M2 Ellerslie – 9th March 2019

Selections for: New Zealand Racing

Our selections for the M2 Ellerslie – 9th March 2019 are below: Good Luck! Back to Performance page

M2 Ellerslie – 9th March 2019

M2: Ellerslie - 9th Mar, 2019

Start time:12:40 pm
Weather:Showery
Track:Heavy10

Overview

10 races on the card at Ellerslie, which features the Auckland Cup, Sistema Stakes and many more stakes races

Day's "Best"

R9 (1) Charles Road

Best "Each Way"

R10 (4) Hoist

Best "Roughie"

R3 (8) Birdie Blitz

Race 1 - WHITE CLIFFS TIMBER 1200
Time: 12:40 | Distance: 1200m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
6 Mr Universe   F: 46014
  B(4) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Opie Bosson )
 ( T-  Jacob McKay )
Placed
Dividend : $1.60
Looked good when winning two back and wasn't disgraced when fourth last time out. Drawn well and it should be around the mark.
Main Danger
9 Spindle   F: 42625
  B(3) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Cameron Lammas )
Won
Dividends : $4.10 $1.70
Good thing beaten last week on Derby Day. Held up by its stablemate but with a clean run at them here, it could make amends.
Next Best
3 Satriani   F: 1349
  B(6) W(59)
 ( J-  Andrew Calder )
Hasn't been too bad with limited experience. Might enjoy conditions and run well.
Include in Multis
2 Breezon   F: X4133
  B(1) W(59.5)
 ( J-  Leith Innes )
Placed
Dividend : $1.80
Drawn to sit just behind the speed and kick nicely in the straight. Stable had two winners last week and that form could transfer over to this meeting.
Longer Odds
5 Firoden   F: 8251
  B(2) W(58.5)
 ( T-  Steven Reid )
Scored nicely last start and it could handle the rise in grade.

Remarks

Bookmakers are offering an even betting market in the first
race-image
Spindle was unlucky last start

Results

Race Dividends
Win 9 $ 4.10
Place1 9 $ 1.70
Place2 2 $ 1.80
Place3 6 $ 1.60
Quinella 2:9 $ 9.90
Trifecta 9:2:6 $ 53.50
First4 9:2:6:5 $ 268.30
Trifecta - Selected!
First 4 - Selected!

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
2, 3, 5, 6, 9
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 2 - ROYAL DESCENT STAKES
Time: 1:15 | Distance: 1600m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
4 Podravina   F: 41231
  B(1) W(55)
Placed
Dividend : $2.10
Did it nicely last start and it's tough to ignore that form. Gets all favours off the inside and it should be going well once again.
Main Danger
6 Sandrine   F: 22241
  B(2) W(55)
 ( J-  Cameron Lammas )
Won
Dividends : $4.90 $2.90
Scored an overdue win last start and the small field should help its chances. Finds the rail, likely behind the winner and will wait for the gap to open up.
Next Best
2 Contessa Vanessa   F: 20043
  B(4) W(56)
 ( J-  Ryan Elliot )
Has form against some strong sprinting fields and it could find this slightly easier. Gets some weight off the back and it should go close.
Include in Multis
1 Nicoletta   F: 24776
  B(5) W(56)
 ( J-  Opie Bosson )
Classy type which is a little out of form, but owns too much talent to leave out. Goes into the mix.
Longer Odds
5 Hinerangi   F: 71237
  B(7) W(55)
Not the most consistent type but if it gets the breaks, it could finish strongly.

Remarks

Small field but it's not lacking in talent
race-image
Nicoletta could return to form

Results

Race Dividends
Win 6 $ 4.90
Place1 6 $ 2.90
Place2 4 $ 2.10
Quinella 4:6 $ 6.50
Trifecta 6:4:2 $ 43.20
First4 6:4:2:5 $ 134.90
Trifecta - Selected!
First 4 - Selected!

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 4, 5, 6
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 3 - STELLA ARTOIS 1600
Time: 1:50 | Distance: 1600m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
10 Bethany   F: 23222
  B(6) W(55)
Has had its chances to score the elusive win but it does look tough to beat here. Has run five consecutive placings and most of the money has come for it.
Main Danger
9 Zenvo   F: 5X731
  B(8) W(56)
 ( J-  Troy Harris )
Placed
Dividend : $3.10
Winning form is good form for this race. Did the job nicely at Te Aroha and that experience should hold it in good stead. Each way odds on offer.
Next Best
1 The Helix   F: 34X13
  B(5) W(58)
 ( T-  Cody Cole )
Rarely far away from the winner and it scored nicely two back. Drawn to receive cover and it should be placed somewhere on the pace.
Include in Multis
2 William Tell   F: 43133
  B(2) W(58)
 ( J-  Taiki Yanagida )
Scored the apples three back and ran two solid placings since. Drawn well, which will help the 3kg apprentice. Don't discount.
Longer OddsThe 'Best Roughie'
8 Birdie Blitz   F: 54541
  B(3) W(56)
 ( J-  Sam Spratt )
Could score another birdie after winning last start. Has the talent.

