M11 Warwick Farm – 31st July 2019

Selections for: Australian Racing

Our selections for the M11 Warwick Farm – 31st July 2019 are below: Good Luck! Back to Performance page

M11 Warwick Farm – 31st July 2019

M11: Warwick Farm - 31st Jul, 2019

Start time:2:50 pm
Weather:Fine
Track:Good

Overview

Good quality fields throughout the day at Warwick Farm for the last Wednesday meeting of the season

Day's "Best"

R3 (8) Waka

Best "Each Way"

R4 (10) Riviera

Best "Roughie"

R5 (8) Mandalong Tapit

Race 1 - EVEREST CARNIVAL PLATE
Time: 2:50 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
9 Avon River   F: 54X44
  B(2) W(54)
 ( J-  Tommy Berry )
Won
Dividends : $1.60 $1.00
Has been taking on some tough company and running well. Drops to midweek class for this and that should make all the difference. Big chance.
Main Danger
4 Miyake   F:
  B(1) W(56)
On debut for Chris Waller and it has been specked in the betting at each-way odds. Drawn the rail and it looms as a major hope.
Next Best
6 Promotions   F: 3LX
  B(4) W(56)
 ( J-  Rachel King )
Placed
Dividend : $2.10
Can't be ruling out a runner from this stable. Stablemate of the favourite so monitor betting moves on the day. Showed some ability last campaign.
Include in Multis
8 Way Back When   F:
  B(7) W(56)
 ( J-  Kerrin McEvoy )
Another Waller debutante. Close enough in a recent trial and it could be a nice improver out of that. Chance.
Longer Odds
1 Aytobe   F: 42X2
  B(5) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Nash Rawiller )
Placed
Dividend : $3.60
Has good form and could run a nice race.

Remarks

Hot favourite in the opener
race-image
Avon River should go close

Results

Race Dividends
Win 9 $ 1.60
Place1 9 $ 1.00
Place2 6 $ 2.10
Place3 1 $ 3.60
Quinella 6:9 $ 4.80
Trifecta 9:6:1 $ 34.30
First4 9:6:1:8 $ 180.60
Trifecta - Selected!
First 4 - Selected!

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 4, 6, 8, 9
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 2 - HARRY ANGEL @ DARLEY HANDICAP
Time: 3:25 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
3 Sethlans   F:
  B(3) W(59)
 ( J-  Hugh Bowman )
Placed
Dividend : $1.40
Trial form has been good and the Cummings/Bowman is a positive factor. Is being well-backed to win and that's a great sign on debut.
Main Danger
5 Making Whoopee   F: 2X
  B(8) W(58)
 ( J-  Nash Rawiller )
Won
Dividends : $2.80 $1.10
Not far behind a quick type on debut. Has since been spelled and returns here in good order. Tricky draw is the only negative.
Next Best
2 Parveen   F: 33222
  B(7) W(59)
 ( J-  Kerrin McEvoy )
Getting closer to a win after five consecutive placings to open its career. Should be winning shortly and this race is there for the taking.
Include in Multis
6 Rancho Notorious   F: 4455X
  B(4) W(58)
 ( J-  Glen Boss )
 ( T-  Jason Coyle )
Placed
Dividend : $1.60
Has raced in some tough races, including behind The Autumn Sun last start. However, it's too short in the betting. Punters would need to take on trust but include in multiples.
Longer Odds
1 Maybach   F: 7X
  B(6) W(59)
Could pinch a soft lead and run well at odds.

Remarks

Smaller field but there's some smart types in this
race-image
James Cummings has a nice type here

Results

Race Dividends
Win 5 $ 2.80
Place1 5 $ 1.10
Place2 6 $ 1.60
Place3 3 $ 1.40
Quinella 5:6 $ 4.70
Trifecta 5:6:3 $ 24.90
First4 5:6:3:2 $ 65.80
Trifecta - Selected!
First 4 - Selected!

