M2 Ellerslie – 26th December 2019

Selections for: New Zealand Racing

Our selections for the M2 Ellerslie – 26th December 2019 are below: Good Luck! Back to Performance page

M2 Ellerslie – 26th December 2019

M2: Ellerslie - 26th Dec, 2019

Start time:12:30 pm
Weather:Fine
Track:Good3

Overview

Zabeel Classic on Boxing Day. Packed card with plenty of great betting races

Day's "Best"

R4 (2) Harlech

Best "Each Way"

R6 (4) Jip Jip Rock

Best "Roughie"

R3 (9) Lucky Sweep
  • Race 1 - DUNSTAN FEEDS STAYERS CHAMPS QUALIFIER 2200
    Time: 12:30 | Distance: m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    7 Star Karen   F: X6225
      B(4) W(56.5)
     ( J-  Leith Innes )
    Placed
    Dividend : $1.60
    Looked the winner last start but just battled late. Better for that run and punters are getting nice odds. Should go close here.
    Main Danger
    8 Special Light   F: X7502
      B(2) W(54)
     ( J-  Mick Dee )
     ( T-  Tony Pike )
    Much improved run for second last time out. Gets in with only 54kg on its back and that is a big plus. Drawn well.
    Next Best
    5 Swing Note   F: 4X064
      B(7) W(57.5)
     ( J-  Opie Bosson )
    Improving with every run this campaign. Should be able to test a few of these and the odds are appealing. Opie rides.
    Include in Multis
    1 All Roads   F: 80837
      B(10) W(60)
     ( T-  Tony Cole )
    Class type but will need to turn around some moderate form. Showed ability when placing two back and a similar run would be good enough.
    Longer Odds
    9 Take It Out   F: 41X23
      B(9) W(54)
     ( J-  Darren Danis )
    Light weight chance at the generous odds.

    Remarks

    This is always a good form race
    race-image
    Star Karen has upside

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 6 $ 9.40
    Place1 6 $ 2.80
    Place2 4 $ 3.40
    Place3 7 $ 1.60
    Quinella 4:6 $ 48.10
    Trifecta 6:4:7 $ 426.60
    First4 6:4:7:1 $ 4144.80

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    1, 5, 7, 8, 9
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 2 - STELLA ARTOIS 1100
    Time: 1:05 | Distance: m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    2 Brazier   F:
      B(7) W(57)
     ( J-  Ryan Elliot )
    Colt out of Katie Lee. Bred to be good and it has shown good pace at home. Jockey is riding confidently and it has been heavily backed.
    Main Danger
    5 Philipsburg   F:
      B(6) W(57)
     ( J-  Opie Bosson )
    Trial winner which has attracted attention with bookmakers. Opie rides and that should attract more bets come race day. Chance.
    Next Best
    11 Embers   F:
      B(2) W(55)
     ( J-  Mick Dee )
     ( T-  Tony Pike )
    Placed
    Dividend : $2.20
    Nice odds considering it's a trial winner and has terrific breeding. Every chance of winning this at generous odds.
    Include in Multis
    8 Taroni   F: 2
      B(3) W(55)
     ( J-  Leith Innes )
     ( T-  Lance Noble )
    Won
    Dividends : $4.50 $1.60
    Has had the benefit of race experience. Shouldn't have been relegated when winning on debut but this field has more depth.
    Longer Odds
    7 Tivaan Warrior   F: 54
      B(12) W(55)
     ( J-  Andrew Calder )
     ( T-  Dean Wiles )
    Just needs some luck from the draw. Consider.

    Remarks

    Progressive field with many potentially nice types
    race-image
    Brazier could make a winning debut

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 8 $ 4.50
    Place1 8 $ 1.60
    Place2 9 $ 1.90
    Place3 11 $ 2.20
    Quinella 8:9 $ 12.60
    Trifecta 8:9:11 $ 129.20
    First4 8:9:11:4 $ 1033.40

