M12: Flemington – 6th October 2018

Selections for: Australian Racing

Our selections for the M12: Flemington – 6th October 2018 are below: Good Luck! Back to Performance page

M12: Flemington – 6th October 2018

M12: Flemington Races (Vic) - 6th Oct, 2018

Start time:3:30 pm
Weather:FINE
Track:GOOD

Overview

Winx is in action in the Turnbull Stakes and it's another cracking spring edition of Saturday racing

Day's "Best"

R2 (4) Ranier

Best "Each Way"

R4 (5) Savoie

Best "Roughie"

R9 (14) Leather'n'lace

Race 1 - MARIBYRNONG TRIAL STAKES 2YO SW LISTED
Time: 3:30 | Distance: 1000m | Prize $130000

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
CLARET, GOLD BRAIDING, CLARET CAP, GOLD TASSEL
6 Sun City   F:
  B(10) W(57)
 ( J-  Craig Williams )
 ( T-  Tony, McEvoy )
Placed
Dividend : $1.80
Some punters might get turned off by the draw but that doesn't matter down the straight. Soft trial effort and it has been very well backed.
Main Danger
BLACK, ORANGE CHECKS, WHITE CHECKED SLEEVES, CHECKED CAP
  B(9) W(57)
 ( J-  Luke Currie )
 ( T-  Tony, McEvoy )
Not far away in a recent trial and it wasn't tested much either. The McEvoy stable is going well and it should run close.
Next Best
ROYAL BLUE, WHITE EPAULETTES, STRIPED CAP
2 Fanaar   F:
 ( J-  scratched )
Tough to rule out this stables' debutantes. Drawn the middle of the pack and it could be able to find cover and sprint late.
Include in Multis
YELLOW, RED SUN STUD LOGO AND EPAULETTES, HOOPED SLEEVES, RED CAP, OLD GOLD SUN STUD LOGO
10 Grand Scholar   F:
  B(8) W(55)
 ( J-  Mark Zahra )
 ( T-  Tony, McEvoy )
Placed
Dividend : $3.10
Finished second in a trial, albeit seven lengths behind the winner. Watch for any late market moves.
Longer Odds
ROYAL BLUE
5 Mercury   F:
  B(1) W(57)
 ( J-  Damian Lane )
Interestingly bred runner which could offer some value.

Remarks

This race always produces some nice types
race-image
Sun City looks idyllic

Results

Race Dividends
Win 8 $ 6.40
Place1 8 $ 2.20
Place2 6 $ 1.80
Place3 10 $ 3.10
Quinella 6,8 $ 15.80
Trifecta 8:6:10 $ 264.70
First4 8:6:10:4 $ 1208.20

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
2, 5, 6, 7, 10
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 2 - ANTLER LUGGAGE STAKES 3YO SWP LISTED
Time: 4:05 | Distance: 1400m | Prize $130000

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top PickThe 'Day's Best'
ROYAL BLUE
4 Ranier   F: 2X232
  B(3) W(56)
 ( J-  Hugh Bowman )
Placed
Dividend : $1.40
Maiden runner which has been running behind some of the best so far. Miss Fabulass, Nakeeta Jane and Reginae - those are tough opponents and that form stacks up well here.
Main Danger
NAVY, YELLOW LIGHTNING BOLT, ARMBANDS AND CAP
3 Wild Planet   F: 252X1
  B(6) W(56)
 ( J-  Dwayne Dunn )
Won
Dividends : $3.70 $1.60
Defeated an OK field at Ballarat last start but did it with authority. Should get a nice run and offer each way odds.
Next Best
APPLE GREEN, DARK BLUE SASH, DARK BLUE AND YELLOW STRIPED SLEEVES AND CAP
9 Peaceful   F: 221X1
  B(7) W(54)
 ( J-  Damian Lane )
Kiwi runner which scored well at Wanganui last start. Might need to be good to beat this field but we wouldn't rule out Kiwi form.
Include in Multis
GOLD, PURPLE RAFFLES RACING LOGO, PURPLE AND WHITE CHECKED SLEEVES AND CHECKED CAP
2 More Than Exceed   F: 08X18
  B(9) W(56)
 ( J-  Craig Williams )
Failed when well-backed to beat a Blue Diamond winner last start. Easier here and it's currently over the odds.
Longer Odds
ROYAL BLUE, WHITE EPAULETTES, STRIPED CAP
1 Khulaasa   F: 18X97
  B(5) W(56)
 ( J-  Jordan Childs )
Placed
Dividend : $3.70
Hasn't quite returned in great order but would go close at its best.

