J-  James McDonald )
Won
Dividends : $2.20 $1.20
Could have easily been undefeated after three starts. Good win on debut and has run a nose behind two nice types since. Testing material.
Main Danger
2 Lucicello   F: X3113
  B(5) W(55.5)
 ( J-  Tommy Berry )
Placed
Dividend : $1.70
Stablemate to the favourite which is being well backed. Two quality wins before making up heaps of ground last start. Should go close.
Next Best
1 Athiri   F: 334X5
  B(4) W(58)
 ( J-  Hugh Bowman )
Classy at best and hasn't escaped the good fields since winning on debut. Running over the odds in this and it represents value.
Include in Multis
5 Superium   F: 11X4
  B(6) W(54.5)
 ( J-  Glen Boss )
Placed
Dividend : $2.10
Owns two country wins prior to running on well for fourth last start. Interesting runner which is shorter than expected in the betting. Adds some intrigue.
Longer Odds
4 Mandela   F: 251
  B(7) W(54.5)
 ( J-  Tim Clark )
Showed its true ability last start and the penny might have dropped now. Chance.

Remarks

Quality field for a quality stakes race
race-image
True Detective is class

Results

Race Dividends
Win 3 $ 2.20
Place1 3 $ 1.20
Place2 5 $ 2.10
Place3 2 $ 1.70
Quinella 3:5 $ 8.60
Trifecta 3:5:2 $ 42.30
First4 3:5:2:8 $ 451.60
Trifecta - Selected!

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 3, 4, 5
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 4 - GOLD COAST TURF CLUB TROPHY
Time: 3:50 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
5 Our Candidate   F: 35121
  B(1) W(58.5)
 ( T-  Kris Lees )
Won
Dividends : $2.00 $1.40
Easy winner last start and it could kick on with it now. Gets an easy run from the inside draw and it has been heavily backed to score. Top pick.
Main Danger
2 Scholarly   F: 18X93
  B(5) W(60.5)
 ( J-  Nash Rawiller )
Had its supporters last start when third. Big weight on its back but it knows how to win and the improved track conditions help.
Next Best
1 Attention Run   F: 45X14
  B(3) W(60.5)
 ( T-  Kris Lees )
Placed
Dividend : $2.40
Couldn't quite live up to expectations last start after showing plenty when winning two back. Gets some weight off its back and is paying nice odds.
Include in Multis
10 Waka   F: 53114
  B(6) W(54.5)
 ( J-  Kerrin McEvoy )
Got way too far back during the run last start. Made up nice ground and its turn-of-foot could be on display here. Stick with it.
Longer Odds
13 Yuralla Boy   F: 92741
  B(2) W(52)
 ( J-  Rachel King )
Got the confidence back last start and it could pay to stick with it.

Remarks

Plenty of money coming for the favourite
race-image
Our Candidate could scorch them again

Results

Race Dividends
Win 5 $ 2.00
Place1 5 $ 1.40
Place2 8 $ 2.90
Place3 1 $ 2.40
Quinella 5:8 $ 11.30
Trifecta 5:8:1 $ 75.10
First4 5:8:1:2 $ 299.70

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 5, 10, 13
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 5 - DARLEY SILVER SHADOW STAKES
Time: 4:25 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
3 Libertini   F: 211X
  B(2) W(55)
 ( J-  Tommy Berry )
Won
Dividends : $1.50 $1.20
Punters will have to take the shorts but it's a real talent in the making. Blistering turn-of-foot to win its last two and we're excited about this filly.
Main Danger
1 Tenley   F: 1100X
  B(5) W(57)
 ( J-  James McDonald )
Simply didn't handle the wet at its last two. Was a boom horse prior to that, winning its first three starts. Could get right back into its winning groove.
Next Best
2 Flit   F: 312X
  B(9) W(56)
 ( J-  Hugh Bowman )
Placed
Dividend : $2.90
Signalled its ability last preparation. Has been highly-touted by the stable and it pays to follow their confidence. Chance with luck.
Include in Multis
5 Let It Pour   F: 3X2
  B(4) W(55)
 ( T-  Bjorn Baker )
Yet to win a race from two attempts but that was a good run for second last start. Gets a good run from the draw so don't discount.
Longer Odds
8 Pretty Brazen   F: 245X1
  B(1) W(55)
 ( J-  Luke Currie )
 ( T-  Tony McEvoy )
Soft kill last start and it could be the forgotten runner.

