M10 Avondale – 20th March 2020

Selections for: New Zealand Racing

Our selections for the M10 Avondale – 20th March 2020 are below: Good Luck! Back to Performance page

M10 Avondale – 20th March 2020

M10: Avondale - 20th Mar, 2020

Start time:1:02 pm
Weather:Showery
Track:Dead5

Overview

A six-race card with many nice betting fields

Day's "Best"

R2 (7) Eva James

Best "Each Way"

R3 (7) Vistock

Best "Roughie"

R5 (4) Here Comes Faffy
  • Race 1 - IN MEMORY OF MRS KATH CONWAY MAIDEN 1400
    Time: 1:02 | Distance: 1400m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    1 Nitrate   F: 32
      B(4) W(59.5)
     ( J-  Tegan Newman )
    Won
    Dividends : $2.10 $1.00
    Two starts for two placings, and a win looks close. It gets 3kg off its back and the early money has come.
    Main Danger
    2 Finn McCool   F: 3
      B(7) W(59.5)
    Placed
    Dividend : $1.40
    Third on debut and there is only improvement to come. In the right hands and it looks the biggest danger.
    Next Best
    7 Hail Damage   F: 5X
      B(1) W(57.5)
     ( J-  Sam Weatherley )
    Didn't do too much wrong when fifth on debut. Has been spelled since and it won a trial. Gets the inside draw.
    Include in Multis
    4 Inside Story   F:
      B(8) W(59.5)
     ( J-  Ryan Elliot )
     ( T-  Steven Cole )
    Has had plenty of trials to prepare for its debut. It could run a nice race here and add some spice to multiples.
    Longer Odds
    6 Altar Girl   F: 45840
      B(6) W(57.5)
     ( J-  Chris Dell )
    Better than what it has been showing. Chance.

    Remarks

    Good maiden to open the card
    race-image
    Nitrate should run close

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 1 $ 2.10
    Place1 1 $ 1.00
    Place2 9 $ 4.40
    Place3 2 $ 1.40
    Quinella 1:9 $ 18.70
    Trifecta 1:9:2 $ 84.20
    First4 1:9:2:3 $ 825.90

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    1, 2, 4, 6, 7
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 2 - NZB INSURANCE PEARL SERIES RACE MAIDEN 1200
    Time: 1:37 | Distance: 1200m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    The 'Day's Best'
    7 Eva James   F: 2X
      B(5) W(57.5)
     ( J-  Trudy Thornton )
    Won
    Dividends : $3.30 $1.50
    Impressive run for second on debut. Has a trial win since and that bodes well for a big run. It won't take long to breakthrough.
    Main Danger
    1 Arcarius   F:
      B(7) W(59.5)
     ( T-  Tony Pike )
    Placed
    Dividend : $1.40
    Drawn a touch awkwardly but it looked good at the trials. Solid money has come throughout the week and that's a good lead.
    Next Best
    4 Listonian   F:
      B(9) W(59.5)
     ( J-  Sam Spratt )
    Trial winner which is bred to show early speed. Punters are getting each-way odds and it could add some value.
    Include in Multis
    5 Tellall   F:
      B(3) W(59.5)
     ( J-  Leith Innes )
     ( T-  Tony Pike )
    Placed
    Dividend : $1.80
    Another runner that has attracted support in the betting. Solid trial efforts and it gets a good run from the draw. Chance.
    Longer Odds
    9 True Blessing   F: 5
      B(4) W(57.5)
    Has race experience which should help.

    Remarks

    Follow the form out of this race
    race-image
    Eva James could go one better

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 7 $ 3.30
    Place1 7 $ 1.50
    Place2 5 $ 1.80
    Place3 1 $ 1.40
    Quinella 5:7 $ 9.60
    Trifecta 7:5:1 $ 40.20
    First4 7:5:1:2 $ 110.60
    Double 1+/7+ $ 5.20
    Trifecta - Selected!

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    1, 4, 5, 7, 9
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 3 - MAYO GOLD MAIDEN 1600
    Time: 2:12 | Distance: 1600m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    The 'Best Each Way'
    7 Vistock   F: X5554
      B(2) W(58)
     ( J-  Sam Spratt )
    Hasn't been living up to expectations but this is a winnable race. Punters are getting good odds and an inside draw helps.
    Main Danger
    1 Foodie King   F: 4X226
      B(3) W(60.5)
     ( J-  Masa Hashizume )
    Placed
    Dividend : $1.10
    Helped out with a 3kg claimer in the saddle. Knocking on the door of a maiden win and this looks a suitable race. Big danger.
    Next Best
    4 Grand Award   F: X40X0
      B(5) W(60.5)
     ( J-  Leith Innes )
    Showed little last start but it's better than that. It could show some sharp improvement and run well at odds.
    Include in Multis
    8 Agey Babe   F: 65
      B(4) W(58)
    Not too far away in two starts to date. Looks likely to show improvement and if it picks the jump, it could go close.
    Longer Odds
    2 Etch   F: 0X37X
      B(1) W(60.5)
     ( J-  Ryan Elliot )
     ( T-  Steven Cole )
    Placed
    Dividend : $4.00
    Could jump and run off the inside draw.

