M12 Flemington – 12th August 2017

M12: FLEMINGTON RACES (VIC) Flemington - 12th Aug, 2017

Start time:2:15 pm
Weather:OVERCAST
Track:GOOD

Overview

Aurie's Star Handicap day at Flemington where there are currently no even money favourites

Day's "Best"

R2 (2) Kilimanjaro

Best "Each Way"

R5 (5) O'rachael

Best "Roughie"

No Best Roughie

Race 1 - VRC MEMBER RAYMOND ALI HANDICAP 3YO R70 ( R1)
Time: 2:15 | Distance: 1400m | Prize $130000

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
LIME, PURPLE AND GOLD BRACES AND ARMBANDS
2 Confluence   F: 5X222
  B(6) W(59)
 ( J-  Damian Lane )
Placed
Dividend : $2.10
Three consecutive second placings coming into this and it did things tough last start. Just needs some early luck.
Main Danger
WHITE, ROYAL BLUE CROSSED SASHES, CHECKED SLEEVES, CHECKED CAP
8 Sheer Madness   F: 16X85
  B(4) W(57)
Won
Dividends : $9.00 $2.70
Has a chance at figuring in the finish with some luck.
Next Best
PURPLE, ORANGE AND WHITE HOOPED SLEEVES, ORANGE CAP
3 Nistaan   F: 2X34
  B(1) W(59)
 ( J-  Luke Currie )
Has been expensive in three starts to date and it just needs a lift a touch. Has the talent to win at this level.
Include in Multis
ROYAL BLUE, WHITE EPAULETTES, STRIPED CAP
5 Mulk   F: 92213
  B(7) W(58)
 ( J-  Damien Oliver )
Rarely far away from the prize and it has good natural pace. Won't be far away.
Longer Odds
ROYAL BLUE, LIGHT BLUE HOOPS, WHITE CAP
7 Kedleston   F: 4X366
  B(5) W(57)
Placed
Dividend : $3.70
Capable colt which drops back in grade for this after running sixth last start. The 3kg claim helps.

Remarks

The form out of this race should be strong this spring
race-image
Can Nistaan upset our days best?

Results

Race Dividends
Win 8 $ 9.00
Place1 8 $ 2.70
Place2 2 $ 2.10
Place3 7 $ 3.70
Quinella 2,8 $ 23.60
Trifecta 8:2:7 $ 647.90
First4 8:2:7:4 $ 2972.90
Trifecta - Selected!

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
2, 3, 5, 7, 8
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 2 - VRC MEMBER BEVERLEY HOGAN HANDICAP ( R2)
Time: 2:50 | Distance: 2530m | Prize $130000

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top PickThe 'Day's Best'
NAVY BLUE, WHITE ARMBANDS AND CAP
2 Kilimanjaro   F: 64X36
  B(1) W(57)
Placed
Dividend : $1.50
Imported runner which likely needed to get its fitness back this campaign. Has ability and this looks an ideal target.
Main Danger
NAVY BLUE, GOLD LIGHTNING BOLT, GOLD AND WHITE ARMBANDS, GOLD CAP
1 Araldo Junior   F: 60551
  B(6) W(58)
Led them last time out in an easier race, but conditions don't change much for this and it could capitalise again.
Next Best
NAVY BLUE AND GOLD HOOPS, WHITE SLEEVES AND CAP
3 Master Zephyr   F: 30632
  B(5) W(55)
Won
Dividends : $3.60 $1.50
Long time between drinks, but it indicated a return to form last start and the betting support has come.
Include in Multis
RED, WHITE GATECRASHER
4 Super Haze   F: 51421
  B(2) W(54)
 ( J-  Luke Currie )
Easy winner on this track last start and it is perfectly weighted to repeat the dose. Nice chance.
Longer Odds
BURGUNDY, WHITE OBELISK, HOOPED SLEEVES, WHITE CAP
6 Lautaro   F: D6033
  B(3) W(54)
 ( J-  Regan Bayliss )
Competed well at Scone, but was disqualified. Has ability and could run a place.

