M2 Ellerslie – 7th September 2019

Selections for: New Zealand Racing

Our selections for the M2 Ellerslie – 7th September 2019 are below: Good Luck! Back to Performance page

M2 Ellerslie – 7th September 2019

M2: Ellerslie - 7th Sep, 2019

Start time:11:33 am
Weather:Cloudy
Track:Heavy11

Overview

Great Northern Steeplechase the feature on the big 10-race card

Day's "Best"

R6 (1) Laekeeper

Best "Each Way"

R7 (6) Concert Hall

Best "Roughie"

R3 (7) Flying Fantasia

Race 1 - STELLA ARTOIS HURDLE
Time: 11:33 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

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Top Pick
3 Grinner   F: 14536
  B(7) W(68)
 ( J-  Emily Farr )
Placed
Dividend : $1.60
Continues to grind away and that could be enough to win this. Good win five back and looks a chance if the jock stays on.
Main Danger
4 Bee Tee Junior   F: 5737L
  B(3) W(68)
 ( J-  Aaron Kuru )
Won
Dividends : $2.60 $1.40
Lost the rider last start when looking a good chance to win. Chance for punters to get their money back. Include in win bets.
Next Best
2 Summer Warrior   F: 24365
  B(9) W(68)
 ( J-  Shaun Phelan )
 ( T-  Dean Wiles )
Finding it tough to win a race but has some upside. Should be fit for this and it has a capable rider in the saddle.
Include in Multis
5 Country Bumpkin   F: X5229
  B(4) W(68)
 ( T-  Niall Quinn )
Placed
Dividend : $3.20
Makes its hurdle debut after showing some pace on the flat. Will be an interesting watch but could be worth following.
Longer Odds
8 Kion   F: 523P7
  B(5) W(68)
 ( J-  Isaac Lupton )
Needs a lift in confidence but it could run well at odds.

Remarks

Opnen hurdle to kick off the card
race-image
Grinner has upside

Results

Race Dividends
Win 4 $ 2.60
Place1 4 $ 1.40
Place2 3 $ 1.60
Place3 5 $ 3.20
Quinella 3:4 $ 5.20
Trifecta 4:3:5 $ 82.20
First4 4:3:5:9 $ 464.70
Trifecta - Selected!

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
2, 3, 4, 5, 8
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 2 - BARFOOT & THOMPSON 1200
Time: 12:07 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

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Top Pick
1 Dawn Patrol   F: 2238X
  B(4) W(60)
Placed
Dividend : $2.10
Classy at best and it took on some talented types last season. Will find this easier but it will have to carry the big weight on a heavy track.
Main Danger
2 Speedy Meady   F: 1411X
  B(5) W(57)
 ( J-  Masa Hashizume )
Enjoys conditions and really came of age when last in work. Gets a 4kg claimer in the saddle and that could make a big difference.
Next Best
3 Lilly Thunder   F: 0112X
  B(6) W(56)
 ( J-  Rowena Smyth )
 ( T-  Patsy Riley )
Scored back-to-back wins last preparation. That form would take it close to many of these and it's at each-way odds.
Include in Multis
4 Lupelani   F: 04661
  B(1) W(54)
 ( J-  Taiki Yanagida )
 ( T-  Nigel Tiley )
Won
Dividends : $7.60 $3.00
Got back to winning form when winning last start. Drops down to 52kg on the back and this stable is in good form. Don't leave out.
Longer Odds
6 Pushka   F: X9934
  B(2) W(54)
 ( J-  Rebecca Scott )
Upsets can happen in these small fields.

Remarks

Small field but it has spring implications
race-image
Dawn Patrol owns the class

Results

Race Dividends
Win 4 $ 7.60
Place1 4 $ 3.00
Place2 1 $ 2.10
Quinella 1:4 $ 12.50
Trifecta 4:1:5 $ 110.50
First4 4:1:5:3 $ 301.00
Double 4+/4 $ 10.10

