M12 The Valley – 24th August 2019

Selections for: Australian Racing

Our selections for the M12 The Valley – 24th August 2019 are below: Good Luck! Back to Performance page

M12 The Valley – 24th August 2019

M12: The Valley - 24th Aug, 2019

Start time:2:20 pm
Weather:Overcast
Track:Soft

Overview

The Valley has the McKenzie Stakes as the headline race, on what should be a good card.

Day's "Best"

R8 (8) Terbium

Best "Each Way"

R7 (9) Deep Force

Best "Roughie"

R1 (10) Dane Thunder

Race 1 - PARAMOUNT LIQUOR HANDICAP
Time: 2:20 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
1 Shot of Irish   F: 42213
  B(10) W(60.5)
 ( J-  Ben Melham )
Placed
Dividend : $1.70
Made good ground when running third last time out. Has the talent to win this race and should be able to handle conditions.
Main Danger
11 Something Silver   F: 36331
  B(3) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Damien Oliver )
Scored a deserved win last time out and it could kick on with it. Drawn well which is vital around The Valley. Goes close.
Next Best
3 Junipal   F: X2523
  B(13) W(59)
 ( J-  Jye McNeil )
Won
Dividends : $6.90 $2.30
Needs luck from out wide but has time to find cover. Has been producing some good efforts and only needs to live up its potential.
Include in Multis
4 Laure Me In   F: 4X050
  B(8) W(59)
 ( J-  Jamie Kah )
 ( T-  Tony McEvoy )
Disappointing mostly this campaign after showing good ability last season. Might have needed the fitness so respect here.
Longer OddsThe 'Best Roughie'
10 Dane Thunder   F: 33885
  B(1) W(56.5)
 ( J-  John Allen )
 ( T-  Matt Cumani )
Placed
Dividend : $4.60
Chance off the inside draw. Include for value.

Remarks

Open contest to start off the day
race-image
Shot of Irish has upside

Results

Race Dividends
Win 3 $ 6.90
Place1 3 $ 2.30
Place2 1 $ 1.70
Place3 10 $ 4.60
Quinella 1:3 $ 9.40
Trifecta 3:1:10 $ 327.60
First4 3:1:10:4 $ 1408.10
Trifecta - Selected!
First 4 - Selected!

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 3, 4, 10, 11
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 2 - SWEENEY ESTATE AGENTS HANDICAP
Time: 2:55 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
2 More Than Ever   F: 22111
  B(7) W(61)
 ( J-  Jamie Kah )
 ( T-  Tony McEvoy )
Searching for its fourth consecutive win. Defied a betting drift last start and it only needs to carry the weight to win again. Goes on top.
Main Danger
11 Dabiyr   F: 0X813
  B(3) W(56)
 ( J-  Michael Walker )
Won
Dividends : $3.30 $1.60
Not far off securing its third career win. Gets a good run from the draw and the conditions shouldn't be a worry. Big danger to the favourite.
Next Best
6 Not a Single Cent   F: 65125
  B(9) W(59)
 ( J-  Ben Melham )
Can be tough to follow after winning only two from 15. Talented at best and has taken on stronger fields than this. Goes into the mix.
Include in Multis
9 Good Idea   F: 16622
  B(16) W(57)
Getting close to a victory after notching consecutive second placings. Just needs to find some cover from an extremely wide draw.
Longer Odds
10 Cedar Grande   F: 61598
  B(1) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Jye McNeil )
Placed
Dividend : $5.10
Owns upset claims when given a good ride.

