M11 Rosehill – 13th July 2019

Selections for: Australian Racing

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M11 Rosehill – 13th July 2019

M11: Rosehill - 13th Jul, 2019

Start time:1:30 pm
Weather:Windy
Track:Heavy

Overview

Winter Stakes on the card at Rosehill and punters are getting good odds throughout the day

Day's "Best"

R8 (14) River Bird

Best "Each Way"

R2 (1) Call Me Royal

Best "Roughie"

R9 (13) Skyray

Race 1 - EVEREST CARNIVAL HANDICAP
Time: 1:30 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
9 Spend   F:
  B(7) W(56)
 ( J-  Tommy Berry )
Won
Dividends : $2.60 $1.20
Expensive runner which has been heavily backed to win on debut. Trial form reads well and betting will tell a good story.
Main Danger
3 True Detective   F: 1X
  B(4) W(58)
 ( J-  Hugh Bowman )
Placed
Dividend : $1.10
Didn't run an overly quick time on debut but winning experience is key. Punters are getting nice odds and Hugh Bowman rides.
Next Best
1 Lanigera   F: 74X51
  B(6) W(58)
 ( J-  Blake Shinn )
Capped off some fair form behind some nice types with a win last start. In the right hands and it should be right around the mark.
Include in Multis
5 Lucicello   F: 8X31
  B(6) W(56)
 ( J-  Glyn Schofield )
Scored a good win in midweek grade last time out. Heading in the right direction and it has been specked at each-way odds.
Longer Odds
10 Intrepidacious   F: X09X3
  B(9) W(55.5)
 ( J-  Rachel King )
 ( T-  John O'Shea )
Light weight and a chance to add some value at odds.

Remarks

The favourite is an expensive type
race-image
Spend is an expensive runner

Results

Race Dividends
Win 9 $ 2.60
Place1 9 $ 1.20
Place2 3 $ 1.10
Place3 4 $ 1.90
Quinella 3:9 $ 2.80
Trifecta 9:3:4 $ 23.80
First4 9:3:4:2 $ 69.70

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 3, 5, 9, 10
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 2 - BOOK SPRING HOSPITALITY HANDICAP
Time: 2:05 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top PickThe 'Best Each Way'
1 Call Me Royal   F: 22281
  B(8) W(60.5)
 ( J-  Sam Weatherley )
Proved it could handle the wet tracks when scoring from in front last start. Big weight but expect it to go forward and kick strongly.
Main Danger
2 Phaistos   F: X1512
  B(6) W(60)
 ( J-  Hugh Bowman )
Won
Dividends : $3.00 $1.20
Two wins already this campaign and it won't worry about the big weight. Bowman rides and it didn't lose any admirers behind Call Me Royal last start. Chance.
Next Best
3 Cinquedea   F: X2511
  B(2) W(58)
 ( J-  Blake Shinn )
Placed
Dividend : $1.50
Its last two starts have been wins that have come by 4.8 and 3.5 lengths. Every chance to handle the rise in grade. Right in this.
Include in Multis
5 Think Free   F: 15814
  B(12) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Robbie Dolan )
 ( T-  Kris Lees )
A little disappointing last time out but it scored three wins prior to that. Tricky draw but it might settle back and warm up late.
Longer Odds
6 Unguarded   F: 83231
  B(9) W(56.5)
Comes into this with a win on the board and it could kick on with it now.

Remarks

All of the action at the top of the book
race-image
Call Me Royal could win again

Results

Race Dividends
Win 2 $ 3.00
Place1 2 $ 1.20
Place2 3 $ 1.50
Place3 8 $ 4.80
Quinella 2:3 $ 3.90
Trifecta 2:3:8 $ 88.30
First4 2:3:8:11 $ 670.60
Double 9+/2 $ 4.30

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 3, 5, 6
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 3 - LINDSAY MURPHY TAB HIGHWAY
Time: 2:40 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
1 Gumshoe   F: 318X1
  B(12) W(59)
 ( J-  Jenny Duggan )
 ( T-  Marc Quinn )
Drawn wide but it was impressive last start when coming wide and finishing down the outside. Chance to do the same again here.
Main Danger
12 Nashian   F: 12155
  B(8) W(53)
 ( J-  Robbie Dolan )
 ( T-  Marc Quinn )
Plenty of money coming for this runner, which is a good sign in this race. Has won twice this season and could win again. Chance.
Next Best
4 Galapagos   F: X7336
  B(2) W(57)
 ( T-  Cody Morgan )
Yet to win from four starts this campaign but it hasn't been too far away. Gets an inside draw which should see it land on the speed.
Include in Multis
2 Zardoro   F: 18612
  B(9) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Sam Clipperton )
Has been up for awhile but has two wins from its last five starts. Will run at each way odds so include for some value.
Longer Odds
10 Ester's Rose   F: 57X12
  B(10) W(53)
 ( J-  Kathy O'Hara )
Owns good form this time in and another tidy effort is expected here.