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 3, 4, 6
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 3 - STELLA ARTOIS 1600
Time: 12:42 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
1 Irish Flame   F: 9X641
  B(3) W(60)
 ( J-  Leith Innes )
Enjoyed the wet last start and no reason why it won't again here. Winner of three from four on the heavy surfaces.
Main Danger
6 Scaglioni   F: 63712
  B(4) W(54)
Good win two back and backed that up with a placing. Drops right down to 51kg and it has been well-received in the market.
Next Best
5 Elle Eye Are   F: 61368
  B(6) W(54)
Placed
Dividend : $2.50
Just struggling to find its best form but that shouldn't be too far away now. Gets in nicely on the weights and it has upside.
Include in Multis
3 Fiscal Fantasy   F: 3215X
  B(2) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Yong Chew )
Fresh up here and it gets a helping 4kg off its back. Could run well at each-way odds so consider in win bets.
Longer OddsThe 'Best Roughie'
7 Flying Fantasia   F: 82118
  B(1) W(54)
 ( J-  Mubs Kareem )
Has won well this preparation and shouldn't be overlooked.

Remarks

Only six in it but it should be an interesting affair
race-image
Irish Flame could win again

Results

Race Dividends
Win 4 $ 6.50
Place1 4 $ 3.00
Place2 5 $ 2.50
Quinella 4:5 $ 17.20
Trifecta 4:5:1 $ 106.40
First4 4:5:1:6 $ 234.70
Treble 4+/4/4 $ 143.60

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 3, 5, 6, 7
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 4 - HYLAND RACE COLOURS 1400
Time: 1:17 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
1 Mont Ventoux   F: 03141
  B(5) W(60)
 ( J-  Chris Dell )
Placed
Dividend : $1.80
Has found form with two wins from its last three starts. Big weight but that shouldn't matter too much over this distance. Goes close.
Main Danger
2 Bobby Dazzler   F: X5136
  B(1) W(59)
Considered good enough to go to Australia. Good win three back and it gets a much-needed 3kg claim coming off. Chance.
Next Best
4 Rukuhia   F: 8X311
  B(7) W(58)
 ( J-  Trudy Thornton )
 ( T-  Glenn Old )
Likely to sit off the pace and come with a big run late. In fine form and it could add yet another win here.
Include in Multis
8 Codecracker   F: 12343
  B(4) W(56)
 ( T-  K & B Kelso )
Won
Dividends : $4.10 $1.50
Doesn't know how to run a bad race. Gets an even run from the draw and it will continue to battle away nicely.
Longer Odds
6 Call Me Bob   F: X4679
  B(6) W(57.5)
 ( T-  Nigel Tiley )
Could cause an upset at odds.

Remarks

Many capable types in this
race-image
Mont Ventoux should go well

Results

Race Dividends
Win 8 $ 4.10
Place1 8 $ 1.50
Place2 1 $ 1.80
Place3 7 $ 3.90
Quinella 1:8 $ 11.20
Trifecta 8:1:7 $ 147.40
First4 8:1:7:2 $ 558.80
Double 4/8 $ 20.40

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 4, 6, 8
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 5 - OTAKIRI RESERVE STEEPLECHASE
Time: 1:52 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
1 Eion   F: 43235
  B(3) W(68)
 ( J-  Buddy Lammas )
 ( T-  Ken Duncan )
Won
Dividends : $2.70 $1.70
Has been around the mark all year and deserves another chance. Suited at even weights and it could land some good bets.
Main Danger
2 Mesmerize   F: 85235
  B(4) W(68)
 ( J-  Isaac Lupton )
Placed
Dividend : $1.50
Seeing out the distance shouldn't be too hard for this hardened customer. Looks a good chance to get back to winning form.
Next Best
3 Kilronan   F: 58653
  B(2) W(68)
 ( J-  Emily Farr )
Handy run for third last time out and it should be right around the mark again. Has more promise than most.
Include in Multis
Insufficient Runners
Longer Odds
4 Big 'N' Rich   F: F4P4L
  B(5) W(68)
 ( J-  Toni Moki )
Tough to follow but it could spring a surprise result.

Remarks

Not big on numbers but it could be an exciting race
race-image
Eion will go close

Results

Race Dividends
Win 1 $ 2.70
Place1 1 $ 1.70
Place2 2 $ 1.50
Quinella 1:2 $ 3.10
Trifecta 1:2:4 $ 31.00
First4 1:2:4:3 $ 37.60
Quaddie 4/4/8/1 $ 887.20
Trifecta - Selected!
First 4 - Selected!

