M2 Ellerslie – 5th November 2019

Selections for: New Zealand Racing

Our selections for the M2 Ellerslie – 5th November 2019 are below: Good Luck! Back to Performance page

M2 Ellerslie – 5th November 2019

M2: Ellerslie - 5th Nov, 2019

Start time:12:05 pm
Weather:Fine
Track:Good3

Overview

Quality 10-race card at Ellerslie which includes the OMF Stakes and many more top races

Day's "Best"

R2 (12) Ranger

Best "Each Way"

R4 (11) Kylie Bax

Best "Roughie"

R8 (8) Poker Face

Race 1 - CARLTON EVENTS 2200
Time: 12:05 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
7 Star Karen   F: 30X62
  B(4) W(56)
 ( J-  Leith Innes )
Placed
Dividend : $1.30
Getting close to a win after producing a big effort for second last time out. Has experience against some smart types, so it goes on top here.
Main Danger
8 Clementina   F: 6X515
  B(2) W(54.5)
Struggled last start but is too good to ignore. Win prior was quality and anything close to that sees it winning. A tactical affair helps its chances.
Next Best
6 Deejay Mac   F: 15221
  B(1) W(56.5)
Strong money coming, which is a little bit surprising. Did score well last start but faces some smart types here. Goes into the mix.
Include in Multis
1 Verry Flash   F: 31058
  B(8) W(60.5)
 ( J-  Rebecca Scott )
Good win four back and that showed its potential. Hasn't quite lived up to expectations since, but has ability. Chance.
Longer Odds
2 Excalibur   F: 48X09
  B(5) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Sam Weatherley )
Won
Dividends : $9.90 $2.40
Better than what it has been showing of late. Consider.

Remarks

Good types to open the card
race-image
Star Karen could return to form

Results

Race Dividends
Win 2 $ 9.90
Place1 2 $ 2.40
Place2 7 $ 1.30
Place3 5 $ 2.60
Quinella 2:7 $ 11.80
Trifecta 2:7:5 $ 184.70
First4 2:7:5:3 $ 1877.80

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 6, 7, 8
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 2 - CHEVALIER PRODUCE MAIDEN 1600
Time: 12:40 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top PickThe 'Day's Best'
12 Ranger   F: 2X332
  B(1) W(57)
 ( J-  Andrew Calder )
Placed
Dividend : $1.30
Looks set to break through and this is its easiest chance. It has been heavily backed after four consecutive placings and it goes on top.
Main Danger
4 Triomphe   F: 30X32
  B(14) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Rosie Myers )
Won
Dividends : $11.30 $3.10
Going to need some luck from out wide, but it has the ability. Last two placings have been very good and it should go close.
Next Best
3 Teen Titan   F: 72822
  B(13) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Opie Bosson )
Looked the winner last start but was narrowly beaten. A maiden win won't be too far away and it could easily come here.
Include in Multis
14 Clever Approach   F: 53
  B(9) W(57)
 ( J-  Craig Grylls )
 ( T-  Nigel Tiley )
Stable is in good form and it ran nicely for third last start. Lack of experience doesn't help but it has good upside.
Longer Odds
13 Leitrim Lad   F: 85X2
  B(5) W(57)
 ( J-  Trudy Thornton )
Much better run last time out. Chance.

Remarks

Good money for the favourite
race-image
Ranger looks spot on

Results

Race Dividends
Win 4 $ 11.30
Place1 4 $ 3.10
Place2 1 $ 7.60
Place3 12 $ 1.30
Quinella 1:4 $ 142.60
Trifecta 4:1:12 $ 876.10
First4 4:1:12:14 $ 5776.20
Double 2/4 $ 83.00

