M11 Rosehill – 27th July 2019

Selections for: Australian Racing

Our selections for the M11 Rosehill – 27th July 2019 are below: Good Luck! Back to Performance page

M11 Rosehill – 27th July 2019

M11: Rosehill - 27th Jul, 2019

Start time:1:40 pm
Weather:Fine
Track:Good

Overview

Good types in action across the card at Rosehill

Day's "Best"

R4 (5) River Bird

Best "Each Way"

R9 (8) Deity

Best "Roughie"

R7 (2) Duca Valentinois

Race 1 - ASX REFINITIV CHARITY FOUNDATION HANDICAP
Time: 1:40 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
12 Satin Socks   F: X3X16
  B(8) W(53.5)
 ( J-  Tim Clark )
Had no luck in the run last start after getting blocked in the straight. Harder here but it looks to have talent and the odds are appealing.
Main Danger
7 Lucicello   F: 8X31
  B(5) W(55)
 ( J-  Tommy Berry )
Won
Dividends : $3.30 $1.40
Hit the line nicely to win last time out. Looks well placed from the draw and carrying 55kg. Shouldn't be far away from them.
Next Best
2 Exceed The Stars   F: 44X21
  B(2) W(57)
 ( J-  Nash Rawiller )
Improving run when winning last start. Drawn to get all favours here and it could handle the rise in class. Chance.
Include in Multis
6 Belitsa   F: 16X23
  B(1) W(55.5)
Placed
Dividend : $1.70
Shown real ability in 5 starts to date, including winning one last season - and last start was very progressive.
Longer Odds
8 Iskander   F: 41X
  B(4) W(54.5)
Scored a good win before being spelled. Could return in good order.

Remarks

Short favourite in the first
race-image
True Detective is odds on to win

Results

Race Dividends
Win 7 $ 3.30
Place1 7 $ 1.40
Place2 3 $ 2.80
Place3 6 $ 1.70
Quinella 3:7 $ 17.50
Trifecta 7:3:6 $ 134.90
First4 7:3:6:12 $ 555.90

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
2, 6, 7, 8, 12
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 2 - TAB HIGHWAY PLATE
Time: 2:15 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
7 The Warlord   F: 41X42
  B(14) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Nash Rawiller )
Way over the odds. Traveled deep last start but stuck on nicely and it has more ability than most here. Odds should drop.
Main Danger
2 Pat's Nipper   F: 11352
  B(9) W(59)
 ( J-  Hugh Bowman )
 ( T-  Cody Morgan )
Won
Dividends : $5.20 $2.20
Scored back-to-back wins earlier this preparation and it went close last time out. Looks a good chance in this.
Next Best
4 Onemore Sapphire   F: 24331
  B(5) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Chris O'Brien )
 ( T-  Terry Evans )
Last-start winner which doesn't know how to run a bad race. Has been nicely backed to win and it should be right around the mark.
Include in Multis
5 Assault'n'bathory   F: 12312
  B(2) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Sam Weatherley )
Dual winner this campaign and it gets an inside draw to work with. Looks a nice win chance and punters are getting each-way odds.
Longer Odds
6 Black Wand   F: 35481
  B(7) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Sam Clipperton )
Placed
Dividend : $5.40
Kurt Goldman usually has them ready to fire. Odds on offer are appealing.

Remarks

Another even edition of the Highway Handicap
race-image
The Warlord has upside at odds

Results

Race Dividends
Win 2 $ 5.20
Place1 2 $ 2.20
Place2 6 $ 5.40
Place3 15 $ 2.80
Quinella 2:6 $ 73.90
Trifecta 2:6:15 $ 1137.40
First4 2:6:15:4 $ 6934.40

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
2, 4, 5, 6, 7
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 3 - REFINITIV HANDICAP
Time: 2:50 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
2 Connemara   F: 66X22
  B(3) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Jay Ford )
 ( T-  Bjorn Baker )
Placed
Dividend : $1.70
Knocking on the door after consecutive placings and it has been solidly backed throughout the week. Looks well placed here.
Main Danger
3 Jardin Rouge   F: 111X1
  B(1) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Larry Cassidy )
Faces a rise in class here but it's tough to discount five consecutive wins. In hot form and it could continue in the city.
Next Best
4 Malea Magic   F: 1X119
  B(5) W(57)
 ( J-  Sam Weatherley )
Disappointing last start but it's capable of bouncing back and winning three straight prior looks good. Has been nicely backed to win.
Include in Multis
5 Stella Sea Sun   F: 21321
  B(2) W(57)
 ( T-  Kris Lees )
Won
Dividends : $3.50 $2.00
Yet to finish outside the first three home and that's tough to look past. Harder here but it continues to battle away nicely.
Longer Odds
8 Moccasin Miss   F: 24326
  B(4) W(52.5)
 ( J-  Rachel King )
Finding it hard to win but carrying the light weight helps.

Remarks

Small field but it looks a cracking contest
race-image
Connemara has upside

Results

Race Dividends
Win 5 $ 3.50
Place1 5 $ 2.00
Place2 2 $ 1.70
Quinella 2:5 $ 4.40
Trifecta 5:2:8 $ 67.00
First4 5:2:8:4 $ 138.70
Trifecta - Selected!
First 4 - Selected!

