M2 Avondale – 10th July 2019

Selections for: New Zealand Racing

Our selections for the M2 Avondale – 10th July 2019 are below: Good Luck! Back to Performance page

M2 Avondale – 10th July 2019

M2: Avondale - 10th Jul, 2019

Start time:11:55 am
Weather:Cloudy
Track:Heavy10

Overview

Always a good meeting at Avondale where the track could play better than the carded heavy

Day's "Best"

R3 (9) Seductress

Best "Each Way"

R8 (1) Leaf

Best "Roughie"

R5 (1) Lambrusco

Race 1 - AJC.CO.NZ MAIDEN 1200
Time: 11:55 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
5 The White Queen   F: 225X4
  B(15) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Craig Grylls )
Drawn wide but it has the experience edge over many of these. Good enough run for fourth last start and improvement is expected.
Main Danger
2 Hurrian   F:
  B(10) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Andrew Calder )
Won
Dividends : $4.10 $1.90
Scored a trial win coming into this and the Swiss Ace runners have been handling heavy tracks. Drawn 12 but the money is on.
Next Best
12 Fleurgundy   F: 6X
  B(6) W(55.5)
Placed
Dividend : $1.80
Sixth on debut but has since performed well at the trials. Punters are getting nice odds and carrying 55.5kg helps here.
Include in Multis
1 Razor   F: 2680X
  B(5) W(58.5)
Placed
Dividend : $2.30
Gets 2kg off its back and although it produced some average efforts last campaign, it's a better chance now. Include for value.
Longer Odds
6 Lady De Winter   F: 0X3
  B(11) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Trudy Thornton )
Better effort for third last start and it's every chance of running well here.

Remarks

Could prove to be a good form guide for the future
race-image
The White Queen is a danger

Results

Race Dividends
Win 2 $ 4.10
Place1 2 $ 1.90
Place2 12 $ 1.80
Place3 1 $ 2.30
Quinella 2:12 $ 14.00
Trifecta 2:12:1 $ 151.80
First4 2:12:1:8 $ 1627.60
Trifecta - Selected!

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 5, 6, 12
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 2 - MULHOLLAND FOR A STRONGER VOICE MAIDEN
Time: 12:30 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
6 Frozen   F: 2
  B(10) W(55.5)
Had plenty of support on debut when running second. Nothing wrong with that effort and it has the breeding to suggest it will handle conditions.
Main Danger
1 Rukuhia   F: 88X3
  B(1) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Trudy Thornton )
 ( T-  Glenn Old )
Won
Dividends : $4.70 $1.80
Solid enough run for third last start at Rotorua. Will find this track more forgiving and getting the inside draw will ensure a nice trip throughout.
Next Best
8 Sepella   F: 3X58
  B(8) W(55.5)
 ( J-  Andrew Calder )
Placed
Dividend : $2.20
Has been a touch disappointing to date but does own talent. Not an easy field to compete against here but it has each-way claims.
Include in Multis
10 Sardonia   F: 5
  B(9) W(55.5)
 ( J-  Sam Spratt )
Fair effort for fifth on debut and it should only strengthen from that. Could head forward and give them all something to chase.
Longer Odds
2 Dontgiveadam   F: 007X
  B(6) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Mubs Kareem )
 ( T-  Peter Lock )
Could improve from its first campaign.

Remarks

Another exciting race which could provide punters with value
race-image
Frozen could ice this field

Results

Race Dividends
Win 1 $ 4.70
Place1 1 $ 1.80
Place2 8 $ 2.20
Place3 12 $ 12.00
Quinella 1:8 $ 16.00
Trifecta 1:8:12 $ 1722.40
First4 1:8:12:6 $ 2700.50

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 6, 8, 10
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 3 - AVONDALE SUNDAY MARKETS MAIDEN 1600
Time: 1:05 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top PickThe 'Day's Best'
9 Seductress   F: 0X2
  B(9) W(56.5)
 ( T-  Danica Guy )
Won
Dividends : $3.40 $1.60
Did nothing on debut but that was an improved run at odds last start. No easier here but there's some good money coming for it.
Main Danger
11 Southern Queen   F: 09040
  B(3) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Craig Grylls )
Could pay to overlook the line. It's not good but it hasn't had all luck in running. Drawn well and it should be right around the mark.
Next Best
1 Hunua Hank   F: 345X5
  B(1) W(58.5)
 ( T-  Nigel Tiley )
Stable is going well and it has an inside draw to its advantage. Has been right around the mark of late so include here.
Include in Multis
4 Van Blanc   F: 00X58
  B(2) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Vinnie Colgan )
 ( T-  Nigel Tiley )
Placed
Dividend : $3.30
Stablemate to Hunua Hank and it has been specked at odds. Drawn barrier two and we wouldn't be surprised to see it winning.
Longer Odds
6 Castello Royale   F: 0
  B(13) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Darren Danis )
 ( T-  J & B Vance )
Interesting runner which could run a race at double-figure odds.

