M13 Ballarat – 3rd October 2018

Selections for: Australian Racing

Our selections for the M13 Ballarat – 3rd October 2018 are below: Good Luck! Back to Performance page

M13 Ballarat – 3rd October 2018

M13: Ballarat Races (Vic) - 3rd Oct, 2018

Start time:4:00 pm
Weather:OVERCAST
Track:GOOD

Overview

Handy midweek card at Ballarat with some potential nice juveniles stepping out in the opening few races

Day's "Best"

R7 (11) Guipure

Best "Each Way"

R5 (3) Ocean Walzer

Best "Roughie"

R4 (8) True Magic

Race 1 - PIPE PRO DIRECTIONAL DRILLING MAIDEN PLATE 3YO+ SW
Time: 4:00 | Distance: 1000m | Prize $28300

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
ORANGE, PURPLE CAP
9 Amor Fati   F:
  B(3) W(54)
 ( J-  Craig Williams )
 ( T-  Danny, O'Brien )
Placed
Dividend : $1.80
Has been the big firmer of the field. No public trials to speak of and the $5 into $3.60 move should be respected.
Main Danger
GREEN, BLACK VEE YOKE AND DIAMOND SLEEVES, CREAM CAP
6 Ginger Jones   F:
  B(5) W(56)
 ( J-  Michael Dee )
 ( T-  Andrew, Noblet )
Placed
Dividend : $1.80
Another with no public trials but the betting suggests it could run well here. Interesting breeding and respect this stable.
Next Best
RED, WHITE CHECKS
8 Spielberg   F:
  B(6) W(56)
 ( T-  Henry, Dwyer )
Won
Dividends : $5.40 $2.00
Ran two lengths behind the winner at a trial at Cranbourne. Is bred for speed by Written Tycoon and that's its biggest asset.
Include in Multis
ROYAL BLUE, WHITE S
7 Millionmoss   F: 8X
  B(8) W(56)
 ( J-  Neil Farley )
 ( T-  Nick, Smart )
Didn't show much in a trial but there is support in the betting. Interesting moves and it's one that should be watched come race day.
Longer Odds
BROWN, ORANGE MALTESE CROSS AND CAP
2 Gem 'n' Us   F: 344
  B(7) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Declan Bates )
 ( T-  Daniel, Bowman )
Has the experience of three starts and that could see it run in the first three.

Remarks

Little exposed race day form in this
race-image
They're off at Ballarat

Results

Race Dividends
Win 8 $ 5.40
Place1 8 $ 2.00
Place2 6 $ 1.80
Place3 9 $ 1.80
Quinella 6,8 $ 9.30
Trifecta 8:6:9 $ 103.20
First4 8:6:9:3 $ 3445.30
Trifecta - Selected!

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
2, 6, 7, 8, 9
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 2 - EVERGREEN TURF MAIDEN PLATE 3YO+ SW
Time: 4:35 | Distance: 1400m | Prize $28300

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
YELLOW, BROWN BR LOGO AND SLEEVES, DEEP PINK CAP
12 Our Sunny Girl   F: 233
  B(2) W(54)
 ( J-  Michael Walker )
Placed
Dividend : $1.30
All three starts have been solid this season and a win isn't far away. Gets in with a light weight and every chance from the draw.
Main Danger
LIGHT BLUE, RED HOOPS, LIGHT BLUE SLEEVES AND RED CAP
11 Cannubi   F:
  B(1) W(54)
 ( J-  Michael Dee )
Has firmed in from $7.50 to $4.80. Lindsay Park trains so respect that and it gets the inside draw. Big danger to the top pick.
Next Best
ROYAL BLUE, WHITE S
5 Single Handed   F: 2X5X
  B(9) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Jordan Childs )
 ( T-  Nick, Smart )
Went close behind a nice type on debut but showed little following. Has been spelled and it could return in good order. Chance at each way odds.
Include in Multis
BLACK, EMERALD GREEN CHEVRONS, WHITE AND EMERALD GREEN SEAMS SLEEVES, BLACK AND GREEN STRIPED CAP
10 Predicated   F:
  B(3) W(56)
 ( J-  Damian Lane )
 ( T-  Darren, Weir )
Both trials came in Sydney before changing stables. Has had a serious operation since but it goes straight into a race without a trial, so that's a positive.
Longer Odds
LIGHT BLUE, GREEN HOOPS AND CAP
3 North Afrika   F: 5829X
  B(10) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Aaron Mitchell )
 ( T-  Pat, Carey )
Needs to find a length but it could run into the money.

