M12 Flemington – 29th February 2020

Selections for: Australian Racing

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M12 Flemington – 29th February 2020

M12: Flemington - 29th Feb, 2020

Start time:2:35 pm
Weather:Fine
Track:Good

Overview

Group 1 Australian Guineas on the card. It promises to be a cracking day

Day's "Best"

R7 (4) Catalyst

Best "Each Way"

R9 (1) Just Hifalutin

Best "Roughie"

R1 (3) Miss Norway
  • Race 1 - MITTYS HANDICAP
    Time: 2:35 | Distance: 1100m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    7 Des Moines   F: 3125X
      B(1) W(54)
     ( J-  Michael Dee )
    Looked good at times last campaign and it could return in fine order. Punters are getting good value odds, so put it on top.
    Main Danger
    4 Diamond Effort   F: 180X1
      B(6) W(57.5)
     ( J-  Damien Oliver )
    Won
    Dividends : $1.90 $1.70
    Impressive win last start but you need to take skinny odds. Looks tough to beat but be weary of the small field.
    Next Best
    1 Miss Vixen   F: 2418X
      B(2) W(61.5)
     ( J-  Damian Lane )
    A past winner fresh up that gets an inside draw. Might try hug the rail early in the day and kick strongly.
    Include in Multis
    2 Queen Annabel   F: 360X2
      B(3) W(59.5)
     ( J-  Craig Williams )
    Didn't do much wrong when second last time out. Williams rides and it's worth a chance. Nice odds.
    Longer Odds
    The 'Best Roughie'
    3 Miss Norway   F: 740X3
      B(7) W(59)
     ( J-  Jamie Kah )
     ( T-  John Sadler )
    Placed
    Dividend : $3.30
    Hasn't won in a while but the ability is there. Odds are nice.

    Remarks

    Only a small field in the first but it's a good-quality race
    race-image
    Des Moines has upside

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 4 $ 1.90
    Place1 4 $ 1.70
    Place2 3 $ 3.30
    Quinella 3:4 $ 7.00
    Trifecta 4:3:7 $ 24.80
    First4 4:3:7:2 $ 74.30
    Trifecta - Selected!
    First 4 - Selected!

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    1, 2, 3, 4, 7
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 2 - RON HIGGINS QUALITY
    Time: 3:10 | Distance: 2600m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    4 King Of Leogrance   F: 349X2
      B(3) W(54)
     ( J-  Damian Lane )
    Won
    Dividends : $3.40 $1.50
    Good run for second fresh up and it's only going to improve with fitness this season. Down in weight at 54kg and it should go well.
    Main Danger
    2 Dabiyr   F: X6151
      B(8) W(55)
     ( J-  Craig Williams )
    Placed
    Dividend : $1.50
    Two wins from its last three starts. Tough to overlook that form despite a slight drift in the betting. An obvious inclusion.
    Next Best
    3 High Bridge   F: 52216
      B(5) W(54.5)
     ( J-  Dwayne Dunn )
    Not suited by the lack of pace last start. There should be more pace in this race and it'll be finishing off strongly.
    Include in Multis
    5 Naval Warfare   F: 75422
      B(9) W(54)
     ( J-  Linda Meech )
    Placed
    Dividend : $2.10
    Last couple of runs have been solid. Doesn't win often but it's not far away from one. Chance.
    Longer Odds
    1 Vengeur Masque   F: 502X8
      B(6) W(60)
     ( J-  Damien Oliver )
    Class could take it a long way. Upset odds.

    Remarks

    Not much between most of these
    race-image
    King Of Leogrance gets another chance

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 4 $ 3.40
    Place1 4 $ 1.50
    Place2 2 $ 1.50
    Place3 5 $ 2.10
    Quinella 2:4 $ 4.40
    Trifecta 4:2:5 $ 50.00
    First4 4:2:5:3 $ 113.20
    Trifecta - Selected!
    First 4 - Selected!

