M12 Flemington – 7th March 2020

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M12 Flemington – 7th March 2020

M12: Flemington - 7th Mar, 2020

Start time:2:20 pm
Weather:Fine
Track:Soft

Overview

Multiple Group 1's at Flemington, which has a wet track but the racing won't suffer

Day's "Best"

R5 (10) Wild Planet

Best "Each Way"

R4 (6) Bam's On Fire

Best "Roughie"

R6 (13) Libertini
  • Race 1 - TBV THOROUGHBRED BREEDERS STAKES (G3)
    Time: 2:20 | Distance: 1200m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    2 Muntaseera   F: 2125
      B(5) W(55)
     ( J-  Jye McNeil )
    Placed
    Dividend : $1.40
    It has been racing against some high-quality fields. This is a step down and it deserves to be a short favourite. Big chance.
    Main Danger
    5 Minhaaj   F: 1
      B(6) W(55)
     ( J-  Luke Nolen )
    Won
    Dividends : $3.10 $2.00
    Debut winner at Bendigo when hitting the line nicely. It has been well supported throughout the week and that's a good sign. Goes close.
    Next Best
    1 Jyoti   F: 121
      B(1) W(57)
     ( J-  Jamie Kah )
    Nothing wrong with its two wins from three starts. Has a professional action and the inside draw to use. Value odds.
    Include in Multis
    3 Geist   F: 563
      B(4) W(55)
     ( J-  Damian Lane )
    Getting better with every run and it worked to the line well enough last time out. Should be able to handle conditions.
    Longer Odds
    6 D'arbanville   F: 3
      B(2) W(55)
     ( J-  Craig Williams )
    Did enough on debut to warrant attention.

    Remarks

    A couple of tidy types in this
    race-image
    Muntaseera has class

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 5 $ 3.10
    Place1 5 $ 2.00
    Place2 2 $ 1.40
    Quinella 2:5 $ 2.70
    Trifecta 5:2:7 $ 121.90
    First4 5:2:7:3 $ 241.30

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    1, 2, 3, 5, 6
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 2 - MSS SECURITY SIRES PRODUCE STAKES (G2)
    Time: 2:55 | Distance: 1400m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    2 Ole Kirk   F: 1
      B(4) W(56.5)
     ( J-  Dwayne Dunn )
    Placed
    Dividend : $1.80
    Impressive win on debut and it's in the right hands for another top effort. Owns experience on the track and that's a big bonus.
    Main Danger
    1 Larimer Street   F: 23
      B(6) W(56.5)
     ( J-  Craig Williams )
    Placed
    Dividend : $1.90
    Yet to win but has looked good in two placings. Getting off the mark is only a matter of time, and that time could be now.
    Next Best
    3 Holyfield   F: 11
      B(10) W(56.5)
     ( J-  Jye McNeil )
    Good enough to land the knockout blow after back-to-back wins. Drawn wide but it could get cover and work into the race stylishly.
    Include in Multis
    10 Cloudbreaker   F: 211
      B(7) W(54.5)
     ( J-  Damian Lane )
    Another runner that has posted consecutive wins. Gets in with a light weight and it could add some value.
    Longer Odds
    9 The Watchman   F: 4
      B(2) W(56.5)
     ( J-  Glen Boss )
     ( T-  Greg Eurell )
    Fair enough on debut so look for improvement.

    Remarks

    All of the money at the top of the book
    race-image
    Ole Kirk could remain unbeaten

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 5 $ 27.20
    Place1 5 $ 6.30
    Place2 1 $ 1.90
    Place3 2 $ 1.80
    Quinella 1:5 $ 76.20
    Trifecta 5:1:2 $ 607.30
    First4 5:1:2:11 $ 7806.20
    Double 5/5 $ 75.50