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    2, 5, 7, 8, 11
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 3 - BARFOOT & THOMPSON 1400
    Time: 1:40 | Distance: m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    6 Campari   F: 0X739
      B(5) W(56)
    Didn't fire last start but we're prepared to give it another chance. Drawn well and it should be hitting the line nicely. Odds appeal.
    Main Danger
    5 Gino Severini   F: 0X126
      B(9) W(56.5)
     ( J-  James McDonald )
    Placed
    Dividend : $1.30
    Odds are a touch short of value. However, it has plenty of ability as shown when winning fresh up. McDonald rides.
    Next Best
    2 Cavallo Veloce   F: 34584
      B(2) W(58.5)
     ( J-  Shaun McKay )
     ( T-  Peter McKay )
    Made a big impression when winning first up in New Zealand. A little flat since but this is a winnable race. Talented at best.
    Include in Multis
    8 Cha Siu Bao   F: 363X4
      B(7) W(55)
     ( J-  Mick Dee )
    Placed
    Dividend : $2.10
    Good run for fourth last time out. Doesn't win all that often but it's another runner that is paying nice odds. Include for value.
    Longer Odds
    The 'Best Roughie'
    9 Lucky Sweep   F: 360X8
      B(8) W(54.5)
     ( J-  Sam Spratt )
    Better than what it showed last start. Value.

    Remarks

    Another each-way field
    race-image
    Campari runs at value odds

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 7 $ 19.20
    Place1 7 $ 3.90
    Place2 5 $ 1.30
    Place3 8 $ 2.10
    Quinella 5:7 $ 17.30
    Trifecta 7:5:8 $ 315.50
    First4 7:5:8:1 $ 5500.50
    Treble 6/8/7 $ 982.40

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    2, 5, 6, 8, 9
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 4 - SHAW'S WIRES ROPES UNCLE REMUS STAKES
    Time: 2:15 | Distance: m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    The 'Day's Best'
    2 Harlech   F: X1212
      B(9) W(58.5)
     ( J-  Mick Dee )
    Placed
    Dividend : $1.70
    Looks a lovely type in the making. Huge run for second in the Guineas and despite the draw, it could settle back and storm home late.
    Main Danger
    3 Travelling Light   F: 1113
      B(7) W(57.5)
     ( J-  Jason Waddell )
     ( T-  Ben Foote )
    Won
    Dividends : $2.70 $1.40
    Suffered its first defeat in the Guineas. Did a little too much early work and we prefer it ridden with patience. Expect a change in tactics.
    Next Best
    12 Bella Mente   F: X0235
      B(1) W(55.5)
     ( J-  James McDonald )
    Has won only one of its eight starts but has been heavily backeds at odds. Inside draw helps and McDonald rides. Consider.
    Include in Multis
    5 Double Impact   F: 136
      B(3) W(57.5)
     ( J-  Troy Harris )
    Looked good on debut when scoring an improbable win. Only fair since but there is more improvement to come. Worth sticking with at odds.
    Longer Odds
    4 Shenanigans   F: 12
      B(10) W(57.5)
     ( J-  Ryan Elliot )
    Good debut win and its subsequent run was good. Chance.

    Remarks

    Cracking race. One of the better races of the day
    race-image
    Harlech is an explosive type

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 3 $ 2.70
    Place1 3 $ 1.40
    Place2 2 $ 1.70
    Place3 13 $ 3.40
    Quinella 2:3 $ 4.10
    Trifecta 3:2:13 $ 73.40
    First4 3:2:13:12 $ 245.10
    Double 7/3+ $ 82.40

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    2, 3, 4, 5, 12
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 5 - HEADQUARTERS VIADUCT/THE LONELY HEARTS CLUB 1200
    Time: 2:53 | Distance: m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    9 Only In Jakarta   F: 11
      B(9) W(56)
     ( J-  James McDonald )
     ( T-  Tony Pike )
    Won
    Dividends : $1.60 $1.20
    Looks a very nice type in the making. Blew them away last start and having James McDonald in the saddle only adds to the appeal. Top chance.
    Main Danger
    8 One Kotukustreet   F: 25132
      B(5) W(57)
     ( J-  Masa Hashizume )
    Placed
    Dividend : $2.00
    Doesn't know how to run a bad race and it goes well enough to win this. Drawn well and gets 3kg coming off its back. Goes close.
    Next Best
    10 Pimms 'N' Pearls   F: X2713
      B(4) W(56)
     ( J-  Leith Innes )
    Should always be included. Has talent and has shown that already this campaign. Chance.
    Include in Multis
    4 Aero De Paris   F: 12414
      B(3) W(58.5)
     ( J-  Craig Grylls )
    Two wins from its last five starts. Nothing wrong with that form and the odds are too good to pass up. Worth including.
    Longer Odds
    11 Stylish Suggestion   F: 1X933
      B(2) W(56)
     ( J-  Mick Dee )
    Has been well backed at odds. Chance.

