M12 Caulfield – 31st August 2019

Selections for: Australian Racing

Our selections for the M12 Caulfield – 31st August 2019 are below: Good Luck! Back to Performance page

M12 Caulfield – 31st August 2019

M12: Caulfield - 31st Aug, 2019

Start time:2:25 pm
Weather:Fine
Track:Good

Overview

Group 1 Memsie Stakes on the card and it's a terrific meeting overall

Day's "Best"

R3 (4) My Pendant

Best "Each Way"

R6 (1) Ball of Muscle

Best "Roughie"

R9 (16) Hang Man

Race 1 - SYMO'S 50TH HANDICAP
Time: 2:25 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
3 Alfarris   F: 46149
  B(1) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Luke Nolen )
Only fair last start but is suited better by this race. Gets the inside draw to jump from and it should be tough to get past in the straight.
Main Danger
1 Naval Warfare   F: 23X60
  B(2) W(58)
 ( J-  Michael Walker )
Has been well backed despite some average performances this time in. Form last season was terrific, so it should be able to rebound and go close.
Next Best
5 Exemplar   F: X0X69
  B(6) W(54)
 ( J-  Jamie Kah )
 ( T-  Liam Howley )
Placed
Dividend : $2.30
Imported runner which gets right down in the weights with 54kg on the back. Gets its best chance to break through.
Include in Multis
6 Jinda   F: 21311
  B(5) W(54)
 ( J-  Ted Nugent )
The form runner of the field with three wins from its last four starts. Another light weight chance which should go close.
Longer Odds
2 US Army Ranger   F: 0X7X0
  B(4) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Michael Poy )
 ( T-  Liam Howley )
Better than what it has been showing in recent efforts.

Remarks

Small field but it should be an intriguing affair
race-image
Alfarris has a chance

Results

Race Dividends
Win 4 $ 7.30
Place1 4 $ 3.30
Place2 5 $ 2.30
Quinella 4:5 $ 16.10
Trifecta 4:5:3 $ 118.00
First4 4:5:3:1 $ 491.80

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 3, 5, 6
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 2 - NITTO DENKO HANDICAP
Time: 3:00 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
16 Diamond Effort   F: 211X2
  B(1) W(54)
 ( J-  Damien Oliver )
Was heavily backed last start and ran well, but ran into a good one. This is slightly easier and carrying 54kg off the inside draw is ideal. Top chance.
Main Danger
3 Chess Star   F: X100X
  B(3) W(60)
 ( J-  Mark Zahra )
Carries a big weight but it has been competitive in some tough races. Drawn well and it could continue its good fresh up record.
Next Best
12 Dawn Dawn   F: X76X2
  B(9) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Dwayne Dunn )
Won
Dividends : $6.30 $2.20
Needs a little bit of luck from a wide draw but that was a nice placing last time out. Punters are getting each-way odds which appeals.
Include in Multis
4 Mastering   F: 1039X
  B(4) W(60)
 ( J-  Ted Nugent )
The money has come this morning for this one - and it has a good 'fresh' record.
Longer Odds
14 Ruban Bleu   F: 01631
  B(8) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Lachlan King )
Flashed home nicely to win last time out. Has a good turn-of-foot on its day and that makes it a dangerous type.

Remarks

Nice field and there's good depth throughout
race-image
Diamond Effort has class on its side

Results

Race Dividends
Win 12 $ 6.30
Place1 12 $ 2.20
Place2 9 $ 2.40
Place3 10 $ 4.00
Quinella 9:12 $ 19.60
Trifecta 12:9:10 $ 588.70
First4 12:9:10:3 $ 2837.40

