M2 Ellerslie – 28th September 2019

Selections for: New Zealand Racing

Our selections for the M2 Ellerslie – 28th September 2019 are below: Good Luck! Back to Performance page

M2 Ellerslie – 28th September 2019

M2: Ellerslie - 28th Sep, 2019

Start time:12:51 pm
Weather:Fine
Track:Heavy10

Overview

Plenty of nice races on the Ellerslie card

Day's "Best"

R1 (4) Blackmagicwoman

Best "Each Way"

R5 (1) Justacanta

Best "Roughie"

R7 (9) Star Karen

Race 1 - BARFOOT & THOMPSON 2200
Time: 12:51 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top PickThe 'Day's Best'
4 Blackmagicwoman   F: X9591
  B(5) W(54)
 ( J-  Eilish McCall )
Gutsy win last time out and that form should stack up nicely for this. Likes the track and it gets in with only 51kg.
Main Danger
2 Pacorus   F: 76552
  B(2) W(54)
 ( J-  Darren Danis )
 ( T-  Chris Wood )
Won
Dividends : $4.00 $2.20
Another well-weighted runner at 52kg. Much better run for second last start and it should be running close here.
Next Best
1 Zacada   F: 13X97
  B(1) W(60)
Classy customer but it does have to carry the 60kg on a heavy track. Can't be doubting its ability however. Goes into the mix.
Include in Multis
6 Mont Ventoux   F: 31412
  B(4) W(54)
 ( J-  Chris Dell )
Placed
Dividend : $2.00
Has shown a likely for winter conditions. Drawn well and it was hitting the line nicely last start. Won't be far away.
Longer Odds
7 Windy Height   F: 05206
  B(7) W(54)
 ( J-  Anna Jones )
Never too far away and it could add some value.

Remarks

Some tough stayers lining up here
race-image
Blackmagicwoman could cast a spell

Results

Race Dividends
Win 2 $ 4.00
Place1 2 $ 2.20
Place2 6 $ 2.00
Quinella 2:6 $ 8.40
Trifecta 2:6:4 $ 39.50
First4 2:6:4:7 $ 284.30
Trifecta - Selected!
First 4 - Selected!

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 4, 6, 7
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 2 - BILL SATTLER MEMORIAL 1300
Time: 1:26 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
7 London Bound   F: 18
  B(7) W(55.5)
 ( J-  Craig Grylls )
Looked good winning on debut and although average last start, this looks more suitable. Drawn well and there has been good money put on throughout the week.
Main Danger
6 Avadane   F: 414X
  B(3) W(55.5)
 ( J-  Leith Innes )
 ( T-  Lance Noble )
Took on some good opposition last campaign. Scored a handy win two back and it looks well-placed here. Top chance.
Next Best
5 She's A Lady   F: X12X4
  B(6) W(55.5)
Worked into the race nicely last time out. Gets a chance to win here and the conditions shouldn't be a problem. Nice odds on offer.
Include in Multis
8 Sorrentina   F: 3
  B(4) W(54)
Won
Dividends : $6.10 $1.80
Did enough to run well for third on debut. This stable is starting to heat up and with only 54kg on the back, that brings it into contention.
Longer Odds
9 Tears Of Jupiter   F: 94X
  B(5) W(54)
Has talent and just needs to show it on race day.

Remarks

Form out of this race looks good
race-image
London Bound looked good on debut

Results

Race Dividends
Win 8 $ 6.10
Place1 8 $ 1.80
Place2 3 $ 2.10
Place3 2 $ 2.40
Quinella 3:8 $ 18.50
Trifecta 8:3:2 $ 224.70
First4 8:3:2:9 $ 1489.70
Double 2+/8 $ 12.80

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
5, 6, 7, 8, 9
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 3 - AUCKLAND CO-OP TAXIS 1200
Time: 2:01 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
5 Lupelani   F: 66113
  B(5) W(54)
 ( J-  Rebecca Scott )
 ( T-  Nigel Tiley )
Won
Dividends : $3.20 $1.70
Beaten on its merits last start but dropping to 51kg is ideal for this. Looked good winning back-to-back races prior. Goes on top.
Main Danger
3 Midnight Runner   F: 3511X
  B(4) W(57)
Placed
Dividend : $1.50
Has the most talent in this field and there has been good money placed. Fresh up on heavy conditions is the negative, but it goes close.
Next Best
2 Ronchi   F: 2480X
  B(2) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Masa Hashizume )
Proven customer which has two wins from five fresh-up starts. 3kg comes off the back and that will be needed. Right in the mix.
Include in Multis
4 Livin' On A Prayer   F: 068X0
  B(1) W(54)
 ( J-  Ryoya Kozaki )
Inside draw and a light weight. Needs a confidence boost and that could come here. Has been primed for a run following its fresh up effort.
Longer Odds
6 Inca Warrior   F: 13545
  B(3) W(54)
 ( T-  Steven Cole )
Continues to battle away and that could see it run close.