Remarks

All the betting has come for the runners at the top of the page
race-image
Kilimanjaro winning in Europe before coming to Australia

Results

Race Dividends
Win 3 $ 3.60
Place1 3 $ 1.50
Place2 2 $ 1.50
Place3 5 $ 3.50
Quinella 2,3 $ 4.60
Trifecta 3:2:5 $ 139.00
First4 3:2:5:4 $ 381.80
Double 8/3 $ 22.60
DBL conc 8/2 $ 8.20

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 3, 4, 6
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 3 - VRC MEMBER GRAEME MCMENAMIN HANDICAP ( R3)
Time: 3:25 | Distance: 1400m | Prize $109000

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
NAVY BLUE, WHITE SASH, LIME GREEN STRIPED SLEEVES, QUARTERED CAP
2 Sovereign Nation   F: 6X153
  B(4) W(55)
 ( J-  Regan Bayliss )
Won
Dividends : $2.30 $1.40
Has mixed it with some nice types and it looks ready to win again. The betting support has come nicely.
Main Danger
WHITE, GREEN SASH, BLACK SLEEVES AND CAP
4 Fanatic   F: 4260X
  B(2) W(54)
Kiwi runner which could need the run, but is capable of running well.
Next Best
LIME GREEN, PURPLE DIAMONDS
7 My Paisann   F: X2213
 ( J-  scratched )
Fitter for having four runs this time in and all four have been quality. This is another level, but it needs to be included.
Include in Multis
ROYAL BLUE
1 Tally   F: 7710X
  B(3) W(61)
 ( J-  Damian Lane )
Placed
Dividend : $3.10
Classy at best and it has won and placed when fresh up. Big weight, but it can't be left out.
Longer Odds
LIME GREEN, PINK DIAMOND, DIAMOND SLEEVES, PINK CAP
3 Tried And Tired   F: 73044
  B(6) W(55)
 ( J-  Jye McNeil )
Punters might be getting tired after trying so much, but it's too good on its day to leave out.

Remarks

Tidy field with many winning hopes
race-image
The consistent Rich Luck looks a great bet

Results

Race Dividends
Win 2 $ 2.30
Place1 2 $ 1.40
Place2 1 $ 3.10
Quinella 1,2 $ 6.60
Trifecta 2:1:3 $ 32.10
First4 2:1:3:5 $ 79.50
Trifecta - Selected!

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 3, 4, 7
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 4 - VRC MEMBER WILLIAM O'GRADY HANDICAP R84 ( R4)
Time: 4:00 | Distance: 1700m | Prize $109000

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
RED, BLACK DIAMONDS AND DIAMONDS CAP
11 Jaminzah   F: 18621
  B(9) W(54)
 ( J-  Stephen Baster )
Won
Dividends : $3.50 $1.70
Got the right run and burst through to win last start. Looks a decent up-and-comer which could win again.
Main Danger
ORANGE, WHITE HARLEQUIN YOKE, ARMBANDS AND CAP
9 Cosmic Lights   F: 42336
  B(1) W(55)
 ( J-  Regan Bayliss )
Consistent type which always finds a way to get beaten. Needs to get off the inside, but it has a good finishing burst.
Next Best
GOLD, RED AND BLUE DIAMOND BAND, RED AND GOLD STRIPED CAP
5 Portion Control   F: 62441
  B(6) W(58)
 ( J-  Cory Parish )
Placed
Dividend : $1.70
Beat the talented Show a Star last start and that should be good form if it can replicate the goods.
Include in Multis
NAVY BLUE, GOLD HOOPED SLEEVES, NAVY BLUE AND GOLD SPOTS CAP
3 Riyadh   F: X2111
  B(7) W(59)
 ( J-  Brian Higgins )
Winner of its last three races and it has won twice at Flemington from three starts. Harder here, but worth including.
Longer Odds
NAVY BLUE AND GOLD HOOPS, WHITE SLEEVES AND CAP
6 Duke of Ellington   F: 12576
  B(4) W(57)
Placed
Dividend : $3.60
Handles all conditions and winning this isn't beyond it.