Remarks

Always a competitive race
race-image
Gumshoe is a nice type in this grade

Results

Race Dividends
Win 5 $ 10.40
Place1 5 $ 3.10
Place2 6 $ 3.40
Place3 8 $ 5.20
Quinella 5:6 $ 61.50
Trifecta 5:6:8 $ 1532.20
First4 5:6:8:15 $ 17143.60

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 4, 10, 12
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 4 - ATC MEMBER TOURS HANDICAP
Time: 3:15 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
10 Waking Moment   F: 85X62
  B(3) W(52.5)
 ( J-  Robbie Dolan )
Carries a very light weight for this with only 52.5kg on its back. Hasn't won for awhile now but this is its best chance.
Main Danger
2 Primitivo   F: 31731
  B(8) W(59.5)
 ( J-  Jay Ford )
Two wins this campaign, including one last start. Has form around some nice types and we're expecting that to continue.
Next Best
3 High Power   F: 0X654
  B(7) W(57.5)
 ( T-  Kris Lees )
Getting better with every start and it's more than capable of handling this grade. Showed its power last prep so stick with it.
Include in Multis
5 Semper Fidelis   F: 40265
  B(6) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Jason Collett )
Unable to win this campaign but it has shown its class in the past. Carries a suitable weight so include in multiples.
Longer Odds
8 Amerock   F: 11337
  B(10) W(54)
 ( J-  Rachel King )
Placed
Dividend : $2.60
Better than what it showed last start. Chance at nice odds.

Remarks

Looks a competitive affair
race-image
Waking Moment is overdue

Results

Race Dividends
Win 4 $ 17.50
Place1 4 $ 4.20
Place2 8 $ 2.60
Place3 1 $ 5.00
Quinella 4:8 $ 97.90
Trifecta 4:8:1 $ 3771.10
First4 4:8:1:2 $ 23904.80

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
2, 3, 5, 8, 10
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 5 - ATC FOUNDATION HANDICAP
Time: 3:50 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
3 Spiritual Pursuit   F: 12X21
  B(4) W(59)
 ( T-  Jason Coyle )
Scored a deserved win last time out. Likely to kick on with it and conditions look ideal here. Can handle the rise in weight.
Main Danger
4 Deity   F: 27X33
  B(5) W(59)
 ( J-  Blake Shinn )
Placed
Dividend : $1.70
Back-to-back third placings coming into this. Has been steady in the betting and it could add some each-way value.
Next Best
1 Miss Exfactor   F: X7033
  B(7) W(59.5)
 ( J-  Chris Williams )
Another with a couple of recent placings and every chance to going better here. Chris Williams takes some weight off the back. Chance.
Include in Multis
5 Agent Pippa   F: 5166X
  B(8) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Hugh Bowman )
 ( T-  Kris Lees )
Won
Dividends : $13.70 $2.60
Only the one win last campaign but Bowman rides and it could improve nicely fresh up. Right in this.
Longer Odds
6 Satin Slipper   F: 0X00X
  B(1) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Tommy Berry )
Needs to lift but the ability is there.

Remarks

Good quality types in this field
race-image
Spiritual Pursuit could win again

Results

Race Dividends
Win 5 $ 13.70
Place1 5 $ 2.60
Place2 4 $ 1.70
Place3 9 $ 8.60
Quinella 4:5 $ 27.10
Trifecta 5:4:9 $ 1997.40
First4 5:4:9:11 $ 22956.80
Double 4/5 $ 173.70

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 3, 4, 5, 6
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 6 - TAB HANDICAP
Time: 4:30 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
3 Nahuel   F: 112X5
  B(1) W(59)
 ( J-  Hugh Bowman )
Wasn't disgraced when fifth last time out and it looked good twice last campaign. Inside draw and Bowman riding helps.
Main Danger
9 Cyber Intervention   F: 171X2
  B(9) W(57)
 ( J-  Tim Clark )
Placed
Dividend : $2.10
Has won two of its last four starts. Good resuming run for second and despite drawing wide, it could sweep past them late.
Next Best
12 Nicochet   F: 2X226
  B(3) W(56)
 ( J-  Tommy Berry )
 ( T-  Jason Coyle )
Finding it tough to win a race but it has a couple of good recent placings. Gets some weight advantage and that could make the difference.
Include in Multis
1 Curragh   F: X1433
  B(8) W(61.5)
 ( J-  Chris Williams )
Won
Dividends : $9.00 $2.60
Good win when resuming and it has put the writing on the wall its last couple. Gets a claimer in the saddle to help.
Longer Odds
4 Mapmaker   F: 20900
  B(7) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Sam Weatherley )
 ( T-  Tim Martin )
Could turn around some poor form but could add value.

