M2 Ellerslie – 30th March 2019

Selections for: New Zealand Racing

Our selections for the M2 Ellerslie – 30th March 2019 are below: Good Luck! Back to Performance page

M2 Ellerslie – 30th March 2019

M2: Ellerslie - 30th Mar, 2019

Start time:12:20 pm
Weather:Cloudy
Track:Good3

Overview

Nine races on the card at Ellerslie where even racing is the flavour of the day

Day's "Best"

R3 (5) Monaco

Best "Each Way"

R6 (1) Breezon

Best "Roughie"

R5 (2) Stratocaster

Race 1 - VODAFONE EVENTS CENTRE 2400
Time: 12:20 | Distance: 2400m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
1 Jimmy Rocket   F: 66453
  B(8) W(59)
 ( J-  Cameron Lammas )
Slightly disappointing this season after promising much throughout its career. Better effort last start and that was an encouraging placing.
Main Danger
3 Vee Cece   F: 71666
  B(1) W(56)
 ( J-  Taiki Yanagida )
Won
Dividends : $1.60 $1.10
Was wide throughout last start and that should be a good form guide for this. Rise in distance won't hurt its chances.
Next Best
5 Sweet Treat   F: 66224
  B(4) W(56)
 ( J-  Trudy Thornton )
Placed
Dividend : $2.20
Consecutive second placings before running fourth last time out. Capable type which has a strong rider in the saddle. Chance.
Include in Multis
7 Arite Guru   F: 0X873
  B(5) W(56)
Doesn't possess a ton of speed but that was a nice showing last start. Each way claims here.
Longer Odds
6 The Midnight Shift   F: 10087
  B(6) W(56)
 ( J-  Andrew Calder )
Last four starts have been poor but it has a chance with luck in running.

Remarks

Should be a competitive opener
race-image
Jimmy Rocket is worth another chance

Results

Race Dividends
Win 3 $ 1.60
Place1 3 $ 1.10
Place2 5 $ 2.20
Quinella 3:5 $ 3.10
Trifecta 3:5:2 $ 16.70
First4 3:5:2:6 $ 59.90

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 3, 5, 6, 7
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 2 - SKYCITY AUCKLAND MAIDEN 1400
Time: 12:55 | Distance: 1400m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
8 Wild Like   F: 862
  B(4) W(58)
 ( T-  Tony Pike )
Much-improved run for second last start and the form out of that race should stack up. Won't take long to break maidens.
Main Danger
2 Rusavy   F: 22036
  B(2) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Taiki Yanagida )
 ( T-  Chris Wood )
Won
Dividends : $3.40 $1.50
Was entitled to win last start but was left flat-footed. Gets a valuable 3kg claimer in the saddle which is a big help.
Next Best
12 Palamedes   F: 528X3
  B(9) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Vinnie Colgan )
Placed
Dividend : $1.70
Another which will progress through the grades once it wins its maiden. Tricky draw but that doesn't always matter at Ellerslie.
Include in Multis
1 Dalmar   F: 9432X
  B(5) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Eilish McCall )
 ( T-  Simon Rees )
Improved with every run last start. Might need the run here but it has potential and the odds are good each-way value.
Longer Odds
6 Super Bullet   F: 0X69
  B(3) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Sam Spratt )
Placed
Dividend : $4.70
Hasn't impressed to date but it could go forward and kick strongly.

Remarks

Strong enough maiden field
race-image
Wild Like could be a good bet

Results

Race Dividends
Win 2 $ 3.40
Place1 2 $ 1.50
Place2 6 $ 4.70
Place3 12 $ 1.70
Quinella 2:6 $ 33.70
Trifecta 2:6:12 $ 240.50
First4 2:6:12:8 $ 1005.80
Trifecta - Selected!
First 4 - Selected!

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 6, 8, 12
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 3 - BEKO APPLIANCES 1400
Time: 1:30 | Distance: 1400m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top PickThe 'Day's Best'
5 Monaco   F: 11231
  B(4) W(55.5)
 ( J-  Trudy Thornton )
Scored a quality win last start and that form is good for this. Nicely weighted at 55.5kg and we'd be surprised to see it not go close.
Main Danger
7 Its Destinys Child   F: 82113
  B(2) W(55)
 ( J-  Vinnie Colgan )
 ( T-  J & B Vance )
Stable is having good success of late and it was working home nicely last start. Extra distance suits and it has winning claims.
Next Best
6 Dama Zorro   F: 02212
  B(6) W(55)
Won
Dividends : $5.00 $2.60
Continues to run good races. Consistent type which has every chance to take this out. Goes into the mix against this strong field.
Include in Multis
2 Midnight Runner   F: 224X3
  B(3) W(57.5)
Just in behind the winners of late but it won't take much improvement to start winning. Right in the thick of the action.
Longer Odds
4 Magic Of The Sun   F: 55675
  B(5) W(56)
 ( J-  Sam Spratt )
Capable on its day, especially if it gets a soft lead. Nice odds.