    Remarks

    Not much covering this maiden field
    race-image
    Vistock runs at value odds

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 3 $ 20.80
    Place1 3 $ 3.50
    Place2 2 $ 4.00
    Place3 1 $ 1.10
    Quinella 2:3 $ 94.60
    Trifecta 3:2:1 $ 429.30
    First4 3:2:1:7 $ 2462.40
    Treble 1+/7+/3 $ 125.80

    Betting Suggestions

    Quaddies
    R3 (1) Foodie King(7) Vistock
    R4 (1) Lord Polonius(6) Pipsqueak Rose (8) Confectionery
    R5 (2) Louis Luck(10) Couturiere (11) Reiko (13) Glorious Ocean
    R6 (3) Tibetan(4) Commanding Annie
    Quaddies % to a $20 stake:

    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    1, 2, 4, 7, 8
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 4 - GRASSROOTS PETITION MAIDEN 1200
    Time: 2:47 | Distance: 1200m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    8 Confectionery   F:
      B(4) W(58)
    Best-backed runner in the field. Trial winner which is nicely bred, and expected to make a winning debut. In the right hands.
    Main Danger
    6 Pipsqueak Rose   F: 8X2
      B(1) W(58.5)
     ( J-  Trudy Thornton )
    Showed nothing on debut but turned that form around when second last start. Improving and jumping from the inside draw helps.
    Next Best
    1 Lord Polonius   F: X34D6
      B(3) W(60.5)
    Placed
    Dividend : $1.30
    Not the easiest horse to follow but it shouldn't take long to score. Runs at each-way odds here and it should go close.
    Include in Multis
    12 Zuma Rock   F:
      B(2) W(58)
     ( J-  Shaun McKay )
    Trial was solid and there has been good betting support. Drawn well and it could add some value.
    Longer Odds
    5 Lethal   F: X770X
      B(5) W(60)
    Placed
    Dividend : $1.70
    Chance if it brings its best form.

    Remarks

    It could be a good form guide for the future
    race-image
    Confectionery could be sweet

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 2 $ 14.90
    Place1 2 $ 2.70
    Place2 1 $ 1.30
    Place3 5 $ 1.70
    Quinella 1:2 $ 19.60
    Trifecta 2:1:5 $ 192.80
    First4 2:1:5:6 $ 462.60
    Double 3/2 $ 176.10

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    1, 5, 6, 8, 12
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 5 - AVONDALE SUNDAY MARKETS 1200
    Time: 3:22 | Distance: 1200m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    11 Reiko   F: 1X
      B(8) W(59)
    Placed
    Dividend : $2.20
    Scored nicely on debut and it's at longer odds than expected. Drawn a touch wide but it showed good barrier speed and that could come into play.
    Main Danger
    13 Glorious Ocean   F: 0X932
      B(6) W(59)
    Back-to-back placings coming into this race. Shouldn't take long to break through and the odds are generous. Chance.
    Next Best
    10 Couturiere   F: 61X
      B(5) W(59)
    Won
    Dividends : $6.50 $2.40
    Capped off its first campaign with a victory. Gets 2kg off its back and it has every chance to win. Include in selections.
    Include in Multis
    2 Louis Luck   F: 1056X
      B(10) W(60.5)
     ( J-  Leith Innes )
     ( T-  Lance Noble )
    Not ideal drawing wide but it has shown enough throughout its career to warrant attention. Could score a minor upset.
    Longer Odds
    The 'Best Roughie'
    4 Here Comes Faffy   F: 46136
      B(7) W(60.5)
     ( J-  Masa Hashizume )
    It's always worth including. One for odds.

    Remarks

    Each-way odds throughout the day
    race-image
    Reiko has speed

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 10 $ 6.50
    Place1 10 $ 2.40
    Place2 6 $ 8.60
    Place3 11 $ 2.20
    Quinella 6:10 $ 144.50
    Trifecta 10:6:11 $ 1552.70
    First4 10:6:11:3 $ 2909.90

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    2, 4, 10, 11, 13
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 6 - WESTBROOK WINES MAIDEN 2100
    Time: 3:57 | Distance: 2100m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    3 Tibetan   F: 23540
      B(4) W(60)
    Placed
    Dividend : $1.10
    Ran in the Derby as a maidener. Gets its chance to win and although the odds are short, it should put this field away.
    Main Danger
    4 Commanding Annie   F: 0632
      B(7) W(58.5)
     ( J-  Darren Danis )
    Placed
    Dividend : $1.50
    A danger to the favourite after running consecutive placings. Gets weight off its back and it could threaten.
    Next Best
    6 O'Susana   F: 0X733
      B(2) W(58.5)
     ( J-  Sam Spratt )
    Won
    Dividends : $8.80 $2.00
    Good runs of late after back-to-back third placings. Needs to settle a touch closer and it could win.
    Include in Multis
    5 Annalone   F: X7425
      B(9) W(58.5)
     ( J-  Craig Grylls )
    Mixing its form but its best would take it close. Just needs some luck from the wide draw to figure in the finish.
    Longer Odds
    7 House Of Cards   F: 8X693
      B(6) W(58.5)
    Better run last start and it could build on that.

    Remarks

    Nice race to close the card
    race-image
    Tibetan should be tough to beat

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 6 $ 8.80
    Place1 6 $ 2.00
    Place2 3 $ 1.10
    Place3 4 $ 1.50
    Quinella 3:6 $ 5.70
    Trifecta 6:3:4 $ 77.20
    First4 6:3:4:7 $ 569.30
    Double 10/6 $ 42.80
    Trifecta - Selected!
    First 4 - Selected!

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    3, 4, 5, 6, 7
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%