M2 Ellerslie – 3rd June 2019

Selections for: New Zealand Racing

Our selections for the M2 Ellerslie – 3rd June 2019 are below: Good Luck! Back to Performance page

M2 Ellerslie – 3rd June 2019

M2: Ellerslie - 3rd Jun, 2019

Start time:11:25 am
Weather:Fine
Track:Heavy10

Overview

Nine races on the Queen's Birthday Monday card

Day's "Best"

R4 (9) Duffers Creek

Best "Each Way"

R8 (9) Sweet Treat

Best "Roughie"

R2 (7) Make Time

Race 1 - COCA-COLA MAIDEN HURDLE
Time: 11:25 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
1 El Fernando   F: 04X02
  B(2) W(68)
 ( J-  Shaun Phelan )
 ( T-  Mark Brooks )
Good effort for second last start and it should be scoring a hurdle win in no time. Drawn well and punters are getting nice odds.
Main Danger
4 Mesmerize   F: 85X26
  B(11) W(68)
 ( J-  Isaac Lupton )
Placed
Dividend : $2.00
A touch disappointing last start but might find this a touch easier. Has all the makings of a nice type so include in win bets.
Next Best
9 Alfie Dee   F: 480X2
  B(3) W(68)
 ( J-  Aaron Kuru )
 ( T-  Ken Duncan )
Didn't fire on the flat but looks a much better proposition over the hurdles. Ran second last start and should run well again.
Include in Multis
5 Abacus   F: 88X04
  B(5) W(68)
 ( J-  Hamish McNeill )
Showed improvement last start and that was an encouraging run. Nice odds on offer so include.
Longer Odds
7 Kilronan   F: 85
  B(6) W(68)
Only had two runs but that could be a positive here. Chance at long odds.

Remarks

Many of these should win a maiden soon
race-image
El Fernando should run well

Results

Race Dividends
Win 6 $ 14.20
Place1 6 $ 3.00
Place2 4 $ 2.00
Place3 13 $ 5.20
Quinella 4:6 $ 32.50
Trifecta 6:4:13 $ 1288.80
First4 6:4:13:1 $ 1631.60
Treble 6/12+/2+ $ 132.00

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 4, 5, 7, 9
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 2 - NZB INSURANCE PEARL SERIES MAIDEN RACE
Time: 12:00 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
3 Aratai   F: 5
  B(11) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Vinnie Colgan )
 ( T-  Tony Pike )
Had support on debut and wasn't all that far behind. Drawn wide here but that might not be the worst thing. Nice chance.
Main Danger
12 Shoshone   F:
  B(5) W(55.5)
 ( J-  Cameron Lammas )
 ( T-  K & B Kelso )
Won
Dividends : $3.40 $1.50
Well backed on debut after after performing well at the trials. Not an easy race on debut but it could pay to follow the money.
Next Best
5 Vibrato   F:
  B(9) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Ryan Elliot )
Another debutante which has won a couple of trials and has some nice breeding. Should be right in this if it handles the conditions.
Include in Multis
10 Midnight Magic   F:
  B(3) W(55.5)
Bred to handle the wet and it's good to see Matt Cameron in the saddle. Looks to have good natural pace and it should be included.
Longer OddsThe 'Best Roughie'
7 Make Time   F:
  B(6) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Sam Spratt )
Has shown enough at the trials to consider.