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    1, 2, 3, 9, 10
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 3 - THE NOVA100 TROPHY
    Time: 3:30 | Distance: 1400m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    3 Spend   F: 1X43
      B(7) W(54)
     ( J-  Dwayne Dunn )
    Won
    Dividends : $4.80 $1.90
    Third last start and it was a better effort that it looked. Should enjoy conditions here much better and money is coming for it.
    Main Danger
    6 Katalin   F: 115
      B(2) W(54)
     ( J-  Jye McNeil )
    Just didn't get the rub of the green last start. That was its first career defeat, so we're prepared to give it another chance.
    Next Best
    8 Russian Camelot   F: 12X
      B(6) W(54)
     ( J-  Damian Lane )
    Impressive winner on debut and it followed that up with a terrific placing. Tough race to resume in, but it's a nice sort.
    Include in Multis
    11 Scottish Dancer   F: 19X1
      B(10) W(54)
     ( J-  Michael Dee )
    Placed
    Dividend : $2.70
    Deserves attention after its win fresh up. Could have gone to another level and the confidence is up.
    Longer Odds
    7 Westport   F: 50X96
      B(8) W(54)
     ( J-  Jamie Kah )
    Better than what it has been showing of late. Value odds.

    Remarks

    Good odds throughout this field
    race-image
    Spend could rebound nicely

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 3 $ 4.80
    Place1 3 $ 1.90
    Place2 5 $ 3.60
    Place3 11 $ 2.70
    Quinella 3:5 $ 27.60
    Trifecta 3:5:11 $ 386.60
    First4 3:5:11:8 $ 1280.70

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    3, 6, 7, 8, 11
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 4 - SCHWEPPERVESCENCE TROPHY (G3)
    Time: 4:05 | Distance: 1600m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    The 'Best Each Way'
    6 Bam's On Fire   F: 32172
      B(2) W(54)
     ( J-  Dwayne Dunn )
    Placed
    Dividend : $2.60
    Beaten its last couple but that was an impressive placing last start. Hit the nicely impressively and it's suited by the weights.
    Main Danger
    1 Spanish Reef   F: 30X53
      B(5) W(58.5)
     ( J-  Damian Lane )
     ( T-  Ken Keys )
    It's not far away from a winning performance. Usually needs the run and it should be ready to fire now.
    Next Best
    2 Greysful Glamour   F: 514X1
      B(9) W(57)
     ( J-  Ben Melham )
    It beat a similar field last start, so no reason why it couldn't win again. Draws wide and that might be the place to be.
    Include in Multis
    7 Fabric   F: 1X451
      B(10) W(54)
     ( J-  Craig Williams )
    Could handle the conditions and it shouldn't be overlooked. Got the confidence up with a last-start win. Nice appeal.
    Longer Odds
    10 Neighbourhood   F: 11154
      B(8) W(54)
     ( J-  Michael Dee )
    The ability is there and it wasn't far away last start.

    Remarks

    Not much between many of these thoroughbreds
    race-image
    Bam could be on fire

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 9 $ 22.10
    Place1 9 $ 5.00
    Place2 6 $ 2.60
    Place3 4 $ 1.90
    Quinella 6:9 $ 82.60
    Trifecta 9:6:4 $ 766.20
    First4 9:6:4:7 $ 6325.30

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    1, 2, 6, 7, 10
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 5 - FURPHY ALE MARCH STAKES
    Time: 4:45 | Distance: 1400m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    The 'Day's Best'
    10 Wild Planet   F: 31X74
      B(5) W(54)
     ( J-  Dwayne Dunn )
    Won
    Dividends : $2.10 $1.20
    Getting better with fitness this campaign. There has been a stack of money come its way and that's a good sign. Expect a nice effort.
    Main Danger
    2 Sikandarabad   F: 3460X
      B(11) W(59)
     ( J-  Jye McNeil )
    A past winner fresh up and it could enjoy the conditions. It's also a past winner on this track, so we'll take the value odds.
    Next Best
    9 Sirius Suspect   F: 41X21
      B(9) W(54)
     ( J-  Damian Lane )
     ( T-  Saab Hasan )
    Placed
    Dividend : $2.60
    Last-start winner with plenty of upside. Will love being down in the weights at 54kg and it's worth a play at the odds.
    Include in Multis
    3 Princess Jenni   F: 7104X
      B(8) W(58)
     ( J-  Ben Melham )
    Placed
    Dividend : $3.30
    Talented at best and it has handled wet tracks in the past. Yet to run well at Flemington but it's time for a change.
    Longer Odds
    8 Ef Troop   F: 71434
      B(6) W(54)
     ( J-  Michael Dee )
    Can sprint on its day. Worth including at the price.