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
Insufficient Runners
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 6 - BOUTIQUE BODY CORPORATES GREAT NORTHERN HURDLE
Time: 2:27 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top PickThe 'Day's Best'
1 Laekeeper   F: 33LL1
  B(2) W(68.5)
 ( J-  Shaun Fannin )
 ( T-  Simon Rees )
Placed
Dividend : $1.80
Jockey stayed on last start and it scored nicely. Could have easily won three in a row and it looks the hardest to beat.
Main Danger
4 Bad Boy Brown   F: 13222
  B(9) W(65.5)
 ( J-  Isaac Lupton )
Won
Dividends : $4.50 $1.60
Getting ever so close to a statement win. Could cap off its season with a terrific win at Ellerslie and we wouldn't be backing against it.
Next Best
2 No Tip   F: 19132
  B(5) W(67)
 ( J-  Aaron Kuru )
Placed
Dividend : $1.80
Knows how to win after two wins from its last five starts. Each-way odds on offer and that should attract some punters.
Include in Multis
6 Trisha Lea   F: 41011
  B(7) W(65)
 ( J-  Charlie Studd )
Three wins from its last four starts. Loves conditions and it shouldn't be too far away.
Longer Odds
9 Magic Cannon   F: 93331
  B(8) W(65)
 ( J-  Reece Cole )
Last-start winner which could kick on with it now. Has ability.

Remarks

Always an exciting affair
race-image
Laekeeper is a talent

Results

Race Dividends
Win 4 $ 4.50
Place1 4 $ 1.60
Place2 1 $ 1.80
Place3 2 $ 1.80
Quinella 1:4 $ 8.80
Trifecta 4:1:2 $ 60.70
First4 4:1:2:9 $ 409.60
Double 1/4 $ 11.90
Trifecta - Selected!
First 4 - Selected!

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 4, 6, 9
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 7 - CELEBRATING MELODY BELLE 1400
Time: 3:07 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top PickThe 'Best Each Way'
6 Concert Hall   F: 1118X
  B(6) W(54)
 ( J-  Shaun McKay )
Odds are simply too good to pass up. Nice type in the making and it's perfectly-weighted at 54kg. Each-way odds on offer.
Main Danger
7 Back In A Flash   F: 14841
  B(2) W(53.5)
 ( T-  K & G Opie )
Won
Dividends : $2.20 $1.40
Handles conditions and comes into this with an impressive win last time out. Very tough to beat with only 52.5kg on its back.
Next Best
5 Herengawe   F: 11362
  B(1) W(54.5)
 ( J-  Trudy Thornton )
 ( T-  Joanne Moss )
Placed
Dividend : $1.80
Good enough to score back-to-back wins earlier this preparation. Gets an inside draw and it should also prove tough to beat.
Include in Multis
2 Mongolian Marshal   F: 1327X
  B(3) W(59.5)
Placed
Dividend : $1.80
Owns talent but might need a few runs to get going. However, can't be left out here and it should be hitting the line well.
Longer Odds
8 Smart As You Think   F: 6590X
  B(5) W(53)
Aussie which didn't live up to expecations. Light weight chance.

Remarks

Cracking field to kick off the quaddie
race-image
Concert Hall could play the right tune

Results

Race Dividends
Win 7 $ 2.20
Place1 7 $ 1.40
Place2 5 $ 1.80
Place3 2 $ 1.80
Quinella 5:7 $ 4.80
Trifecta 7:5:2 $ 30.90
First4 7:5:2:1 $ 96.70
Trifecta - Selected!