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
3, 4, 12, 14, 16
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 3 - CLANBROOKE RACING HANDICAP
Time: 3:35 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top PickThe 'Day's Best'
4 My Pendant   F: 18X21
  B(8) W(54)
 ( J-  Damien Oliver )
Won
Dividends : $2.40 $1.30
Doesn't know how to run a bad race and that was a gutsy effort last start. Stays down in the weights and it should prove tough to beat again.
Main Danger
2 Music Bay   F: 2141X
  B(7) W(56.5)
 ( J-  John Allen )
Placed
Dividend : $1.40
Pegged to be a stakes horse but hasn't quite lived up to that potential. However, owns ability and showed that last start. Chance.
Next Best
1 Savapinski   F: 5X60X
  B(6) W(58)
 ( J-  Michael Dee )
Sparingly-raced last campaign which is a little concerning. Still, has class and has beaten better fields in the past.
Include in Multis
9 Bettyrae Ruby   F: 42X11
  B(1) W(54)
 ( J-  Luke Currie )
 ( T-  Tim Hughes )
Rises right up in class but has scored back-to-back wins. Gets the inside draw and no weight on its back. Chance to score a minor upset.
Longer Odds
7 Hay Now   F: 10X84
  B(2) W(54)
 ( J-  Dwayne Dunn )
 ( T-  Shaun Dwyer )
Can sprint and that was a nice effort last start.

Remarks

A few nice types lining up here
race-image
My Pendant is a nice type

Results

Race Dividends
Win 4 $ 2.40
Place1 4 $ 1.30
Place2 10 $ 12.10
Place3 2 $ 1.40
Quinella 4:10 $ 110.90
Trifecta 4:10:2 $ 653.70
First4 4:10:2:5 $ 2060.20

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 4, 7, 9
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 4 - ZIRCODATA HEALTHERIE STAKES
Time: 4:10 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
3 Steel Prince   F: 1111X
  B(12) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Damien Oliver )
Owns a spot in the Melbourne Cup and its class could shine through here. Doesn't know how to run a bad race and although short of its best, it could win at 1700m.
Main Danger
14 Benitoite   F: 11711
  B(6) W(54)
 ( J-  Dwayne Dunn )
Really dug deep to score last time out, making it five wins from seven starts. Drops down in weight and it shouldn't be overlooked.
Next Best
8 Guizot   F: 23451
  B(2) W(54.5)
 ( J-  Linda Meech )
Hit the line with real authority when scoring last time out. That run will give it plenty of confidence and fitness won't be an issue.
Include in Multis
6 Captain Cook   F: 245X5
  B(8) W(55.5)
 ( J-  John Allen )
Placed
Dividend : $2.60
Did enough fresh up to suggest that it won't take long to break through. In the right hands and John Allen rides these races well.
Longer Odds
5 Lord Fandango   F: 4408X
  B(3) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Jordan Childs )
Has run well fresh in the past and this distance suits.

Remarks

This race features some cups' types
race-image
Steel Prince is a top type

Results

Race Dividends
Win 13 $ 5.90
Place1 13 $ 2.30
Place2 6 $ 2.60
Place3 7 $ 3.50
Quinella 6:13 $ 22.30
Trifecta 13:6:7 $ 369.80
First4 13:6:7:3 $ 3577.00

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
3, 5, 6, 8, 14
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 5 - H.D.F. MCNEIL STAKES (G3)
Time: 4:50 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
4 Super Seth   F: 113X
  B(6) W(57)
 ( J-  Mark Zahra )
Won
Dividends : $3.40 $1.50
Disappointing last start but was ridden upside down. Better when ridden patiently and those tactics should be adopted here. Talented at best.
Main Danger
9 Missile Mantra   F: 11X
  B(2) W(56)
 ( J-  Damian Lane )
Unbeaten from two starts. Both of those were big wins from off the pace and she's a talented filly in the making. Nicely drawn in barrier three.
Next Best
3 King Of Hastings   F: 121
  B(4) W(57)
 ( J-  Ben Melham )
Placed
Dividend : $1.50
Looks to have a nice future after putting away a good field last start. Stable has a good opinion of it and punters should be confident of a good run.
Include in Multis
5 Peidra   F: 11
  B(7) W(57)
 ( J-  Luke Nolen )
Also unbeaten after two runs and both of those came comfortably. Rises in grade for this but it could handle it. Chance.
Longer Odds
2 Sebrakate   F: 29X12
  B(5) W(57)
 ( J-  Craig Williams )
Placed
Dividend : $2.20
Not the most attractive type but it battles away and could add value.