Remarks

Good money coming for the favourite
race-image
More Than Ever could win again

Results

Race Dividends
Win 11 $ 3.30
Place1 11 $ 1.60
Place2 12 $ 3.20
Place3 10 $ 5.10
Quinella 11:12 $ 15.20
Trifecta 11:12:10 $ 310.10
First4 11:12:10:5 $ 4109.10
Double 3/11+ $ 19.30

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
2, 6, 9, 10, 11
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 3 - PALENTINO - OUTSTANDING 1ST CROP YEARLINGS PLATE
Time: 3:30 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
2 Kooweerup   F: 11X
  B(6) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Mark Zahra )
Placed
Dividend : $1.90
Highly-touted by the stable and it could run well at nice odds. Impressive in two wins to date and it's drawn much better than the favourite.
Main Danger
3 Taraayef   F: 211
  B(10) W(56)
 ( J-  - )
Another runner which has plenty of scope. Indicated good ability with consecutive wins and we wouldn't be surprised to see it winning this.
Next Best
5 Lady Lupino   F: 5913X
  B(2) W(55)
 ( J-  Damien Oliver )
Well-backed throughout the week. Has a win on soft ground and that's a big talking point. Oliver is riding well so it's a top chance.
Include in Multis
9 Andrassy Avenue   F: 194X5
  B(9) W(55)
 ( J-  Craig Williams )
Shown enough ability throughout its career to be included at nice odds. Fourth run on this track will also help.
Longer Odds
1 La Tene   F: 3116X
  B(3) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Dwayne Dunn )
Placed
Dividend : $5.60
Might not handle the wet but the odds are too good to pass up.

Remarks

Winning form throughout this talented field
race-image
Kooweerup is at value

Results

Race Dividends
Win 12 $ 6.60
Place1 12 $ 2.20
Place2 1 $ 5.60
Place3 2 $ 1.90
Quinella 1:12 $ 93.20
Trifecta 12:1:2 $ 1419.30
First4 12:1:2:7 $ 12640.50

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 3, 5, 9
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 4 - DR SHEAHAN PLATE
Time: 4:05 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
9 Fabric   F: 37135
  B(3) W(54)
 ( J-  Craig Williams )
Placed
Dividend : $1.90
Never too far away from the play and it should be nicely suited by the light weight. Craig Williams rides and that's another positive.
Main Danger
6 Algadon Miss   F: X5451
  B(5) W(56)
 ( J-  Brett Prebble )
 ( T-  Matt Laurie )
Won
Dividends : $3.10 $1.50
Hit the line nicely to score last time out. Produced three wins from three starts last prep and anything close to that form would win this.
Next Best
10 Street Icon   F: 18X29
  B(9) W(54)
 ( J-  Ted Nugent )
Scored back-to-back wins to open its career. Hasn't quite produced since but there's no superstars in this field so respect its chances.
Include in Multis
11 Calzini   F: 04337
  B(6) W(54)
 ( J-  Dwayne Dunn )
Follow the betting with this runner. Has been well supported throughout the week and it could threaten many of these down in the weights.
Longer Odds
3 Fragonard   F: X3330
  B(7) W(59)
 ( J-  Damian Lane )
Chance to turn around a disappointing run last start. Include for value.

Remarks

Many runners around the same price in this
race-image
Fabric should go close

Results

Race Dividends
Win 6 $ 3.10
Place1 6 $ 1.50
Place2 7 $ 3.00
Place3 9 $ 1.90
Quinella 6:7 $ 21.20
Trifecta 6:7:9 $ 133.20
First4 6:7:9:2 $ 1226.40

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
3, 6, 9, 10, 11
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 5 - SEPPELT WINES CARLYON STAKES
Time: 4:45 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
5 Spirit Of Valor   F: 3226X
  B(6) W(57)
 ( J-  Mark Zahra )
Good enough to run in some big races last season. Didn't fire but this is much easier and sticking with it. Would be good to see a late betting push.
Main Danger
3 Assertive Approach   F: 1X112
  B(4) W(58)
 ( J-  Dwayne Dunn )
Won
Dividends : $2.70 $1.50
Beaten and upset last start but not disgraced. Gives away some weight to the top pick and it hasn't won nearly as much money. Goes close regardless.
Next Best
2 Bons Away   F: 4025X
  B(1) W(58)
 ( J-  Linda Meech )
Placed
Dividend : $1.80
Being well backed after opening at nice odds. Owns the talent and will get the inside running from barrier one. Must include in win bets.
Include in Multis
1 Oak Door   F: 667X1
  B(2) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Ben Melham )
 ( T-  John Sadler )
Took a long time to regain winning form but did so last start. Confidence is back and it could cause an upset in this.
Longer Odds
4 Ashlor   F: 4174X
  B(3) W(57)
Knows how to win and it could fire up in a fresh state.