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    1, 2, 3, 4, 5
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 3 - VERY SPECIAL KIDS PLATE
    Time: 3:45 | Distance: 1000m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    3 Ilovemyself   F:
      B(2) W(56)
     ( J-  Damien Oliver )
     ( T-  Greg Eurell )
    Won
    Dividends : $4.30 $1.70
    Huge money coming for this trials performer. Looked professional in its action and the betting lead is signficant.
    Main Danger
    6 Unstoppabelle   F: 1337
      B(5) W(54)
     ( J-  Michael Dee )
    Has been running some nice races to open its career. Gets in nicely on the weights and it deserves to run close to favourite.
    Next Best
    4 Time Is Precious   F: 1X
      B(1) W(55)
     ( J-  Luke Nolen )
     ( T-  Gerald Ryan )
    Placed
    Dividend : $2.40
    Debut winner before being sent for a spell. Nothing wrong with that form and it should be right around the mark once again.
    Include in Multis
    11 River Night   F: 3X9
      B(3) W(54)
     ( J-  Linda Meech )
    Placed
    Dividend : $2.30
    Had backing last start after a good run on debut. It was a failed run but there is market confidence again. Chance.
    Longer Odds
    1 Destination   F: 16
      B(4) W(57)
     ( J-  Damian Lane )
    Double-figure odds for a Cummings runner is always good value.

    Remarks

    Money coming for many runners
    race-image
    Ilovemyself is well backed

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 3 $ 4.30
    Place1 3 $ 1.70
    Place2 11 $ 2.30
    Place3 4 $ 2.40
    Quinella 3:11 $ 16.60
    Trifecta 3:11:4 $ 156.80
    First4 3:11:4:1 $ 1315.60
    Trifecta - Selected!
    First 4 - Selected!

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    1, 3, 4, 6, 11
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 4 - FURPHY ALE FRANCES TRESSADY STAKES (G3)
    Time: 4:20 | Distance: 1400m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    2 Sylvia's Mother   F: 513X1
      B(1) W(57)
     ( J-  Dwayne Dunn )
    Won
    Dividends : $2.30 $1.40
    Booming win fresh up and it gets the inside draw again. Will look to work off that position but it's not hard at Flemington. Top chance.
    Main Danger
    1 Spanish Whisper   F: 1930X
      B(2) W(58.5)
     ( J-  Regan Bayliss )
    Typically fires fresh up and punters are getting nice odds. Drawn well and it shouldn't be too far away. Right in this race.
    Next Best
    6 Fidelia   F: 630X8
      B(9) W(54)
     ( J-  Brett Prebble )
    Placed
    Dividend : $1.90
    Owns a good turn-of-foot but it hasn't disappeared recently. Too good to ignore and the light weight helps.
    Include in Multis
    5 Mamzelle Tess   F: 94334
      B(4) W(54)
     ( J-  Ben Thompson )
    Placed
    Dividend : $2.70
    Yet to win this campaign but has the ability. This looks an ideal race for it and it could add some value.
    Longer Odds
    7 The Closer   F: X2511
      B(8) W(54)
     ( J-  Linda Meech )
    Going well and the confidence is back up. Include.

    Remarks

    Nice field for the first stakes race of the card
    race-image
    Sylvia's Mother is a slick customer

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 2 $ 2.30
    Place1 2 $ 1.40
    Place2 5 $ 2.70
    Place3 6 $ 1.90
    Quinella 2:5 $ 10.40
    Trifecta 2:5:6 $ 64.60
    First4 2:5:6:4 $ 354.40
    Trifecta - Selected!

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    1, 2, 5, 6, 7
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 5 - THE TAB SHAFTESBURY AVENUE HANDICAP (G3)
    Time: 4:55 | Distance: 1400m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    1 Age Of Chivalry   F: 123X6
      B(6) W(58)
     ( J-  Damian Lane )
    Has the class edge over this field and that was a solid hit-out last start. Winner second up last campaign and it's right in the mix.
    Main Danger
    6 Blazejowski   F: 12X16
      B(4) W(55.5)
     ( J-  Craig Williams )
     ( T-  Greg Eurell )
    Won
    Dividends : $3.20 $1.70
    Suffered from second-up syndrome last start. Form prior was excellent and we're prepared to overlook that run. Goes close.
    Next Best
    7 Morvada   F: 41121
      B(5) W(55.5)
     ( J-  Zac Spain )
     ( T-  Peter Jolly )
    Placed
    Dividend : $1.90
    In good form, winning three of its last four races. Has a good chance to continue with that form.
    Include in Multis
    5 Sircconi   F: 006X6
      B(3) W(56)
     ( J-  Michael Dee )
     ( T-  Nick Ryan )
    Talented on its day and it could add some value. Runs at value odds.
    Longer Odds
    2 Gold Fields   F: 31183
      B(2) W(58)
     ( J-  Brett Prebble )
    Battles on and the odds are generous.