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
3, 4, 12, 13, 14
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 3 - AUCKLAND CO-OP TAXIS 2400
Time: 1:15 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
3 Pearlescence   F: X3711
  B(3) W(56.5)
Placed
Dividend : $1.60
Has turned around its form nicely with consecutive wins. Drawn well in barrier three and it could make it three in a row. Big chance.
Main Danger
4 Vainglory   F: X4213
  B(9) W(56)
 ( T-  Cody Cole )
Placed
Dividend : $1.40
Doesn't know how to run a bad race after winning and placing twice this season. Drawn awkwardly but has time to find a good spot in running.
Next Best
10 Unacceptable   F: 36192
  B(8) W(54)
 ( J-  Craig Grylls )
 ( T-  John Bell )
Has attracted good attention with bookmakers. Gets down in the weights and there is good each-way money around.
Include in Multis
5 Where Are You   F: 73452
  B(7) W(56)
 ( J-  Sam Weatherley )
Won
Dividends : $5.70 $2.00
Indicated last start that a win wouldn't be too far away. Working through its gears and it should add some value.
Longer Odds
2 Rodmar   F: 11017
  B(2) W(59)
 ( J-  Anna Jones )
Inconsistent but talented on its day. Respect at the price.

Remarks

Looks an even betting field
race-image
Pearlescence has every chance

Results

Race Dividends
Win 5 $ 5.70
Place1 5 $ 2.00
Place2 4 $ 1.40
Place3 3 $ 1.60
Quinella 4:5 $ 8.30
Trifecta 5:4:3 $ 85.50
First4 5:4:3:10 $ 302.60
Treble 2/4/5 $ 779.90
Trifecta - Selected!
First 4 - Selected!

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
2, 3, 4, 5, 10
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 4 - AGROWQUIP JOHN DEERE 1200
Time: 1:57 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top PickThe 'Best Each Way'
11 Kylie Bax   F: 23X1
  B(2) W(57)
 ( J-  Opie Bosson )
Liked the way it let down to score last time out. Could control the pace from an inside barrier and kick away again. Big chance.
Main Danger
9 Cin Cin   F: 324X3
  B(9) W(57)
 ( J-  Chelsea Burdan )
Doesn't win all that often but is never far away from the prize. Good resuming run for third and it gets a valuable 3kg off its back. Chance.
Next Best
2 New York Jazz   F: 31236
  B(6) W(59.5)
Has won already this campaign and hasn't been far away since. Gets a 1kg claim and it loves to battle away, so consider here.
Include in Multis
8 Destination   F: 56X1
  B(3) W(57.5)
Placed
Dividend : $2.80
Good money coming after scoring a good win last time out. Still on the improve and it's well weighted at 55.5kg.
Longer Odds
5 Saintly Way   F: X3551
  B(13) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Sam Weatherley )
Last-start winner with upside.

Remarks

Good progressive field
race-image
Kylie Bax could win again

Results

Race Dividends
Win 6 $ 34.70
Place1 6 $ 8.30
Place2 8 $ 2.80
Place3 1 $ 3.60
Quinella 6:8 $ 178.00
Trifecta 6:8:1 $ 3910.20
First4 - $ 0.00
Double 5/6 $ 83.40

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
2, 5, 8, 9, 11
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 5 - POWERSAFE ELECTRICAL WHOLESALERS 1200
Time: 2:32 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
3 Cyber Attack   F: 1798X
  B(4) W(58)
 ( J-  Vinnie Colgan )
 ( T-  Tony Pike )
Went to Australia and didn't really live up to expectations. Should return in good order and be tough to beat at each-way odds.
Main Danger
11 Spring Heat   F: 0477X
  B(2) W(56)
 ( J-  Craig Grylls )
Won
Dividends : $6.10 $2.20
Another which didn't fire towards the end of last campaign, but should find this easier. Drawn well in barrier two and it could ride the speed.
Next Best
9 Satu Lagi   F: 413X2
  B(7) W(56.5)
Has good form on dry tracks and it gets conditions to suit. Has been around some nice types in its day so consider here.
Include in Multis
6 Speedy Meady   F: 11X63
  B(5) W(57)
 ( J-  Andrew Calder )
Handles all conditions so don't worry about that. Could return to the form it should last preparation and that would be good enough.
Longer Odds
4 Born Dragon   F: 3341X
  B(12) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Sam Spratt )
 ( T-  J & B Vance )
Placed
Dividend : $3.60
Has upset claims if they roll along in front. Don't discount.

