M13 Mildura – 26th July 2019

Selections for: Australian Racing

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M13 Mildura – 26th July 2019

M13: Mildura - 26th Jul, 2019

Start time:3:00 pm
Weather:Overcast
Track:Good

Overview

Mildura Cup day and there's some nice races throughout the day

Day's "Best"

R7 (9) Rat With Goldtooth

Best "Each Way"

R8 (3) Rikibobby

Best "Roughie"

R5 (9) Captain Arjento

Race 1 - TAC BE RACES READY MAIDEN PLATE
Time: 3:00 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
7 Kaarchi   F:
  B(5) W(54)
 ( J-  Billy Egan )
Won
Dividends : $1.40 $1.00
On debut and has been heavily-backed to win. Drawn well and with only 54kg on its back, it should be right around the mark.
Main Danger
3 Nova Way   F: 02
  B(7) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Harry Coffey )
Opened up the short favourite but is drifting. Has race experience, including a second placing last start so consider.
Next Best
6 Ashbrook   F: 6
  B(8) W(54)
 ( J-  Linda Meech )
Placed
Dividend : $1.20
From a top stable and is looking to improve on a solid debut effort. Has plenty of improvement to come so consider.
Include in Multis
8 Lettie Lutz   F: 9
  B(4) W(54)
 ( J-  Nikita Beriman )
 ( T-  Shea Eden )
Likely to be better than what it showed on debut. Should be fitter for this and it could add some value.
Longer Odds
5 Ryzlink   F: 65770
  B(6) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Claudia Lions )
Showed ability fresh up and a repeat of that would take it close.

Remarks

Couple of well-backed types in the opener
race-image
Kaarchi looks a good bet

Results

Race Dividends
Win 7 $ 1.40
Place1 7 $ 1.00
Place2 2 $ 5.00
Place3 6 $ 1.20
Quinella 2:7 $ 20.70
Trifecta 7:2:6 $ 62.50
First4 7:2:6:8 $ 198.10

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
3, 5, 6, 7, 8
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 2 - MILDURA RURAL CITY COUNCIL MAIDEN PLATE
Time: 3:30 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
5 Rich Itch   F: 42565
  B(6) W(58)
 ( J-  Arron Lynch )
Placed
Dividend : $1.20
Has been up for awhile but has produced some nice efforts throughout its career. Doesn't have much to beat here and there are positive signs in the betting.
Main Danger
7 Halep   F: 2X727
  B(7) W(56)
 ( J-  Billy Egan )
The namesake is coming off a Wimbledon win. Only fair last start but with two placings from four starts, it looks the logical inclusion.
Next Best
4 Need The Yen   F: 3X4
  B(1) W(58)
 ( J-  Linda Meech )
Hasn't been all that far away in two career starts to date. Placed nicely on debut and getting the inside draw is ideal. Nice chance.
Include in Multis
1 Highway to Success   F: 37733
  B(8) W(58)
 ( J-  Jeffrey Maund )
Back-to-back placings coming into this and that experience of having seven runs this time in could help. Adds some value.
Longer Odds
8 Must Be Moet   F: 8X
  B(2) W(56)
 ( J-  Dean Yendall )
Won
Dividends : $14.00 $2.90
Didn't do much on debut but was spelled and could come back a fitter horse.

Remarks

Many of these could break maiden grades soon
race-image
Rich Itch should go close

Results

Race Dividends
Win 8 $ 14.00
Place1 8 $ 2.90
Place2 5 $ 1.20
Place3 2 $ 5.90
Quinella 5:8 $ 10.90
Trifecta 8:5:2 $ 523.80
First4 8:5:2:3 $ 2993.20

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 4, 5, 7, 8
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 3 - NICK BURKE PLUMBING MAIDEN PLATE
Time: 4:00 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
9 Fiftyonestates   F: X7424
  B(11) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Nikita Beriman )
 ( T-  Shea Eden )
Placed
Dividend : $1.30
Had its chance to win last time out but meets an easier field here. Has been knocking on the door for some time so respect.
Main Danger
2 Rebel Excell   F: 64X62
  B(9) W(58.5)
Much better effort for second last start. Chance if it continues in that vein of form and the each-way odds are ideal here.
Next Best
5 Tears To Glory   F: 723
  B(12) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Billy Egan )
Looks ready to win a race after consecutive placings. Drawn deep but it only needs a touch of luck and a drag into the race. Nice chance.
Include in Multis
13 Vingt Cinqer   F: 092
  B(5) W(54)
 ( J-  Harry Coffey )
Won
Dividends : $3.40 $1.30
Turned around two poor runs to start its career with a second placing last start. Gets in nicely on the weights.
Longer Odds
4 Steam Roller   F: 7X54
  B(10) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Michael Poy )
 ( T-  Henry Dwyer )
Nothing wrong with its form coming into this. Could add value.