Remarks

Exciting field with some enterprising sprinters
race-image
Class with Spirit of Valor

Results

Race Dividends
Win 3 $ 2.70
Place1 3 $ 1.50
Place2 2 $ 1.80
Quinella 2:3 $ 3.50
Trifecta 3:2:1 $ 27.60
First4 3:2:1:4 $ 62.50
Double 6+/3+ $ 5.60
Trifecta - Selected!
First 4 - Selected!

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 3, 4, 5
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 6 - HANDICAP
Time: 5:25 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
7 Romancer   F: 51242
  B(4) W(54.5)
 ( J-  Lachlan King )
Won
Dividends : $2.70 $1.40
Should appreciate the conditions and it was battling nicely behind Vinland last start. That form looks good for this and it should run close.
Main Danger
6 New Universe   F: 36916
  B(10) W(55.5)
 ( J-  Linda Meech )
Placed
Dividend : $1.80
Wasn't going to win last start but got cut out in the straight. Good win prior and it should be going close against this level of opposition. Include.
Next Best
10 Strike Force   F: X0601
  B(7) W(54)
 ( J-  Michael Poy )
Front runner that won last time - on that form, and with a good run, could well back up
Include in Multis
9 Mosh Music   F: 1111X
  B(9) W(54)
 ( J-  Jye McNeil )
Can't be left out after winning four consecutive races to end its last campaign. Talented at best and carries a light weight.
Longer Odds
1 Volkstok'n'barrell   F: 6000X
  B(11) W(61.5)
 ( J-  Brett Prebble )
Has been backed in from massive odds. Former top liner which adds some interest.

Remarks

Form coming from many different races in this
race-image
Romance could be the winner here

Results

Race Dividends
Win 7 $ 2.70
Place1 7 $ 1.40
Place2 11 $ 4.20
Place3 6 $ 1.80
Quinella 7:11 $ 25.30
Trifecta 7:11:6 $ 202.00
First4 7:11:6:10 $ 609.70

Betting Suggestions

Quaddies
R6 (6) New Universe(7) Romancer (9) Mosh Music (10) Strike Force
R7 (1) Hightail(3) Condo's Express (9) Deep Force
R8 (8) Terbium(9) Usain Bowler (11) Tavisan
R9 (3) Masculino(4) Al Galayel (12) Charossa (13) Tavirun
Quaddies % to a $20 stake:

Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 6, 7, 9, 10
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 7 - MCMAHON'S DAIRY MCKENZIE STAKES
Time: 6:05 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top PickThe 'Best Each Way'
9 Deep Force   F: 13
  B(7) W(55)
 ( J-  Jamie Kah )
 ( T-  Tony McEvoy )
Disappointing last start but McEvoy believes he has it right to go. Good odds on offer and it could mature into a nice spring type.
Main Danger
1 Hightail   F: 3692X
  B(9) W(56)
 ( J-  Damian Lane )
Placed
Dividend : $1.40
Second behind Exhilarates in the Magic Millions. That form has been franked since and Hightail should start showing some improvement now.
Next Best
3 Condo's Express   F: 2221
  B(2) W(56)
 ( J-  Linda Meech )
Won
Dividends : $3.90 $1.60
Rattled off three consecutive placings before winning last start. Rock solid in the betting and that's a good sign against this level of opposition.
Include in Multis
2 Hawker Hurricane   F: 1300X
  B(5) W(56)
 ( J-  Mark Zahra )
Placed
Dividend : $3.40
Impressive on debut before running against some hot opposition. Looks to have come back well enough to be considered in this.
Longer Odds
6 Skiddaw   F: 6X194
  B(11) W(55)
 ( J-  Damien Oliver )
Chance on its day. Could run well here.

