M13 Pakenham – 19th July 2019

Selections for: Australian Racing

Our selections for the M13 Pakenham – 19th July 2019 are below: Good Luck! Back to Performance page

M13 Pakenham – 19th July 2019

M13: Pakenham - 19th Jul, 2019

Start time:3:00 pm
Weather:Fine
Track:Good

Overview

Good betting fields on the synthetic track at Pakenham

Day's "Best"

R4 (8) Paperboy

Best "Each Way"

R7 (10) Raffine

Best "Roughie"

R5 (8) Stream Ahead

Race 1 - RACING.COM MAIDEN PLATE
Time: 3:00 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
11 Sensitivity   F: 20X
  B(7) W(56)
 ( J-  Jye McNeil )
Placed
Dividend : $1.50
Looked the goods when running second on debut. Only fair last start but that came before a spell and it should come back in good order.
Main Danger
10 Purvie's Princess   F: 3
  B(12) W(56)
Third on debut and they usually hold their condition from this stable. Drawn wide but with cover, it should be fighting out the finish.
Next Best
6 Western Sun   F: 3
  B(3) W(58)
 ( J-  Michael Walker )
 ( T-  Matt Cumani )
Won
Dividends : $7.50 $2.20
Not far behind them when running third on debut. Drawn well and it will appreciate any rise in distance. Another win hope.
Include in Multis
12 Trip   F: 35X
  B(1) W(56)
 ( T-  John Price )
Prepared with some recent trials and it could add some value at each-way odds. Gets the inside draw and Tasmanians have a good record this season.
Longer Odds
  B(9) W(58)
 ( J-  Jamie Mott )
On debut for a major stable and it could run well at double-figure odds.

Remarks

Big field and plenty of value on offer
race-image
Sensitivity looks a strong chance

Results

Race Dividends
Win 6 $ 7.50
Place1 6 $ 2.20
Place2 14 $ 1.90
Place3 11 $ 1.50
Quinella 6:14 $ 20.40
Trifecta 6:14:11 $ 206.60
First4 6:14:11:7 $ 1445.10
Quaddie 6/12+/8/5 $ 17742.00

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
3, 6, 10, 11, 12
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 2 - NINE MILE FRESH MAIDEN PLATE
Time: 3:30 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
12 Excelida   F: 7X6
  B(6) W(54)
 ( J-  Jamie Kah )
Won
Dividends : $2.50 $1.30
Two starts to date appear average on paper but they have been solid. Looks primed to run a good race here and there has been strong money placed.
Main Danger
6 Star of the Elms   F: 62
  B(7) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Brad Rawiller )
 ( T-  Saab Hasan )
Improved nicely to run second at Mildura last start. Likely to continue to improve and it's paying nice each-way odds. Good chance.
Next Best
11 Uluru   F:
  B(4) W(56)
 ( J-  Jye McNeil )
Placed
Dividend : $2.40
Scored a half-length win at the trials to prepare for this. That came on a similar track and it comes from a good stable. Include here.
Include in Multis
2 Firefight   F:
  B(11) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Dwayne Dunn )
On debut for Team Hawkes. Not seen at the trials but there's good money on and that's a nice sign.
Longer Odds
1 Big Brew   F:
  B(1) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Luke Nolen )
Gets the inside draw on debut and it could settle close and fight strongly.

Remarks

Most of the money with the favourite
race-image
Excelida at the trials

Results

Race Dividends
Win 12 $ 2.50
Place1 12 $ 1.30
Place2 4 $ 7.70
Place3 11 $ 2.40
Quinella 4:12 $ 59.30
Trifecta 12:4:11 $ 568.60
First4 12:4:11:2 $ 2170.00

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 6, 11, 12
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 3 - ONTOIT MAIDEN PLATE
Time: 4:00 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
12 Inzaghi   F: 422X4
  B(9) W(54)
Placed
Dividend : $1.50
Four starts for two placings and two fourths. Nothing wrong with that form and it should be breaking maiden grades soon. Light weight on the back helps.
Main Danger
2 Governor Landy   F: 24523
  B(4) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Jake Noonan )
 ( T-  Tony Noonan )
Placed
Dividend : $1.40
Experienced type which has four placings already this campaign. Another which should exit maiden grades soon so include in win bets.
Next Best
9 Electric Miss   F:
  B(6) W(54)
Has been solidly backed in the betting on debut. No trials so watch for any late betting movement. Right in this at the weights.
Include in Multis
4 Noir Jack   F: 53X
  B(5) W(58.5)
Improved nicely to run third last time out after fifth on debut. Drawn to get a nice trip in transit and it could finish off well late.
Longer Odds
5 Pantone   F: X467X
  B(1) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Brad Rawiller )
 ( T-  Luke Oliver )
Has shown good form throughout its career and is a little over the odds in this.