    Remarks

    Impressive field and it could result in a blanket finish
    race-image
    Age Of Chivalry has class on its side

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 6 $ 3.20
    Place1 6 $ 1.70
    Place2 7 $ 1.90
    Quinella 6:7 $ 4.30
    Trifecta 6:7:1 $ 15.90
    First4 6:7:1:2 $ 60.50
    Trifecta - Selected!
    First 4 - Selected!

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    1, 2, 5, 6, 7
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 6 - ATA/BOB HOYSTED HANDICAP
    Time: 5:30 | Distance: 1000m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    4 God of Thunder   F: 322X1
      B(6) W(57.5)
     ( J-  Dwayne Dunn )
    It wouldn't have minded some rain but it's a good sprinter on any surface. Big win last start and it's second-up form reads well.
    Main Danger
    6 Fabergino   F: 53X11
      B(9) W(57)
     ( J-  Jordan Childs )
    Won
    Dividends : $2.90 $1.70
    Brings in form from Ascot, which is tough to line up. However, it has been heavily backed and that's a big sign. Chance.
    Next Best
    8 Embrace Me   F: 98X33
      B(8) W(55)
     ( J-  Damien Oliver )
    Placed
    Dividend : $2.00
    Working through its gears this season with back-to-back placings. 55kg on the back with Oliver riding. Chance on that.
    Include in Multis
    3 William Thomas   F: 4341X
      B(2) W(58)
     ( J-  William Pike )
     ( T-  John Price )
    Nothing wrong with its form last campaign. Hits the ground running with three fresh up wins. Every chance at generous odds.
    Longer Odds
    5 Manolo Blahniq   F: 2457X
      B(4) W(57.5)
     ( J-  Jake Noonan )
     ( T-  Tony Noonan )
    Former Kiwi which has potential on its day.

    Remarks

    Many different form lines coming into this race
    race-image
    God of Thunder could thunder home

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 6 $ 2.90
    Place1 6 $ 1.70
    Place2 8 $ 2.00
    Place3 2 $ 3.00
    Quinella 6:8 $ 10.60
    Trifecta 6:8:2 $ 138.30
    First4 6:8:2:7 $ 585.40

    Betting Suggestions

    Quaddies
    R6 (4) God of Thunder(6) Fabergino
    R7 (1) Alligator Blood(4) Catalyst
    R8 (2) Fifty Stars(4) So Si Bon (5) Ringerdingding (7) Night's Watch
    R9 (1) Just Hifalutin(5) Taniko (7) Chicago Cub (11) Big Night Out
    Quaddies % to a $20 stake: 50

    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    3, 4, 5, 6, 8
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 7 - KENNEDY AUSTRALIAN GUINEAS (G1)
    Time: 6:10 | Distance: 1600m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    The 'Day's Best'
    4 Catalyst   F: 11112
      B(4) W(56.5)
     ( J-  Damian Lane )
    Didn't have ideal conditions last start and only narrowly went down. Better suited on a good track and hopefully it gets a drag into the race.
    Main Danger
    1 Alligator Blood   F: 21111
      B(2) W(56.5)
     ( J-  Ryan Maloney )
    Won
    Dividends : $2.50 $1.30
    Bombproof and it showed that when beating Catalyst last start. Unsure how much that run took out of it, but it's the clear second pick.
    Next Best
    7 Chenier   F: 12X3
      B(5) W(56.5)
     ( J-  Damien Oliver )
    Made good ground late last start, which was a nice effort after a long break. Has a nice future and it could test the two favourites.
    Include in Multis
    2 Dalasan   F: 51X35
      B(3) W(56.5)
     ( J-  Jamie Kah )
    Has been found out a little in this grade but it should enjoy the distance. Could cause a minor upset.
    Longer Odds
    5 Soul Patch   F: 813X4
      B(1) W(56.5)
     ( J-  Craig Williams )
     ( T-  Ken Keys )
    Placed
    Dividend : $3.40
    Worth including to boost payouts.