Remarks

One of the better form races of the day. Terrific field for this quality.
race-image
Ranier could breakthrough here

Results

Race Dividends
Win 3 $ 3.70
Place1 3 $ 1.60
Place2 4 $ 1.40
Place3 1 $ 3.70
Quinella 3,4 $ 4.40
Trifecta 3:4:1 $ 73.00
First4 3:4:1:2 $ 565.90
Double 8/3 $ 15.50
DBL conc 8/4 $ 7.60
Trifecta - Selected!
First 4 - Selected!

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 3, 4, 9
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 3 - FURPHY PARIS LANE STAKES 4YO+ LISTED
Time: 4:40 | Distance: 1400m | Prize $130000

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
MAROON, WHITE ARMBANDS AND CAP
6 Eckstein   F: 67X95
  B(5) W(55)
 ( J-  Kerrin McEvoy )
 ( T-  Kurt, Goldman )
Won
Dividends : $5.90 $2.20
Connections are bypassing a rich race in Sydney to run in Melbourne. That's a good sign and at 55kg, it could finish over the top of them.
Main Danger
WHITE, ROYAL BLUE STARS, ROYAL BLUE AND WHITE STARS SLEEVES AND CAP
1 Crack Me Up   F: 404X5
  B(7) W(60)
 ( J-  John Allen )
 ( T-  Liam, Birchley )
Has class on its side and it was only 1.2 lengths in a bunched finish last start. That form should hold well.
Next Best
NAVY BLUE, WHITE ARMBANDS AND CAP
7 Sir John Lavery   F: 1420X
  B(1) W(54.5)
 ( J-  Ben Melham )
 ( T-  Liam, Howley )
The internationals should always be respected and it could find form quickly at the light weight. Goes into calculations.
Include in Multis
WHITE, BLACK STAR, CERISE SLEEVES AND CAP
3 I'm Wesley   F: 24X74
  B(4) W(56)
 ( J-  Craig Newitt )
Speedy type which showed good resilience when running fourth last start. No reason why it couldn't take this out.
Longer Odds
ROYAL BLUE, BLACK QUARTERS, YELLOW ARMBANDS, BLACK CAP
9 Holbien   F: 2X316
  B(6) W(54)
 ( J-  Stephen Baster )
Just had no luck when three wide last start so allow another chance.

Remarks

Even field where winning form isn't the order of the race
race-image
Holbein could return and win

Results

Race Dividends
Win 6 $ 5.90
Place1 6 $ 2.20
Place2 8 $ 3.80
Place3 4 $ 1.90
Quinella 6,8 $ 47.20
Trifecta 6:8:4 $ 698.30
First4 6:8:4:3 $ 3421.00

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 3, 6, 7, 9
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 4 - UCI STAKES 3YO SWP LISTED
Time: 5:20 | Distance: 1800m | Prize $130000

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top PickThe 'Best Each Way'
NAVY BLUE, WHITE LIGHTNING BOLT SASH, SEAMS SLEEVES AND LIGHTNING BOLTS ON CAP
5 Savoie   F: 53211
  B(11) W(56)
 ( J-  Dean Yendall )
 ( T-  Darren, Weir )
Placed
Dividend : $1.50
Won with a leg in the air last time out by four lengths. Not bred for it but it looks a strong Derby contender and winning here will prove that.
Main Danger
YELLOW, ROYAL BLUE KNIGHT, ROYAL BLUE AND YELLOW STRIPE SLEEVES, YELLOW AND ROYAL BLUE STAR CAP
2 Extra Brut   F: 211
  B(15) W(56)
 ( J-  John Allen )
 ( T-  Darren, Weir )
Won
Dividends : $4.90 $1.90
Needs to find some luck from out deep in a big field. Toughed out a win last time out and it still has improvement to come.
Next Best
RED, WHITE GATECRASHER
6 Thunderdome   F: X8312
  B(10) W(56)
 ( J-  Stephen Baster )
 ( T-  L, &T Corstens )
Has worked well through the midweek grades and could pose a threat. Has been backed at each way odds so respect.
Include in Multis
YELLOW, RED DIAMOND AND SLEEVES, YELLOW DOUBLE ARMBANDS
4 Approach Discreet   F: 31143
 ( J-  scratched )
 ( T-  Darren, Weir )
Hasn't lost too many admirers in defeat at its last couple. The ability is there and another run at Flemington could help.
Longer Odds
FLUORESCENT YELLOW
11 Sikorsky   F: 7X261
  B(12) W(56)
 ( J-  Luke Nolen )
Placed
Dividend : $2.80
Ran nice sectionals last start and that should be taken note of.