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 3, 5, 6
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 3 - ANZ BLOODSTOCK NEWS HANDICAP
Time: 4:00 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top PickThe 'Day's Best'
8 Waka   F: 3X531
  B(3) W(56)
 ( J-  Kerrin McEvoy )
Won
Dividends : $3.50 $1.70
Defeated only a small field last start but the turn-of-foot was impressive. Should enjoy the bigger field and could sling-shot them late.
Main Danger
1 Keep Up   F: 78702
  B(8) W(58.5)
Experienced type which indicated a return to form is on the cards last start. Much better performance and that should continue this campaign.
Next Best
5 Anarchy   F: 39804
  B(4) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Nash Rawiller )
Has been up for awhile now but it has won this campaign. In the right hands and there is good specking for it. Include on that.
Include in Multis
9 Shangani Patrol   F: 72666
  B(6) W(54)
 ( J-  Glen Boss )
Placed
Dividend : $2.10
Dropping down in weight is going to help nicely. Has been battling a bit this time in but the talent is there so don't drop yet.
Longer Odds
7 My King's Counsel   F: 19X74
  B(7) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Tommy Berry )
Better showing last start and the value is there this time around.

Remarks

Plenty of good form throughout this field
race-image
Waka has upside

Results

Race Dividends
Win 8 $ 3.50
Place1 8 $ 1.70
Place2 9 $ 2.10
Place3 3 $ 3.00
Quinella 8:9 $ 8.40
Trifecta 8:9:3 $ 139.60
First4 8:9:3:1 $ 484.50
Double 8+/3+ $ 6.80

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 5, 7, 8, 9
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 4 - FAREWELL DAVID MILLS HANDICAP
Time: 4:35 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top PickThe 'Best Each Way'
10 Riviera   F: 65X53
  B(8) W(57.5)
Nice type on the rise which isn't ideally suited by the weights, but has plenty of upside. Another well-backed runner in this.
Main Danger
3 Helga   F: 325X1
  B(7) W(59.5)
 ( J-  Chris Williams )
 ( T-  Les Bridge )
Won
Dividends : $2.50 $1.40
Les Bridge usually keeps them in form after winning. Nice performance to score last start and it should be tough to beat again.
Next Best
2 Singing Sand   F: 14514
  B(5) W(60.5)
 ( J-  Tommy Berry )
Twice a winner already this season and that form should hold up well here. 60.5kg on the back is the only worry.
Include in Multis
6 Song And a Prayer   F: 21721
  B(3) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Kerrin McEvoy )
Placed
Dividend : $3.50
Has a couple of recent wins and could add another here. Right in the mix.
Longer Odds
7 Almerheri   F: 418X3
  B(1) W(58)
 ( J-  Rachel King )
Looks ready to fire after a nice effort last start. Inside draw is ideal.

Remarks

Looks an even field on paper
race-image
Could be party time

Results

Race Dividends
Win 3 $ 2.50
Place1 3 $ 1.40
Place2 5 $ 2.20
Place3 6 $ 3.50
Quinella 3:5 $ 10.40
Trifecta 3:5:6 $ 123.50
First4 3:5:6:7 $ 687.80
Double 8+/3+ $ 6.80

Betting Suggestions

Quaddies
R4 (2) Singing Sand(3) Helga (10) Riviera
R5 (1) Oneness(2) Cuba (3) Nicochet
R6 (1) Commander(3) Watchdog (7) Travancore (11) Seel the Deel
R7 (4) Handspun(10) Bubbles Ball
Quaddies % to a $20 stake:

Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
2, 3, 6, 7, 10
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 5 - STAR TURN @ VINERY HANDICAP
Time: 5:10 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
2 Cuba   F: 4416X
  B(8) W(60.5)
Placed
Dividend : $2.60
Typically runs well fresh up and it has enough speed to be a winning factor in this. Just needs to find some cover from out wide.
Main Danger
1 Oneness   F: 25882
  B(1) W(61)
 ( J-  Hugh Bowman )
 ( T-  Bjorn Baker )
Twice-placed this campaign and is long overdue a winning turn. Gets a gun run from the draw and it's the best-backed runner of the field.
Next Best
3 Nicochet   F: X2267
  B(5) W(60.5)
 ( J-  Tommy Berry )
 ( T-  Jason Coyle )
Won
Dividends : $2.90 $1.20
Another runner which is overdue a win. Has plenty of talent but doesn't always race generously in the run. Include here.
Include in Multis
7 He's a Given   F: 84215
  B(6) W(57)
 ( J-  TBA )
Scored well two back but didn't follow it up last start. Chance to get back into that form and this isn't an overly strong field.
Longer OddsThe 'Best Roughie'
8 Mandalong Tapit   F: 42415
  B(2) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Andrew Banks )
Did enough two back to warrant attention at double-figure odds.

