M19 Moonee Valley – 20th March 2020

Selections for: Australian Racing

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M19 Moonee Valley – 20th March 2020

M19: The Valley - 20th Mar, 2020

Start time:7:30 pm
Weather:Overcast
Track:Good

Overview

Group 1 racing on Friday night, with the William Reid Stakes taking centre stage

Day's "Best"

R7 (9) Bivouac

Best "Each Way"

R5 (5) Our Gladiator

Best "Roughie"

R2 (5) Nerone
  • Race 1 - RACING PHOTOS DIGITAL ALBUM HANDICAP
    Time: 7:30 | Distance: 1200m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    8 Fallen Empire   F: X331X
      B(10) W(59)
    Has been heavily backed to win after showing good efforts last campaign. Needs luck from the draw but it has upside.
    Main Danger
    1 Sam's Image   F: 227X4
      B(1) W(61.5)
     ( J-  Mark Zahra )
     ( T-  John Sadler )
    Placed
    Dividend : $1.70
    Handy run for fourth when resuming. Expect a better run now with the fitness under its belt. Chance.
    Next Best
    3 Non Paear   F: 50323
      B(8) W(60.5)
    Owns plenty of speed and it runs well at The Valley. Likely to come out of the gates well and stick on gamely.
    Include in Multis
    9 Rock Tycoon   F: 9X421
      B(6) W(59)
     ( J-  Damien Oliver )
    Last-start winner with the ability to kick on with it. Having Damien Oliver in the saddle helps, so include.
    Longer Odds
    6 Cashed Up   F: 1X714
      B(2) W(60)
     ( J-  Lucinda Doodt )
    Good win two back and it wasn't far away last start. Chance.

    Remarks

    Open field in the first
    race-image
    Fallen Empire could go close

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 10 $ 15.90
    Place1 10 $ 4.60
    Place2 2 $ 2.70
    Place3 1 $ 1.70
    Quinella 2:10 $ 82.10
    Trifecta 10:2:1 $ 1322.90
    First4 10:2:1:7 $ 8995.70

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    1, 3, 6, 8, 9
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 2 - EVOLVE INTERIORS EMMA BOLING PLATE
    Time: 8:00 | Distance: 1200m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    6 Overkill   F: 21X1
      B(1) W(57)
     ( J-  Ben Melham )
    Won
    Dividends : $3.20 $1.50
    Produced a good sprint to score last start. It looks like a nice type on the rise and it gets every chance off the inside barrier.
    Main Danger
    10 Wings Of Pastrami   F: 1111X
      B(7) W(55.5)
     ( J-  Craig Williams )
     ( T-  Jeff Searle )
    Placed
    Dividend : $1.90
    It won all four races it contested last campaign. It's harder here but with Craig Williams in the saddle, it should get a good ride. Danger.
    Next Best
    2 Star Surprise   F: 6X106
      B(6) W(57.5)
     ( J-  Michael Dee )
    Placed
    Dividend : $4.00
    Way over the odds and it showed what it can do fresh up. Has faced tough fields since and this looks suitable. Chance.
    Include in Multis
    9 Ocular   F: 12
      B(8) W(57)
     ( J-  Dean Holland )
     ( T-  Shea Eden )
    Handy win on debut and it didn't do much wrong when second last time out. Each-way odds offered.
    Longer Odds
    The 'Best Roughie'
    5 Nerone   F: 3221X
      B(10) W(57)
     ( J-  Brad Rawiller )
    Worth including at the odds. Last-start winner.

    Remarks

    Another wide-open race with good odds throughout
    race-image
    Overkill could win again

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 6 $ 3.20
    Place1 6 $ 1.50
    Place2 10 $ 1.90
    Place3 2 $ 4.00
    Quinella 6:10 $ 8.20
    Trifecta 6:10:2 $ 140.10
    First4 6:10:2:7 $ 1084.50
    Trifecta - Selected!

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    2, 5, 6, 9, 10
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 3 - PALENTINO READY TO LAUNCH VALLEY PEARL
    Time: 8:30 | Distance: 1200m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    4 Unanimous   F: 1
      B(5) W(57)
     ( J-  Jye McNeil )
    Did the job well on debut and it's paying nice odds to continue that form. Drawn to get a nice drag throughout, so put on top.
    Main Danger
    1 Larimer Street   F: 232
      B(2) W(57)
     ( J-  Damien Oliver )
    Won
    Dividends : $3.70 $1.40
    Yet to win from three starts but those have come behind some nice types. Easier here and that is why it has been well-backed to win.
    Next Best
    9 Montia   F: 1
      B(3) W(55)
     ( J-  Regan Bayliss )
    Scored easily on this track on debut. Having experience here helps and it could rise through the grades nicely. Chance.
    Include in Multis
    8 Vangelic   F: 16
      B(6) W(55)
     ( J-  Craig Williams )
    Placed
    Dividend : $1.80
    Not everything went right last start and it could bounce back. Showed speed when winning in Sydney on debut. Chance on that run.
    Longer Odds
      B(9) W(57)
     ( J-  Brad Rawiller )
    Could run well at value odds.