Remarks

Small field but it should be an exciting race
race-image
Lupelani could bounce back

Results

Race Dividends
Win 5 $ 3.20
Place1 5 $ 1.70
Place2 3 $ 1.50
Quinella 3:5 $ 3.50
Trifecta 5:3:6 $ 23.90
First4 5:3:6:4 $ 47.20
Trifecta - Selected!
First 4 - Selected!

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
2, 3, 4, 5, 6
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 4 - STELLA ARTOIS MAIDEN 1200
Time: 2:39 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
12 Amusez Moi   F:
  B(6) W(56)
 ( T-  Nigel Tiley )
Trial winner which has attracted plenty of attention in the betting. Stable knows how to get them ready on debut. Top chance.
Main Danger
14 Early Morning Rise   F: 37X
  B(11) W(54)
Showed some ability with two runs last time in work. Showing good signs this time in and it should get to the outside and flash home.
Next Best
6 Pearl Davone   F: 237
  B(7) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Craig Grylls )
 ( T-  Cody Cole )
Has been backed and beaten in all three starts to date. Hasn't been too far away and that fitness could help here. Nice odds on offer.
Include in Multis
10 Eagle County   F:
  B(13) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Sam Spratt )
Looked good at the trials and the Swiss Ace progeny find form quickly. Punters are getting good odds and it's worth including.
Longer Odds
7 Wondering   F: X872X
  B(3) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Trudy Thornton )
Placed
Dividend : $3.00
Handy placing when last in work. Goes into the mix at odds.

Remarks

Open field with good odds
race-image
These colours could win

Results

Race Dividends
Win 13 $ 10.30
Place1 13 $ 3.10
Place2 7 $ 3.00
Place3 2 $ 4.90
Quinella 7:13 $ 45.80
Trifecta 13:7:2 $ 1335.80
First4 13:7:2:6 $ 5067.50
Double 5/13 $ 24.40

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
6, 7, 10, 12, 14
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 5 - OTAKIRI RESERVE 1200
Time: 3:14 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top PickThe 'Best Each Way'
1 Justacanta   F: 02223
  B(6) W(59)
 ( J-  Erin Leighton )
Won
Dividends : $4.30 $1.70
Knocking on the door after placing in its last four starts. Gets a valuable 4kg claimer in the saddle and that makes it tough to beat.
Main Danger
6 One Kotukustreet   F: 9X251
  B(4) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Masa Hashizume )
Placed
Dividend : $2.30
Has loads of ability as shown when winning last time out. Goes close in this.
Next Best
9 Molto Veloce   F: 1461X
  B(9) W(56)
Looked better than average last campaign. Scored two wins from its last four starts and anything close to that would be good enough. Goes into the mix.
Include in Multis
3 Bit Lippy   F: 306X5
  B(5) W(58)
 ( J-  Vinnie Colgan )
Talented type which just needs a confidence boost. Likely to sit just off the pace and sprint well late. Chance.
Longer Odds
8 Boundtobehonored   F: X1414
  B(2) W(56)
 ( J-  Leith Innes )
 ( T-  Tony Pike )
Placed
Dividend : $2.10
Two wins already this preparation and that bodes well.

Remarks

One of the more open fields of the day
race-image
Justacanta has win claims

Results

Race Dividends
Win 1 $ 4.30
Place1 1 $ 1.70
Place2 8 $ 2.10
Place3 6 $ 2.30
Quinella 1:8 $ 13.80
Trifecta 1:8:6 $ 147.10
First4 1:8:6:7 $ 1117.00
Trifecta - Selected!