    Remarks

    It's another open field with good value throughout
    race-image
    Wild Planet is all the rage

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 10 $ 2.10
    Place1 10 $ 1.20
    Place2 9 $ 2.60
    Place3 3 $ 3.30
    Quinella 9:10 $ 7.70
    Trifecta 10:9:3 $ 100.20
    First4 10:9:3:1 $ 1571.00
    Trifecta - Selected!

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    2, 3, 8, 9, 10
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 6 - SEPPELT WINES NEWMARKET HANDICAP (G1)
    Time: 5:25 | Distance: 1200m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    11 Loving Gaby   F: 212X3
      B(3) W(52.5)
     ( J-  Craig Williams )
    Placed
    Dividend : $1.70
    Loves running with light weights and it's a real superstar. Craig Williams rides and it's coming for support with bookies. Big chance.
    Main Danger
    4 The Inevitable   F: 1110X
      B(11) W(54.5)
     ( J-  Brett Prebble )
    Eight-time winner from only 11 starts. That has to be respected and it could enjoy being wider on the track. Don't let it slip past your guard.
    Next Best
    6 Exceedance   F: 1331X
      B(9) W(54)
     ( J-  Dwayne Dunn )
    Future stallion which is looking for more black type before he goes. Booming winner last start and there's confidence in the betting.
    Include in Multis
    5 Bivouac   F: 162X6
      B(6) W(54)
     ( J-  Glen Boss )
    Won
    Dividends : $5.50 $2.10
    Didn't fully fire last start but it's better than that. Only 54kg on its back and it could get out to generous odds.
    Longer Odds
    The 'Best Roughie'
    13 Libertini   F: 133X4
      B(10) W(51)
     ( J-  Jye McNeil )
    Double-figure odds for a quality filly.

    Remarks

    What a wonderfully even field for the first feature
    race-image
    Loving Gaby has Group 1 experience

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 5 $ 5.50
    Place1 5 $ 2.10
    Place2 11 $ 1.70
    Place3 1 $ 2.90
    Quinella 5:11 $ 15.10
    Trifecta 5:11:1 $ 164.20
    First4 5:11:1:2 $ 1046.30

    Betting Suggestions

    Quaddies
    R6 (4) The Inevitable(5) Bivouac (6) Exceedance (11) Loving Gaby
    R7 (1) Rubisaki(2) Pretty Brazen (5) How Womantic
    R8 (2) Avilius(4) Harlem (5) Kings Will Dream (6) Regal Power
    R9 (1) Hawker Hurricane(4) Garner (9) Absolute Flirt
    Quaddies % to a $20 stake:

    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    4, 5, 6, 11, 13
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 7 - TAB KEWNEY STAKES (G2)
    Time: 6:05 | Distance: 1400m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    1 Rubisaki   F: 2X111
      B(6) W(55.5)
     ( J-  Billy Egan )
    Won
    Dividends : $3.10 $1.50
    Blitzed them in the Inglis Sprint last start. Loves the wet conditions and it's a really nice type in the making. It's still underrated, but goes on top.
    Main Danger
    5 How Womantic   F: 1111
      B(11) W(55.5)
     ( J-  Jye McNeil )
    Unbeaten after four starts and that can't be ignored. Tricky draw but it only needs some cover to fire late. Each-way odds available.
    Next Best
    2 Pretty Brazen   F: 151X2
      B(9) W(55.5)
     ( J-  Jamie Kah )
    Placed
    Dividend : $1.90
    Extremely dangerous on its day, as shown multiples times last preparation. Big run for second last start, so it's a must include pick.
    Include in Multis
    3 Tenley   F: 076X2
      B(3) W(55.5)
     ( J-  Damian Lane )
    Hasn't won for too long now, but the ability is there. It showed that when running second fresh up, so consider.
    Longer Odds
    6 Fascino   F: 421X4
      B(12) W(55.5)
     ( J-  Craig Williams )
    Placed
    Dividend : $5.50
    Always worth including at odds.