    Remarks

    It looks like a competitive race
    race-image
    Unanimous runs at odds

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 1 $ 3.70
    Place1 1 $ 1.40
    Place2 8 $ 1.80
    Place3 3 $ 3.80
    Quinella 1:8 $ 9.50
    Trifecta 1:8:3 $ 151.70
    First4 1:8:3:9 $ 502.80

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    1, 4, 7, 8, 9
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 4 - SIMPSON CONSTRUCTION HANDICAP
    Time: 9:00 | Distance: 2040m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    10 Relucent   F: 34X14
      B(4) W(58)
     ( J-  Craig Williams )
    Placed
    Dividend : $1.70
    Got the job done two back and it wasn't far behind last start. Williams rides this track well and it has been well supported so far.
    Main Danger
    1 Too Close the Sun   F: 1X313
      B(7) W(63)
    Won
    Dividends : $4.20 $1.70
    A winner of four from 10, and it also has five placings. Consistent start to its career and it can handle the big weight.
    Next Best
    8 Ghodeleine   F: 40441
      B(3) W(59)
     ( J-  Chris Caserta )
    Placed
    Dividend : $1.30
    In form now after winning last start. It was a 4.3-length win on this track, so that form is tough to ignore.
    Include in Multis
    5 Cape Richards   F: 93813
      B(9) W(61)
     ( J-  Liam Riordan )
    A recent winner which usually runs well at value odds. Just needs to find cover from an outside barrier.
    Longer Odds
    11 La Belle Jude   F: 25518
      B(2) W(57.5)
     ( J-  Joe Bowditch )
    Better than what it showed last start. Chance.

    Remarks

    Plenty of form throughout this race
    race-image
    Relucent is a live chance

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 1 $ 4.20
    Place1 1 $ 1.70
    Place2 10 $ 1.70
    Place3 8 $ 1.30
    Quinella 1:10 $ 5.10
    Trifecta 1:10:8 $ 24.40
    First4 1:10:8:6 $ 1236.70
    Double 1+/1 $ 10.10
    Trifecta - Selected!

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    1, 5, 8, 10, 11
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 5 - 55 SECOND CHALLENGE FINAL
    Time: 9:30 | Distance: 955m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    The 'Best Each Way'
    5 Our Gladiator   F: X1911
      B(3) W(57)
     ( J-  Jessica Eaton )
    Can't overlook its form. Three wins from four starts this campaign and it gets every chance from the draw. Nice odds.
    Main Danger
    6 Bella Vella   F: 0152X
      B(4) W(55)
     ( J-  Jamie Kah )
    Won
    Dividends : $4.60 $1.80
    It's a talented type on its day. Qualified for this race in October and although fresh up, it has won fresh in the past. Chance.
    Next Best
    7 Miss Norway   F: 40X32
      B(8) W(55)
     ( J-  Jye McNeil )
     ( T-  John Sadler )
    Owns the ability to keep up with them over this distance. Knocking on the door after consecutive placings.
    Include in Multis
    2 Fine Dane   F: 21960
      B(5) W(58)
     ( J-  Mark Zahra )
    Placed
    Dividend : $1.80
    Talented but it hasn't been running well of late. Should appreciate running in this grade, so consider.
    Longer Odds
    9 Rebel Miss   F: 3135X
      B(6) W(55)
     ( J-  Craig Williams )
    Placed
    Dividend : $5.20
    Two-time winner fresh, so don't discount.

    Remarks

    It should be an exciting final
    race-image
    Our Gladiator is another value runner

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 6 $ 4.60
    Place1 6 $ 1.80
    Place2 2 $ 1.80
    Place3 9 $ 5.20
    Quinella 2:6 $ 13.00
    Trifecta 6:2:9 $ 404.50
    First4 6:2:9:10 $ 2838.20
    Trifecta - Selected!