Remarks

Punters are getting value with most runners in this field
race-image
Birdie Blitz could offer value odds

Results

Race Dividends
Win 6 $ 19.60
Place1 6 $ 4.60
Place2 9 $ 3.10
Place3 13 $ 3.10
Quinella 6:9 $ 108.90
Trifecta 6:9:13 $ 2902.70
First4 6:9:13:5 $ 10153.90
Treble 9/6/6 $ 924.00

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 8, 9, 10
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 4 - PGG WRIGHTSON /VETMED 1400
Time: 2:25 | Distance: 1400m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
11 Together   F: X3117
  B(6) W(55.5)
Placed
Dividend : $2.10
Average last start but we're prepared to give it another go. Form prior included two quality wins and having had that experience could help.
Main Danger
2 Owen Patrick   F: X1174
  B(4) W(59)
 ( J-  Opie Bosson )
Just in behind the winner last start and that was good enough to warrant inclusion at odds.
Next Best
8 Jip Jip Rock   F: 612X
  B(11) W(56)
 ( J-  Michael McNab )
Placed
Dividend : $2.10
Showed a real turn-of-foot last season. Likely forced back from the draw but it will be putting in the big bounds late. Exciting prospect.
Include in Multis
4 Monaco   F: 41123
  B(8) W(58)
 ( J-  Trudy Thornton )
Won
Dividends : $6.30 $2.40
Never runs a bad race and it will attract plenty of attention in the betting. Good and tough rider engaged will help.
Longer Odds
1 Project   F: 1X0X7
  B(7) W(60)
 ( J-  Taiki Yanagida )
 ( T-  Tony Cole )
Could run well at nice odds and the off track.

Remarks

Another wide-open field with good money on offer
race-image
Jip Jip Rock is a nice type in the making

Results

Race Dividends
Win 4 $ 6.30
Place1 4 $ 2.40
Place2 11 $ 2.10
Place3 8 $ 2.10
Quinella 4:11 $ 18.10
Trifecta 4:11:8 $ 147.10
First4 4:11:8:10 $ 1873.10
Trifecta - Selected!

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 4, 8, 11
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 5 - FASTTRACK INSURANCE 1600
Time: 3:00 | Distance: 1600m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
8 Tightlign   F: X2143
  B(4) W(58.5)
Picked up late to run third last start. Better for the run and it's too good to leave out of calculations. Should be well backed on the day.
Main Danger
6 Steven James   F: 11272
  B(3) W(59)
 ( J-  Michael McNab )
 ( T-  John Morell )
Not far behind the winner last start and that form should stack up nicely. Goes under the radar which means punters get good odds, as seen here.
Next Best
11 Sinarahma   F: 21135
  B(2) W(57)
Placed
Dividend : $2.20
Nicely weight and drawn. Last two have been only fair but it just needs a few things to go its way to win. Each way chance.
Include in Multis
7 Savapak   F: 27236
  B(7) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Opie Bosson )
Rarely too far away from the prize and it could offer value.
Longer Odds
5 Lucky Sweep   F: 80381
  B(6) W(59)
 ( J-  Sam Spratt )
Placed
Dividend : $4.30
Did it well enough last week and that's as good a form guide as any.

Remarks

Big field and big value. The form out of this race should hold true for awhile.
race-image
Rhinestone Cowboy could get back to winning form

Results

Race Dividends
Win 1 $ 14.30
Place1 1 $ 3.80
Place2 11 $ 2.20
Place3 5 $ 4.30
Quinella 1:11 $ 37.60
Trifecta 1:11:5 $ 948.50
First4 1:11:5:15 $ 17643.30
Quaddie 6/6/4/1 $ 17810.00