    Remarks

    Another cracking field of budding superstars
    race-image
    Rubisaki is a professional winner

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 1 $ 3.10
    Place1 1 $ 1.50
    Place2 2 $ 1.90
    Place3 6 $ 5.50
    Quinella 1:2 $ 7.70
    Trifecta 1:2:6 $ 177.40
    First4 1:2:6:3 $ 946.80
    Trifecta - Selected!
    First 4 - Selected!

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    1, 2, 3, 5, 6
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 8 - TAB AUSTRALIAN CUP (G1)
    Time: 6:45 | Distance: 2000m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    2 Avilius   F: 47X54
      B(9) W(59)
     ( J-  Dwayne Dunn )
    Will lap up the conditions and that was an eyecatching run last start. Looks set for a win and it goes well third-up. Top pick.
    Main Danger
    6 Regal Power   F: 21614
      B(12) W(59)
     ( J-  William Pike )
    Placed
    Dividend : $2.10
    The form from the west has stacked up well this season. No reason why it can't compete at this level. The money is there.
    Next Best
    5 Kings Will Dream   F: 66X32
      B(1) W(59)
     ( J-  Jye McNeil )
    It deserves a winning turn and we know its class. Working through its gears and it could be time to strike.
    Include in Multis
    4 Harlem   F: 80X45
      B(2) W(59)
     ( J-  Jamie Kah )
    It's going for three consecutive wins in this race. It loves the Australian Cup, so there's no way we're not including him.
    Longer Odds
    14 Miss Siska   F: 82211
      B(7) W(57)
     ( J-  Damian Lane )
    Beat many of these last start, so consider on that.

    Remarks

    Many different form lines coming into the cup
    race-image
    Avilius is the class runner

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 7 $ 6.50
    Place1 7 $ 2.60
    Place2 6 $ 2.10
    Place3 1 $ 3.40
    Quinella 6:7 $ 20.50
    Trifecta 7:6:1 $ 295.90
    First4 7:6:1:4 $ 4779.40

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    2, 4, 5, 6, 14
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 9 - INCOGNITUS STAKES
    Time: 7:20 | Distance: 1100m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    9 Absolute Flirt   F: 2208X
      B(3) W(54)
     ( J-  Craig Williams )
    Placed
    Dividend : $2.20
    It should have won a few more races than it has. Got unlucky a handful of times in the spring, but it could fire fresh up here.
    Main Danger
    4 Garner   F: 1121X
      B(9) W(57)
     ( J-  Dwayne Dunn )
    Placed
    Dividend : $1.30
    Three wins and three second placings from six starts. It's tough to overlook that form and it has been met with good tote support.
    Next Best
    1 Hawker Hurricane   F: 8231X
      B(7) W(58)
     ( J-  Jye McNeil )
    It's a quality type at best and it has shown good fresh up in the past. Runs at value odds here and it should be right around the mark.
    Include in Multis
    8 Seatonic   F: 410X1
      B(4) W(54.5)
     ( J-  Brett Prebble )
    Talented type that scored an impressive fresh up win. Gets in with 54.5kg and it shouldn't be too far away from them.
    Longer Odds
    14 Modear   F: X1135
      B(6) W(54)
     ( J-  Billy Egan )
    Conditions could be ideal for the Payne-trained runner.

    Remarks

    Lovely field to close the card
    race-image
    Absolute Flirt could win the last

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 10 $ 11.00
    Place1 10 $ 3.30
    Place2 9 $ 2.20
    Place3 4 $ 1.30
    Quinella 9:10 $ 30.60
    Trifecta 10:9:4 $ 345.00
    First4 10:9:4:12 $ 1504.00

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    1, 4, 8, 9, 14
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%