    Remarks

    The race they've all come to watch
    race-image
    Go Catalyst!

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 1 $ 2.50
    Place1 1 $ 1.30
    Place2 6 $ 2.30
    Place3 5 $ 3.40
    Quinella 1:6 $ 13.70
    Trifecta 1:6:5 $ 215.50
    First4 1:6:5:7 $ 798.60

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    1, 2, 4, 5, 7
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 8 - THOROUGHBRED BLUB BLAMEY STAKES (G2)
    Time: 6:50 | Distance: 1600m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    7 Night's Watch   F: 260X0
      B(2) W(55)
     ( J-  Damien Oliver )
    Needs to start showing its form of old. We're keeping the faith and he won't get a better chance to show his true form.
    Main Danger
    2 Fifty Stars   F: 82564
      B(7) W(58)
     ( J-  Craig Williams )
    Won
    Dividends : $2.50 $1.40
    Another runner that needs to win to get its confidence back. Has been well backed to win and it could pay to follow that money.
    Next Best
    4 So Si Bon   F: 040X8
      B(3) W(57)
     ( J-  Luke Nolen )
    Proven at the top level and that shouldn't be overlooked. Draws well and it always runs at each-way odds.
    Include in Multis
    5 Ringerdingding   F: 0X640
      B(4) W(57)
     ( J-  John Allen )
    Add it to the list of horses that have the talent but don't enjoy showing it. A form turnaround is expected.
    Longer Odds
    9 Galaxy Raider   F: 84811
      B(5) W(55)
     ( J-  Ted Nugent )
    Going for three wins in a row. Big chance.

    Remarks

    An even field in the penultimate
    race-image
    It's D-day for Night's Watch

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 2 $ 2.50
    Place1 2 $ 1.40
    Place2 6 $ 4.40
    Place3 3 $ 2.00
    Quinella 2:6 $ 23.90
    Trifecta 2:6:3 $ 218.00
    First4 2:6:3:4 $ 1181.30

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    2, 4, 5, 7, 9
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 9 - JAPAN RACING ASSOCIATION TROPHY
    Time: 7:30 | Distance: 1200m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    The 'Best Each Way'
    1 Just Hifalutin   F: 54X61
      B(8) W(60)
     ( J-  Ryan Maloney )
    Showed its class last start and punters are getting great odds again. Big weight but it has handled weight in the past.
    Main Danger
    5 Taniko   F: X3132
      B(2) W(57.5)
     ( J-  Craig Williams )
    Running good races this season, which includes a win three back. Has placed twice since and it looks every chance of winning.
    Next Best
    7 Chicago Cub   F: 40141
      B(3) W(55.5)
     ( J-  Fred W Kersley )
    Won
    Dividends : $3.20 $1.80
    Knows how to win and it has won four times already this season. Worth including once again at the each-way quote.
    Include in Multis
    11 Big Night Out   F: 121X4
      B(6) W(54)
     ( J-  Michael Dee )
     ( T-  John Sadler )
    Placed
    Dividend : $2.00
    Did enough fresh up to warrant attention. Gets right down in the weights and that's a key aspect. Good chance on that.
    Longer Odds
    8 Kings Brook   F: X069X
      B(7) W(55.5)
     ( J-  Damien Oliver )
    Chance with its best form.

    Remarks

    Wide-open field in the last
    race-image
    Value is with Just Hifalutin

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 7 $ 3.20
    Place1 7 $ 1.80
    Place2 11 $ 2.00
    Place3 3 $ 3.00
    Quinella 7:11 $ 11.00
    Trifecta 7:11:3 $ 132.90
    First4 7:11:3:8 $ 1171.20

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    1, 5, 7, 8, 11
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%