M2 Ellerslie – 5th November 2019

Selections for: New Zealand Racing

Our selections for the M2 Ellerslie – 5th November 2019 are below: Good Luck! Back to Performance page

M2 Ellerslie – 5th November 2019

M2: Ellerslie - 5th Nov, 2019

Start time:12:05 pm
Weather:Fine
Track:Good3

Overview

Quality 10-race card at Ellerslie which includes the OMF Stakes and many more top races

Day's "Best"

R2 (12) Ranger

Best "Each Way"

R4 (11) Kylie Bax

Best "Roughie"

R8 (8) Poker Face
  • Race 1 - CARLTON EVENTS 2200
    Time: 12:05 | Distance: m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    7 Star Karen   F: 30X62
      B(4) W(56)
     ( J-  Leith Innes )
    Placed
    Dividend : $1.30
    Getting close to a win after producing a big effort for second last time out. Has experience against some smart types, so it goes on top here.
    Main Danger
    8 Clementina   F: 6X515
      B(2) W(54.5)
    Struggled last start but is too good to ignore. Win prior was quality and anything close to that sees it winning. A tactical affair helps its chances.
    Next Best
    6 Deejay Mac   F: 15221
      B(1) W(56.5)
    Strong money coming, which is a little bit surprising. Did score well last start but faces some smart types here. Goes into the mix.
    Include in Multis
    1 Verry Flash   F: 31058
      B(8) W(60.5)
     ( J-  Rebecca Scott )
    Good win four back and that showed its potential. Hasn't quite lived up to expectations since, but has ability. Chance.
    Longer Odds
    2 Excalibur   F: 48X09
      B(5) W(58.5)
     ( J-  Sam Weatherley )
    Won
    Dividends : $9.90 $2.40
    Better than what it has been showing of late. Consider.

    Remarks

    Good types to open the card
    race-image
    Star Karen could return to form

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 2 $ 9.90
    Place1 2 $ 2.40
    Place2 7 $ 1.30
    Place3 5 $ 2.60
    Quinella 2:7 $ 11.80
    Trifecta 2:7:5 $ 184.70
    First4 2:7:5:3 $ 1877.80

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    1, 2, 6, 7, 8
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 2 - CHEVALIER PRODUCE MAIDEN 1600
    Time: 12:40 | Distance: m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    The 'Day's Best'
    12 Ranger   F: 2X332
      B(1) W(57)
     ( J-  Andrew Calder )
    Placed
    Dividend : $1.30
    Looks set to break through and this is its easiest chance. It has been heavily backed after four consecutive placings and it goes on top.
    Main Danger
    4 Triomphe   F: 30X32
      B(14) W(58.5)
     ( J-  Rosie Myers )
    Won
    Dividends : $11.30 $3.10
    Going to need some luck from out wide, but it has the ability. Last two placings have been very good and it should go close.
    Next Best
    3 Teen Titan   F: 72822
      B(13) W(58.5)
     ( J-  Opie Bosson )
    Looked the winner last start but was narrowly beaten. A maiden win won't be too far away and it could easily come here.
    Include in Multis
    14 Clever Approach   F: 53
      B(9) W(57)
     ( J-  Craig Grylls )
     ( T-  Nigel Tiley )
    Stable is in good form and it ran nicely for third last start. Lack of experience doesn't help but it has good upside.
    Longer Odds
    13 Leitrim Lad   F: 85X2
      B(5) W(57)
     ( J-  Trudy Thornton )
    Much better run last time out. Chance.

    Remarks

    Good money for the favourite
    race-image
    Ranger looks spot on

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 4 $ 11.30
    Place1 4 $ 3.10
    Place2 1 $ 7.60
    Place3 12 $ 1.30
    Quinella 1:4 $ 142.60
    Trifecta 4:1:12 $ 876.10
    First4 4:1:12:14 $ 5776.20
    Double 2/4 $ 83.00