Remarks

This could be a good Derby form guide
race-image
Savoie looks a strong type

Results

Race Dividends
Win 2 $ 4.90
Place1 2 $ 1.90
Place2 11 $ 2.80
Place3 5 $ 1.50
Quinella 2,11 $ 20.60
Trifecta 2:11:5 $ 143.40
First4 2:11:5:8 $ 2763.80
Trifecta - Selected!

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
2, 4, 5, 6, 11
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 5 - TURNBULL STAKES 4YO+ SWP
Time: 6:00 | Distance: 2000m | Prize $543000

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
DARK BLUE, WHITE M, EPAULETTES AND POM POM
2 Winx   F: 11X11
  B(8) W(57)
 ( J-  Hugh Bowman )
 ( T-  Chris, Waller )
Won
Dividends : $1.10 $1.00
Wins. Take whatever odds you can find as it's better than bank interest.
Main Danger
GREY, BLACK AND OLIVE TARTAN, OLIVE SLEEVES AND CAP, BLACK POM POM
4 Kings Will Dream   F: 1X432
  B(1) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Craig Williams )
 ( T-  Darren, Weir )
Placed
Dividend : $1.70
Continues to make a strong case for the Caulfield Cup. Has improved with every run this campaign and the place money is handy.
Next Best
WHITE, RED STRIPE, GREEN SLEEVES, RED SEAMS CAP, GREEN POM POM
5 Jon Snow   F: 39X43
  B(2) W(55.5)
 ( J-  Stephen Baster )
Could produce some speed from the barriers and prove tough to run down. Nicely weighted and it represents good place value.
Include in Multis
LIGHT BLUE, DARK BLUE DIAMONDS, RED CAP
10 Youngstar   F: 11363
  B(4) W(54.5)
 ( J-  Kerrin McEvoy )
 ( T-  Chris, Waller )
Placed
Dividend : $3.10
Likely needs some pace on up front to show its best. Another well-weighted chance with place hopes.
Longer Odds
NAVY BLUE, GOLD LIGHTNING BOLT, GOLD AND WHITE ARMBANDS, GOLD CAP
1 Grunt   F: X5816
  B(9) W(58)
 ( J-  Mark Zahra )
 ( T-  Mick, Price )
Not weighted well here but it could run in the top five.

Remarks

Winx will towel them up once again. Most of these are looking for longer.
race-image
She wins for fun again

Results

Race Dividends
Win 2 $ 1.10
Place1 2 $ 1.00
Place2 10 $ 3.10
Place3 4 $ 1.70
Quinella 2,10 $ 7.10
Trifecta 2:10:4 $ 23.90
First4 2:10:4:8 $ 226.30
Double 2/2 $ 8.20
DBL conc 2/10 $ 42.70
Treble 6/2/2 $ 42.50
Quaddie 3/6/2/2 $ 152.60
Trifecta - Selected!

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 4, 5, 10
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 6 - GILGAI STAKES 3YO+ SWP
Time: 6:40 | Distance: 1200m | Prize $217000