Remarks

Should be a good form race
race-image
Aratai should go close

Results

Race Dividends
Win 12 $ 3.40
Place1 12 $ 1.50
Place2 16 $ 4.60
Place3 11 $ 7.40
Quinella 12:16 $ 36.30
Trifecta 12:16:11 $ 1330.50
First4 12:16:11:1 $ 4398.70

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
3, 5, 7, 10, 12
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 3 - BARFOOT & THOMPSON 1200
Time: 12:35 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
2 Blood Warrior   F: 1X
  B(8) W(59)
 ( J-  Vinnie Colgan )
Won
Dividends : $2.50 $1.50
Scored by 3.3 lengths on debut at Te Aroha. That form should be taking it close here and there's a stack of money coming for it.
Main Danger
5 The Dom   F: 1X733
  B(12) W(58.5)
Should enjoy the wet conditions and gets a valuable 3kg off its back. Has attracted interest in the betting so keep safe.
Next Best
7 Spindle   F: 15370
  B(6) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Cameron Lammas )
Loomed to win last start but didn't fully let down. On the quick back up and it could offer punters with some value.
Include in Multis
8 Boundtobehonored   F: X5FX1
  B(4) W(57)
 ( J-  Ryan Elliot )
 ( T-  Tony Pike )
Comes into this with a win and that form should stack up nicely. Ryan Elliot is in good form.
Longer Odds
6 Pink Graffiti   F: 44X08
  B(2) W(58)
 ( J-  Michael McNab )
 ( T-  Tony Pike )
Placed
Dividend : $4.00
Probably needed both runs back and the fitness should have come back now.

Remarks

Blood Warrior has been very well backed
race-image
Stick with Blood Warrior

Results

Race Dividends
Win 2 $ 2.50
Place1 2 $ 1.50
Place2 12 $ 3.20
Place3 6 $ 4.00
Quinella 2:12 $ 12.50
Trifecta 2:12:6 $ 158.00
First4 2:12:6:8 $ 1002.10
Double 12+/2+ $ 7.00

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
2, 5, 6, 7, 8
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 4 - KS BROWNE HURDLE
Time: 1:10 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top PickThe 'Day's Best'
9 Duffers Creek   F: 83315
  B(10) W(65)
 ( J-  Shaun Fannin )
 ( T-  Kevin Myers )
Looks well-suited to this style of racing. Impressive win two back and went well on the flat last start. Very tough to hold out.
Main Danger
6 Delegate   F: 08002
  B(6) W(65)
 ( J-  Mathew Gillies )
Placed
Dividend : $2.20
Improved significantly to run second last start and going over the hurdles looks to be its go. Has been specked at each way odds.
Next Best
3 No Change   F: 3X105
  B(7) W(65)
 ( J-  Aaron Kuru )
Continues to battle away and although not as good as it used to be, still a chance in this. Another well backed type.
Include in Multis
4 Tommyra   F: 75533
  B(2) W(65)
 ( J-  Shaun Phelan )
Won
Dividends : $6.50 $2.40
Has been battling home its last few but it should be around the mark once again. Has a strong rider in the saddle which helps.
Longer Odds
8 Clapathunda   F: 9X098
  B(8) W(65)
 ( J-  Buddy Lammas )
Expect a better run after some moderate efforts.

Remarks

Should be a great edition of this classic race
race-image
Duffers Creek should go close

Results

Race Dividends
Win 4 $ 6.50
Place1 4 $ 2.40
Place2 12 $ 5.10
Place3 6 $ 2.20
Quinella 4:12 $ 83.70
Trifecta 4:12:6 $ 883.50
First4 4:12:6:3 $ 4239.00

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
3, 4, 6, 8, 9
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 5 - CELEBRATING GLORY DAYS AVONDALE & AUCK CUP WINS
Time: 1:45 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
2 Wicklow   F: 52322
  B(4) W(68.5)
 ( J-  Scott Wenn )
Deserves a win and should be able to go close in this. Four consecutive placings and this looks its best chance to score.
Main Danger
3 Kion   F: 445X3
  B(2) W(68.5)
 ( J-  Emma Quinn )
Placed
Dividend : $1.90
Ran well fresh up for third. Not the strongest rider in the saddle which could hurt its chances but include on form alone.
Next Best
13 Mizzena   F: 384X9
  B(10) W(66.5)
 ( J-  Luke Myers )
 ( T-  Kevin Myers )
Won
Dividends : $7.40 $2.20
Luke Myers is a good rider to have in the saddle and it should run better than last start. Right in this with a bit of luck.
Include in Multis
14 Mrs Twinkletoes   F: 0X5
  B(5) W(66.5)
 ( J-  Scotty MacNab )
 ( T-  Jo Rathbone )
Ran on nicely last start, suggesting it could find form quickly. Has been nicely backed.
Longer Odds
4 Castle Black   F: 66937
  B(7) W(68.5)
Placed
Dividend : $4.30
Might need to find a length or two to win, but that's not an impossible task.