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    3, 4, 12, 13, 14
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 3 - AUCKLAND CO-OP TAXIS 2400
    Time: 1:15 | Distance: m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    3 Pearlescence   F: X3711
      B(3) W(56.5)
    Placed
    Dividend : $1.60
    Has turned around its form nicely with consecutive wins. Drawn well in barrier three and it could make it three in a row. Big chance.
    Main Danger
    4 Vainglory   F: X4213
      B(9) W(56)
     ( T-  Cody Cole )
    Placed
    Dividend : $1.40
    Doesn't know how to run a bad race after winning and placing twice this season. Drawn awkwardly but has time to find a good spot in running.
    Next Best
    10 Unacceptable   F: 36192
      B(8) W(54)
     ( J-  Craig Grylls )
     ( T-  John Bell )
    Has attracted good attention with bookmakers. Gets down in the weights and there is good each-way money around.
    Include in Multis
    5 Where Are You   F: 73452
      B(7) W(56)
     ( J-  Sam Weatherley )
    Won
    Dividends : $5.70 $2.00
    Indicated last start that a win wouldn't be too far away. Working through its gears and it should add some value.
    Longer Odds
    2 Rodmar   F: 11017
      B(2) W(59)
     ( J-  Anna Jones )
    Inconsistent but talented on its day. Respect at the price.

    Remarks

    Looks an even betting field
    race-image
    Pearlescence has every chance

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 5 $ 5.70
    Place1 5 $ 2.00
    Place2 4 $ 1.40
    Place3 3 $ 1.60
    Quinella 4:5 $ 8.30
    Trifecta 5:4:3 $ 85.50
    First4 5:4:3:10 $ 302.60
    Treble 2/4/5 $ 779.90
    Trifecta - Selected!
    First 4 - Selected!

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    2, 3, 4, 5, 10
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 4 - AGROWQUIP JOHN DEERE 1200
    Time: 1:57 | Distance: m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    The 'Best Each Way'
    11 Kylie Bax   F: 23X1
      B(2) W(57)
     ( J-  Opie Bosson )
    Liked the way it let down to score last time out. Could control the pace from an inside barrier and kick away again. Big chance.
    Main Danger
    9 Cin Cin   F: 324X3
      B(9) W(57)
     ( J-  Chelsea Burdan )
    Doesn't win all that often but is never far away from the prize. Good resuming run for third and it gets a valuable 3kg off its back. Chance.
    Next Best
    2 New York Jazz   F: 31236
      B(6) W(59.5)
    Has won already this campaign and hasn't been far away since. Gets a 1kg claim and it loves to battle away, so consider here.
    Include in Multis
    8 Destination   F: 56X1
      B(3) W(57.5)
    Placed
    Dividend : $2.80
    Good money coming after scoring a good win last time out. Still on the improve and it's well weighted at 55.5kg.
    Longer Odds
    5 Saintly Way   F: X3551
      B(13) W(58.5)
     ( J-  Sam Weatherley )
    Last-start winner with upside.

    Remarks

    Good progressive field
    race-image
    Kylie Bax could win again

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 6 $ 34.70
    Place1 6 $ 8.30
    Place2 8 $ 2.80
    Place3 1 $ 3.60
    Quinella 6:8 $ 178.00
    Trifecta 6:8:1 $ 3910.20
    First4 - $ 0.00
    Double 5/6 $ 83.40

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    2, 5, 8, 9, 11
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 5 - POWERSAFE ELECTRICAL WHOLESALERS 1200
    Time: 2:32 | Distance: m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    3 Cyber Attack   F: 1798X
      B(4) W(58)
     ( J-  Vinnie Colgan )
     ( T-  Tony Pike )
    Went to Australia and didn't really live up to expectations. Should return in good order and be tough to beat at each-way odds.
    Main Danger
    11 Spring Heat   F: 0477X
      B(2) W(56)
     ( J-  Craig Grylls )
    Won
    Dividends : $6.10 $2.20
    Another which didn't fire towards the end of last campaign, but should find this easier. Drawn well in barrier two and it could ride the speed.
    Next Best
    9 Satu Lagi   F: 413X2
      B(7) W(56.5)
    Has good form on dry tracks and it gets conditions to suit. Has been around some nice types in its day so consider here.
    Include in Multis
    6 Speedy Meady   F: 11X63
      B(5) W(57)
     ( J-  Andrew Calder )
    Handles all conditions so don't worry about that. Could return to the form it should last preparation and that would be good enough.
    Longer Odds
    4 Born Dragon   F: 3341X
      B(12) W(57.5)
     ( J-  Sam Spratt )
     ( T-  J & B Vance )
    Placed
    Dividend : $3.60
    Has upset claims if they roll along in front. Don't discount.