Remarks

One of the more competitive races on the card
race-image
These colours fly with Monaco

Results

Race Dividends
Win 6 $ 5.00
Place1 6 $ 2.60
Place2 3 $ 2.10
Quinella 3:6 $ 9.70
Trifecta 6:3:5 $ 51.10
First4 6:3:5:4 $ 311.60
Treble 3+/2+/6 $ 31.80

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
2, 4, 5, 6, 7
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 4 - 100% APPLIANCES 2YO 1300
Time: 2:05 | Distance: 1300m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
1 The Green Dragon   F: 32
  B(5) W(57)
 ( J-  Cameron Lammas )
Nothing wrong with its two placings to date and natural improvement suggests it will be winning shortly. Good chance from the draw.
Main Danger
6 Rainbow Dash   F: 126
  B(2) W(56.5)
Won
Dividends : $2.10 $1.20
Impressive winner on debut and although average last start, this looks slightly easier. Has been heavily backed which is a good sign.
Next Best
8 Rendition   F: 36
  B(1) W(55)
 ( J-  Trudy Thornton )
Placed
Dividend : $2.00
Sixth last time out but was only 2.3 lengths behind the winner. Inside draw suits and it should be going forward and being tough to run down.
Include in Multis
5 Might   F:
  B(8) W(57)
 ( J-  Sam Spratt )
Placed
Dividend : $3.10
On debut for the in-form McKee stable after winning a trial. Good breeding and this field is there for the taking.
Longer Odds
4 Destination   F: 5
  B(7) W(57)
That was a nice run on debut - will have learnt a lot and natural improver

Remarks

Quality 2YO field
race-image
The Green Dragon looms

Results

Race Dividends
Win 6 $ 2.10
Place1 6 $ 1.20
Place2 8 $ 2.00
Place3 5 $ 3.10
Quinella 6:8 $ 6.80
Trifecta 6:8:5 $ 93.20
First4 6:8:5:9 $ 476.40
Trifecta - Selected!

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 4, 5, 6, 8
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 5 - ELECTROLUX SPRINT OPEN HANDICAP
Time: 2:40 | Distance: 1200m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
4 Media Sensation   F: 11107
  B(7) W(54)
Has more exposed form than most here. Has won some big races and if it's fit enough, would take some beating in this.
Main Danger
6 Rikki Tikki Tavi   F: 24952
  B(3) W(54)
 ( J-  Sam Spratt )
Just struggling to win a race this season but it's not lacking the heart. Gets its chance here and conditions look ideal.
Next Best
3 Go Nicholas   F: 200X6
  B(1) W(55)
 ( J-  Grant Cooksley )
Better than advertised and it typically runs well at Ellerslie. Inside draw might not suit but it could save ground along the inside.
Include in Multis
8 Te Toro Pearl   F: 1111X
  B(6) W(54)
 ( J-  Cameron Lammas )
 ( T-  Jon Miller )
Placed
Dividend : $3.80
Faces a stiff rise in class here but can't ignore the four wins from five starts last preparation. Interesting runner and worth following.
Longer OddsThe 'Best Roughie'
2 Stratocaster   F: 18108
  B(2) W(56)
 ( J-  Vinnie Colgan )
Chance if there's no rain and if they fly up front. Look for it late.

Remarks

Slick sprinting field and it's an intriguing race
race-image
Media Sensation has Group 1 form

Results

Race Dividends
Win 1 $ 14.80
Place1 1 $ 4.70
Place2 8 $ 3.80
Quinella 1:8 $ 62.90
Trifecta 1:8:6 $ 303.90
First4 1:8:6:4 $ 1800.50
Quaddie 2+/6/6+/1 $ 963.60

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
2, 3, 4, 6, 8
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 6 - VECTOR WERO WHITEWATER PARK 1200
Time: 3:18 | Distance: 1200m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top PickThe 'Best Each Way'
1 Breezon   F: 41332
  B(7) W(60)
 ( J-  Sam Spratt )
Placed
Dividend : $1.70
Has been right around the mark this season and despite carrying a big weight, its experience will go a long way. Nice odds on offer.
Main Danger
10 Walkin' By   F: 23624
  B(8) W(57.5)
 ( T-  Tony Pike )
Won
Dividends : $3.30 $1.60
Struggling to put it all together but this is a race there for the taking. Has race fitness on its side and we wouldn't be surprised to see it win.
Next Best
13 Nulli Secundus   F: 440X2
  B(12) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Taiki Yanagida )
That was a nice return to racing and ran against better class last season
Include in Multis
12 Markle   F: 75612
  B(3) W(57)
 ( T-  Lance Noble )
Repeat of winning run two back sees it right in the finish here.
Longer Odds
2 Stand Tall   F: 02565
  B(1) W(60)
Battles on well and if they go quickly up front, it could benefit from that.