    Betting Suggestions

    Quaddies
    R5 (5) Our Gladiator(6) Bella Vella (7) Miss Norway (9) Rebel Miss
    R6 (1) La Tene(2) Meuse (6) Snapdancer
    R7 (1) Scales of Justice(9) Bivouac (11) Loving Gaby
    R8 (3) Irithea(4) Princess Jenni (7) Bam's On Fire
    Quaddies % to a $20 stake:

    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    2, 5, 6, 7, 9
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 6 - DYNAMIC PRINT GROUP ALEXANDRA STAKES (G3)
    Time: 10:00 | Distance: 1600m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    1 La Tene   F: 20X16
      B(4) W(58)
     ( J-  Brad Rawiller )
    Showed its ability when bursting through to win fresh. Fair last start but that was to be expected. Can bounce back.
    Main Danger
    2 Meuse   F: X5X13
      B(6) W(55)
     ( J-  Damian Lane )
    Third in a good race at Flemington last start. Better suited here and it has the potential to win at this level. Each-way odds.
    Next Best
    6 Snapdancer   F: 240X4
      B(2) W(55)
     ( J-  Jye McNeil )
    Placed
    Dividend : $2.40
    Fair effort when resuming, but it has improvement to come. The money has been put on, which is a good sign.
    Include in Multis
    7 Paradee   F: 8X131
      B(10) W(55)
     ( J-  Damien Oliver )
    Won
    Dividends : $4.20 $1.70
    Owns good tactical speed and it could handle the rise in class. Yet to meet a field this good, but we wouldn't be surprised to see it win.
    Longer Odds
    3 Mrs Beckham   F: X3117
      B(11) W(55)
     ( J-  Chris Symons )
    Gets its chance to rebound. Former Kiwi with talent.

    Remarks

    Some talented types in this stakes race
    race-image
    La Tene has rebound tendencies

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 7 $ 4.20
    Place1 7 $ 1.70
    Place2 6 $ 2.40
    Place3 5 $ 9.20
    Quinella 6:7 $ 15.20
    Trifecta 7:6:5 $ 602.40
    First4 7:6:5:8 $ 5901.20

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    1, 2, 3, 6, 7
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 7 - KEOGH HOMES WILLIAM REID STAKES (G1)
    Time: 10:30 | Distance: 1200m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    The 'Day's Best'
    9 Bivouac   F: 62X61
      B(1) W(56)
     ( J-  Hugh Bowman )
    Indicative Odds: $2.40
    Showed a great turn-of-foot when winning last time out. Looks set for another big run, but it must escape the rail. That's the only concern.
    Main Danger
    11 Loving Gaby   F: 12X32
      B(5) W(54)
     ( J-  Craig Williams )
    Indicative Odds: $4.60
    It loves this track and having only 54kg on the back is ideal. It will settle just off the pace and come with a big run wide.
    Next Best
    1 Scales of Justice   F: 15X16
      B(3) W(58.5)
     ( J-  Dean Yendall )
    Indicative Odds: $11.00
    Odds are generous for a runner of this class. Draws ideally and it should take a forward position and kick strongly.
    Include in Multis
    10 Exceedance   F: 331X6
      B(8) W(56)
     ( J-  Tommy Berry )
    Indicative Odds: $8.00
    Probably not suited to Moonee Valley, but it goes in on class alone. A Group 1 winner with more wins in store.
    Longer Odds
    7 Pippie   F: 102X1
      B(10) W(56.5)
     ( J-  Ben Melham )
    Indicative Odds: $13.00
    Could apply the pressure early and it's a front-runners track.

    Remarks

    It looks another great edition of the Group 1
    race-image
    Bivouac deserves attention

    Results

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    1, 7, 9, 10, 11
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 8 - SHEAMUS MILLS BLOODSTOCK SUNLINE STAKES (G2)
    Time: 11:00 | Distance: 1600m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    7 Bam's On Fire   F: 21722
      B(8) W(57)
     ( J-  Hugh Bowman )
    Indicative Odds: $6.00
    Runs at nice odds despite showing good form throughout this season. Back-to-back placings coming into this and it could go one better.
    Main Danger
    3 Irithea   F: 62742
      B(2) W(57)
     ( J-  Damian Lane )
     ( T-  Bjorn Baker )
    Indicative Odds: $5.50
    Likely to push forward and try run them into the ground. Narrowly beaten last start and the draw helps.
    Next Best
    4 Princess Jenni   F: 104X3
      B(5) W(57)
     ( J-  Damien Oliver )
    Indicative Odds: $2.50
    Talented on its day and that was a nice resuming run for third. Has been well-backed to win, so consider.
    Include in Multis
    2 Spanish Reef   F: 0X536
      B(6) W(57)
     ( J-  Mark Zahra )
     ( T-  Ken Keys )
    Indicative Odds: $6.50
    A touch disappointing this preparation but it won't take long to get back into the winners circle. Chance.
    Longer Odds
    6 Fidelia   F: 0X833
      B(4) W(57)
     ( J-  Jye McNeil )
    Indicative Odds: $16.00
    Will get back and storm home.

    Remarks

    Quality race to close the card with
    race-image
    Bam's On Fire is a value chance

    Results

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    2, 3, 4, 6, 7
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%