M2 Ellerslie – 24th August 2019

Selections for: New Zealand Racing

Our selections for the M2 Ellerslie – 24th August 2019 are below: Good Luck! Back to Performance page

M2 Ellerslie – 24th August 2019

M2: Ellerslie - 24th Aug, 2019

Start time:12:09 pm
Weather:Showery
Track:Heavy11

Overview

Pakuranga Hunt day and although on a heacy track, there's some good races scheduled

Day's "Best"

R4 (6) Mandalay

Best "Each Way"

R7 (8) Raisafuasho

Best "Roughie"

R3 (5) Pierian Spring

Race 1 - SITE LAND DEVELOPMENT 1200
Time: 12:09 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
1 Back In A Flash   F: 01484
  B(7) W(59)
 ( T-  K & G Opie )
Won
Dividends : $2.50 $1.60
Carries the big weight but has solid form coming into this. Gets some weight relief and it has been specked throughout the week.
Main Danger
6 Justacanta   F: 75022
  B(5) W(55)
Placed
Dividend : $2.00
Getting close to a win after consecutive placings. Down in the weights and it's another well-backed runner with Speedy Meady coming out.
Next Best
5 Solmization   F: 82726
  B(3) W(55.5)
 ( J-  Masa Hashizume )
Certainly talented enough to beat this field. Gets in well on the weights with the 4kg claim and we're confident of a good run.
Include in Multis
2 Resurrect   F: 39X35
  B(6) W(59)
 ( J-  Cameron Lammas )
Two runs back from a spell have been only fair but worth including here. The small field could help its chances.
Longer Odds
7 Pushka   F: 0X993
  B(2) W(54)
 ( J-  Rebecca Scott )
Better when third last start and it could continue that momentum.

Remarks

Small field but looks a good race
race-image
Back In A Flash has upside

Results

Race Dividends
Win 1 $ 2.50
Place1 1 $ 1.60
Place2 6 $ 2.00
Quinella 1:6 $ 4.30
Trifecta 1:6:5 $ 27.00
First4 1:6:5:7 $ 117.00
Trifecta - Selected!
First 4 - Selected!

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 5, 6, 7
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 2 - WADE EQUINE COACHES 1600
Time: 12:44 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
8 Don't Doubt Me   F: 66242
  B(3) W(54.5)
 ( J-  Darren Danis )
Placed
Dividend : $1.40
We won't doubt this runner is overdue a winning turn. Drops right down in the weights after a last-start placing so respect its chances.
Main Danger
6 Deluxe Edition   F: 01443
  B(8) W(55.5)
 ( J-  Rebecca Scott )
 ( T-  Ian George )
Good win four back and it should be able to handle the heavy conditions. 3kg claimer in the saddle and it should be right around the mark.
Next Best
7 Straight Sets   F: 32324
  B(1) W(55)
 ( J-  Ryan Elliot )
Tough customer which will continue to plough through conditions. Might want to get off the inside draw at some point but can do so in the small field.
Include in Multis
1 Bransome   F: 80223
  B(4) W(59)
 ( J-  Masa Hashizume )
 ( T-  Frank Neill )
Placed
Dividend : $2.50
Drops to 55kg with the 4kg claim. Looks set to win a race shortly after three consecutive placings. Should go close.
Longer Odds
3 The Kipling Girl   F: 62690
  B(7) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Taiki Yanagida )
 ( T-  Scott Wenn )
Needs to turn its form around but this is the race to do it.

Remarks

Not much covering this market top to bottom
race-image
Don't Doubt Me, so we won't

Results

Race Dividends
Win 2 $ 10.90
Place1 2 $ 2.80
Place2 8 $ 1.40
Place3 1 $ 2.50
Quinella 2:8 $ 22.10
Trifecta 2:8:1 $ 333.20
First4 2:8:1:5 $ 2421.50