Remarks

Looks an even maiden field on paper
race-image
Inzaghi could score

Results

Race Dividends
Win 8 $ 17.80
Place1 8 $ 3.70
Place2 12 $ 1.50
Place3 2 $ 1.40
Quinella 8:12 $ 28.40
Trifecta 8:12:2 $ 281.60
First4 8:12:2:11 $ 3576.80

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
2, 4, 5, 9, 12
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 4 - PAKENHAM PRODUCE & SADDLERY MAIDEN PLATE
Time: 4:30 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top PickThe 'Day's Best'
8 Paperboy   F: 22X
  B(2) W(58)
 ( J-  Dwayne Dunn )
 ( T-  John Price )
Placed
Dividend : $1.10
Has been well backed in both starts to date where it was only narrowly beaten on both accounts. Gets a good chance to win here and it should be starting short again.
Main Danger
2 Bazza   F:
  B(4) W(58)
Handy trial placing coming into this and the money coming for it is a good sign. Drawn to get every chance from a good barrier.
Next Best
4 Gone Rogue   F:
  B(9) W(58)
 ( J-  Dylan J Dunn )
Placed
Dividend : $3.00
Second at the trials to prepare for this. Tricky draw of barrier nine but with some luck in running, it could trouble them here.
Include in Multis
3 Black Sea   F: 44232
  B(11) W(58)
 ( J-  Matthew Allen )
 ( T-  Ray Cleaver )
Has plenty of experience to call upon and three consecutive placings coming into this. Tough draw but looks a nice chance.
Longer Odds
11 Smart Charge   F:
  B(3) W(56)
 ( J-  Racha Cuneen )
Has been backed in from big odds so watch with interest.

Remarks

Looks one of the stronger maiden fields
race-image
Paperboy has upside

Results

Race Dividends
Win 5 $ 29.70
Place1 5 $ 5.30
Place2 8 $ 1.10
Place3 4 $ 3.00
Quinella 5:8 $ 36.90
Trifecta 5:8:4 $ 1076.40
First4 5:8:4:9 $ 7049.00

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
2, 3, 4, 8, 11
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 5 - SHANKS ELECTRICAL HANDICAP
Time: 5:00 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
2 Miss Mo   F: 64X54
  B(11) W(60.5)
Comes into this with two good runs this campaign and more fitness under the belt. Drawn deep so needs luck, but it should be running well.
Main Danger
5 Big Suzie   F: X251X
  B(3) W(59.5)
 ( J-  James Winks )
Won
Dividends : $3.80 $1.80
Capped off last campaign with a win. Anything close to that should see it fighting out the finish and we're confident of a good effort.
Next Best
11 Queen's Authority   F: 41262
  B(7) W(58)
 ( J-  Joe Bowditch )
Has won and placed multiples times this campaign. Has been up for awhile now but should go close. Slightly too short in the betting however.
Include in Multis
12 Terrifying   F: 4X214
  B(8) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Luke Nolen )
Good win two back and wasn't all that far away when rising in class last start. Not much to beat here and it should be around the mark.
Longer OddsThe 'Best Roughie'
8 Stream Ahead   F: 83907
  B(4) W(59)
Capable of turning its moderate form around.

Remarks

Plenty of winning hopes paying good odds
race-image
Miss Mo pulls out all the stops

Results

Race Dividends
Win 5 $ 3.80
Place1 5 $ 1.80
Place2 10 $ 3.40
Place3 3 $ 4.10
Quinella 5:10 $ 21.40
Trifecta 5:10:3 $ 450.10
First4 5:10:3:2 $ 2257.40
Quaddie 5+/7/6+/3 $ 3055.80

Betting Suggestions

Quaddies
R5 (2) Miss Mo(5) Big Suzie (11) Queen's Authority (12) Terrifying
R6 (1) Fast Fever(10) Tigeen (11) Antilia
R7 (3) Bezos(6) Aspirate (7) Bissel (10) Raffine
R8 (1) Perfect Statue(5) El Phoenix (7) Thunderdome
Quaddies % to a $20 stake:

Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
2, 5, 8, 11, 12
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 6 - FULMEN PARK HANDICAP
Time: 5:30 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
11 Antilia   F: X2157
  B(2) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Michael Walker )
 ( T-  Matt Cumani )
Is a handy type and although its last couple have been only fair, they have come against nice opposition. Has talent on its day so put on top here.
Main Danger
1 Fast Fever   F: 1X441
  B(10) W(61.5)
Likely would have been the favourite had it drawn a gate. Still, comes into this with a good win and every chance if it can cross.
Next Best
10 Tigeen   F: 91625
  B(5) W(58)
 ( J-  Jamie Kah )
 ( T-  Matt Cumani )
Placed
Dividend : $1.70
Has performed well in similar fields to this in the past. Drawn well and it could add another win to the record this preparation.
Include in Multis
13 Night King   F: X1534
  B(10) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Dylan J Dunn )
 ( T-  Jamie Scott )
Looked the goods when winning fresh up and has gone to the line well enough since. More than capable of improving enough to score here.
Longer Odds
2 Roar   F: 13561
  B(11) W(61.5)
 ( J-  Rose Pearson )
Needs luck but comes into this with a win. Chance with luck.

Remarks

Looks one of the better form races of the day
race-image
Antilia is a good-value chance

Results

Race Dividends
Win 7 $ 9.30
Place1 7 $ 2.70
Place2 4 $ 1.50
Place3 10 $ 1.70
Quinella 4:7 $ 13.50
Trifecta 7:4:10 $ 138.20
First4 7:4:10:2 $ 1200.90

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 10, 11, 13
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 7 - ULTRASIGNS HANDICAP
Time: 6:00 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top PickThe 'Best Each Way'
10 Raffine   F: 3X135
  B(12) W(57)
 ( J-  Luke Nolen )
Impressive fresh up win and hasn't been far away since. Tricky draw but it has good tactical pace and could cross. Big chance.
Main Danger
6 Aspirate   F: 7X224
  B(5) W(58.5)
 ( J-  James Winks )
 ( T-  Rowan Hamer )
Won
Dividends : $4.10 $1.80
Yet to win this campaign but has gone close on multiple occasions. That form is good enough to take this out and it could add some value.
Next Best
7 Bissel   F: 2X318
  B(7) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Brad Rawiller )
 ( T-  Saab Hasan )
Needs to turn around a fair effort last start but it looked much better prior to that. Looks a nice chance of returning to winning form.
Include in Multis
3 Bezos   F: X3065
  B(3) W(59.5)
 ( J-  Nikita Beriman )
Good enough to score consecutive wins last campaign. Yet to win this time in but it's only a matter of time. Good chance.
Longer Odds
14 Taikun Warrior   F: 2133X
  B(4) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Luke Currie )
Looked better than average last campaign and that form could show up here.

Remarks

Big field and plenty of value on offer
race-image
Raffine is a top chance

Results

Race Dividends
Win 6 $ 4.10
Place1 6 $ 1.80
Place2 2 $ 2.70
Place3 5 $ 2.00
Quinella 2:6 $ 15.40

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
3, 6, 7, 10, 14
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 8 - BEST BETS HANDICAP
Time: 6:30 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
7 Thunderdome   F: 23239
  B(6) W(58)
 ( J-  Stephen Baster )
Placed
Dividend : $1.50
Has form around some nice types and that bodes well for this. Drawn well and it won't need to improve much to take this out.
Main Danger
5 El Phoenix   F: 250X1
  B(5) W(58)
 ( J-  Lachlan King )
Good fresh up win and it's likely to kick on with it now. Has been nicely backed to win and it should be fighting out the finish.
Next Best
1 Perfect Statue   F: 3X121
  B(3) W(61)
Placed
Dividend : $2.40
Twice a winner already this preparation and it gets some weight off its back to help with the 61kg. Each-way chance here.
Include in Multis
10 Miss Belisa   F: 90221
  B(9) W(56)
 ( J-  Luke Nolen )
 ( T-  Mark Webb )
Last-start winner which could well kick on with it now. Drops nicely in weight and should be competitive here.
Longer Odds
11 Layel   F: X3X06
  B(4) W(55.5)
 ( J-  Michael Walker )
Has good form on her day and could add some value to this.

Remarks

Smaller field but it should be competitive
race-image
Thunderdome could bring the power

Results

Race Dividends
Win 3 $ 9.40
Place1 3 $ 2.40
Place2 7 $ 1.50
Place3 1 $ 2.40
Quinella 3:7 $ 11.00
Trifecta 3:7:1 $ 195.30
First4 3:7:1:4 $ 1008.60

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 5, 7, 10, 11
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%