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
2, 3, 4, 5, 8
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 4 - PRO IT HANDICAP
Time: 3:25 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top PickThe 'Day's Best'
5 River Bird   F: 18111
  B(4) W(55)
 ( J-  Kathy O'Hara )
 ( T-  Jason Coyle )
Gets in nicely at the weights given its form of four wins from five starts this campaign. Looks set to continue its rise through the grades.
Main Danger
1 Gresham   F: 72433
  B(1) W(59.5)
 ( J-  Sam Weatherley )
Placed
Dividend : $1.70
Doesn't win all that often but it has been putting in some nice efforts of late. Gets the inside draw to work with so consider.
Next Best
2 Fortensky   F: 525X3
  B(3) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Hugh Bowman )
Placed
Dividend : $2.10
Typically fires up after a run and it was a nice effort. Having Hugh Bowman in the saddle helps so consider in win bets here.
Include in Multis
7 Mapmaker   F: 09005
  B(8) W(53)
 ( J-  Glen Boss )
 ( T-  Tim Martin )
53kg on the back helps with turning its form around. Needs to but it could offer some odds in this.
Longer Odds
6 Conarchie   F: 00037
  B(7) W(53)
 ( J-  Jenny Duggan )
Capable of scoring an upset and the smaller field helps with that.

Remarks

Tidy field and it looks a tough race
race-image
River Bird is all class

Results

Race Dividends
Win 8 $ 7.40
Place1 8 $ 2.00
Place2 2 $ 2.10
Place3 1 $ 1.70
Quinella 2:8 $ 33.80
Trifecta 8:2:1 $ 228.50
First4 8:2:1:5 $ 498.70

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 5, 6, 7
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 5 - ROBB REPORT HANDICAP
Time: 4:00 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
6 Ilwendo   F: 5X551
  B(5) W(56)
 ( J-  Tim Clark )
Placed
Dividend : $1.60
Broke through for the win last start and it looks capable of scoring again. Well-weighted at 56kg and it has been heavily backed.
Main Danger
10 Our Candidate   F: X3512
  B(11) W(55)
 ( T-  Kris Lees )
Won
Dividends : $5.20 $1.80
Looks set for another top performance after winning two back and running second last start. 55kg on the back helps.
Next Best
4 Kaapfever   F: 23711
  B(10) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Rachel King )
Searching for its third consecutive win and it could continue that good form. Just the wide draw to navigate but it has time to get in.
Include in Multis
12 Makdanife   F: 27733
  B(4) W(53.5)
 ( J-  Jay Ford )
Consistent type which is looking to better a couple of recent placings. Distance suits and 53.5kg on the back is ideal.
Longer Odds
5 Savvy Ken   F: 3X101
  B(7) W(56.5)
Could continue its recent run of winning form.

Remarks

Big field with many winning chances
race-image
Ilwendo could win again

Results

Race Dividends
Win 10 $ 5.20
Place1 10 $ 1.80
Place2 6 $ 1.60
Place3 3 $ 4.00
Quinella 6:10 $ 8.70
Trifecta 10:6:3 $ 227.60
First4 10:6:3:12 $ 945.20

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
4, 5, 6, 10, 12
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 6 - NEXT TELECOM HANDICAP
Time: 4:40 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
8 Front Sight   F: 3X212
  B(5) W(57.5)
 ( T-  Kris Lees )
Another good effort to run second last start and it doesn't know how to run a bad race. Tough field here but it has been well supported.
Main Danger
5 Wimlah   F: 18X21
  B(11) W(58)
 ( J-  Nash Rawiller )
Defeated a handy field last start and it only needs to ping the barriers from out wide. Likely to do so and have them running along.
Next Best
6 Blazing   F: 3211
  B(4) W(58)
 ( J-  Kathy O'Hara )
 ( T-  Lee Curtis )
Placed
Dividend : $3.00
Looks a good odds chance after winning its last two. Rising in grade but it could add some value at double-figure odds.
Include in Multis
11 My Demetra   F: 8X112
  B(3) W(56)
 ( J-  Cejay Graham )
Placed
Dividend : $3.40
Has the form with 2 wins from last 3 and is shorter in the betting than expected
Longer Odds
13 Sharapova   F: 424X1
  B(10) W(54.5)
 ( J-  Tim Clark )
Impressive winner at midweek grade last time out. Nicely weighted and it should be figuring in the finish at odds.