Remarks

Stellar field and looks to be a great form guide
race-image
Libertini is a very nice type

Results

Race Dividends
Win 3 $ 1.50
Place1 3 $ 1.20
Place2 2 $ 2.90
Quinella 2:3 $ 4.30
Trifecta 3:2:5 $ 20.40
First4 3:2:5:4 $ 92.40
Trifecta - Selected!

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 3, 5, 8
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 6 - MOSTYN COPPER SHOW COUNTY QUALITY
Time: 5:05 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top PickThe 'Best Each Way'
6 Cascadian   F: X128X
  B(10) W(54)
 ( J-  Kerrin McEvoy )
Hard to line up French sprinting form but there's enough support to warrant attention. Will appreciate the light weight and punters are getting nice odds.
Main Danger
7 Deprive   F: 11X11
  B(1) W(53.5)
 ( J-  Rachel King )
Won
Dividends : $3.20 $1.50
Stablemate to Cascadian which has rattled off four consecutive wins. Easy run from the draw and it will be flashing home late.
Next Best
12 Trope   F: 1272X
  B(9) W(53)
 ( J-  Tommy Berry )
Placed
Dividend : $1.60
Has promised to rise to the next level throughout its career. Owns ability and it will no doubt take on harder fields later this spring.
Include in Multis
13 Baller   F: 1550X
  B(5) W(53)
 ( J-  Glen Boss )
Will enjoy dropping to 53kg and it's another runner with the talent to rise through the grades. Being well-backed to win at odds.
Longer Odds
4 Con Te Partiro   F: 49X16
  B(3) W(54)
 ( J-  Sam Clipperton )
Good win two back and then up in class for 6th. Easier today and could be the surprise

Remarks

Big field and it's stacked with each-way talent
race-image
Cascadian is a Cox Plate entry

Results

Race Dividends
Win 7 $ 3.20
Place1 7 $ 1.50
Place2 12 $ 1.60
Place3 3 $ 2.50
Quinella 7:12 $ 6.10
Trifecta 7:12:3 $ 64.20
First4 7:12:3:4 $ 447.40

Betting Suggestions

Quaddies
R6 (6) Cascadian(7) Deprive (12) Trope (13) Baller
R7 (1) Avilius(10) Verry Elleegant
R8 (2) Kiamichi(4) Mizzy (5) Soothing (8) Notation
R9 (7) Prime Candidate(11) Roheryn
Quaddies % to a $20 stake: 48

Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
4, 6, 7, 12, 13
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 7 - WINX STAKES
Time: 5:45 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
1 Avilius   F: 1511X
  B(8) W(59)
 ( J-  Kerrin McEvoy )
Likely to hit the ground running after some good trial form. Winner of 10 from 18 starts and that consistency looks good. Top chance.
Main Danger
10 Verry Elleegant   F: 2111X
  B(3) W(56.5)
 ( J-  James McDonald )
Searching for its third consecutive Group 1 race. Must handle non-age group racing now, but it looks a big chance of that. Firmed in betting.
Next Best
2 Happy Clapper   F: 2284X
  B(5) W(59)
 ( J-  Hugh Bowman )
Placed
Dividend : $1.90
Too short in the betting for our liking but there's no denying its class. Must be included but punters should look for better odds come race day.
Include in Multis
5 Kings Will Dream   F: 236PX
  B(2) W(59)
 ( J-  Jason Collett )
Coming back from a serious injury. Looked a cups horse in the making before going amiss but it could run on nicely in this.
Longer Odds
4 Best Of Days   F: 1X5PX
  B(6) W(59)
 ( J-  Nash Rawiller )
Might go under the radar but watch for it to be running on nicely late in the piece.