Remarks

Talented field with Guineas' types throughout
race-image
Super Seth is all the rage

Results

Race Dividends
Win 4 $ 3.40
Place1 4 $ 1.50
Place2 3 $ 1.50
Place3 2 $ 2.20
Quinella 3:4 $ 5.10
Trifecta 4:3:2 $ 63.30
First4 4:3:2:8 $ 673.60
Trifecta - Selected!

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
2, 3, 4, 5, 9
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 6 - MRC EVEREST SERIES HEATH 1100 STAKES (G3)
Time: 5:30 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top PickThe 'Best Each Way'
1 Ball of Muscle   F: 1X19X
  B(7) W(59)
 ( J-  Glyn Schofield )
Placed
Dividend : $1.40
Not getting any younger but still has plenty to give. Goes well fresh, winning its last two, and that's a good sign for this.
Main Danger
4 Vega Magic   F: 40X0X
  B(1) W(57)
 ( J-  Damien Oliver )
Owns ability but has been hard to follow over the years. Inside draw is ideal and it could rail and kick away. Must jump with them to win.
Next Best
3 Gytrash   F: 13011
  B(6) W(58)
 ( J-  Craig Williams )
Placed
Dividend : $1.50
Continues to win and typically pays a nice price. Four wins already this campaign and winning this wouldn't be a stretch.
Include in Multis
5 Malaguerra   F: 3820X
  B(5) W(57)
 ( J-  Ben Melham )
Has been there and done that. Proven big-time performer which didn't fire last campaign but has the ability to bounce back. Keep safe.
Longer Odds
8 Glenall   F: 9044X
  B(8) W(57)
 ( J-  Dwayne Dunn )
Owns a good turn-of-foot and it could show up at nice odds.

Remarks

Nice sprint field
race-image
Ball of Muscle is exactly that

Results

Race Dividends
Win 7 $ 24.80
Place1 7 $ 4.40
Place2 3 $ 1.50
Place3 1 $ 1.40
Quinella 3:7 $ 78.60
Trifecta 7:3:1 $ 370.10
First4 7:3:1:6 $ 4383.90
Quaddie 7/13+/5/18+ $ 1418.10

Betting Suggestions

Quaddies
R6 (1) Ball of Muscle(4) Vega Magic
R7 (1) Amphitrite(11) Sylvia's Mother (13) Pippie
R8 (1) Hartnell(5) Scales of Justice (9) Begood Toya Mother (11) Alizee
R9 (1) Night's Watch(2) Iconoclasm (14) Antah (18) Age Of Chivalry
Quaddies % to a $20 stake:

Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 3, 4, 5, 8
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 7 - MOET & CHANDON COCKRAM STAKES (G3)
Time: 6:10 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
13 Pippie   F: 27X11
  B(7) W(55)
 ( J-  Ben Melham )
Won
Dividends : $1.90 $1.50
Nice type which led easily last start and kicked away for an effortless win. Should find the front again and try to repeat. Stick with it.
Main Danger
11 Sylvia's Mother   F: 15X51
  B(1) W(55)
 ( J-  Dwayne Dunn )
Placed
Dividend : $1.40
Owns a stack of ability and is even better going around a turn. Gets the inside draw which could make it tricky, but it won't spend much energy. Another top chance.
Next Best
1 Amphitrite   F: 1360X
  B(11) W(59)
 ( J-  Craig Williams )
Goes into the mix and punters are getting nice odds. Good win fresh up last campaign and it has more class than most here.
Include in Multis
9 Fidelia   F: 1111X
  B(9) W(55)
 ( J-  Jye McNeil )
Not an easy race to resume in but it rattled off four consecutive wins when last in work. Tough to overlook that form so consider at the odds.
Longer Odds
2 Spanish Whisper   F: 2196X
  B(3) W(58)
 ( J-  Mark Zahra )
Placed
Dividend : $3.50
Never too far away from the prize and it could be worth the risk at the odds.