Remarks

Looks a good form race
race-image
Front Sight is a strong chance

Results

Race Dividends
Win 3 $ 16.10
Place1 3 $ 3.80
Place2 6 $ 3.00
Place3 11 $ 3.40
Quinella 3:6 $ 70.40
Trifecta 3:6:11 $ 911.00
First4 3:6:11:8 $ 6531.20

Betting Suggestions

Quaddies
R6 (5) Wimlah(6) Blazing (8) Front Sight
R7 (3) Eckstein(6) Seaway (7) Take It Intern (9) Cradle Mountain
R8 (1) Delectation Girl(4) Bon Amis (8) You Make Me Smile
R9 (1) Greyworm(2) Sharpe Hussler (8) Deity
Quaddies % to a $20 stake:

Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
5, 6, 8, 11, 13
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 7 - MALDIVES TRAVEL CONNECTION WINTER CHALLENGE
Time: 5:20 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
3 Eckstein   F: 00361
  B(5) W(59)
 ( J-  Hugh Bowman )
Placed
Dividend : $1.50
Returned to winning form last start with a win. Could kick on with it now and given its turn-of-foot, this race looks ideal.
Main Danger
7 Take It Intern   F: X4622
  B(8) W(54.5)
 ( J-  Andrew Gibbons )
 ( T-  Kris Lees )
Went very close last start and it's closing in on a win. Gets in with a light weight and that could make all the difference. Big chance.
Next Best
9 Cradle Mountain   F: 2X854
  B(12) W(54)
Owns plenty of ability and looks ready to strike after some battling efforts this time in. Fitter now so consider at each-way odds.
Include in Multis
6 Seaway   F: 11075
  B(11) W(54.5)
 ( J-  Tommy Berry )
Won
Dividends : $8.60 $2.90
Looked the goods when last in work but has been struggling this time in. No real reason for it but dropping in weight helps. Include here.
Longer OddsThe 'Best Roughie'
2 Duca Valentinois   F: 55521
  B(3) W(60)
 ( J-  Tim Clark )
Capable of holding winning form and the odds are appealing.

Remarks

One of the more even betting fields of the day
race-image
Eckstein has a big finish

Results

Race Dividends
Win 6 $ 8.60
Place1 6 $ 2.90
Place2 10 $ 4.00
Place3 3 $ 1.50
Quinella 6:10 $ 59.80
Trifecta 6:10:3 $ 438.60
First4 6:10:3:5 $ 5160.40

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
2, 3, 6, 7, 9
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 8 - PRECISE AIR HANDICAP
Time: 6:00 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
4 Bon Amis   F: 41X29
  B(7) W(58)
 ( J-  Hugh Bowman )
Won
Dividends : $3.50 $1.40
Up and running this campaign and conditions look ideal. Better than what it showed last start so include here with Bowman riding.
Main Danger
1 Delectation Girl   F: 4635X
  B(1) W(60)
 ( T-  Kris Lees )
Imported runner which could easily towel this field up. Not an easy starting distance but it has been specked in the betting which is a good sign.
Next Best
8 You Make Me Smile   F: 1146X
  B(2) W(53)
 ( J-  Kathy O'Hara )
 ( T-  Jason Coyle )
Good enough to win three consecutive races last campaign. Often finds form quickly and with 53kg on the back, it looks a big threat.
Include in Multis
11 Taniko   F: X5071
  B(10) W(53)
 ( J-  Tommy Berry )
Placed
Dividend : $2.10
Returned to form with a stylish win last start and the light weight is a bonus. Worth including here.
Longer Odds
6 Top Striker   F: 45410
  B(4) W(56)
 ( J-  Sam Weatherley )
Enigmatic type but it can be dangerous when on its game.

Remarks

Some interesting runners in this
race-image
Bon Amis has upside

Results

Race Dividends
Win 4 $ 3.50
Place1 4 $ 1.40
Place2 12 $ 2.20
Place3 11 $ 2.10
Quinella 4:12 $ 17.50
Trifecta 4:12:11 $ 132.90
First4 4:12:11:8 $ 371.50

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 4, 6, 8, 11
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 9 - PACIFIC BOATING HANDICAP
Time: 6:40 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top PickThe 'Best Each Way'
8 Deity   F: 7X332
  B(11) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Hugh Bowman )
Placed
Dividend : $2.70
Getting closer to a win following three consecutive placings this campaign. Drawn wide but with a good ride, it should go close.
Main Danger
1 Greyworm   F: X122X
  B(10) W(60)
 ( J-  Brock Ryan )
Victorian runner which hasn't run a bad race throughout its career. Tricky draw but it has been well backed and should go close.
Next Best
2 Sharpe Hussler   F: 177X5
  B(4) W(60)
 ( J-  Chris Williams )
Has been absolutely smashed in the betting after a solid effort for fifth last start. Looks set for a big effort.
Include in Multis
10 Oxford Tycoon   F: X3282
  B(1) W(57)
 ( T-  Kim Waugh )
Three placings from four starts this campaign. Gets a nice run from the inside draw and should be competitive.
Longer Odds
9 Revenire   F: X5787
  B(7) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Tommy Berry )
Talented at best and it could return to the winners enclosure.

Remarks

Should be a good form guide
race-image
Deity is a value runner

Results

Race Dividends
Win 5 $ 78.30
Place1 5 $ 13.80
Place2 8 $ 2.70
Place3 7 $ 3.40
Quinella 5:8 $ 270.50
Trifecta 5:8:7 $ 2926.00
First4 5:8:7:4 $ 60642.90

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 8, 9, 10
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%