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
BLACK AND WHITE CHECKS, LIGHT BLUE SLEEVES
11 I Am Excited   F: 33X24
  B(10) W(54.5)
 ( J-  Kerrin McEvoy )
Won
Dividends : $4.30 $1.80
Yet to produce its best this time in but the light weight will help with that. Should get a sit just in behind and try strike late.
Main Danger
RED, WHITE TRIPLE CROWN SYNDICATIONS LOGO
1 Dothraki   F: 23X01
  B(6) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Hugh Bowman )
 ( T-  P, & P Snowden )
Has winning form down the Flemington straight and not all horses handle it. Should be around the mark again at 57.5kg.
Next Best
MAROON, WHITE CROSSED SASHES, YELLOW ARMBANDS AND CAP
3 Perast   F: 9115X
  B(3) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Stephen Baster )
 ( T-  Paul, Perry )
Has more upside than many in this race. Likely to need the run but it could surprise at each way odds. First start at Flemington.
Include in Multis
MAROON, LIME SPOT, SLEEVES AND CAP
9 Bons Away   F: 620X4
  B(9) W(56)
 ( J-  Mark Zahra )
Placed
Dividend : $2.70
Five-time winner from 16 starts which is moderately underrated. Gets conditions to suit.
Longer Odds
YELLOW, LIME GREEN AND YELLOW CHECKED SLEEVES
10 Eduardo   F: 112
  B(5) W(56)
 ( J-  Brian Park )
 ( T-  Sarah, Zschoke )
Placed
Dividend : $2.80
Nice run for second last start at Caulfield. That followed winning form so consider.

Remarks

Even sprint field to kick off the quaddie
race-image
The big Dothraki could win again

Results

Race Dividends
Win 11 $ 4.30
Place1 11 $ 1.80
Place2 10 $ 2.80
Place3 9 $ 2.70
Quinella 10,11 $ 17.40
Trifecta 11:10:9 $ 300.00
First4 11:10:9:8 $ 1195.80
Trifecta - Selected!

Betting Suggestions

Quaddies
R6 (1) Dothraki(3) Perast (9) Bons Away (11) I Am Excited
R7 (1) Avilius(2) Our Venice Beach (10) Yogi (11) Harrison
R8 (2) Krone(5) Amphitrite (15) Verry Elleegant
R9 (3) Invincibella(5) Bella Martini (9) Savatiano (14) Leather'n'lace
Quaddies % to a $20 stake:

Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 3, 9, 10, 11
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 7 - THE BART CUMMINGS
Time: 7:20 | Distance: 2500m | Prize $326000

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
ROYAL BLUE
1 Avilius   F: 6X111
  B(1) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Glyn Schofield )
Won
Dividends : $2.30 $1.30
Tough to overlook its form since arriving in Australia. Hasn't been winning by big margins but it has been showing a turn-of-foot. That's handy for a stayer.
Main Danger
NAVY BLUE, WHITE ARMBANDS AND CAP
2 Our Venice Beach   F: 28X27
  B(11) W(57)
 ( J-  Ben Melham )
 ( T-  Liam, Howley )
Only seventh behind Night's Watch last start but they went too hard up front. Better suited here and the big Flemington straight should help.
Next Best
FLUORESCENT YELLOW, NAVY ATB LOGO AND SEAMS
10 Yogi   F: 1X226
  B(5) W(54)
 ( J-  Craig Williams )
 ( T-  Darren, Weir )
Placed
Dividend : $1.50
Another runner which will enjoy the wide open spaces. Has won at Flemington and carrying 54kg makes it a danger.
Include in Multis
NAVY BLUE, WHITE ARMBANDS AND CAP
11 Harrison   F: 1X452
  B(10) W(54)
 ( J-  Andrew Mallyon )
 ( T-  Liam, Howley )
Ready to win after going close last time out. No easier here but it could pop up into the placings at nice odds.
Longer Odds
VIOLET, ROYAL BLUE CHECKS AND ARMBANDS, CHECKED CAP
5 Megablast   F: 63135
  B(7) W(56)
 ( J-  John Allen )
 ( T-  Darren, Weir )
Doesn't get the wet track it wants but it ran very well last start despite the dry conditions.

Remarks

Cup form throughout this field
race-image
Money coming for the top weight

Results

Race Dividends
Win 1 $ 2.30
Place1 1 $ 1.30
Place2 9 $ 3.00
Place3 10 $ 1.50
Quinella 1,9 $ 12.90
Trifecta 1:9:10 $ 69.60
First4 1:9:10:8 $ 848.00

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 5, 10, 11
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 8 - EDWARD MANIFOLD STAKES 3YO SW
Time: 8:00 | Distance: 1600m | Prize $217000