Remarks

Each-way odds throughout this field
race-image
Cyber Attack could return in style

Results

Race Dividends
Win 11 $ 6.10
Place1 11 $ 2.20
Place2 4 $ 3.60
Place3 8 $ 4.90
Quinella 4:11 $ 44.90
Trifecta 11:4:8 $ 1461.60
First4 11:4:8:9 $ 7162.10
Quaddie 4/5/6/11 $ 11683.60

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
3, 4, 6, 9, 11
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 6 - CARBINE CLUB TROPHY
Time: 3:07 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
4 Aim Smart   F: X12X1
  B(9) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Opie Bosson )
Returned with a booming win last time out. Tricky draw but it has good tactical pace and Opie Bosson in the saddle. That helps.
Main Danger
1 Beauden   F: 12X03
  B(1) W(59.5)
 ( J-  Ryan Elliot )
Placed
Dividend : $1.80
Good money coming for Beauden and the inside draw is ideal. Big weight but is capable of carrying it to victory.
Next Best
6 Viktor Vegas   F: X1245
  B(2) W(56.5)
 ( T-  Peter Lock )
Kicked off this campaign with a stylish win. Drawn to figure in the finish and it could add some good value. Nice chance.
Include in Multis
11 Lubaya   F: 7073X
  B(5) W(55)
Has shown ability in the past and winning this isn't out of the equation. Chance at nice odds.
Longer Odds
9 Terra Sancta   F: 9668X
  B(3) W(55.5)
 ( J-  Leith Innes )
 ( T-  Tony Pike )
Tough race to start with but it has ability. Include at odds.

Remarks

Some stellar types running in this
race-image
Aim Smart is smart

Results

Race Dividends
Win 10 $ 15.50
Place1 10 $ 3.20
Place2 1 $ 1.80
Place3 5 $ 3.90
Quinella 1:10 $ 34.10
Trifecta 10:1:5 $ 819.20
First4 10:1:5:4 $ 2056.30
Double 11/10 $ 84.40

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 4, 6, 9, 11
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 7 - OMF STAKES
Time: 3:43 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
8 Concert Hall   F: 8X825
  B(8) W(57)
Has been a touch disappointing this campaign but should have taken good benefit from recent racing. Gets back but should be storming home late.
Main Danger
1 Peso   F: X5412
  B(2) W(59)
 ( J-  Rosie Myers )
Placed
Dividend : $1.60
Second behind Melody Belle last start so that form reads well. Drawn well and it could settle on the speed and kick strongly.
Next Best
7 Red Sierra   F: 44171
  B(3) W(57)
In good form after posting two wins from its last three starts. Has been heavily backed to win so consider.
Include in Multis
4 Vin De Dance   F: 500X0
  B(5) W(59)
 ( J-  Craig Grylls )
Classy type which needed the fresh up run. Punters should be expecting quick improvement at odds.
Longer Odds
2 Saint Emilion   F: 02X30
  B(9) W(59)
Can roll along in front and give a good kick. Chance.

Remarks

Quality field for the quality race
race-image
Stick with Concert Hall

Results

Race Dividends
Win 9 $ 10.40
Place1 9 $ 2.40
Place2 6 $ 4.40
Place3 1 $ 1.60
Quinella 6:9 $ 97.50
Trifecta 9:6:1 $ 649.40
First4 9:6:1:8 $ 2678.30

Betting Suggestions

Quaddies
R7 (1) Peso(8) Concert Hall
R8 (3) Cutadeel(6) Go Nicholas (9) Pinmedown
R9 (7) Rendition(9) Riverfalls
R10 (1) Swords Drawn(3) Germanicus
Quaddies % to a $20 stake:

Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 4, 7, 8
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 8 - HALO CONSULTING 1600
Time: 4:18 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
3 Cutadeel   F: 00X18
  B(1) W(57.5)
Impressive win fresh up but was handled last time out. Easier field here and getting the inside draw helps. Better chance here.
Main Danger
6 Go Nicholas   F: 34411
  B(6) W(57)
 ( J-  Taiki Yanagida )
Won
Dividends : $4.80 $1.90
Has returned to winning form in quite some style. Burst through to score last start and it has an impressive record on this track. Goes close.
Next Best
9 Pinmedown   F: 109X6
  B(8) W(53)
 ( J-  Ryoya Kozaki )
Needed the run last time out and it should be better for that effort. Every chance here with a light weight of 53kg.
Include in Multis
11 Paisley Park   F: 43252
  B(3) W(53)
 ( J-  Trudy Thornton )
Another runner helped out by the light weight of 53kg. The talent is there and it could cap off some consistent form with a win.
Longer OddsThe 'Best Roughie'
8 Poker Face   F: 55117
  B(7) W(54)
 ( J-  Sam Spratt )
Just needs the pace up to fire up. Good chance.