    Remarks

    Each-way odds throughout this field
    race-image
    Cyber Attack could return in style

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 11 $ 6.10
    Place1 11 $ 2.20
    Place2 4 $ 3.60
    Place3 8 $ 4.90
    Quinella 4:11 $ 44.90
    Trifecta 11:4:8 $ 1461.60
    First4 11:4:8:9 $ 7162.10
    Quaddie 4/5/6/11 $ 11683.60

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    3, 4, 6, 9, 11
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 6 - CARBINE CLUB TROPHY
    Time: 3:07 | Distance: m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    4 Aim Smart   F: X12X1
      B(9) W(57.5)
     ( J-  Opie Bosson )
    Returned with a booming win last time out. Tricky draw but it has good tactical pace and Opie Bosson in the saddle. That helps.
    Main Danger
    1 Beauden   F: 12X03
      B(1) W(59.5)
     ( J-  Ryan Elliot )
    Placed
    Dividend : $1.80
    Good money coming for Beauden and the inside draw is ideal. Big weight but is capable of carrying it to victory.
    Next Best
    6 Viktor Vegas   F: X1245
      B(2) W(56.5)
     ( T-  Peter Lock )
    Kicked off this campaign with a stylish win. Drawn to figure in the finish and it could add some good value. Nice chance.
    Include in Multis
    11 Lubaya   F: 7073X
      B(5) W(55)
    Has shown ability in the past and winning this isn't out of the equation. Chance at nice odds.
    Longer Odds
    9 Terra Sancta   F: 9668X
      B(3) W(55.5)
     ( J-  Leith Innes )
     ( T-  Tony Pike )
    Tough race to start with but it has ability. Include at odds.

    Remarks

    Some stellar types running in this
    race-image
    Aim Smart is smart

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 10 $ 15.50
    Place1 10 $ 3.20
    Place2 1 $ 1.80
    Place3 5 $ 3.90
    Quinella 1:10 $ 34.10
    Trifecta 10:1:5 $ 819.20
    First4 10:1:5:4 $ 2056.30
    Double 11/10 $ 84.40

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    1, 4, 6, 9, 11
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 7 - OMF STAKES
    Time: 3:43 | Distance: m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    8 Concert Hall   F: 8X825
      B(8) W(57)
    Has been a touch disappointing this campaign but should have taken good benefit from recent racing. Gets back but should be storming home late.
    Main Danger
    1 Peso   F: X5412
      B(2) W(59)
     ( J-  Rosie Myers )
    Placed
    Dividend : $1.60
    Second behind Melody Belle last start so that form reads well. Drawn well and it could settle on the speed and kick strongly.
    Next Best
    7 Red Sierra   F: 44171
      B(3) W(57)
    In good form after posting two wins from its last three starts. Has been heavily backed to win so consider.
    Include in Multis
    4 Vin De Dance   F: 500X0
      B(5) W(59)
     ( J-  Craig Grylls )
    Classy type which needed the fresh up run. Punters should be expecting quick improvement at odds.
    Longer Odds
    2 Saint Emilion   F: 02X30
      B(9) W(59)
    Can roll along in front and give a good kick. Chance.

    Remarks

    Quality field for the quality race
    race-image
    Stick with Concert Hall

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 9 $ 10.40
    Place1 9 $ 2.40
    Place2 6 $ 4.40
    Place3 1 $ 1.60
    Quinella 6:9 $ 97.50
    Trifecta 9:6:1 $ 649.40
    First4 9:6:1:8 $ 2678.30

    Betting Suggestions

    Quaddies
    R7 (1) Peso(8) Concert Hall
    R8 (3) Cutadeel(6) Go Nicholas (9) Pinmedown
    R9 (7) Rendition(9) Riverfalls
    R10 (1) Swords Drawn(3) Germanicus
    Quaddies % to a $20 stake:

    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    1, 2, 4, 7, 8
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 8 - HALO CONSULTING 1600
    Time: 4:18 | Distance: m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    3 Cutadeel   F: 00X18
      B(1) W(57.5)
    Impressive win fresh up but was handled last time out. Easier field here and getting the inside draw helps. Better chance here.
    Main Danger
    6 Go Nicholas   F: 34411
      B(6) W(57)
     ( J-  Taiki Yanagida )
    Won
    Dividends : $4.80 $1.90
    Has returned to winning form in quite some style. Burst through to score last start and it has an impressive record on this track. Goes close.
    Next Best
    9 Pinmedown   F: 109X6
      B(8) W(53)
     ( J-  Ryoya Kozaki )
    Needed the run last time out and it should be better for that effort. Every chance here with a light weight of 53kg.
    Include in Multis
    11 Paisley Park   F: 43252
      B(3) W(53)
     ( J-  Trudy Thornton )
    Another runner helped out by the light weight of 53kg. The talent is there and it could cap off some consistent form with a win.
    Longer Odds
    The 'Best Roughie'
    8 Poker Face   F: 55117
      B(7) W(54)
     ( J-  Sam Spratt )
    Just needs the pace up to fire up. Good chance.