Remarks

Most of the money has come for last start winner Jaminzah
race-image
Jaminzah is seeking consecutive Flemington wins

Results

Race Dividends
Win 11 $ 3.50
Place1 11 $ 1.70
Place2 5 $ 1.70
Place3 6 $ 3.60
Quinella 5,11 $ 6.20
Trifecta 11:5:6 $ 173.50
First4 11:5:6:1 $ 994.40
Trifecta - Selected!

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
3, 5, 6, 9, 11
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 5 - VRC MEMBER MARK YOUND HANDICAP 4YO+ R84 ( R5)
Time: 4:35 | Distance: 1400m | Prize $109000

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top PickThe 'Best Each Way'
GREEN, RED SASH, LEMON SLEEVES, RED POM POM
5 O'rachael   F: 53474
  B(6) W(54)
 ( J-  Ben Melham )
Continues to be ridden upside down, so hopefully they push forward with it. Has the ability and this is a suitable race.
Main Danger
GREEN, RED SLEEVES, WHITE ARMBANDS, RED CAP
2 Samovare   F: 231X2
  B(8) W(56)
 ( J-  Damien Oliver )
Placed
Dividend : $1.20
Has attracted plenty of attention with punters, but the odds are too short second up. Include in all bets.
Next Best
BLACK, RED BRACES, STRIPED CAP
6 Swampland   F: 32611
  B(3) W(54)
 ( J-  Regan Bayliss )
Won
Dividends : $4.70 $1.60
In great form having won its last two and maybe the penny has dropped for this talented runner.
Include in Multis
PURPLE, GOLD STAR, GOLD AND PURPLE STAR CAP
3 Niminypiminy   F: X5293
  B(5) W(55)
 ( J-  Damian Lane )
Placed
Dividend : $2.00
Has the experience needed to down a field like this. Will put itself in the race and prove tough to beat.
Longer Odds
WHITE, GREEN YOKE, SLEEVES AND CAP
4 Tavi Bay   F: X199X
  B(2) W(55)
Good record fresh up and at this track. Paying nice odds so include for value.

Remarks

Former Kiwi O'Rachael still seeks its first Australian win
race-image
Is now the time for O'Rachael in Australia? We think so

Results

Race Dividends
Win 6 $ 4.70
Place1 6 $ 1.60
Place2 2 $ 1.20
Place3 3 $ 2.00
Quinella 2,6 $ 4.80
Trifecta 6:2:3 $ 52.70
First4 6:2:3:8 $ 193.20
Treble 2/11/6 $ 47.20
Quaddie 3/2/11/6 $ 186.80
Trifecta - Selected!

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
2, 3, 4, 5, 6
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 6 - VRC MEMBER JOAN WATSON HANDICAP R70 ( R6)
Time: 5:15 | Distance: 1400m | Prize $65200

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
WHITE, GREEN AND ROYAL BLUE WAIKATO STUD LOGO, STRIPED SLEEVES, QUARTERED CAP
19 Tahi   F: 12
 ( J-  scratched )
Good win on debut and it proved its worth last start. Gets in with a claim and there's plenty of hype around this runner.
Main Danger
PINK, BLACK BRACES AND CAP
7 I Boogi   F: 118X1
  B(8) W(59)
 ( J-  Damian Lane )
Placed at all three runs at this distance and it's coming off an impressive win. Not easy from the draw, but consider.
Next Best
ROYAL BLUE, BLACK QUARTERS, YELLOW ARMBANDS, BLACK CAP
3 Knowable   F: 139X8
  B(4) W(60)
Competed against some nice types last campaign and it needed the hit out last start. Don't drop just yet.
Include in Multis
NAVY BLUE, GOLD LIGHTNING BOLT, GOLD AND WHITE ARMBANDS, GOLD CAP
9 Kilmacurragh   F: 10X3X
  B(1) W(59)
 ( J-  Dwayne Dunn )
Has been unlucky at times, but it should roll forward here and give them something serious to catch.
Longer Odds
PINK, WHITE QUARTERS
5 Fire Agate   F: 17624
 ( J-  scratched )
Rarely too far away from the action and the 3kg claim is a big assist.

