M2 Ellerslie – 20th April 2019

Selections for: New Zealand Racing

Our selections for the M2 Ellerslie – 20th April 2019 are below: Good Luck! Back to Performance page

M2 Ellerslie – 20th April 2019

M2: Ellerslie - 20th Apr, 2019

Start time:12:40 pm
Weather:Fine
Track:Good3

Overview

The Easter Handicap is always a good race and it's a terrific eight-race card at Ellerslie on Saturday

Day's "Best"

R7 (11) The Mitigator

Best "Each Way"

R5 (11) Spindle

Best "Roughie"

R8 (6) Rusavy

Race 1 - MARKS EWEN 1400
Time: 12:40 | Distance: 1400m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
2 Santa Catarina   F: 0X231
  B(1) W(57.5)
Won
Dividends : $1.50 $1.20
Has the class to beat this field and it returned to form with a last start win. Not always suited by small fields but it should go close.
Main Danger
1 Riding The Wave   F: 36X11
  B(3) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Leith Innes )
 ( T-  Nigel Tiley )
Placed
Dividend : $1.60
Still on the way up after scoring back-to-back wins this preparation. Likely to sit off Santa Caterina and pounce late.
Next Best
4 Flying Grand   F: 1
  B(4) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Vinnie Colgan )
This stable gets them firing early and that showed up last start. Good debut win and punters are getting double-figure odds.
Include in Multis
5 Not Usual June   F: X1751
  B(5) W(56.5)
Plenty of experience on the board and two wins this campaign. Upset chance.
Longer Odds
Insufficient Runners

Remarks

Two well-backed runners in this
race-image
Santa Catarina could win again

Results

Race Dividends
Win 2 $ 1.50
Place1 2 $ 1.20
Place2 1 $ 1.60
Quinella 1:2 $ 1.60
Trifecta 2:1:5 $ 10.20
First4 2:1:5:4 $ 23.70
Trifecta - Selected!
First 4 - Selected!

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
Insufficient Runners
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 2 - BARFOOT & THOMPSON 2200
Time: 1:15 | Distance: 2200m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
3 Misstumut   F: 72113
  B(7) W(56)
 ( J-  Andrew Calder )
 ( T-  Ben Ropiha )
Scored back-to-back wins before running a solid third last time out. Better suited in this and it just needs some cover from a tricky draw.
Main Danger
5 Za Za Gabor   F: 8X116
  B(8) W(56)
 ( J-  Jake Bayliss )
Placed
Dividend : $1.50
Owns talent as it showed when producing back-to-back wins. Only fair last start but this is easier and this combination is going well.
Next Best
1 Savapak   F: 36732
  B(9) W(59)
 ( J-  Craig Grylls )
Won
Dividends : $3.20 $1.40
One of the more experienced runners in this field. Hasn't won for a long time now but it has been knocking on the door. Chance with luck.
Include in Multis
4 Red Sky At Night   F: 27730
  B(10) W(56)
Not the most consistent runner going around. Could be a shepherd's delight if it runs well at odds here.
Longer Odds
2 Pierian Spring   F: 55281
  B(5) W(58)
 ( J-  Ryan Elliot )
Good win last start. More depth to this field but include at double-figure odds.

Remarks

Three runners all quoted as favourite. Makes for an even race.
race-image
Misstumut has quality

Results

Race Dividends
Win 1 $ 3.20
Place1 1 $ 1.40
Place2 7 $ 3.00
Place3 5 $ 1.50
Quinella 1:7 $ 16.50
Trifecta 1:7:5 $ 109.60
First4 1:7:5:8 $ 434.00

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 3, 4, 5
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 3 - MADISON QUALITEX 1200
Time: 1:50 | Distance: 1200m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
3 Marzemino   F: 11341
  B(8) W(58)
 ( J-  Andrew Calder )
Won
Dividends : $1.60 $1.00
Kicked clear for the win last time out and more of the same is expected here. Small field suits and it just needs to find a good spot from the draw.
Main Danger
1 Save The Date   F: 12530
  B(3) W(59)
 ( J-  Leith Innes )
 ( T-  Lance Noble )
Disappointing effort last time out but it has shown ability in the past. Has a win and a placing at Ellerslie which helps.
Next Best
10 One Bakerstreet   F: 7X102
  B(6) W(54)
Suited here with the light weight of 54kg. Should be able to land on the speed and it just needs to kick in the straight. Chance.
Include in Multis
6 Its Destinys Child   F: 21137
  B(2) W(56)
 ( T-  J & B Vance )
Back-to-back winner already this campaign and although a touch inconsistent, it has enough ability to score.
Longer Odds
4 Hammer King   F: 52201
  B(5) W(58)
 ( J-  Cameron Lammas )
Placed
Dividend : $2.10
Showed its true form when winning last time out. Worth including at odds.