    Remarks

    Another cracking field where the money is on the favourite
    race-image
    Only In Jakarta could remain unbeaten

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 9 $ 1.60
    Place1 9 $ 1.20
    Place2 8 $ 2.00
    Place3 1 $ 2.20
    Quinella 8:9 $ 5.30
    Trifecta 9:8:1 $ 37.90
    First4 9:8:1:4 $ 171.00
    Quaddie 8/7/3+/9+ $ 861.20

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    4, 8, 9, 10, 11
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 6 - DUNSTAN FEEDS 1500 CHAMPIONSHIP FINAL
    Time: 3:28 | Distance: m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    The 'Best Each Way'
    4 Jip Jip Rock   F: 7X981
      B(9) W(54)
     ( J-  Ryan Elliot )
    Cruised home to beat a good field last start. Has always promised to deliver and could start doing that now. Goes on top.
    Main Danger
    1 Hypnos   F: 96X51
      B(7) W(60)
     ( J-  Vinnie Colgan )
    Improved on some average form to win last start. Hit the line with plenty in hand and only the weight would stop it. Chance.
    Next Best
    7 Incantesimo   F: 16X72
      B(6) W(54)
     ( J-  Craig Grylls )
    Going to get every chance with only 54kg on the back. Drawn well and it could improve on a last-start placing.
    Include in Multis
    8 Riding The Wave   F: 2X723
      B(15) W(54)
     ( J-  Leith Innes )
     ( T-  Nigel Tiley )
    Going to need luck from barrier 17 but it has enough ability. Another with 54kg and it shouldn't be too far away.
    Longer Odds
    10 Penteverest   F: X8330
      B(2) W(54)
     ( J-  Rosie Myers )
     ( T-  K & B Kelso )
    Better than what it showed last start. Stick with it at long odds.

    Remarks

    Each way odds throughout this field
    race-image
    Jip Jip Rock could go back-to-back

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 18 $ 49.30
    Place1 18 $ 12.50
    Place2 9 $ 4.40
    Place3 2 $ 4.40
    Quinella 9:18 $ 342.60
    Trifecta 18:9:2 $ 13968.20
    First4 - $ 0.00
    Double 9+/18 $ 46.50

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    1, 4, 7, 8, 10
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 7 - SKYCITY EIGHT CARAT CLASSIC (G2)
    Time: 4:05 | Distance: m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    1 Jennifer Eccles   F: X2432
      B(4) W(56.5)
     ( J-  James McDonald )
    Won
    Dividends : $1.90 $1.20
    Deserves a winning turn after going so close in every start. Still being a maiden is a big worry but it's not lacking talent. Just needs to prove that it can win.
    Main Danger
    2 Two Illicit   F: 311
      B(5) W(56.5)
     ( J-  Vinnie Colgan )
    Placed
    Dividend : $1.80
    Hasn't done much wrong in winning its last two starts. Drifting in the betting but it should be well-backed come race day. Chance.
    Next Best
    8 Aalaalune   F: 40414
      B(6) W(56.5)
     ( J-  Ryan Elliot )
    Had its chance last start but should find the pace of this race to its liking. Tough to follow but is capable at best.
    Include in Multis
    9 Tears Of Jupiter   F: X4213
      B(2) W(56.5)
     ( J-  Mick Dee )
    Nothing wrong with its form coming into this. Consistent type which won nicely two back. Could show some early speed and win.
    Longer Odds
    4 Manchu   F: 19322
      B(9) W(56.5)
     ( J-  Shaun McKay )
     ( T-  Lance Noble )
    Generous odds on offer. Chance.

    Remarks

    Good way to kick off the quaddie
    race-image
    Can Jennifer Eccles get off the mark in a G2?

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 1 $ 1.90
    Place1 1 $ 1.20
    Place2 2 $ 1.80
    Place3 3 $ 2.70
    Quinella 1:2 $ 3.80
    Trifecta 1:2:3 $ 29.20
    First4 1:2:3:4 $ 365.50

    Betting Suggestions

    Quaddies
    R7 (1) Jennifer Eccles(2) Two Illicit
    R8 (2) Avantage(5) Marzemino (7) Mr Universe
    R9 (2) True Enough(3) The Mitigator (7) Beauden
    R10 (2) Acutus(4) River Run (5) Iago (9) Indah
    Quaddies % to a $20 stake:

    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    1, 2, 4, 8, 9
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 8 - HALLMARK STUD HANDICAP
    Time: 4:40 | Distance: m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    2 Avantage   F: 3X287
      B(12) W(58.5)
     ( J-  Opie Bosson )
    Placed
    Dividend : $1.70
    Tough from the draw but it has experience in Australia and that's key here. Owns more class than most in this field. Goes on top because of that.
    Main Danger
    7 Mr Universe   F: 32121
      B(6) W(54.5)
     ( J-  Ryan Elliot )
    Effortless win last time out. That's a sign of more to come and it's still on the rise. 54.5kg makes it tough to beat.
    Next Best
    5 Marzemino   F: 11X18
      B(11) W(55)
     ( J-  Andrew Calder )
    Could pay to overlook that last start. Missed the jump and that put an end to its chances. Form prior was outstanding.
    Include in Multis
    6 Speedy Meady   F: 36322
      B(4) W(55)
     ( J-  Chris Dell )
    Placed
    Dividend : $2.80
    Lives up to its name. Has speedy but just needs to win more frequently. Has been well backed to score so keep safe.
    Longer Odds
    10 Santa Catarina   F: 113X9
      B(7) W(53)
    Expect better after a poor showing last start.

    Remarks

    Quality sprinting field
    race-image
    Avantage is all class

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 9 $ 18.00
    Place1 9 $ 4.20
    Place2 2 $ 1.70
    Place3 6 $ 2.80
    Quinella 2:9 $ 30.20
    Trifecta 9:2:6 $ 710.00
    First4 9:2:6:12 $ 9382.90

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    2, 5, 6, 7, 10
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 9 - CAMBRIDGE STUD ZABEEL CLASSIC (G1)
    Time: 5:16 | Distance: m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    7 Beauden   F: 32121
      B(9) W(59)
     ( J-  Ryan Elliot )
    Placed
    Dividend : $2.00
    Showed its versatility when scoring an effortless win last start. Sign of things to come and it should love this distance.
    Main Danger
    2 True Enough   F: X1313
      B(4) W(59)
     ( J-  James McDonald )
    Won
    Dividends : $3.60 $1.70
    Is more than good enough to win at this level. Has shown that when winning twice this season already. Goes close.
    Next Best
    3 The Mitigator   F: X3221
      B(10) W(59)
     ( J-  Shaun McKay )
     ( T-  Peter McKay )
    Owns barrier speed and that can be tough to overcome at Ellerslie. Could pinch a lead around the turn and kick away.
    Include in Multis
    9 Vernanme   F: X2166
      B(2) W(58.5)
    Better than what it has been showing recently. Good enough to beat a field of this quality and punters are getting good odds.
    Longer Odds
    6 Tiptronic   F: X8135
      B(11) W(59)
     ( J-  Cameron Lammas )
    Comes into the race with luck. One for odds.

    Remarks

    Expect a close contest in the feature
    race-image
    Beauden was excellent last start

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 2 $ 3.60
    Place1 2 $ 1.70
    Place2 10 $ 3.60
    Place3 7 $ 2.00
    Quinella 2:10 $ 20.00
    Trifecta 2:10:7 $ 170.80
    First4 2:10:7:4 $ 1318.20

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    2, 3, 6, 7, 9
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 10 - AUCKLAND CO-OP TAXIS 1600
    Time: 5:53 | Distance: m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    9 Indah   F: 046X1
      B(3) W(57.5)
     ( J-  Craig Grylls )
    Imported which showed them a thing or two fresh up. Nice odds on offer for a progressive type. Should run well.
    Main Danger
    2 Acutus   F: 7X532
      B(12) W(59)
     ( J-  Opie Bosson )
     ( T-  J & B Vance )
    Getting better with every run this campaign. Probably should have won a race this season but gets its chance here.
    Next Best
    4 River Run   F: 159X4
      B(15) W(59)
     ( J-  James McDonald )
     ( T-  Tony Pike )
    Placed
    Dividend : $1.00
    Hit the line nicely when clear last start. Going to require a good ride but it has been respected in betting. Consider.
    Include in Multis
    5 Iago   F: X3X04
      B(11) W(58.5)
     ( J-  Troy Harris )
    Placed
    Dividend : $3.70
    Returned to good form when fourth last time out. Should be able to go close with a good ride. Chance if that comes.
    Longer Odds
    1 Hasabro   F: 40X55
      B(2) W(59.5)
     ( J-  Sam Spratt )
    Not far off its best now. Chance at long odds.

    Remarks

    Great punting field to close the card
    race-image
    Indah is a talent

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 6 $ 39.80
    Place1 6 $ 9.30
    Place2 5 $ 3.70
    Place3 4 $ 1.00
    Quinella 5:6 $ 199.10

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    1, 2, 4, 5, 9
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%