Remarks

Looks a nice form guide for the spring
race-image
Deep Force is a good looker

Results

Race Dividends
Win 3 $ 3.90
Place1 3 $ 1.60
Place2 1 $ 1.40
Place3 2 $ 3.40
Quinella 1:3 $ 3.70
Trifecta 3:1:2 $ 57.40
First4 3:1:2:10 $ 466.70
Trifecta - Selected!

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 3, 6, 9
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 8 - RAVNET HANDICAP
Time: 6:45 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top PickThe 'Day's Best'
8 Terbium   F: 1116X
  B(12) W(57)
 ( J-  John Allen )
It's going to be tough from out wide but it has beaten some nice horses throughout its career. Steady in the betting and that's a good sign.
Main Danger
11 Tavisan   F: X6X13
  B(8) W(55)
 ( J-  Ben Melham )
Won
Dividends : $2.40 $1.30
Well-suited to this track and it should appreciate the 55kg on its back. Could try cross to the rail and use that to its advantage.
Next Best
9 Usain Bowler   F: 00X51
  B(9) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Mark Zahra )
 ( T-  John Sadler )
Boomed home to score last start and a repeat could be on the cards. Group 1 performer which could give punters a good result.
Include in Multis
7 Holbien   F: 73535
  B(4) W(57)
 ( J-  Dwayne Dunn )
Placed
Dividend : $2.80
Could be the one to bring value to your multis ... tries hard and has good draw
Longer Odds
3 Heptagon   F: 1417X
  B(5) W(60.5)
 ( J-  Ted Nugent )
Could show some cheek fresh up.

Remarks

Good form race and there's many nice types involved
race-image
Terbium knows how to win

Results

Race Dividends
Win 11 $ 2.40
Place1 11 $ 1.30
Place2 13 $ 2.90
Place3 7 $ 2.80
Quinella 11:13 $ 16.20
Trifecta 11:13:7 $ 134.60
First4 11:13:7:9 $ 474.60

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
3, 7, 8, 9, 11
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 9 - MSC SIGNS HANDICAP
Time: 7:20 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
13 Tavirun   F: 56111
  B(12) W(54)
 ( J-  Stephen Baster )
Placed
Dividend : $3.10
In hot form after posting three consecutive runs. Has the confidence sky high and this track suits nicely. Just needs luck from out deep.
Main Danger
12 Charossa   F: 02111
  B(8) W(54)
 ( J-  Craig Williams )
Placed
Dividend : $2.00
Another runner with plenty of confidence after three consecutive wins. Gets a better draw than the top pick and could push it close.
Next Best
3 Masculino   F: 31222
  B(5) W(56)
 ( J-  Dwayne Dunn )
Owns plenty of class and enough to beat a field like this. Drawn well and it could turn consistent form into winning form.
Include in Multis
4 Al Galayel   F: 0X777
  B(9) W(55.5)
 ( J-  Damian Lane )
Warming up this campaign after some moderate performances. Better than that and it shouldn't be discounted.
Longer Odds
5 Harrison   F: 4520X
  B(2) W(55.5)
 ( J-  Michael Dee )
 ( T-  Liam Howley )
Could run a nice race in a fresh state.

Remarks

Big and wide-open field to close The Valley card
race-image
Tavirun is consistent

Results

Race Dividends
Win 8 $ 9.30
Place1 8 $ 2.90
Place2 12 $ 2.00
Place3 13 $ 3.10
Quinella 8:12 $ 30.30
Trifecta 8:12:13 $ 427.40
First4 8:12:13:5 $ 7472.20
Double 11+/8 $ 18.80

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
3, 4, 5, 12, 13
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%