Remarks

There are some nice promising types lining up here
race-image
Some nice types here

Results

Race Dividends
Win 4 $ 4.30
Place1 4 $ 1.70
Place2 12 $ 1.30
Place3 9 $ 3.10
Quinella 4,12 $ 9.10
Trifecta 4:12:9 $ 130.10
First4 4:12:9:11 $ 605.60

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
3, 5, 10, 11, 12
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 3 - BARTLETT BLINDS MAIDEN PLATE 3YO SW
Time: 5:10 | Distance: 1600m | Prize $28300

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
GOLD, PURPLE STAR, WHITE STARS SLEEVES, PURPLE CAP
3 Design Rouge   F: 232
  B(5) W(58)
 ( J-  Mark Zahra )
Placed
Dividend : $1.30
Knocking on the door after three consecutive placings to open its career. Looks set to break through here and the money has come.
Main Danger
BLACK, LIME SLEEVES AND CAP
16 Paris Showgirl   F: 325
  B(4) W(56)
 ( J-  Chris Parnham )
 ( T-  Henry, Dwyer )
Has been well-backed in all three starts, especially last start when running fifth as the $1.70 favourite. Slightly easier here so don't leave out.
Next Best
RED, WHITE EPAULETTES, NAVY SLEEVES, WHITE CAP
7 Opposite   F: 7X24
  B(14) W(58)
 ( J-  Ben Thompson )
 ( T-  Danny, O'Brien )
Not going to get everything its own way from out wide, but it has the ability. At nice odds and a good ride could get it home.
Include in Multis
PINK AND NAVY DIAGONAL STRIPES, WHITE SLEEVES AND CAP, PINK POM POM
6 Grand Symphony   F: X5206
  B(11) W(58)
 ( J-  Jye McNeil )
Placed
Dividend : $2.60
Better than what its form suggests and it could show some cheek. Worth including here.
Longer Odds
WHITE, RED TWIN CITY EMBLEM, RED SLEEVES AND CAP
5 Game Has Changed   F: 8
  B(3) W(58)
Showed little on debut but expect improvement out of this stable.

Remarks

Strong money coming for the odds-on favourite
race-image
Paris Showgirl could go close

Results

Race Dividends
Win 15 $ 7.40
Place1 15 $ 2.20
Place2 3 $ 1.30
Place3 6 $ 2.60
Quinella 3,15 $ 5.70
Trifecta 15:3:6 $ 105.00
First4 15:3:6:7 $ 472.80

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
3, 5, 6, 7, 16
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 4 - CRAIG'S ROYAL HOTEL HANDICAP CLASS 1
Time: 5:45 | Distance: 1600m | Prize $27200

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
ROYAL BLUE, PINK DIAGONAL STRIPES AND STRIPED SLEEVES, PINK AND ROYAL BLUE SEAMS CAP
1 Seberate   F: 0X969
  B(3) W(60)
Hasn't shown up this campaign but it could improve quickly. Has been taking on tougher fields than this so consider at nice odds.
Main Danger
BLACK, PURPLE CROSS OF LORRAINE AND SLEEVES, OLD GOLD CAP
2 The Regiment   F: 88X03
  B(1) W(60)
 ( J-  Jordan Childs )
 ( T-  John, Moloney )
Placed
Dividend : $1.40
Much better showing when third last start and another run like that will take it close. Has placed in both starts on this track.
Next Best
ROYAL BLUE, WHITE HORSESHOE, BLACK AND WHITE CHECKED SLEEVES AND CAP
10 Scenic Sight   F: 3413
  B(6) W(55.5)
 ( J-  Ben Allen (a) )
 ( T-  Darren, Weir )
Won
Dividends : $3.60 $1.40
Fifth run of its first campaign and the fitness should be up. Gets in well on the weights and it has more upside than many here.
Include in Multis
PINK, WHITE DIAMOND, NAVY BLUE SEAMS SLEEVES, PINK AND NAVY BLUE QUARTERED CAP
3 Ocean Class   F: 10X62
  B(8) W(59.5)
 ( J-  Regan Bayliss )
Scored a win four starts back and has since returned a nice run last start. Looks likely to settle close and fight on well.
Longer OddsThe 'Best Roughie'
BLACK, LIME SLEEVES AND CAP
8 True Magic   F: 1
  B(2) W(56)
 ( J-  Beau Mertens )
 ( T-  Henry, Dwyer )
Placed
Dividend : $2.90
Scored a win on debut and is at double-figure odds. Nice value.

Remarks

Five of the nine runners are close in the market
race-image
Seberate winning at Pakenham

Results

Race Dividends
Win 10 $ 3.60
Place1 10 $ 1.40
Place2 8 $ 2.90
Place3 2 $ 1.40
Quinella 8,10 $ 20.20
Trifecta 10:8:2 $ 84.50
First4 10:8:2:1 $ 431.60
Double 15/10 $ 21.10
DBL conc 15/8 $ 20.60
Treble 4/15/10 $ 178.20
Quaddie 8/4/15/10 $ 1127.60
Trifecta - Selected!
First 4 - Selected!