Remarks

Group 1 feature with a stellar and interesting field
race-image
Avilius is paying a good price

Results

Race Dividends
Win 6 $ 41.00
Place1 6 $ 6.60
Place2 2 $ 1.90
Place3 7 $ 2.90
Quinella 2:6 $ 120.70
Trifecta 6:2:7 $ 3171.40
First4 6:2:7:1 $ 10300.00

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 4, 5, 10
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 8 - TOY SHOW QUALITY
Time: 6:25 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
8 Notation   F: X1112
  B(2) W(53)
Extremely consistent runner which knows how to win. Up and running this campaign and dropping to 53kg is ideal. Each-way odds on offer.
Main Danger
4 Mizzy   F: 1446X
  B(3) W(53)
 ( J-  Tommy Berry )
Won
Dividends : $3.00 $1.50
Plenty of money coming for Mizzy despite some fair form coming into this. Has been running against strong fields, so it's worth including.
Next Best
2 Kiamichi   F: 1130X
  B(8) W(55)
 ( J-  Kerrin McEvoy )
Group 1 Golden Slipper winner and if it comes back as an older horse, it'll be tough to beat. Not all Slipper winners do however, so keep an eye on the betting.
Include in Multis
5 Soothing   F: 634X0
  B(5) W(53)
 ( J-  Kathy O'Hara )
Placed
Dividend : $4.60
Owns a good turn-of-foot at its best. Needs to improve on its most recent effort but it gets in light and could turn that around.
Longer OddsThe 'Best Roughie'
12 Into the Abyss   F: 7224X
  B(6) W(53)
 ( J-  Glen Boss )
Doesn't win often but does possess the ability. Upset claims.

Remarks

The Toy Show is always a quality race
race-image
Notation is a real winner

Results

Race Dividends
Win 4 $ 3.00
Place1 4 $ 1.50
Place2 5 $ 4.60
Place3 7 $ 16.70
Quinella 4:5 $ 32.80
Trifecta 4:5:7 $ 2121.40
First4 4:5:7:3 $ 11325.90

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
2, 4, 5, 8, 12
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 9 - KOGAROO HANDICAP
Time: 7:05 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
11 Roheryn   F: 112X1
  B(4) W(55)
 ( J-  Kerrin McEvoy )
Drifting a touch in the betting but it's the best horse in the race. Could start odds-on with some support after winning three of its first four starts.
Main Danger
7 Prime Candidate   F: 11X31
  B(7) W(56)
 ( J-  Tim Clark )
 ( T-  Bjorn Baker )
Placed
Dividend : $1.60
Good money coming for the winner of five from seven. None of those wins have come against this quality, but it's a nice start to the career.
Next Best
3 Sweet Deal   F: X5451
  B(10) W(58)
 ( J-  Nash Rawiller )
Won
Dividends : $11.10 $2.60
Found the line nicely to score last start and it could go back-to-back. Just needs the right run in transit to finish over the top of them.
Include in Multis
8 The Avenger   F: 28321
  B(5) W(56)
 ( J-  James McDonald )
Last start winner which has always had good ability. Could run well here at nice odds.
Longer Odds
2 Fortensky   F: X3222
  B(8) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Hugh Bowman )
Getting close to a win after four consecutive placings. Worth a chance.

Remarks

A couple of well-backed types in this
race-image
Roheryn could win again

Results

Race Dividends
Win 3 $ 11.10
Place1 3 $ 2.60
Place2 7 $ 1.60
Place3 4 $ 2.90
Quinella 3:7 $ 16.70
Trifecta 3:7:4 $ 323.80
First4 3:7:4:2 $ 2987.80

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
2, 3, 7, 8, 11
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%