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
5, 6, 7, 8, 11
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 6 - LASER TE PUKE 1200
Time: 3:35 | Distance: 1200m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
7 Pretty To Sea   F: 7X183
  B(7) W(56)
 ( J-  Leith Innes )
Won
Dividends : $3.80 $1.60
Has form around some nice types and that should shine through here. Has been the best-backed runner throughout the week in this field.
Main Danger
14 Marzemino   F: 4X113
  B(11) W(54)
 ( J-  Andrew Calder )
Drawn out deep and this should be a hotly-contested pace. 54kg on the back helps and its class could take it close.
Next Best
9 Joy Anna   F: X8804
  B(2) W(55)
 ( J-  Sam Spratt )
Isn't far off scoring a good win. Indicated that last time out when running fourth and it has been specked. Chance.
Include in Multis
3 Rikki Tikki Tavi   F: 62495
  B(5) W(58)
Placed
Dividend : $2.20
Likely to loom as the winner at some stage. Battles away nicely and winning this isn't beyond its capabilities.
Longer Odds
2 Go Nicholas   F: 3200X
  B(4) W(62.5)
 ( J-  Grant Cooksley )
Is an Ellerslie specialist and although out of form and a big weight, it shouldn't be discounted.

Remarks

No runner under $5 in the betting. That makes for an open contest.
race-image
Marzemino has winning claims

Results

Race Dividends
Win 7 $ 3.80
Place1 7 $ 1.60
Place2 3 $ 2.20
Place3 4 $ 2.40
Quinella 3:7 $ 13.60
Trifecta 7:3:4 $ 116.80
First4 7:3:4:14 $ 517.50
Treble 4/1/7+ $ 449.80

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
2, 3, 7, 9, 14
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 7 - SISTEMA STAKES
Time: 4:15 | Distance: 1200m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
1 Yourdeel   F: 1231
  B(9) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Opie Bosson )
Won
Dividends : $1.70 $1.20
Showed them a clean pair of heels last time out. Has obvious talent and a repeat could be on the cards. Likely to be heavily backed on the day.
Main Danger
7 Bavella   F: 11X6
  B(6) W(54.5)
 ( J-  Leith Innes )
 ( T-  Lance Noble )
Just didn't let down last start but did have some excuse. Better suited here with the 54.5kg on the back. Big danger and is paying a nice price.
Next Best
2 Aotea Lad   F: 1222
  B(7) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Michael McNab )
Guilty of finding one better on more occasions than you'd want. Has talent and only needs to find a length to turn the tables.
Include in Multis
11 Just Zerene   F: 625
  B(1) W(54.5)
 ( J-  Sam Spratt )
 ( T-  Tony McEvoy )
Australian which had a huge wrap on debut. Hasn't shown much but has had limited luck. Wouldn't be a shock to see Australian sprinting form dominate ours.
Longer Odds
9 Aalaalune   F: 2463
  B(4) W(54.5)
 ( J-  Reese Jones )
 ( T-  Jacob McKay )
Placed
Dividend : $2.40
Produced a big run for second last start and it must be included.

Remarks

Quality field with a dash of Australian interest
race-image
Bavella could hit back

Results

Race Dividends
Win 1 $ 1.70
Place1 1 $ 1.20
Place2 9 $ 2.40
Place3 6 $ 2.40
Quinella 1:9 $ 9.50
Trifecta 1:9:6 $ 98.00
First4 1:9:6:7 $ 364.50

Betting Suggestions

Quaddies
R7 (1) Yourdeel(2) Aotea Lad (7) Bavella (11) Just Zerene
R8 (1) On The Rocks(9) Melody Belle (10) Danzdanzdance
R9 (1) Charles Road(2) Vengeur Masque (14) Glory Days
R10 (3) Lord Arthur(4) Hoist (6) Amano (10) Vee Cece
Quaddies % to a $20 stake:

Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 7, 9, 11
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 8 - BONECRUSHER NEW ZEALAND STAKES
Time: 4:50 | Distance: 2000m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
9 Melody Belle   F: X3011
  B(5) W(57)
 ( J-  Opie Bosson )
Won
Dividends : $2.60 $1.50
Is the best horse in NZ and continues to show that without excuses. Two big wins this campaign and it's going to give punters a good sight.
Main Danger
10 Danzdanzdance   F: 13115
  B(6) W(57)
 ( J-  Craig Grylls )
Placed
Dividend : $1.40
The track might not have suited last start but it was disappointing. A big effort puts it back into HOTY contention and we wouldn't be discounting it on one run.
Next Best
1 On The Rocks   F: X3191
  B(4) W(59)
 ( J-  Jake Bayliss )
Knows how to score when it counts. This would be one of those times and there is good support in the betting. Right in the mix.
Include in Multis
12 Rondinella   F: 02112
  B(3) W(57)
 ( J-  Vinnie Colgan )
Placed
Dividend : $2.50
Didn't let many down when running second last start. Will continue to make ground around the outside of runners late.
Longer Odds
5 Authentic Paddy   F: 42408
  B(1) W(59)
 ( J-  Robert Hannam )
 ( T-  Lisa Latta )
Should enjoy the conditions. Tough on its day.