Remarks

Nice field and the form should stack up out of it
race-image
Stephen McKee lines up Breezon

Results

Race Dividends
Win 10 $ 3.30
Place1 10 $ 1.60
Place2 1 $ 1.70
Place3 5 $ 4.90
Quinella 1:10 $ 7.00
Trifecta 10:1:5 $ 132.50
First4 10:1:5:14 $ 1769.80
Treble 6+/1/10+ $ 175.80

Betting Suggestions

Quaddies
R6 (1) Breezon(10) Walkin' By (13) Nulli Secundus
R7 (1) The Buzz(3) Jip Jip Rock
R8 (2) King's Cross(3) Tightlign (5) Whenharrymetsaddle (14) Vichy
R9 (1) Reevederci(2) Copper Fox (4) Running Man
Quaddies % to a $20 stake:

Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 10, 12, 13
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 7 - BEKO APPLIANCES MILE
Time: 3:58 | Distance: 1600m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
3 Jip Jip Rock   F: 612X3
  B(3) W(55.5)
 ( J-  Trudy Thornton )
Placed
Dividend : $1.40
Good performance last time out in a strong race. Gets into this race nicely and we're expecting a big performance - as are bookmakers.
Main Danger
1 The Buzz   F: 90011
  B(4) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Cameron Lammas )
Looks the best chance to beat the odds-on favourite after winning back-to-back. Has the confidence up so include.
Next Best
5 Ignored   F: X71X6
  B(1) W(55.5)
 ( J-  Taiki Yanagida )
Won
Dividends : $3.90 $1.40
Can't be ignored but it will need to show off a good turn-of-foot to take this out. Inside draw and 52.5kg on the back certainly helps with that.
Include in Multis
Insufficient Runners
Longer Odds
4 Evana Rahma   F: 31
  B(5) W(55.5)
Bred to be rather nice and it was a good win last time out. Could mature into a nice sort.

Remarks

Small field but an interesting race
race-image
Jip Jip is quick quick

Results

Race Dividends
Win 5 $ 3.90
Place1 5 $ 1.40
Place2 3 $ 1.40
Quinella 3:5 $ 2.60
Trifecta 5:3:1 $ 20.50
First4 5:3:1:4 $ 28.60
Trifecta - Selected!
First 4 - Selected!

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
Insufficient Runners
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 8 - WESTINGHOUSE MILE
Time: 4:38 | Distance: 1600m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
3 Tightlign   F: 14391
  B(11) W(60)
 ( J-  Sam Spratt )
Found the line nicely to score last week and although facing different circumstances here, it should be considered again.
Main Danger
2 King's Cross   F: 14432
  B(4) W(61)
 ( J-  Taiki Yanagida )
Typically runs well at Ellerslie and although better on a super dry track, these conditions should suit nicely. 3kg claim helps.
Next Best
14 Vichy   F: 13145
  B(8) W(55.5)
Placed
Dividend : $2.30
Looks capable of winning a race like this and we like the way it hit the line last start. Going well enough and the odds are generous.
Include in Multis
5 Whenharrymetsaddle   F: 11273
  B(9) W(59.5)
 ( J-  Vinnie Colgan )
Another quality type which produced consecutive wins earlier this season. Has ability and shouldn't be discounted.
Longer Odds
7 Lucky Sweep   F: 03813
  B(6) W(59)
 ( J-  Trudy Thornton )
Won
Dividends : $13.20 $3.40
Recent winner which has a chance to win at nice odds.

Remarks

Wide-open betting field with each-way-all-day value
race-image
Tightlign should go well again

Results

Race Dividends
Win 7 $ 13.20
Place1 7 $ 3.40
Place2 15 $ 5.20
Place3 14 $ 2.30
Quinella 7:15 $ 114.50
Trifecta 7:15:14 $ 1442.90
First4 7:15:14:4 $ 7246.60

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
2, 3, 5, 7, 14
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 9 - THE RISING FOUNDATION 1400
Time: 5:19 | Distance: 1400m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
2 Copper Fox   F: 41
  B(9) W(59)
 ( J-  Cameron Lammas )
Scored a quality win last time out, which suggested it has many more to come. Tricky draw but it's a nice type in the making.
Main Danger
4 Running Man   F: X2441
  B(10) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Sam Spratt )
Scored like a type which would progress through the grades last start. Stable and ownership is running hot so consider.
Next Best
1 Reevederci   F: 035X7
  B(8) W(60)
 ( T-  Lance Noble )
Only fair last start but its best would take it close. 60kg but include here at each-way odds.
Include in Multis
6 William Tell   F: 31336
  B(7) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Taiki Yanagida )
Consistent type which only needs to find a length to beat this field. Another good ride for the Japanese apprentice.
Longer Odds
7 I See Red   F: 94330
  B(5) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Tegan Newman )
 ( T-  Scott Wenn )
Could bounce back after a poor last start.

Remarks

Top weights look tough to beat here
race-image
Copper Fox works beside a champ

Results

Race Dividends
Win 11 $ 32.80
Place1 11 $ 6.80
Place2 5 $ 5.10
Place3 10 $ 2.60
Place6 5,6+,8/1,8/1,5,10+/3+,5/7,14,15/5,10,11 $ 3395.30
Quinella 5:11 $ 238.20
Trifecta 11:5:10 $ 3504.20
First4 11:5:10:3 $ 37792.20
Treble 5/7/11 $ 2521.90
Quaddie 10+/5/7/11 $ 10906.70

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 4, 6, 7
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%