Betting Suggestions

Quaddies
R7 (5) Herengawe(6) Concert Hall (7) Back In A Flash
R8 (2) Max(6) The Arabian Duke (7) Lacustre
R9 (1) Divine Duke(6) Maestro Blu (7) Zabdi
R10 (1) Repo Sun(2) Symbio (8) Heliberry
Quaddies % to a $20 stake:

Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
2, 5, 6, 7, 8
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 8 - NETWORK VISUALS GREAT NORTHERN STEEPLECHASE
Time: 3:42 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
7 Lacustre   F: 32541
  B(3) W(65)
 ( J-  Shaun Phelan )
Broke through for the win last time out and it should be the one to beat for this. Has been heavily-backed to win and should run well.
Main Danger
2 Max   F: 12344
  B(9) W(68.5)
 ( J-  Isaac Lupton )
Always around the mark and it has scored a win this season. Will give punters a great sight at each-way odds.
Next Best
6 The Arabian Duke   F: 65352
  B(2) W(65)
 ( J-  Gary Walsh )
Could cap off some consistent form with a win here. Owns plenty of class and it shouldn't be left out. Goes into the mix.
Include in Multis
5 Old Countess   F: 55416
  B(6) W(65)
 ( J-  Buddy Lammas )
Did the job nicely two back and it could cause an upset here. Big odds on offer and it's worth including.
Longer Odds
8 Mr Enthusiastic   F: 3123F
  B(7) W(65)
 ( J-  Emily Farr )
Fell last start but it could make amends here. Chance.

Remarks

Good field for the feature race of the day
race-image
Lacusture is a top chance

Results

Race Dividends
Win 1 $ 10.00
Place1 1 $ 2.90
Place2 10 $ 19.00
Place3 4 $ 2.20
Quinella 1:10 $ 609.10
Trifecta 1:10:4 $ 9797.00
First4 1:10:4:7 $ 7500.70

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
2, 5, 6, 7, 8
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 9 - JRA TROPHY 2100
Time: 4:18 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
6 Maestro Blu   F: 62115
  B(9) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Mubs Kareem )
 ( T-  Simon Rees )
Placed
Dividend : $1.90
Good enough to score back-to-back wins before running fifth last time out. Gets a significant weight off its back which helps.
Main Danger
1 Divine Duke   F: 34624
  B(4) W(61)
Gets a 3kg claim here and that brings it right into contention. Won't take long to get back into winning form.
Next Best
7 Zabdi   F: 34161
  B(7) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Opie Bosson )
Two wins from its last three starts. Will run at nice odds here and it could slip under the radar. Have it on your ticket.
Include in Multis
5 Rocking Good Time   F: 30143
  B(1) W(58.5)
Drawn to get an easy time of it and it was a good winner three back. Shouldn't be too far away from the prize.
Longer Odds
2 Locally Sauced   F: 36226
  B(11) W(59.5)
 ( T-  G & T Shaw )
Never too far away from the prize and it's paying double-figure odds. Right in this.

Remarks

Open field with many each-way types
race-image
Maestro Blu could win

Results

Race Dividends
Win 8 $ 18.10
Place1 8 $ 4.20
Place2 3 $ 2.00
Place3 6 $ 1.90
Quinella 3:8 $ 39.50
Trifecta 8:3:6 $ 590.50
First4 8:3:6:1 $ 3506.10

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 5, 6, 7
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 10 - AUCKLAND CO-OP TAXIS 1600
Time: 4:53 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
1 Repo Sun   F: 4X775
  B(2) W(60)
 ( J-  Masa Hashizume )
Gets 4kg off its back and it has improved with every run. Money coming for it and it shouldn't be too far away from them.
Main Danger
2 Symbio   F: 21456
  B(3) W(58.5)
Has been mixing its form but talented at best. Should be running close against this opposition.
Next Best
8 Heliberry   F: X0133
  B(5) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Taiki Yanagida )
 ( T-  Mark Forbes )
Could win the Oscar here for a good run. Good win three back and it has every chance of taking this out. Gets weight off the back.
Include in Multis
6 Zeefa Zed   F: 90905
  B(6) W(57)
 ( J-  Leith Innes )
Placed
Dividend : $2.10
Out of form but should appreciate conditions and it has been very well backed to win. Watch the tote.
Longer Odds
4 Easy Habit   F: 1659
  B(1) W(58)
Good debut win and it should run well.

Remarks

A couple of well-backed runners in this
race-image
Frozen should enjoy conditions

Results

Race Dividends
Win 3 $ 7.00
Place1 3 $ 3.40
Place2 6 $ 2.10
Quinella 3:6 $ 14.90
Trifecta 3:6:2 $ 137.70
First4 3:6:2:8 $ 431.60

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 4, 6, 8
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%