Remarks

Lovely field with many different form lines
race-image
Pippie is a lovely type

Results

Race Dividends
Win 13 $ 1.90
Place1 13 $ 1.50
Place2 2 $ 3.50
Place3 11 $ 1.40
Quinella 2:13 $ 15.10
Trifecta 13:2:11 $ 57.00
First4 13:2:11:5 $ 483.10
Trifecta - Selected!

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 9, 11, 13
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 8 - NEW ZEALAND BLOODSTOCK MEMSIE STAKES (G1)
Time: 6:50 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
11 Alizee   F: 306X1
  B(11) W(57)
 ( J-  Damien Oliver )
Placed
Dividend : $1.60
Classy runner which scored a good win agaisnt a small field last start. Owns plenty of ability and it could rise to another level here.
Main Danger
1 Hartnell   F: 233X3
  B(1) W(59)
 ( J-  Craig Williams )
Tough to rule it out at the Group 1 level. Hasn't won a race for awhile and usually finds one better, but the odds are very appealing.
Next Best
5 Scales of Justice   F: 53X12
  B(5) W(59)
 ( J-  Dean Yendall )
Won
Dividends : $3.50 $1.60
A little disappointing when beaten as the odds-on favourite last start. Win prior was good and it has been confidently backed. Worth including.
Include in Multis
9 Begood Toya Mother   F: 11111
  B(13) W(59)
 ( J-  Declan Bates )
Has won all six starts this campaign. Rising right up in class but has tactical speed and could lead throughout. Interesting runner.
Longer Odds
3 Humidor   F: 7333X
  B(10) W(59)
 ( J-  Damian Lane )
Can't be ruled out here. Gets back and could flash home late.

Remarks

First G1 of the season in Melbourne
race-image
Alizee has G1 class

Results

Race Dividends
Win 5 $ 3.50
Place1 5 $ 1.60
Place2 8 $ 4.60
Place3 11 $ 1.60
Quinella 5:8 $ 37.00
Trifecta 5:8:11 $ 187.30
First4 5:8:11:1 $ 1092.10

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 3, 5, 9, 11
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 9 - CAULFIELD HANDICAP
Time: 7:25 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
1 Night's Watch   F: 4000X
  B(3) W(60.5)
 ( J-  Ted Nugent )
Highly-touted this season and the betting indicates that. Needs to lift based on recent performances but owns a stack of talent.
Main Danger
18 Age Of Chivalry   F: 22X51
  B(12) W(54)
 ( J-  Damian Lane )
Won
Dividends : $2.30 $1.40
Impressive win last start and it's starting to live up to expectations. Drawn deep but has a light weight. Just needs luck and cover.
Next Best
2 Iconoclasm   F: X1050
  B(6) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Damien Oliver )
Placed
Dividend : $2.10
First run back was after a 2 month break ... expecting that run to improve chances
Include in Multis
14 Antah   F: 231X5
  B(2) W(54)
 ( J-  Jye McNeil )
Knows how to win with professionalism. Drawn down on the rails and that's a big asset. Must be included here.
Longer OddsThe 'Best Roughie'
16 Hang Man   F: 2619X
  B(4) W(54)
 ( J-  Michael Poy )
Handy type which has ability to launch late and win.

Remarks

Huge field to close the premier card
race-image
Night's Watch could muster

Results

Race Dividends
Win 18 $ 2.30
Place1 18 $ 1.40
Place2 4 $ 3.40
Place3 2 $ 2.10
Quinella 4:18 $ 13.60
Trifecta 18:4:2 $ 93.20
First4 18:4:2:7 $ 1640.20

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 14, 16, 18
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%