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
RED, ROYAL BLUE BAND, ARMBANDS, BAND ON CAP AND POM POM
15 Verry Elleegant   F: 211
  B(2) W(55.5)
 ( J-  John Allen )
 ( T-  Darren, Weir )
Placed
Dividend : $1.90
Looked a top contender when scoring with ease in NZ last start. Raced greenly and that would cost it in a race like this, but the Weir polish will help.
Main Danger
WHITE, FLYING START SYNDICATIONS LOGO, BLACK AND TEAL CHECKED SLEEVES, QUARTERED CAP
5 Amphitrite   F: 22X11
  B(8) W(55.5)
 ( J-  Craig Williams )
 ( T-  Darren, Weir )
Won
Dividends : $3.00 $1.50
Has scored two solid wins recently, including one on this track. Has the breeding to win a race like this and the money is there.
Next Best
ROYAL BLUE, RED DICE AND SEAMS
2 Krone   F: 23X34
  B(9) W(55.5)
 ( J-  Mark Zahra )
 ( T-  Darren, Weir )
Placed
Dividend : $1.70
A winner of only one from seven but it has placed five times. Its form should stack up nicely here.
Include in Multis
NAVY BLUE, GOLD AND WHITE CRESCENT, GOLD CAP
4 Aristia   F: 2X537
  B(12) W(55.5)
 ( J-  Damian Lane )
Yet to win from seven starts but it hasn't been running too far behind some speedy types. Chance at odds.
Longer Odds
LIME GREEN, BLACK AND WHITE DIAMOND SLEEVES, LIME GREEN CAP
3 Tahitian Dancer   F: 3193
 ( J-  scratched )
 ( T-  Shane, Nichols )
Could show up if it performs at its best.

Remarks

Will be interesting to see how the former Kiwi runner goes
race-image
Weir takes over the training of the top pick

Results

Race Dividends
Win 5 $ 3.00
Place1 5 $ 1.50
Place2 2 $ 1.70
Place3 15 $ 1.90
Quinella 2,5 $ 7.20
Trifecta 5:2:15 $ 41.00
First4 5:2:15:13 $ 97.60
Trifecta - Selected!

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
2, 3, 4, 5, 15
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 9 - BLAZER STAKES 4YO+ SWP
Time: 8:40 | Distance: 1400m | Prize $217000

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
RED, WHITE CHECKS
5 Bella Martini   F: 61X42
  B(10) W(58)
 ( J-  Dwayne Dunn )
Looked the goods when running second last start and natural improvement suggests that it could win here. Each way odds on offer.
Main Danger
PURPLE AND WHITE STARS, WHITE CAP
3 Invincibella   F: 21514
  B(9) W(58)
 ( J-  Hugh Bowman )
 ( T-  Chris, Waller )
Won
Dividends : $3.10 $1.50
Never runs a bad race as its form suggests. Big weight and tough draw but it needs to be included.
Next Best
ROYAL BLUE
9 Savatiano   F: 11X12
  B(6) W(55.5)
 ( J-  Kerrin McEvoy )
Placed
Dividend : $1.60
Winner of four from its last six starts. Knows how to cross the line first and it maps well in this race. Watch betting.
Include in Multis
YELLOW, ROYAL BLUE KNIGHT, ROYAL BLUE AND YELLOW STRIPE SLEEVES, YELLOW AND ROYAL BLUE STAR CAP
13 Platinum Angel   F: 312X3
  B(8) W(55)
 ( J-  Ben Allen (a) )
 ( T-  Darren, Weir )
Ran good sectionals from the back of the field last start. Should enjoy the pace here in the big field.
Longer OddsThe 'Best Roughie'
LIME, PURPLE AND GOLD BRACES AND ARMBANDS
14 Leather'n'lace   F: 34X75
 ( J-  scratched )
 ( T-  Darren, Weir )
Sticking with it after a handy showing for fifth. Allow one more chance.

Remarks

Even field to close the card
race-image
Include Bella Martini

Results

Race Dividends
Win 3 $ 3.10
Place1 3 $ 1.50
Place2 9 $ 1.60
Place3 11 $ 15.40
Place6 2,5,11/2,4,10/9,10,11/1,9,10/2 $ 8.80
Quinella 3,9 $ 5.20
Trifecta 3:9:11 $ 301.90
First4 3:9:11:6 $ 1860.30
Double 5/3 $ 12.00
DBL conc 5/9 $ 7.30
Treble 1/5/3 $ 32.50
Quaddie 11/1/5/3 $ 194.00

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
3, 5, 9, 13, 14
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%