Remarks

Big field with many nice win chances
race-image
Fiftyonestates is knocking on the door

Results

Race Dividends
Win 13 $ 3.40
Place1 13 $ 1.30
Place2 9 $ 1.30
Place3 7 $ 9.90
Quinella 9:13 $ 4.30
Trifecta 13:9:7 $ 202.80
First4 13:9:7:3 $ 1906.70

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
2, 4, 5, 9, 13
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 4 - LIME THERAPY HANDICAP
Time: 4:30 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
8 French Fizz   F: 251X5
  B(3) W(59)
 ( J-  Harry Coffey )
Showed good form last campaign and ended that with a win. Resumed this time in with a good fifth and it has improvement to come.
Main Danger
5 Raheeba   F: 37862
  B(7) W(60)
 ( J-  Gary Lo )
 ( T-  Chris Bieg )
Good enough to score back-to-back wins earlier this season. Back to form when second last start and that should see it run close again.
Next Best
6 Yankee Toff   F: 74X22
  B(1) W(60)
Won
Dividends : $6.90 $2.00
Back-to-back second placings this time in and it could continue with that form. Gets the inside draw and every chance to win.
Include in Multis
1 Power Dream   F: 6X767
  B(4) W(60.5)
 ( J-  Rose Pearson )
Placed
Dividend : $1.30
Form appears average but it does have ability on its day. Finds an even field and it could take advantage of that. Include for value.
Longer Odds
9 None Left   F: 0X440
  B(8) W(59)
Could turn around its most recent effort. Upset hope.

Remarks

Many each-way chances in this
race-image
Pop the champagne if French Fizz wins

Results

Race Dividends
Win 6 $ 6.90
Place1 6 $ 2.00
Place2 7 $ 2.70
Place3 1 $ 1.30
Quinella 6:7 $ 27.60
Trifecta 6:7:1 $ 201.20
First4 6:7:1:8 $ 816.30

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 5, 6, 8, 9
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 5 - SUNRAYSIA DAILY HANDICAP
Time: 5:00 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
3 Longclaw   F: 8850X
  B(2) W(60.5)
 ( J-  Billy Egan )
Placed
Dividend : $1.80
Fresh up after a mixed bag last campaign. Did score a win second up so it finds form quickly and could hit the ground running here.
Main Danger
7 Kajaani   F: 33212
  B(12) W(59)
 ( J-  Linda Meech )
Won
Dividends : $4.50 $1.80
Tough to discount its chances after running in the first three at its last five starts. That included a win two back and it should be going close.
Next Best
14 Our Girl Babs   F: 76423
  B(13) W(56)
 ( J-  Nikita Beriman )
 ( T-  Shea Eden )
Placed
Dividend : $2.40
Has to contend with a wide draw but has chances with luck. Back-to-back placings coming into this and the odds on offer are nice.
Include in Multis
10 Stable Me   F: 5X702
  B(1) W(57.5)
Much better effort when running second at Echuca last time out. This isn't too much harder and it could be right in the mix once again.
Longer OddsThe 'Best Roughie'
9 Captain Arjento   F: 7X652
  B(10) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Dean Holland )
Working through its gears this season and there are worse bets in this race.

Remarks

Not much between many of these in the market
race-image
Longclaw could strike the winning blow

Results

Race Dividends
Win 7 $ 4.50
Place1 7 $ 1.80
Place2 3 $ 1.80
Place3 14 $ 2.40
Quinella 3:7 $ 7.70
Trifecta 7:3:14 $ 84.70
First4 7:3:14:4 $ 454.00
Quaddie 7/7/2/4+ $ 2825.20
Trifecta - Selected!

Betting Suggestions

Quaddies
R5 (3) Longclaw(7) Kajaani (14) Our Girl Babs
R6 (1) Sang Choi Bao(3) Physicality (4) Southern Turf
R7 (2) Husson Eagle(5) Tatoosh (7) Dexelation (9) Rat With Goldtooth
R8 (1) Elmore Lad(3) Rikibobby (4) Double You Tee (10) Canned Heat
Quaddies % to a $20 stake:

Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
3, 7, 9, 10, 14
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 6 - TRENTAHM ESTATE GOLDEN GOBLET HANDICAP
Time: 5:30 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
3 Physicality   F: 107X1
  B(5) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Dean Yendall )
 ( T-  Symon Wilde )
Impressive win when fresh and it looks likely to kick on with it. Drawn the middle of the field and it could get a drag into the race and kick clear late.
Main Danger
1 Sang Choi Bao   F: 43X07
  B(7) W(59)
 ( J-  Harry Coffey )
Placed
Dividend : $3.60
Form isn't overly impressive but it has good speed. Might need to head forward from the barrier but it has good tactical speed. Nice odds.
Next Best
4 Southern Turf   F: X4159
  B(3) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Linda Meech )
Needs to rebound after a disappointing run last start but this looks slightly easier. Punters are getting solid odds for the risk.
Include in Multis
2 Mum's My Hero   F: 81433
  B(6) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Gary Lo )
Rarely too far away from the prize and it comes into this with consecutive third placings. Worth including at that price.
Longer Odds
8 Scotopia   F: 0X48X
  B(2) W(55)
 ( J-  Nikita Beriman )
 ( T-  Shea Eden )
Shea Eden can get them up and running quickly. Include at odds.

Remarks

Compact field and it should be a competitive race
race-image
Physicality has win credentials

Results

Race Dividends
Win 7 $ 13.60
Place1 7 $ 5.50
Place2 1 $ 3.60
Quinella 1:7 $ 53.00
Trifecta 7:1:3 $ 260.80
First4 7:1:3:2 $ 1355.60

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 3, 4, 8
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 7 - MILDURA CUP
Time: 6:00 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top PickThe 'Day's Best'
9 Rat With Goldtooth   F: 1X343
  B(5) W(54)
 ( J-  Dean Holland )
Placed
Dividend : $1.40
On the quick back up after racing at Flemington last Saturday. Has been running well against stronger fields and the odds appeal here.
Main Danger
7 Dexelation   F: X7321
  B(10) W(54)
 ( J-  Michael Poy )
 ( T-  R & C Jolly )
Six-time winner from 17 starts and that record shouldn't be overlooked. Scored narrowly last start and it's in fit order for this. Nice chance.
Next Best
5 Tatoosh   F: X8733
  B(4) W(54)
 ( J-  Linda Meech )
Owns good pace and has shown that throughout its career. Doesn't win as often as it should but it could take this out. Include.
Include in Multis
2 Husson Eagle   F: 0X450
  B(3) W(59.5)
 ( J-  Billy Egan )
Won
Dividends : $6.10 $1.80
Needs to lift after a poor effort last start but it can do so. Drawn well and it looks set for a much-improved run.
Longer Odds
6 This Kid Rocks   F: 13876
  B(7) W(54)
 ( J-  Christine Puls )
Placed
Dividend : $6.90
Gets in nicely on the weights and could provide punters with some value.

Remarks

The Cup has attracted a very nice field
race-image
Stick with the Rat

Results

Race Dividends
Win 2 $ 6.10
Place1 2 $ 1.80
Place2 9 $ 1.40
Place3 6 $ 6.90
Quinella 2:9 $ 8.00
Trifecta 2:9:6 $ 405.30
First4 2:9:6:8 $ 2448.40
Trifecta - Selected!

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
2, 5, 6, 7, 9
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 8 - MILDURA HOLDEN & HSV HANDICAP
Time: 6:30 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top PickThe 'Best Each Way'
3 Rikibobby   F: X4094
  B(1) W(60.5)
 ( J-  Dean Yendall )
Not in career-best form this preparation but it looked good last campaign. Gets the inside draw and a chance to get back to that form.
Main Danger
10 Canned Heat   F: 79162
  B(5) W(56)
Has run well at times this season, including a win three back and a placing last start. Worth including here at the odds.
Next Best
4 Double You Tee   F: 2148X
  B(2) W(60)
 ( J-  Billy Egan )
Won
Dividends : $4.20 $1.70
Fresh up and it usually finds form relatively quickly in its campaign. Drawn an inside barrier and it should ride the speed.
Include in Multis
1 Elmore Lad   F: 6X081
  B(3) W(61.5)
 ( J-  Trent Germaine )
 ( T-  Kym Hann )
Looked good when winning last time out and it only needs to carry the weight to win. Has the class to do so.
Longer Odds
2 Souffrant   F: 47180
  B(9) W(61)
 ( J-  Linda Meech )
 ( T-  Symon Wilde )
Enigmatic type but it could run into the money at nice odds. Stick with it.

Remarks

Very open betting market to close the card
race-image
Rikibobby has upside

Results

Race Dividends
Win 4 $ 4.20
Place1 4 $ 1.70
Place2 5 $ 2.60
Place3 7 $ 2.70
Quinella 4:5 $ 19.60
Trifecta 4:5:7 $ 201.80
First4 4:5:7:2 $ 1697.00
Double 2/4+ $ 24.90

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 3, 4, 10
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%