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 3, 6, 7, 8
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 3 - FLAIR AMATEUR RIDERS 2200
Time: 1:19 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
9 Ave Maria   F: 34331
  B(12) W(67)
 ( J-  Luke Myers )
 ( T-  Kevin Myers )
Placed
Dividend : $1.80
Scored a long overdue win last time out it could kick on with it now. Has a capable rider in the saddle and punters are getting nice odds.
Main Danger
3 Hurry Cane   F: X3222
  B(9) W(70)
 ( J-  Emma Quinn )
Won
Dividends : $3.60 $1.60
Looks set to win a race after four placings this time in. Keeps finding one better but this is its best chance. Another runner at juicy odds.
Next Best
6 Twin Spinner   F: 24135
  B(5) W(68.5)
 ( J-  Scotty MacNab )
Placed
Dividend : $1.80
Battled away for fifth last start after looming at the top of the straight. Has been around the mark all campaign so include.
Include in Multis
4 Double Happy   F: X0921
  B(2) W(69)
 ( T-  Nigel Tiley )
Made punters happy last start and it could go bang bang. Drawn low but it could get back and look to swing wide late.
Longer OddsThe 'Best Roughie'
5 Pierian Spring   F: 68533
  B(10) W(69)
Battles away gamely and shouldn't be left out at odds.

Remarks

Plenty of value on offer in the amateur race
race-image
Ave Maria could go back-to-back

Results

Race Dividends
Win 3 $ 3.60
Place1 3 $ 1.60
Place2 6 $ 1.80
Place3 9 $ 1.80
Quinella 3:6 $ 8.20
Trifecta 3:6:9 $ 51.30
First4 3:6:9:4 $ 138.70
Double 2/3+ $ 32.10
Trifecta - Selected!
First 4 - Selected!

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
3, 4, 5, 6, 9
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 4 - KICK ON MAIDEN STEEPLECHASE
Time: 1:54 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top PickThe 'Day's Best'
6 Mandalay   F: 785B2
  B(5) W(66)
 ( J-  Aaron Kuru )
 ( T-  Kevin Myers )
Won
Dividends : $2.70 $1.50
In the right hands for this and comes into it with a good placing last start. Aaron Kuru is riding very well and it looks a good chance again.
Main Danger
1 Willare   F: 03423
  B(1) W(68)
 ( J-  Toni Moki )
Capable of winning a race like this but meets a couple better more times than not. Should be able to put its best foot forward in these conditions.
Next Best
2 Little Macs   F: 9X533
  B(3) W(68)
 ( J-  Shaun Fannin )
 ( T-  Kevin Myers )
Placed
Dividend : $2.00
Another Myers-trained runner which has been warming up nicely to a maiden steeple win. Doesn't need to improve much to score.
Include in Multis
3 El Fernando   F: 725F4
  B(6) W(68)
 ( J-  Shaun Phelan )
 ( T-  Mark Brooks )
Good flat form but has been struggling a touch over the jumps. Two-time winner at Ellerslie and that's a positive.
Longer Odds
4 Kilronan   F: 85865
  B(4) W(68)
 ( J-  Emily Farr )
Chance to cause a boilover if the breaks go its way.

Remarks

Just a field of six in the first leg of the quaddie
race-image
Go with Mandalay here

Results

Race Dividends
Win 6 $ 2.70
Place1 6 $ 1.50
Place2 2 $ 2.00
Quinella 2:6 $ 4.40
Trifecta 6:2:4 $ 22.90
First4 6:2:4:1 $ 31.00
Treble 2/3+/6+ $ 121.70
Quaddie 1+/2/3+/6+ $ 346.20
Trifecta - Selected!
First 4 - Selected!

Betting Suggestions

Quaddies
R4 (1) Willare(2) Little Macs (6) Mandalay
R5 (2) Ali Baba(4) Bee Tee Junior
R6 (1) Laekeeper(2) No Tip (9) Abacus
R7 (2) Max(3) Gagarin (8) Raisafuasho (10) Lacustre
Quaddies % to a $20 stake:

Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 3, 4, 6
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 5 - BRIDGES INSURANCE SERVICES MAIDEN HURDLE
Time: 2:29 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
2 Ali Baba   F: 02549
  B(7) W(68)
 ( J-  Mathew Gillies )
Had talent on the flat in its hey day. That's certainly not now but it could relive its glory days over the jumps. Has been well backed which is a good sign.
Main Danger
4 Bee Tee Junior   F: 55737
  B(13) W(68)
 ( J-  Aaron Kuru )
The best-backed runner of the field. Last few have been fair but is suited here and these conditions won't worry it. Must include.
Next Best
13 Toorak Tower   F: 68820
  B(12) W(68)
 ( J-  Emily Farr )
 ( T-  Warren Lund )
Need a confidence boost but that could come here. Has shown ability in the past and the big type could cause a minor upset.
Include in Multis
1 Magic Cannon   F: 09333
  B(4) W(68)
 ( J-  Reece Cole )
Won
Dividends : $7.80 $2.30
Three consecutive third placings but that should hold it in good stead for this. Only needs to improve slightly to score.
Longer Odds
6 Blanco Bay   F: 78205
  B(2) W(68)
 ( J-  Shaun Phelan )
Placed
Dividend : $3.50
Always worth includng at nice odds.