Remarks

Mouthwatering clash between Melody Belle, Danzdanzdance and On The Rocks - with plenty more challengers of course
race-image
Melody Belle is the deserved favourite

Results

Race Dividends
Win 9 $ 2.60
Place1 9 $ 1.50
Place2 10 $ 1.40
Place3 12 $ 2.50
Quinella 9:10 $ 3.60
Trifecta 9:10:12 $ 39.50
First4 9:10:12:5 $ 274.30
Trifecta - Selected!
First 4 - Selected!

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 5, 9, 10, 12
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 9 - BARFOOT & THOMPSON AUCKLAND CUP
Time: 5:27 | Distance: 3200m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top PickThe 'Day's Best'
1 Charles Road   F: 37444
  B(7) W(57)
 ( J-  Craig Grylls )
Put the writing on the wall with a fantastic run last start. Has Melbourne Cup experience and it looks cherry ripe for this. Expected to run in the Sydney Cup next month.
Main Danger
2 Vengeur Masque   F: 90371
  B(6) W(57)
 ( J-  Opie Bosson )
Doesn't win often but scored nicely last time out. Australian runner which has been competing in stronger fields than this. Respect.
Next Best
14 Glory Days   F: 11021
  B(15) W(53.5)
Won
Dividends : $5.20 $2.10
Continues to run good races and is dangerous down in the weights at 53.5kg. Toughest test to date but is capable.
Include in Multis
3 Five To Midnight   F: 83513
  B(13) W(56)
 ( T-  Lisa Latta )
Placed
Dividend : $2.00
Always around the mark despite not having a massive turn-of-foot. Might need to lift to win this but there's specking in the betting.
Longer Odds
4 Prince Jabeel   F: 33130
  B(14) W(56)
 ( J-  Leith Innes )
 ( T-  Lance Noble )
Only average last start but it has attracted interest at a quote. Has value claims.

Remarks

Feature race of the day and it could hold significant importance later this year
race-image
Melbourne Cup form with Charles Road

Results

Race Dividends
Win 14 $ 5.20
Place1 14 $ 2.10
Place2 3 $ 2.00
Place3 7 $ 4.40
Quinella 3:14 $ 15.70
Trifecta 14:3:7 $ 293.70
First4 14:3:7:15 $ 3847.60

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 3, 4, 14
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 10 - BARFOOT & THOMPSON 2100
Time: 6:10 | Distance: 2100m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top PickThe 'Best Each Way'
4 Hoist   F: 57333
  B(6) W(58)
 ( J-  Opie Bosson )
Won
Dividends : $5.40 $2.10
Just needs to improve a touch to win this at each way odds. Gets Opie in the saddle and it should go close.
Main Danger
3 Lord Arthur   F: X1853
  B(8) W(58)
Placed
Dividend : $2.00
Nice win fresh before running poorly. Returned to form last start and although it's not overly speedy, it could grind away for the win.
Next Best
10 Vee Cece   F: 37166
  B(10) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Taiki Yanagida )
Hasn't been as bad as advertised its last couple. Gets a significant claim here, taking its weight down to 53.5kg. Tough.
Include in Multis
6 Amano   F: 17743
  B(4) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Craig Grylls )
Well backed to win and it should be another which is right around the mark. Drawn well and will be there for a long time.
Longer Odds
11 Diamondsandbubbles   F: 42515
  B(2) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Sam Spratt )
Nice odds and worth including to boost payouts.

Remarks

Open field to close the Auckland Carnival of Racing
race-image
Hoist is a chance in the last

Results

Race Dividends
Win 4 $ 5.40
Place1 4 $ 2.10
Place2 5 $ 10.40
Place3 3 $ 2.00
Place6 1,5,11/3,4,7+/1+,6,9/9+,10,12/3,7,14/3,4,5 $ 72.40
Quinella 4:5 $ 141.60
Trifecta 4:5:3 $ 1053.00
First4 4:5:3:13 $ 10852.60
Treble 9+/14/4 $ 115.00
Quaddie 1+/9+/14/4 $ 254.90

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
3, 4, 6, 10, 11
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%