Remarks

Should be a competitive staying affair
race-image
Wicklow looks an each-way chance

Results

Race Dividends
Win 13 $ 7.40
Place1 13 $ 2.20
Place2 3 $ 1.90
Place3 4 $ 4.30
Quinella 3:13 $ 16.10
Trifecta 13:3:4 $ 373.20
First4 13:3:4:8 $ 4820.30
Trifecta - Selected!

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
2, 3, 4, 13, 14
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 6 - DUNSTAN FEEDS MAIDEN STEEPLECHASE
Time: 2:20 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
3 Storming The Tower   F: X8703
  B(9) W(68)
 ( J-  Nick Downs )
 ( T-  John Bell )
Placed
Dividend : $1.40
Looks set to win over the jumps any time now. Good effort for third last time out and it should relish these conditions.
Main Danger
1 Suffice To Say   F: 31632
  B(7) W(68)
 ( J-  Aaron Kuru )
Won
Dividends : $3.00 $1.30
Looks a strong winning hope after two good efforts. Has good speed on the flat and there's good money coming for it.
Next Best
2 Zedace   F: 32X39
  B(2) W(68)
 ( J-  Shaun Phelan )
 ( T-  Shane Brown )
Placed
Dividend : $1.70
Only fair last start but it should be better prepared for this run. Has consistent form otherwise and looks a strong chance.
Include in Multis
9 Spithill   F:
  B(1) W(68)
 ( J-  Isaac Lupton )
On debut as a seven-year-old. Obviously has limited pace but there's some specking for it, which is a good sign.
Longer Odds
8 Sontana   F: 7X03X
  B(8) W(68)
 ( J-  Shaun Fannin )
 ( T-  Kevin Myers )
Looked good running third last start before spelling. Chance.

Remarks

There's some nice maiden jumpers in this
race-image
Storming The Tower is a nice hope

Results

Race Dividends
Win 1 $ 3.00
Place1 1 $ 1.30
Place2 3 $ 1.40
Place3 2 $ 1.70
Quinella 1:3 $ 4.70
Trifecta 1:3:2 $ 27.30
First4 1:3:2:6 $ 111.80
Treble 4/13/1+ $ 129.60
Trifecta - Selected!

Betting Suggestions

Quaddies
R6 (1) Suffice To Say(2) Zedace (3) Storming The Tower
R7 (2) Max(4) Perry Mason (5) The Arabian Duke (6) Gagarin
R8 (1) Suliman(5) Prior Engagement (6) Franklin (9) Sweet Treat
R9 (1) Grand Rio(2) Paisley Park (5) Ritani
Quaddies % to a $20 stake:

Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 3, 8, 9
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 7 - MCGREGOR GRANT STEEPLECHASE
Time: 2:55 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
6 Gagarin   F: X3422
  B(5) W(65)
 ( J-  Mathew Gillies )
 ( T-  Kevin Myers )
Looks a top each-way chance after running three placings from four starts this campaign. Nicely backed and that adds to the confidence.
Main Danger
2 Max   F: 56X46
  B(1) W(67)
 ( J-  Isaac Lupton )
Won
Dividends : $4.40 $1.80
Only fair last start but it has quality on its side. Just needs to win a race soon to pay off punters' support.
Next Best
4 Perry Mason   F: 2X967
  B(9) W(65)
 ( J-  Aaron Kuru )
Placed
Dividend : $2.40
Getting warmer this campaign. Worked home well enough last start and it looks well-placed to win here. Nice chance.
Include in Multis
5 The Arabian Duke   F: X7524
  B(8) W(65)
 ( J-  Emily Farr )
Always a chance and it could add some value to quaddie selections. Has handy form and only needs to find a length.
Longer Odds
9 Highly Likely   F: 5X030
  B(11) W(65)
 ( J-  Shaun Fannin )
 ( T-  Kevin Myers )
Not the most consistent runner but should be around the mark at the top of the straight.