Remarks

Great betting field where multiple runners have been backed
race-image
Tahi winning impressively on debut

Results

Race Dividends
Win 13 $ 3.90
Place1 13 $ 1.70
Place2 16 $ 4.40
Place3 11 $ 1.90
Quinella 13,16 $ 41.00
Trifecta 13:16:11 $ 259.90
First4 13:16:11:8 $ 2745.70
Double 6/13 $ 20.50
DBL conc 6/16 $ 19.80

Betting Suggestions

Quaddies
R6 (3) Knowable(7) I Boogi (9) Kilmacurragh (19) Tahi
R7 (1) Hey Doc(3) Grande Rosso (5) Flippant (7) Cannyescent
R8 (1) Crocodile Rock(9) Galaxy Raider (13) Dollar for Dollar
R9 (7) Rocket Tommy(11) Tribal Wisdom (12) Runsati
Quaddies % to a $20 stake: 13

Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
3, 5, 7, 9, 19
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 7 - AURIE'S STAR HANDICAP ( R7)
Time: 5:55 | Distance: 1200m | Prize $163000

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
BLACK, YELLOW STRIPED SLEEVES, QUARTERED CAP
5 Flippant   F: 33X53
  B(6) W(54)
 ( J-  Ben Melham )
Has won down the Flemington straight in the past which is a massive assist. Ready to win another race.
Main Danger
TARTAN, RED TRINITY KNOT, RED SLEEVES WITH TARTAN ARMBANDS, RED CAP
7 Cannyescent   F: 16111
  B(10) W(54)
 ( J-  Damien Oliver )
Placed
Dividend : $1.60
Up-and-coming type which has rattled off three consecutive wins. Has struggled in this grade in the past, but allow another chance.
Next Best
WHITE, GREEN SASH, BLACK SLEEVES AND CAP
3 Grande Rosso   F: 1175X
  B(9) W(56)
 ( J-  Regan Bayliss )
Placed
Dividend : $3.20
Likely to need the run, but it has been positively backed in the betting which suggests it could be ready to fire.
Include in Multis
WHITE, ROYAL BLUE SIDES, WHITE, ORANGE AND ROYAL BLUE HOOPED SLEEVES, ORANGE CAP
1 Hey Doc   F: 31196
  B(8) W(59)
 ( J-  Luke Currie )
Won
Dividends : $5.60 $2.00
Far too good to leave out of quaddie selections. Australian Guineas winner with plenty of upside.
Longer Odds
RED, LIME DIAGONAL STRIPES
9 Ruettiger   F: X0339
  B(1) W(54)
Past winner on this track and is capable of springing an upset.

Remarks

Best race of the day which features a group one-performed runners
race-image
Flippant looks a solid bet in the feature

Results

Race Dividends
Win 1 $ 5.60
Place1 1 $ 2.00
Place2 7 $ 1.60
Place3 3 $ 3.20
Quinella 1,7 $ 9.20
Trifecta 1:7:3 $ 133.20
First4 1:7:3:2 $ 572.20
Trifecta - Selected!