Remarks

Big field and it should be a quality maiden hurdle
race-image
Ali Baba could steal this

Results

Race Dividends
Win 1 $ 7.80
Place1 1 $ 2.30
Place2 8 $ 16.30
Place3 6 $ 3.50
Quinella 1:8 $ 340.20
Trifecta 1:8:6 $ 3596.40
First4 1:8:6:14 $ 5920.30

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 4, 6, 13
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 6 - CORSON MAIZE PAKURANGA HUNT HURDLE
Time: 3:04 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
2 No Tip   F: 21913
  B(9) W(67)
 ( J-  Aaron Kuru )
Placed
Dividend : $1.50
Twice a winner already this winter and it went well for third last time out. Heavily backed to win and it looms as a major chance.
Main Danger
1 Laekeeper   F: 533LL
  B(8) W(67.5)
 ( J-  Shaun Fannin )
 ( T-  Simon Rees )
Won
Dividends : $4.80 $1.60
Strange couple of rides from Emily Farr. New jockey goes on board and hopefully he can stay on. Goes close if it completes the circuit.
Next Best
9 Abacus   F: 44221
  B(4) W(65)
 ( J-  Emily Farr )
Goes into the mix based off its most recent win. Could kick on with it now after that residual fitness. Has been backed in from double-figure odds.
Include in Multis
6 King Oberon   F: X6712
  B(5) W(65)
 ( J-  Isaac Lupton )
Placed
Dividend : $1.60
Last couple of starts have been good and it adds another runner to the puzzle. Should be around the mark.
Longer Odds
10 Henry Tudor   F: P1453
  B(10) W(65)
 ( J-  Reece Cole )
Capable and will continue to improve with time.

Remarks

Looks another exciting edition of the Pakuranga Hunt
race-image
No Tip is our tip

Results

Race Dividends
Win 1 $ 4.80
Place1 1 $ 1.60
Place2 2 $ 1.50
Place3 6 $ 1.60
Quinella 1:2 $ 5.20
Trifecta 1:2:6 $ 39.40
First4 1:2:6:7 $ 388.00
Trifecta - Selected!

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 6, 9, 10
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 7 - CLC PAKURANGA HUNT CUP
Time: 3:39 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top PickThe 'Best Each Way'
8 Raisafuasho   F: 77511
  B(8) W(65)
 ( J-  Shaun Fannin )
Got a bit tired towards the end of its run last start, but had enough in the tank. Goes well and it loves Ellerslie. Top pick.
Main Danger
2 Max   F: 61234
  B(6) W(68.5)
 ( J-  Isaac Lupton )
Form has tapered off a touch this season but there's class with this runner. Goes close and punters will get nice odds.
Next Best
10 Lacustre   F: 53254
  B(3) W(65)
 ( J-  Shaun Phelan )
Won
Dividends : $7.30 $2.40
Could see a big turnaround in its form here. Goes well at this track and it's another runner at nice odds. Include for value.
Include in Multis
3 Gagarin   F: 14192
  B(10) W(68)
 ( J-  Mathew Gillies )
 ( T-  Kevin Myers )
Always around the mark and it showed good fight to run second last start. Past winner at Ellerslie so it goes into the mix.
Longer Odds
1 Wise Men Say   F: 66553
  B(7) W(69.5)
 ( J-  Reece Cole )
Has upset claims at odds.

Remarks

Big field and plenty of each-way chances
race-image
Raisafuasho is a crowd fav

Results

Race Dividends
Win 10 $ 7.30
Place1 10 $ 2.40
Place2 7 $ 7.60
Place3 13 $ 11.80
Quinella 7:10 $ 150.20
Trifecta 10:7:13 $ 8088.60
First4 10:7:13:2 $ 9609.60
Double 1/10 $ 36.60

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 3, 8, 10
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%