Remarks

Good field and it should be a close affair
race-image
Seductress could tame this field

Results

Race Dividends
Win 9 $ 3.40
Place1 9 $ 1.60
Place2 4 $ 3.30
Place3 14 $ 12.60
Quinella 4:9 $ 19.10
Trifecta 9:4:14 $ 1326.80
First4 9:4:14:5 $ 12634.50

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 4, 6, 9, 11
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 4 - WEST BROOK WINES MAIDEN 1600
Time: 1:40 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
1 My Callisto   F: 2
  B(11) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Andrew Calder )
Won
Dividends : $4.10 $1.90
Ran better than expected when second on debut. Tricky draw here but there's good money on and that's a good sign.
Main Danger
8 Victoria   F: 8X266
  B(12) W(56.5)
Handy run for second when fresh up and although beaten since, it has ability to break maiden grades with ease. Just needs a bit of luck.
Next Best
7 Angelica   F: 7X284
  B(7) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Craig Grylls )
Mixing its form but has drawn nicely for this and should get a nice drag into the race. Has been well-backed throughout the week.
Include in Multis
16 Zealand   F: 67
  B(3) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Vinnie Colgan )
Placed
Dividend : $2.50
Two starts for two solid efforts. Improvement is expected now and it could break maiden grades. Include in multiples.
Longer Odds
6 Wotablast   F:
  B(4) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Sam Spratt )
 ( T-  Nigel Tiley )
Should enjoy the conditions and run well at nice odds.

Remarks

Many types eager to score their maiden win
race-image
All aboard My Callisto

Results

Race Dividends
Win 1 $ 4.10
Place1 1 $ 1.90
Place2 14 $ 7.90
Place3 16 $ 2.50
Quinella 1:14 $ 70.10
Trifecta 1:14:16 $ 1241.50
First4 1:14:16:12 $ 2469.20

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 6, 7, 8, 16
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 5 - ECHOES OF HEAVEN 2200
Time: 2:15 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
2 Flyingflynn   F: 80871
  B(4) W(59)
 ( J-  Sam Spratt )
Good enough to win last start and it could be good enough to win back-to-back. Turned some poor form around and could keep that in tact.
Main Danger
3 Our Craftsman   F: 07412
  B(8) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Andrew Calder )
 ( T-  K & G Opie )
Last two starts have been good. In career-best form now and seeing out this distance won't be an issue. Looks tough to beat once again.
Next Best
6 Lady Azamour   F: 05471
  B(5) W(56.5)
Placed
Dividend : $1.80
Another last-start winner with winning claims. Gets every chance against this level of opposition and it has been backed steadily.
Include in Multis
9 Indah   F: 90X04
  B(6) W(56)
 ( J-  Craig Grylls )
Indicated last start that a win won't be far off. In the right hands and punters should expect continued improvement.
Longer OddsThe 'Best Roughie'
1 Lambrusco   F: X0058
  B(3) W(59.5)
 ( J-  Taiki Yanagida )
Won
Dividends : $9.00 $2.80
Claim helps and it could provide some value.

Remarks

Each-way all day field
race-image
Flynn could fly

Results

Race Dividends
Win 1 $ 9.00
Place1 1 $ 2.80
Place2 7 $ 3.30
Place3 6 $ 1.80
Quinella 1:7 $ 39.60
Trifecta 1:7:6 $ 316.00
First4 1:7:6:2 $ 1972.40

Betting Suggestions

Quaddies
R5 (2) Flyingflynn(3) Our Craftsman (6) Lady Azamour
R6 (1) Tipical(4) Sweet Nineteen (11) Palamedes
R7 (1) Inca Warrior(7) Conclusion (9) Lupelani (10) Red Tsunami
R8 (1) Leaf(5) Our Shaman (13) Anjameme (14) Damesel
Quaddies % to a $20 stake:

Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 3, 6, 9
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 6 - AUCKLAND ALARMS 1400
Time: 2:54 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
1 Tipical   F: 0X343
  B(4) W(60)
 ( J-  Chelsea Burdan )
 ( T-  Tony Pike )
Getting close to a win and the 3kg claim will help. The best-backed runner in the field and its odds could continue to firm.
Main Danger
11 Palamedes   F: 33193
  B(1) W(56)
 ( J-  Vinnie Colgan )
Owns a recent win and has backed that up with a third placing last start. Drawn well and it should be right around the mark again.
Next Best
4 Sweet Nineteen   F: 7X736
  B(15) W(58)
 ( J-  Alysha Collett )
Placed
Dividend : $2.20
Drawing barrier 16 isn't easy but it ran well for third two back. Fair effort last start but conditions should suit and the each-way odds appeal.
Include in Multis
2 Mount Midoriyama   F: 38X08
  B(13) W(59.5)
 ( J-  Sam Spratt )
 ( T-  Nigel Tiley )
Form is only average but it's much better than that represents. Should run at each-way odds and it could add some nice value.
Longer Odds
9 Splendido   F: 09X09
  B(3) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Masa Hashizume )
Only a one-win runner but it loves running a place. Chance to add some value.

Remarks

Huge field and there looks to be many winning hopes
race-image
Tipical looks an each-way chance

Results

Race Dividends
Win 3 $ 15.20
Place1 3 $ 3.70
Place2 4 $ 2.20
Place3 16 $ 6.10
Quinella 3:4 $ 35.90
Trifecta 3:4:16 $ 1432.00
First4 3:4:16:2 $ 3934.40

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 4, 9, 11
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 7 - NEWMARKET STUD 1200
Time: 3:29 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
1 Inca Warrior   F: 36X01
  B(1) W(61)
 ( J-  Darren Danis )
 ( T-  Steven Cole )
Placed
Dividend : $1.70
Impressive winner last time out and it's likely to kick on with it. Gets the inside draw and an apprentice claimer. Every chance of winning again.
Main Danger
7 Conclusion   F: 0X403
  B(6) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Chelsea Burdan )
Much-improved run last start at Te Aroha. Drops down to 54.5kg with the claim and it has been heavily backed at each-way odds.
Next Best
10 Red Tsunami   F: 4X8X1
  B(7) W(56)
 ( J-  Vinnie Colgan )
Won
Dividends : $8.40 $2.80
Scored well enough last start to suggest it could handle the rise in class. Conditions should suit and we're liking the value on offer.
Include in Multis
9 Lupelani   F: 5X704
  B(4) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Sam Spratt )
 ( T-  Nigel Tiley )
Drifting in the betting but it has winning claims. Looks another strong winning chance in an open field.
Longer Odds
8 Irish Mist   F: 8700X
  B(11) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Eilish McCall )
Could run a nice race at long odds. Conditions won't be an issue.

Remarks

There's some smart types in this
race-image
Inca Warrior was winning claims

Results

Race Dividends
Win 10 $ 8.40
Place1 10 $ 2.80
Place2 2 $ 2.70
Place3 1 $ 1.70
Quinella 2:10 $ 38.60
Trifecta 10:2:1 $ 289.10
First4 10:2:1:5 $ 2857.50

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 7, 8, 9, 10
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 8 - MIKE BROWN 60TH BIRTHDAY MAIDEN 1400
Time: 4:04 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top PickThe 'Best Each Way'
1 Leaf   F: X7X43
  B(11) W(58.5)
Placed
Dividend : $1.90
Improving runs this preparation and that was a nice effort for third last time out. Still improving and it just needs luck from the draw.
Main Danger
13 Anjameme   F: 3
  B(6) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Craig Grylls )
Wasn't far off them when third fresh up. Drifting significantly in the betting but punters shouldn't be turned off by that.
Next Best
5 Our Shaman   F: 3
  B(1) W(58.5)
Won
Dividends : $10.20 $3.80
Inside draw and claimer riding. Goes into the mix at each-way odds and it has been nicely backed.
Include in Multis
14 Damesel   F: 45X35
  B(17) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Sam Spratt )
Another with a wide draw but it could settle back and flash home late. Looks an each-way chance in this.
Longer Odds
7 Each Way   F: 0440X
  B(2) W(58.5)
Could run into the money at "each-way" odds.

Remarks

Nice race to close the card
race-image
Mekelle is a nice type

Results

Race Dividends
Win 5 $ 10.20
Place1 5 $ 3.80
Place2 9 $ 4.40
Place3 1 $ 1.90
Quinella 5:9 $ 80.30
Trifecta 5:9:1 $ 651.60
First4 5:9:1:13 $ 1577.30

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 5, 7, 13, 14
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%