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 3, 8, 10
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 5 - PORTER PLANT HANDICAP RATING 64
Time: 6:20 | Distance: 2300m | Prize $27200

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top PickThe 'Best Each Way'
ROYAL BLUE, WHITE HORSESHOE, BLACK AND WHITE CHECKED SLEEVES AND CAP
3 Ocean Walzer   F: 42411
  B(1) W(61)
 ( J-  Brad Rawiller )
 ( T-  Darren, Weir )
Placed
Dividend : $1.50
Back-to-back winner coming into this and it gets an inside draw. Has been well-backed but still represents each way odds.
Main Danger
FLUORESCENT YELLOW, NAVY ATB LOGO AND SEAMS
5 Penthouse Playboy   F: 22112
  B(7) W(60)
 ( J-  Damian Lane )
 ( T-  Darren, Weir )
Doesn't know how to run a bad race after winning two and placing in four this campaign. Goes close once again.
Next Best
LIGHT BLUE, ROYAL BLUE CROSSED SASHES, QUARTERED CAP
4 Rakti Roulette   F: 62312
  B(4) W(60.5)
 ( J-  Luke Nolen )
Last four starts have all been solid efforts. Professional type which has a win and a placing from three starts at Ballarat.
Include in Multis
NAVY BLUE, GOLD HOOPS, WHITE SLEEVES
6 San Remo   F: 60034
  B(5) W(59.5)
 ( J-  Declan Bates )
Placed
Dividend : $2.10
Hasn't won for some time and that's its big negative. Chance against an even field here.
Longer Odds
AQUA, RED CAP, AQUA POM POM
9 Fastlane to Heaven   F: 62352
  B(8) W(58)
 ( T-  Bob, Challis )
Won
Dividends : $11.50 $3.40
Hasn't done too much wrong this preparation and it could offer some value.

Remarks

Another tight betting race
race-image
Three in a row for Ocean Walzer?

Results

Race Dividends
Win 9 $ 11.50
Place1 9 $ 3.40
Place2 3 $ 1.50
Place3 6 $ 2.10
Quinella 3,9 $ 26.30
Trifecta 9:3:6 $ 513.10
First4 9:3:6:5 $ 837.00
Trifecta - Selected!
First 4 - Selected!

Betting Suggestions

Quaddies
R5 (3) Ocean Walzer(4) Rakti Roulette (5) Penthouse Playboy
R6 (2) Black And Tan(3) Our Chiquilla (10) Fern (11) Absolemm
R7 (2) Hulme(6) My Mother Says (11) Guipure (13) Moet Rose
R8 (3) Onehundred Percent(6) Matty (11) Won Ball
Quaddies % to a $20 stake:

Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
3, 4, 5, 6, 9
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 6 - HYGAIN WINNER'S CHOICE FILLIES & MARES HANDICAP 3YO+ RATING 64
Time: 6:55 | Distance: 1200m | Prize $27200

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
MAROON, WHITE STAR, WHITE AND MAROON STARS SLEEVES, WHITE AND MAROON STAR CAP
3 Our Chiquilla   F: 15353
  B(7) W(60)
 ( J-  John Allen )
 ( T-  Darren, Weir )
Has won this preparation and hasn't done much wrong since. The Weir/Allen combination could strike again.
Main Danger
BLACK, WHITE V, RED SLEEVES, WHITE CAP
11 Absolemm   F: 1
  B(1) W(57)
 ( J-  Ben Thompson )
Did the job well on debut and although it only came at Pakenham, it should good racing tactics and the inside draw helps here.
Next Best
BLACK, PURPLE CROSS OF LORRAINE AND SLEEVES, OLD GOLD CAP
10 Fern   F: 7703X
  B(6) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Michael Walker )
 ( T-  John, Moloney )
Placed
Dividend : $4.20
Returns from a spell after taking on some nice types in Melbourne. This is easier and although it needs time, it could show up at nice odds.
Include in Multis
ROYAL BLUE, WHITE STAR AND RED CAP
2 Black And Tan   F: 5420X
  B(4) W(60)
 ( J-  Jordan Childs )
 ( T-  John, Moloney )
Another which will enjoy more time under the belt but this isn't a strong race and it could represent value.
Longer Odds
NAVY BLUE, SKY BLUE EPAULETTES, STRIPED SLEEVES, SKY BLUE CAP
1 Mia Georgia   F: 317X1
  B(5) W(60.5)
Two wins from its last three starts. Going well so include.