Remarks

Looks one of the best races on the card
race-image
Gagarin has been well backed

Results

Race Dividends
Win 2 $ 4.40
Place1 2 $ 1.80
Place2 4 $ 2.40
Place3 10 $ 2.50
Quinella 2:4 $ 16.90
Trifecta 2:4:10 $ 176.10
First4 2:4:10:1 $ 502.90
Double 1+/2 $ 8.60

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
2, 4, 5, 6, 9
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 8 - FACEUP * LOW FEES IN REAL ESTATE 2200
Time: 3:35 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top PickThe 'Best Each Way'
9 Sweet Treat   F: 42213
  B(5) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Ryan Elliot )
Likes the conditions and doesn't know how to run a bad race. Has been well backed and it looms as a nice each-way chance.
Main Danger
1 Suliman   F: 77X77
  B(8) W(61)
 ( J-  Darren Danis )
Likes to run seventh but punters should see quick improvement. Gets some weight off its back to help.
Next Best
6 Franklin   F: 28156
  B(4) W(57)
 ( J-  Michael McNab )
Placed
Dividend : $3.10
Capable on its day and it has drawn to get every chance in the run. Should be going close in an even race.
Include in Multis
5 Prior Engagement   F: 73711
  B(6) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Sam Spratt )
Won
Dividends : $6.90 $2.00
Tough to overlook two recent wins. Has the confidence up and Ralph Manning usually keeps them in form.
Longer Odds
2 No Need   F: 087X0
  B(3) W(58)
Include for some value as it could turn its form around.

Remarks

Each way all day field
race-image
Sweet Treat is at tasty odds

Results

Race Dividends
Win 5 $ 6.90
Place1 5 $ 2.00
Place2 6 $ 3.10
Place3 11 $ 1.90
Quinella 5:6 $ 38.20
Trifecta 5:6:11 $ 380.30
First4 5:6:11:1 $ 2390.60

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 5, 6, 9
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 9 - ARC THANKS PARTNERS/FRIENDS FOR PAST SEASON 1600
Time: 4:11 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
2 Paisley Park   F: 31563
  B(2) W(60)
Placed
Dividend : $1.80
Has plenty of ability and only the big weight is a negative. Should be able to get back to winning form, or close, here.
Main Danger
5 Ritani   F: X7922
  B(1) W(58)
Won
Dividends : $3.00 $1.80
Back-to-back placings coming into this and it should go close. Inside draw and it will be there to win at some stage.
Next Best
1 Grand Rio   F: 6X625
  B(5) W(60.5)
Gets ideal conditions and it gets 3kg off its back. Brings it into contention and we wouldn't be ruling it out.
Include in Multis
4 Pacquiao   F: 64X44
  B(3) W(59)
 ( J-  Ryan Elliot )
Should enjoy the wet conditions and improve on its recent form. Could be the knockout runner.
Longer Odds
3 Ticket To Ride   F: 1X708
  B(7) W(59)
 ( J-  Darren Danis )
 ( T-  K & G Opie )
Has ability on its day and gets some relief in the weights.

Remarks

Small field but packed full of talent
race-image
Stick with Paisley Park

Results

Race Dividends
Win 5 $ 3.00
Place1 5 $ 1.80
Place2 2 $ 1.80
Quinella 2:5 $ 3.40
Trifecta 5:2:10 $ 38.40
First4 5:2:10:3 $ 165.80
Double 5/5 $ 18.10

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 3, 4, 5
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%