Remarks

Strong money coming for the odds-on favourite
race-image
Marzemino looks a top chance

Results

Race Dividends
Win 3 $ 1.60
Place1 3 $ 1.00
Place2 9 $ 3.40
Place3 4 $ 2.10
Quinella 3:9 $ 10.30
Trifecta 3:9:4 $ 78.90
First4 3:9:4:7 $ 404.80

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 3, 4, 6, 10
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 4 - BUFFALO & CO CHAMPAGNE STAKES
Time: 2:25 | Distance: 1600m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
8 Glinda Goodwitch   F: 2726
  B(3) W(54.5)
Has Group 1 experience and that has to count for something. Heavily backed to win and it should get all favours in the run.
Main Danger
7 In Fashion   F: 5413
  B(2) W(54.5)
 ( J-  Ryan Elliot )
Mixed form to date but it has been good overall. Drawn barrier two and it should be right around the lead throughout.
Next Best
1 Checkers   F: 231
  B(1) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Craig Grylls )
Improved to run third last time out. In the right hands to win a race like this and using the inside barrier is only going to help.
Include in Multis
9 Rendition   F: 362
  B(8) W(54.5)
 ( J-  Leith Innes )
Placed
Dividend : $1.70
Yet to win but it's only a matter of time. Good run on this track last start and having that experience at Ellerslie is a bonus.
Longer Odds
2 Quick Thinker   F: 2
  B(9) W(56.5)
Won
Dividends : $7.70 $2.00
Didn't do much wrong last start and it should be right in the mix.

Remarks

Many of these will be winning soon
race-image
In Fashion looks a nice type

Results

Race Dividends
Win 2 $ 7.70
Place1 2 $ 2.00
Place2 4 $ 13.20
Place3 9 $ 1.70
Quinella 2:4 $ 169.80
Trifecta 2:4:9 $ 2527.20
First4 2:4:9:1 $ 7946.80

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 7, 8, 9
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 5 - VRC TROPHY 1600
Time: 3:00 | Distance: 1600m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top PickThe 'Best Each Way'
11 Spindle   F: 62515
  B(6) W(55.5)
 ( J-  Sam Spratt )
Placed
Dividend : $3.60
Shouldn't be paying the odds it's currently at. Good win two back and wasn't far off them last start. Right in this.
Main Danger
2 Tightlign   F: 43915
  B(11) W(60)
 ( J-  Craig Grylls )
Won
Dividends : $4.60 $2.10
Sprinted nicely to win two back but only battled last time out. Tricky draw and big weight but there's plenty of money on.
Next Best
12 Vichy   F: 31453
  B(10) W(55.5)
 ( J-  Ryan Elliot )
Placed
Dividend : $1.80
Nicely weighted and it rarely runs a bad race. Hasn't been far away from the prize lately and it should be included.
Include in Multis
1 King's Cross   F: 44328
  B(3) W(60.5)
 ( J-  Darren Danis )
Imported runner which gets some weight off its back. Goes well on this track and although expensive lately, worth including here.
Longer Odds
4 Project   F: 0X784
  B(12) W(59.5)
 ( T-  Tony Cole )
Better effort last start and it's worth including at the price.

Remarks

Not much covering this field
race-image
Spindle is a value runner

Results

Race Dividends
Win 2 $ 4.60
Place1 2 $ 2.10
Place2 12 $ 1.80
Place3 11 $ 3.60
Quinella 2:12 $ 10.90
Trifecta 2:12:11 $ 186.30
First4 2:12:11:6 $ 2670.90
Trifecta - Selected!

Betting Suggestions

Quaddies
R5 (1) King's Cross(2) Tightlign (11) Spindle (12) Vichy
R6 (10) Spring Delight(11) Jip Jip Rock (13) Intrigue
R7 (11) The Mitigator(13) Le Castile (15) Mongolianconqueror (17) Demonetization
R8 (1) Anything But(10) Incantesimo (16) Aniceta
Quaddies % to a $20 stake:

Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 4, 11, 12
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 6 - VALACHI DOWNS CHAMPIONSHIP STAKES
Time: 3:35 | Distance: 2100m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
10 Spring Delight   F: 21012
  B(2) W(54.5)
 ( J-  Craig Grylls )
Has a good turn-of-foot which will be needed to win this. Nicely drawn and it will attract plenty of interest come race day. Top chance.
Main Danger
13 Intrigue   F: 7611
  B(8) W(54.5)
 ( J-  Leith Innes )
 ( T-  Tony Pike )
Placed
Dividend : $2.00
Nice type on the rise and it's in the right hands. Big win at Pukekohe last start and it could be headed for the top grades.
Next Best
11 Jip Jip Rock   F: 12X32
  B(9) W(54.5)
Beaten last start but in no way should it be paying double-figure odds. Right in this with the right run in transit.
Include in Multis
8 Star Karen   F: 10733
  B(1) W(54.5)
 ( J-  Robert Hannam )
Must be considered back on that most recent effort. Battled on well and that form should stack up nicely here.
Longer Odds
5 Hasabro   F: 0X913
  B(11) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Cameron Lammas )
Came hard at them last start but came up just short. Up to this level when right.

Remarks

Wide open field and it's the best betting race of the day
race-image
Don't discount Jip Jip

Results

Race Dividends
Win 6 $ 20.00
Place1 6 $ 5.20
Place2 13 $ 2.00
Place3 1 $ 2.70
Quinella 6:13 $ 64.30
Trifecta 6:13:1 $ 1069.30
First4 6:13:1:5 $ 7442.40

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
5, 8, 10, 11, 13
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 7 - MANCO EASTER HANDICAP
Time: 4:10 | Distance: 1600m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top PickThe 'Day's Best'
11 The Mitigator   F: 38261
  B(1) W(52)
 ( J-  Shaun McKay )
 ( T-  Peter McKay )
Went forward as per usual last start and they couldn't catch it. Inside draw and light weight makes it awfully tough to beat.
Main Danger
13 Le Castile   F: 11415
  B(4) W(52)
Has shown the ability to win this campaign and it has the ability to sit handy and kick away late. Right in the mix here.
Next Best
15 Mongolianconqueror   F: 7X6X3
  B(5) W(52)
 ( J-  Craig Grylls )
Hasn't quite delivered on its promise but that was a handy run for third last start and it will only improve with more racing.
Include in Multis
17 Demonetization   F: 26213
  B(11) W(52)
 ( J-  Rosie Myers )
 ( T-  Nigel Tiley )
Well weighted at 52kg and that brings it into contention. Nice win two back and at its best, it would push them close.
Longer Odds
1 Endless Drama   F: X5042
  B(2) W(59)
 ( J-  Leith Innes )
 ( T-  Tony Pike )
Won
Dividends : $10.80 $4.00
Former Australian which flashed home late last start.

Remarks

Huge field and big value on offer for the feature of the day
race-image
The Mitigator will lead

Results

Race Dividends
Win 1 $ 10.80
Place1 1 $ 4.00
Place2 6 $ 5.90
Place3 12 $ 10.10
Quinella 1:6 $ 72.00
Trifecta 1:6:12 $ 7098.90
First4 1:6:12:17 $ 42775.20

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 11, 13, 15, 17
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 8 - FAREWELL & GOOD LUCK TIMMY G 1600
Time: 4:45 | Distance: 1600m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
1 Anything But   F: 412
  B(11) W(59)
 ( J-  Jake Bayliss )
Has been good in three career starts to date. That included a win two back and it shouldn't be far off them.
Main Danger
10 Incantesimo   F: 87422
  B(12) W(58)
 ( J-  Darren Danis )
Won
Dividends : $4.30 $1.70
Becoming a little expensive its last few but the talent is there. Tricky draw but it should be going close in a race like this.
Next Best
16 Aniceta   F: 55738
  B(10) W(56)
 ( J-  Vinnie Colgan )
Placed
Dividend : $3.60
Hasn't been too far away from the prize and could offer some value.
Include in Multis
2 Reevederci   F: 35X77
  B(9) W(59)
 ( J-  Leith Innes )
 ( T-  Lance Noble )
Only fair its last two but it could produce a much better run here. Chance.
Longer OddsThe 'Best Roughie'
6 Rusavy   F: 20361
  B(8) W(59)
 ( J-  Shaun McKay )
 ( T-  Chris Wood )
Kicked on for the win last start so consider here.

Remarks

Even field to close the card
race-image
Incantesimo has each-way claims

Results

Race Dividends
Win 10 $ 4.30
Place1 10 $ 1.70
Place2 3 $ 6.50
Place3 16 $ 3.60
Quinella 3:10 $ 50.80
Trifecta 10:3:16 $ 1092.70
First4 10:3:16:1 $ 5545.30
Double 1/10 $ 45.30

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 6, 10, 16
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%