Remarks

Different form lines throughout this field
race-image
Nahuel should go close

Results

Race Dividends
Win 1 $ 9.00
Place1 1 $ 2.60
Place2 9 $ 2.10
Place3 8 $ 2.30
Quinella 1:9 $ 22.00
Trifecta 1:9:8 $ 354.40
First4 1:9:8:11 $ 3362.50

Betting Suggestions

Quaddies
R6 (3) Nahuel(9) Cyber Intervention (12) Nicochet
R7 (1) Stampede(2) Eckstein (4) Firsthand (14) Nicci's Gold
R8 (6) Almanzora(10) Wagner (14) River Bird
R9 (2) Thy Kingdom Come(6) Traumatised (7) Handle the Truth
Quaddies % to a $20 stake:

Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 3, 4, 9, 12
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 7 - WINTER STAKES
Time: 5:10 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
14 Nicci's Gold   F: 7X514
  B(4) W(53)
 ( J-  Robbie Dolan )
Placed
Dividend : $2.80
Has been around the mark throughout its career and dropping in weight to 53kg is a massive help. Goes close here.
Main Danger
1 Stampede   F: 55X1X
  B(12) W(61)
 ( J-  Hugh Bowman )
Backed in from a big price and that's a good sign. Drawn wide but it has always shown good barrier speed so include here.
Next Best
2 Eckstein   F: 00036
  B(13) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Blake Shinn )
Won
Dividends : $6.60 $2.50
Has all the ability in the world but doesn't always show it. Will get back and hope there's some pace on up front. Each way hope.
Include in Multis
4 Firsthand   F: 3X392
  B(14) W(55.5)
 ( J-  Tommy Berry )
Another runner drawn wide but it always puts itself into the equation. Blake Shinn rides which should help its chances.
Longer Odds
10 Cradle Mountain   F: 12X85
  B(9) W(54)
 ( J-  Jason Collett )
Good enough to turn around some perplexing recent form.

Remarks

Loose favourite for the Winter Stakes
race-image
Nicci's Gold is well weighted

Results

Race Dividends
Win 2 $ 6.60
Place1 2 $ 2.50
Place2 5 $ 1.40
Place3 14 $ 2.80
Quinella 2:5 $ 17.00
Trifecta 2:5:14 $ 138.50
First4 2:5:14:10 $ 841.90

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 4, 10, 14
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 8 - AUSTRALIAN TURF CLUB HANDICAP
Time: 5:50 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top PickThe 'Day's Best'
14 River Bird   F: X1811
  B(6) W(53)
 ( J-  Kathy O'Hara )
 ( T-  Jason Coyle )
Won
Dividends : $3.10 $1.40
Gets in beautifully at the weights with 53kg on its back. Comes into this with consecutive wins and every chance to win again.
Main Danger
10 Wagner   F: 52018
  B(8) W(56)
 ( J-  Tommy Berry )
A touch unlucky last start but it looked much better when winning prior to that. Drawn well and the odds are appealing.
Next Best
6 Almanzora   F: 442X4
  B(10) W(57)
 ( J-  Blake Shinn )
Another Godolphin runner which is rarely too far away from the winners. Has the ability to win here so keep safe.
Include in Multis
3 Tonsor   F: 11944
  B(1) W(59.5)
 ( J-  Jenny Duggan )
Scored three wins on the bounce earlier before travelling and coming unstuck. Gets the inside draw so allow one more chance.
Longer Odds
12 Zonk   F: X1707
  B(4) W(55)
 ( J-  Rachel King )
 ( T-  Les Bridge )
Better than what it has been showing recently. Don't leave out.

Remarks

Plenty of nice types lining up here
race-image
River Bird could fly again

Results

Race Dividends
Win 14 $ 3.10
Place1 14 $ 1.40
Place2 5 $ 4.10
Place3 7 $ 8.30
Quinella 5:14 $ 23.70
Trifecta 14:5:7 $ 726.90
First4 14:5:7:4 $ 11139.60

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
3, 6, 10, 12, 14
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 9 - ROSEHILL BOWLING CLUB HANDICAP
Time: 6:30 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
6 Traumatised   F: 43432
  B(2) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Tim Clark )
Has been producing good efforts without crossing the line first. Gets its chance here to return to the winners' enclosure.
Main Danger
7 Handle the Truth   F: X17X4
  B(1) W(57)
Won
Dividends : $2.60 $1.30
Not too far behind them fresh up. Gets the inside draw and it should be hitting the line with style. Good chance in this.
Next Best
2 Thy Kingdom Come   F: 1516X
  B(8) W(60)
 ( J-  Hugh Bowman )
Has been scratched a couple of times in preparation for this run. Has the ability and could be right in the thick of the action.
Include in Multis
1 Drachenfels   F: 7X763
  B(9) W(60.5)
 ( J-  Blake Shinn )
 ( T-  Bjorn Baker )
Improving with every run and it should be in fit order for this. Drawn wide but expect it to settle back and come late.
Longer OddsThe 'Best Roughie'
13 Skyray   F: 07937
  B(11) W(54)
 ( J-  Jay Ford )
Better than what it has been showing. Could run well at odds.

Remarks

Plenty of winning chances in this
race-image
Traumatised could run well at odds

Results

Race Dividends
Win 7 $ 2.60
Place1 7 $ 1.30
Place2 9 $ 2.00
Place3 8 $ 2.20
Quinella 7:9 $ 7.50
Trifecta 7:9:8 $ 55.50
First4 7:9:8:1 $ 171.60
Double 14+/7+ $ 6.30

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 6, 7, 13
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%