Betting Suggestions

Quaddies
R5 (1) Justacanta(3) Bit Lippy (6) One Kotukustreet (9) Molto Veloce
R6 (1) Deejay Mac(4) Maestro Blu (5) Lucetta
R7 (4) Obsessive(10) Elle Eye Are (11) Codecracker
R8 (10) Dance Card(11) My Superior Girl
Quaddies % to a $20 stake:

Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 3, 6, 8, 9
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 6 - STELLA ARTOIS 2100
Time: 3:49 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
4 Maestro Blu   F: 21153
  B(4) W(58)
 ( J-  Masa Hashizume )
 ( T-  Simon Rees )
Hasn't won its last couple but form prior was impressive. Scored back-to-back wins and dropping to 55kg here helps. Goes on top.
Main Danger
5 Lucetta   F: 222X0
  B(3) W(56.5)
Needed the fresh up run and it has plenty of improvement to come. Ended its last campaign with three consecutive placings.
Next Best
1 Deejay Mac   F: 83152
  B(8) W(59)
Placed
Dividend : $2.00
Hasn't been far away this year. Looked the goods when winning three back and put the writing on the wall last time out. Goes close once again.
Include in Multis
6 Flying Fantasia   F: 21185
  B(6) W(56)
 ( J-  Sam Spratt )
Past winner at Ellerslie and it has more than enough ability to win against this opposition. Chance with a good ride.
Longer Odds
7 Rodolfo   F: 60514
  B(1) W(55.5)
 ( J-  Trudy Thornton )
Won
Dividends : $17.40 $3.80
Should get a good run and it could score at nice odds.

Remarks

Many runners have attracted attention in the betting
race-image
Maestro Blu looks tough to beat

Results

Race Dividends
Win 7 $ 17.40
Place1 7 $ 3.80
Place2 1 $ 2.00
Place3 2 $ 2.40
Quinella 1:7 $ 48.30
Trifecta 7:1:2 $ 752.60
First4 7:1:2:6 $ 6122.70
Double 1/7 $ 69.20

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 4, 5, 6, 7
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 7 - BARFOOT & THOMPSON 1600
Time: 4:24 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
4 Obsessive   F: 23113
  B(5) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Troy Harris )
Hit the line nicely last start and form prior included two quality wins. Looks a nice winter type on the rise and it should be going close.
Main Danger
11 Codecracker   F: 23431
  B(1) W(54)
 ( T-  K & B Kelso )
Placed
Dividend : $1.60
Scored an overdue win last time out and it's likely to kick on with it now. Nicely weighted at 54kg and it pays to stick with it.
Next Best
10 Elle Eye Are   F: 13682
  B(6) W(54)
 ( J-  Craig Grylls )
Placed
Dividend : $2.10
Got back to good form when running second last start. Loomed to win and with more fitness under its belt, it could go one better here.
Include in Multis
3 No Loitering   F: 41132
  B(7) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Erin Leighton )
 ( T-  Iain Marks )
Hasn't lost any admirers with its recent form. Gets a claimer to help with the weight and it shouldn't be discounted.
Longer OddsThe 'Best Roughie'
9 Star Karen   F: 7330X
  B(4) W(55.5)
 ( J-  Leith Innes )
Has potential and that could show here.

Remarks

Loads of winning form throughout this field
race-image
Stick with Obsessive

Results

Race Dividends
Win 6 $ 10.80
Place1 6 $ 2.70
Place2 10 $ 2.10
Place3 11 $ 1.60
Quinella 6:10 $ 52.00
Trifecta 6:10:11 $ 324.70
First4 6:10:11:3 $ 2076.30

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
3, 4, 9, 10, 11
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 8 - AUCKLAND CO-OP TAXIS 1400
Time: 4:59 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
11 My Superior Girl   F: 321
  B(8) W(57)
 ( J-  Andrew Calder )
Placed
Dividend : $1.80
Was superior when scoring last time out. Looks a nice type in the making and this stable is going well at present. On top.
Main Danger
10 Dance Card   F: 6321X
  B(1) W(57)
 ( J-  Leith Innes )
 ( T-  Lance Noble )
Better than average and it looks a nice spring type. Scored at its most recent start and it could make a winning resumption here.
Next Best
7 Red Sky At Night   F: 7306X
  B(7) W(58)
 ( J-  Vinnie Colgan )
Didn't show its best last time in work but the ability is there. Could show improvement here at nice odds.
Include in Multis
13 Quizzy Lizzy   F: 1304
  B(13) W(56.5)
Won
Dividends : $5.70 $1.90
Stays in work after some solid efforts. Goes close at its best and punters are getting generous odds.
Longer Odds
4 Just Raj   F: 1792
  B(4) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Sam Spratt )
Went well last start and a repeat takes it close.

Remarks

Wide-open field in the last
race-image
My Superior Girl could win again

Results

Race Dividends
Win 13 $ 5.70
Place1 13 $ 1.90
Place2 11 $ 1.80
Place3 18 $ 5.10
Quinella 11:13 $ 7.40
Trifecta 13:11:18 $ 424.60
First4 13:11:18:8 $ 5271.20
Double 6/13 $ 53.80

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
4, 7, 10, 11, 13
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%