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 3, 5, 7, 9
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 8 - VRC MEMBER DORIS THEUMA HANDICAP R78 ( R8)
Time: 6:35 | Distance: 2000m | Prize $130000

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
NAVY BLUE, WHITE ARMBANDS AND CAP
1 Crocodile Rock   F: 1X21X
  B(6) W(60)
 ( J-  Ben Melham )
Placed
Dividend : $1.40
Showed ability in two runs last campaign and that form looks good for this. Just needs clear running to wind up.
Main Danger
RED AND WHITE STRIPES
9 Galaxy Raider   F: X9223
  B(9) W(57)
 ( J-  Nikita Beriman )
Has been expensive for punters this preparation, but the ability is there and the odds are appealing this time around.
Next Best
WHITE, ROYAL BLUE SIDES, WHITE, ORANGE AND ROYAL BLUE HOOPED SLEEVES, ORANGE CAP
13 Dollar for Dollar   F: X1745
  B(7) W(56)
 ( J-  Luke Currie )
Didn't get much luck when travelling wide last start. Drawn better here and it should appreciate Flemington.
Include in Multis
NAVY BLUE, WHITE BAND AND GO RACING LOGO, ARMBANDS AND CAP
16 Alward   F: 34X54
  B(4) W(54)
 ( J-  Michael Walker )
Won
Dividends : $5.40 $2.00
Produced a big finish last time out and chances are it will again with the light weight.
Longer Odds
SILVER, BLACK CHECKED SASH, CERISE SLEEVES, SILVER CAP, BLACK STAR
2 Bling Dynasty   F: 1X263
  B(11) W(58)
 ( J-  Jordan Childs )
Twice a winner and placed at this distance. Big weight, but the odds are good.

Remarks

Good mix of middle distance and staying types
race-image
Can Crocodile Rock play the right tune fresh up?

Results

Race Dividends
Win 16 $ 5.40
Place1 16 $ 2.00
Place2 5 $ 9.50
Place3 1 $ 1.40
Quinella 5,16 $ 137.10
Trifecta 16:5:1 $ 556.30
First4 16:5:1:9 $ 2885.40

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 9, 13, 16
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 9 - VRC MEMBER CHARLES WHITE HANDICAP R90 ( R9)
Time: 7:10 | Distance: 1000m | Prize $109000

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
ROYAL BLUE, RED STAR AND STARS SLEEVES, WHITE OUTLINE, ROYAL BLUE AND RED STAR CAP
12 Runsati   F: 39X08
  B(1) W(54)
 ( J-  Ben Melham )
Unbeaten fresh up from two starts and it likes this distance. Drawing wide down the straight is ideal.
Main Danger
WHITE, GREEN DIAMONDS, RED CAP
7 Rocket Tommy   F: 1110X
  B(9) W(57)
 ( J-  Damien Oliver )
Another fresh performer and it loves Flemington with two starts for two wins. Must be included.
Next Best
NAVY BLUE, GOLD LIGHTNING BOLT, GOLD AND WHITE ARMBANDS, GOLD CAP
11 Tribal Wisdom   F: 1710X
  B(6) W(54)
Didn't fire in the Arrowfield last start, but this is a massive step down in class. Include as it's at nice each way odds.
Include in Multis
WHITE, ROYAL BLUE STARS, ROYAL BLUE AND WHITE STARS SLEEVES AND CAP
1 Gun Case   F: 60171
  B(3) W(61)
Knows how to win and usually pays a good price when doing so. 3kg claim helps its cause.
Longer Odds
ORANGE, EMERALD GREEN QUARTERS, QUARTERED CAP
4 Tudor   F: 0500X
  B(4) W(58)
Has placed twice when fresh and it could be the blow out horse.

Remarks

Only three runners have attracted interest with punters
race-image
Runsati has lethal fresh up speed

Results

Race Dividends
Win 9 $ 12.90
Place1 9 $ 3.40
Place2 5 $ 3.90
Place3 6 $ 6.70
Place6 5,6,11/2,3,6/11 $ 86.40
Quinella 5,9 $ 98.50
Trifecta 9:5:6 $ 2317.50
First4 9:5:6:8 $ 32075.70
Double 16/9 $ 52.30
DBL conc 16/5 $ 20.90
Treble 1/16/9 $ 511.50
Quaddie 13/1/16/9 $ 1883.80

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 4, 7, 11, 12
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
By | 2017-08-12T06:20:24+00:00 August 12th, 2017|General|