    Remarks

    Smart field and it's a good betting affair
    race-image
    Cutadeel is the class runner

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 6 $ 4.80
    Place1 6 $ 1.90
    Place2 4 $ 3.40
    Place3 7 $ 4.60
    Quinella 4:6 $ 28.10
    Trifecta 6:4:7 $ 843.40
    First4 6:4:7:3 $ 2813.80
    Double 9/6 $ 44.50

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    3, 6, 8, 9, 11
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 9 - CORPORATE SCAFFOLDING MAIDEN 1400
    Time: 5:26 | Distance: m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    9 Riverfalls   F: 32
      B(10) W(55.5)
    Getting closer to a win after two placings to kick off its career. Drawn wide but goes close with some luck in running.
    Main Danger
    7 Rendition   F: 3623X
      B(4) W(55.5)
     ( J-  Rosie Myers )
    Closed last campaign with three placings from its last four starts. Nothing wrong with that form and there has been very strong money come.
    Next Best
    1 Blackrocksdetox   F: 338X2
      B(9) W(57.5)
     ( J-  Vinnie Colgan )
    Indicated that a win wouldn't be far off when running second last time out. Chance with some early luck from the draw.
    Include in Multis
    8 Tears Of Jupiter   F: 94X42
      B(3) W(55.5)
    Won
    Dividends : $9.40 $2.70
    Handy run behind a nice type last start. Even chance to win this at each-way odds.
    Longer Odds
    5 Humbucker   F: 2
      B(8) W(57.5)
     ( J-  Opie Bosson )
    Placed
    Dividend : $2.70
    Did enough on debut to consider here. Appealing odds.

    Remarks

    Each way odds throughout this field
    race-image
    Riverfalls has ability

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 8 $ 9.40
    Place1 8 $ 2.70
    Place2 5 $ 2.70
    Place3 10 $ 1.70
    Quinella 5:8 $ 29.10
    Trifecta 8:5:10 $ 386.30
    First4 8:5:10:11 $ 3854.70

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    1, 5, 7, 8, 9
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 10 - BARFOOT & THOMPSON 1600
    Time: 6:09 | Distance: m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    1 Swords Drawn   F: 00X21
      B(8) W(60)
     ( J-  Opie Bosson )
    Placed
    Dividend : $1.30
    Showed its ability when scoring last time out. That was a win of a horse going places, so it goes clearly on top here.
    Main Danger
    3 Germanicus   F: 3X142
      B(13) W(59.5)
     ( J-  Troy Harris )
     ( T-  Danica Guy )
    Never too far away from the prize. Has been right around the mark this season, including a win. Just needs luck from the draw.
    Next Best
    12 Livvy Lass   F: 62241
      B(10) W(57)
     ( J-  Ryan Elliot )
    Won
    Dividends : $17.90 $3.90
    Returned to winning form last time out. Has been up for awhile so it's not lacking fitness and should be ready to fire.
    Include in Multis
    6 Malik   F: 271
      B(4) W(59)
    Broke maiden grades last start and the odds are going to appeal here. Right in it from the good barrier.
    Longer Odds
    9 Rusavy   F: 00X82
      B(6) W(58.5)
     ( J-  Taiki Yanagida )
     ( T-  Chris Wood )
    Placed
    Dividend : $4.80
    Handy chance following its placings. Claim helps.

    Remarks

    Quality race to close the card
    race-image
    Swords Drawn has ability

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 12 $ 17.90
    Place1 12 $ 3.90
    Place2 1 $ 1.30
    Place3 9 $ 4.80
    Quinella 1:12 $ 23.40
    Trifecta 12:1:9 $ 828.00
    First4 12:1:9:11 $ 7720.50
    Trifecta - Selected!

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    1, 3, 6, 9, 12
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%