Remarks

Punters are getting goods for many runners in this
race-image
Cuba has upside

Results

Race Dividends
Win 3 $ 2.90
Place1 3 $ 1.20
Place2 2 $ 2.60
Place3 6 $ 2.80
Quinella 2:3 $ 11.10
Trifecta 3:2:6 $ 133.90
First4 3:2:6:1 $ 370.30

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 3, 7, 8
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 6 - TAB HANDICAP
Time: 5:45 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
7 Travancore   F: 23133
  B(1) W(58)
 ( J-  Rachel King )
Won
Dividends : $3.40 $1.50
Hasn't done much wrong this campaign with a win and four placings. Gets the inside draw and it should have every chance from there.
Main Danger
3 Watchdog   F: 25331
  B(2) W(59.5)
 ( J-  Hugh Bowman )
Placed
Dividend : $1.90
Capped off some solid form with a good win last time out. Hugh Bowman rides and it should be right around the mark.
Next Best
1 Commander   F: 19512
  B(5) W(60)
 ( J-  Kerrin McEvoy )
Two-time winner this preparation and although weighted highly at 60kg, it has the class to handle this field. Handy effort last start.
Include in Multis
11 Seel the Deel   F: 23X11
  B(7) W(55.5)
 ( J-  Cejay Graham )
 ( T-  Ron Quinton )
Comes into this with very good winning form and is capable of handling the rise in class.
Longer Odds
8 Devil's Lair   F: X1700
  B(3) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Glyn Schofield )
Has shown speed in the past and was good enough to win fresh up. Big odds on offer.

Remarks

Another each-way type of field
race-image
Stick with Travancore

Results

Race Dividends
Win 7 $ 3.40
Place1 7 $ 1.50
Place2 3 $ 1.90
Quinella 3:7 $ 4.60
Trifecta 7:3:1 $ 22.10
First4 7:3:1:5 $ 106.60
Trifecta - Selected!

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 3, 7, 8, 11
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 7 - AUSTRALIAN TURF CLUB HANDICAP
Time: 6:20 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
10 Bubbles Ball   F: 2X121
  B(5) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Kerrin McEvoy )
 ( T-  Kris Lees )
Placed
Dividend : $1.30
Speedy type which has yet to finish outside of the first two home. Can get a little far back in the run but it works home nicely.
Main Danger
4 Handspun   F: 11653
  B(4) W(59)
 ( J-  Hugh Bowman )
Placed
Dividend : $1.70
Scored three wins in four starts to open its campaign. That's tough to look past and it could get back to winning form here.
Next Best
8 Rhythmic Pulse   F: 12371
  B(7) W(58)
Harder here but that was an impressive win last time out. That made it three wins this campaign so stick with it.
Include in Multis
3 Lilith   F: 0X028
  B(11) W(59.5)
 ( J-  Chris Williams )
A touch disappointing this time in but it looked good last time in work. It has room for improvement and could figure in the money.
Longer Odds
2 Commanding Witness   F: X5X71
  B(12) W(59.5)
Drawn deep but is coming off a win. Chance to double up on that.

Remarks

Couple of nice types in the last
race-image
Bubbles Ball is a nice type

Results

Race Dividends
Win 7 $ 20.40
Place1 7 $ 5.30
Place2 10 $ 1.30
Place3 4 $ 1.70
Quinella 7:10 $ 36.00
Trifecta 7:10:4 $ 373.00
First4 7:10:4:8 $ 3542.90

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
2, 3, 4, 8, 10
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%