Remarks

Smart field and it's a good betting affair
race-image
Cutadeel is the class runner

Results

Race Dividends
Win 6 $ 4.80
Place1 6 $ 1.90
Place2 4 $ 3.40
Place3 7 $ 4.60
Quinella 4:6 $ 28.10
Trifecta 6:4:7 $ 843.40
First4 6:4:7:3 $ 2813.80
Double 9/6 $ 44.50

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
3, 6, 8, 9, 11
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 9 - CORPORATE SCAFFOLDING MAIDEN 1400
Time: 5:26 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
9 Riverfalls   F: 32
  B(10) W(55.5)
Getting closer to a win after two placings to kick off its career. Drawn wide but goes close with some luck in running.
Main Danger
7 Rendition   F: 3623X
  B(4) W(55.5)
 ( J-  Rosie Myers )
Closed last campaign with three placings from its last four starts. Nothing wrong with that form and there has been very strong money come.
Next Best
1 Blackrocksdetox   F: 338X2
  B(9) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Vinnie Colgan )
Indicated that a win wouldn't be far off when running second last time out. Chance with some early luck from the draw.
Include in Multis
8 Tears Of Jupiter   F: 94X42
  B(3) W(55.5)
Won
Dividends : $9.40 $2.70
Handy run behind a nice type last start. Even chance to win this at each-way odds.
Longer Odds
5 Humbucker   F: 2
  B(8) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Opie Bosson )
Placed
Dividend : $2.70
Did enough on debut to consider here. Appealing odds.

Remarks

Each way odds throughout this field
race-image
Riverfalls has ability

Results

Race Dividends
Win 8 $ 9.40
Place1 8 $ 2.70
Place2 5 $ 2.70
Place3 10 $ 1.70
Quinella 5:8 $ 29.10
Trifecta 8:5:10 $ 386.30
First4 8:5:10:11 $ 3854.70

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 5, 7, 8, 9
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 10 - BARFOOT & THOMPSON 1600
Time: 6:09 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
1 Swords Drawn   F: 00X21
  B(8) W(60)
 ( J-  Opie Bosson )
Placed
Dividend : $1.30
Showed its ability when scoring last time out. That was a win of a horse going places, so it goes clearly on top here.
Main Danger
3 Germanicus   F: 3X142
  B(13) W(59.5)
 ( J-  Troy Harris )
 ( T-  Danica Guy )
Never too far away from the prize. Has been right around the mark this season, including a win. Just needs luck from the draw.
Next Best
12 Livvy Lass   F: 62241
  B(10) W(57)
 ( J-  Ryan Elliot )
Won
Dividends : $17.90 $3.90
Returned to winning form last time out. Has been up for awhile so it's not lacking fitness and should be ready to fire.
Include in Multis
6 Malik   F: 271
  B(4) W(59)
Broke maiden grades last start and the odds are going to appeal here. Right in it from the good barrier.
Longer Odds
9 Rusavy   F: 00X82
  B(6) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Taiki Yanagida )
 ( T-  Chris Wood )
Placed
Dividend : $4.80
Handy chance following its placings. Claim helps.

Remarks

Quality race to close the card
race-image
Swords Drawn has ability

Results

Race Dividends
Win 12 $ 17.90
Place1 12 $ 3.90
Place2 1 $ 1.30
Place3 9 $ 4.80
Quinella 1:12 $ 23.40
Trifecta 12:1:9 $ 828.00
First4 12:1:9:11 $ 7720.50
Trifecta - Selected!

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 3, 6, 9, 12
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%