Remarks

Not much covering this field in the betting
race-image
Our Chiquilla is a live chance

Results

Race Dividends
Win 6 $ 8.30
Place1 6 $ 2.80
Place2 9 $ 3.70
Place3 10 $ 4.20
Quinella 6,9 $ 68.00
Trifecta 6:9:10 $ 992.70
First4 6:9:10:4 $ 17650.10

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 3, 10, 11
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 7 - BEST BETS POWER PLAY HANDICAP RATING 64
Time: 7:30 | Distance: 1400m | Prize $27200

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top PickThe 'Day's Best'
ROYAL BLUE
11 Guipure   F: 14X33
  B(11) W(58)
 ( J-  Damian Lane )
Two third placings from two starts this campaign. Has plenty of class on its side and only the wide draw is against it.
Main Danger
BLACK, WHITE CHEVRONS, OLD GOLD STRIPED SLEEVES, WHITE STRIPED CAP
2 Hulme   F: X371X
  B(2) W(61)
 ( T-  Mick, Price )
Placed
Dividend : $2.30
Returns having won last time out. Gets a nice draw and some weight off its back which will help.
Next Best
ORANGE, WHITE HARLEQUIN YOKE, ARMBANDS AND CAP
6 My Mother Says   F: 36X11
  B(4) W(59)
 ( J-  Linda Meech )
 ( T-  Peter, Morgan )
Placed
Dividend : $1.70
Has turned around some average form last season with consecutive wins this campaign. Harder here but worth including.
Include in Multis
WHITE, PINK VEE, PINK AND WHITE STARS SLEEVES AND CAP
13 Moet Rose   F: 309X4
  B(3) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Dwayne Dunn )
Won
Dividends : $5.30 $1.90
Didn't look too bad when running fourth fresh up. Only has improvement to come so consider.
Longer Odds
GOLD
8 Hermanito   F: 163X0
  B(7) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Brad Rawiller )
 ( T-  Darren, Weir )
Needed the run last start and punters should expect quick improvement. Chance.

Remarks

Plenty of value in this race
race-image
Guipure could win

Results

Race Dividends
Win 13 $ 5.30
Place1 13 $ 1.90
Place2 2 $ 2.30
Place3 6 $ 1.70
Quinella 2,13 $ 20.80
Trifecta 13:2:6 $ 211.80
First4 13:2:6:11 $ 619.10
Trifecta - Selected!
First 4 - Selected!

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
2, 6, 8, 11, 13
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 8 - HYAGIN WINNERS CHOICE HANDICAP RATING 70
Time: 8:05 | Distance: 1100m | Prize $32600

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
WHITE, NAVY BLUE YOKE AND ARMBANDS, NAVY BLUE AND WHITE SPOTS CAP, WHITE POM POM
11 Won Ball   F: 13X36
  B(7) W(58.5)
 ( J-  John Allen )
 ( T-  Darren, Weir )
Placed
Dividend : $1.60
Over the odds and although not ideally weighted, it has a better turn-of-foot than most in this field.
Main Danger
BLACK, ORANGE CHECKS, WHITE CHECKED SLEEVES, CHECKED CAP
3 Onehundred Percent   F: 1186X
  B(9) W(61)
 ( J-  Jordan Childs )
Won at Caulfield last preparation before running into Nature Strip. That's hot form for this and it should be tough to beat.
Next Best
LIME, PURPLE AND GOLD BRACES AND ARMBANDS
6 Matty   F: 254X6
 ( J-  scratched )
Has competed in stronger fields than this during its career. Has speed and just needs to find it again.
Include in Multis
WHITE, GREEN SASH, BLACK SLEEVES AND CAP
7 Plutocracy   F: 0X633
  B(5) W(59.5)
 ( J-  Regan Bayliss )
Knocking on the door after consecutive placings. Going well and it should be included.
Longer Odds
BLACK, PALE GREEN BAND, ORANGE CAP WITH BLACK STAR
4 Tigidig Tigidig   F: 120X8
  B(1) W(60)
 ( J-  Harry Coffey )
Has shown ability in the past.

Remarks

Some nice types in this
race-image
Won Ball is good value

Results

Race Dividends
Win 9 $ 27.00
Place1 9 $ 5.40
Place2 11 $ 1.60
Place3 8 $ 3.90
Quinella 9,11 $ 52.30
Trifecta 9:11:8 $ 2529.70
First4 9:11:8:10 $ 8195.70
Double 13/9 $ 101.60
DBL conc 13/11 $ 6.70
Treble 6/13/9 $ 1703.30
Quaddie 9/6/13/9 $ 24554.40

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
3, 4, 6, 7, 11
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%