M2: Ellerslie – 26th January 2019

Selections for: New Zealand Racing

Our selections for the M2: Ellerslie – 26th January 2019 are below: Good Luck! Back to Performance page

M2: Ellerslie – 26th January 2019

M02: Ellerslie - 26th Jan, 2019

Start time:4:41 pm
Weather:Fine
Track:Good3

Overview

Karaka Classic night. A million bucks on the line. Tommy Berry taking a day off from Sydney racing to be part of the action

Day's "Best"

R6 (1) Madison County

Best "Each Way"

R1 (4) Gundown

Best "Roughie"

R3 (7) Amastar

Race 1 - COLLINSONFOREX KARAKA CUP
Time: 4:41 | Distance: 2200m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top PickThe 'Best Each Way'
4 Gundown   F: 21882
  B(4) W(53)
Baker rates highly. One of the last High Chaparrals won't be firing blanks next summer.
Main Danger
2 Mongolian Marshal   F: 21213
  B(1) W(56.5)
 ( J-  James McDonald )
Placed
Dividend : $1.20
Baker pulled rom Wellington Cups. Didn't want to over-tax him early in staying career. He'll keep
Next Best
1 Five To Midnight   F: 81835
  B(3) W(60)
 ( T-  Lisa Latta )
Won
Dividends : $6.60 $2.10
2nd in Auckland Cup last year. Skipped Wellington Cup to be here
Include in Multis
7 The Good Fight   F: 19212
  B(6) W(53)
2nd in Dunstan final. Can't afford a step back in this weight division
Longer Odds
9 Sacred Day   F: X2184
  B(9) W(53)
 ( J-  Michael McNab )
 ( T-  Tony Pike )
Placed
Dividend : $2.30
Couldn't be ridden out two back, started poorly and continued to lose ground last start

Remarks

Gear changes: August Edition: Nasal Strip on
race-image
Forsman

Results

Race Dividends
Win 1 $ 6.60
Place1 1 $ 2.10
Place2 2 $ 1.20
Place3 9 $ 2.30
Quinella 1:2 $ 5.80
Trifecta 1:2:9 $ 83.10
First4 1:2:9:7 $ 237.00
Trifecta - Selected!
First 4 - Selected!

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 4, 7, 9
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 2 - MONGOLIAN KHAN TROPHY
Time: 5:16 | Distance: 1200m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
1 Sword Of Osman   F: 65171
  B(4) W(60.5)
 ( J-  Opie Bosson )
Placed
Dividend : $1.30
Never got out of first gear winning Ellerslie Jan 13. Lost a shoe as well.
Main Danger
8 Burgundy Belle   F: 11
  B(2) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Shafiq Rusof )
Emphatic winner of two races so far. The race was won last year by stable-mate Melody Belle
Next Best
2 Cyber Attack   F: 1310X
  B(3) W(59.5)
 ( J-  Vinnie Colgan )
 ( T-  Tony Pike )
Placed
Dividend : $2.70
Sent to the paddock after beating couple home in HB Guineas. Trialled fortnight back in company with Pop Star Princess and Hiflyer.
Include in Multis
5 Princess Amelie   F: X1013
  B(9) W(57.5)
 ( T-  Lisa Latta )
Give her some decent cut in the ground and she's in business. All 3 wins in dead ground.
Longer Odds
9 Maison Roxanne   F: 2X1
  B(5) W(55.5)
 ( J-  James McDonald )
Smart maiden winner with McDonald up. Must have been impressed - he's back for more

Remarks

Gear changes: Maison Roxanne: Nasal Strip on
race-image
Sword of Osman

Results

Race Dividends
Win 4 $ 13.50
Place1 4 $ 3.50
Place2 1 $ 1.30
Place3 2 $ 2.70

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 5, 8, 9
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 3 - PREFERMENT @ BRIGHTHILL FARM CONCORDE HANDICAP
Time: 5:56 | Distance: 1200m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
2 Princess Kereru   F: 12512
  B(9) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Cameron Lammas )
Nothing between her and Santa Monica, except the odds of course. Like Santa Monica, she bypassed the Telegraph and the Kelso stable focused on this race
Main Danger
14 Ardrossan   F: X70X1
  B(12) W(53)
 ( J-  Michael McNab )
Won
Dividends : $4.10 $2.10
So classy - (3 wins from 6) i don't think she's out of her depth. Scr from very winnable race yesterday.
Next Best
9 Spring Heat   F: 145X1
  B(13) W(53)
 ( J-  Tommy Berry )
$78,000 in the bank. What would it have been if she hadn't spent so much time out. Softly softly approach to comeback
Include in Multis
1 Santa Monica   F: 42321
  B(8) W(60)
 ( J-  Trudy Thornton )
Railway winner. A 100-1 fluke? We shall see
Longer OddsThe 'Best Roughie'
7 Amastar   F: 03141
  B(14) W(53)
Kept fresh. That's the way she rolls. Work was exceptional this week

Remarks

Gear changes: Ever Loyal (AUS): Norton Bit off, Side Winkers off, Lugging Bit on Ja Ja Binks: Concussion Plates (Front) off, Blinkers off
race-image
Princess Keruru

Results

Race Dividends
Win 14 $ 4.10
Place1 14 $ 2.10
Place2 5 $ 3.00
Place3 3 $ 3.20
Quinella 5:14 $ 25.50
Trifecta 14:5:3 $ 262.30
First4 14:5:3:6 $ 5028.80
Treble 1/4/14+ $ 790.70

Betting Suggestions

Quaddies
R3 (2) Princess Kereru(9) Spring Heat (14) Ardrossan
R4 (1) Aotea Lad(2) Whiskey Neat (3) Neptune's Spear
R5 (1) Volpe Veloce(5) Livin' On A Prayer (9) Le Castile
R6 (1) Madison County(4) Surely Sacred
Quaddies % to a $20 stake:

Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 7, 9, 14
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 4 - KARAKA MILLION 2YO
Time: 6:36 | Distance: 1200m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
2 Whiskey Neat   F: 11
  B(2) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Leith Innes )
 ( T-  Tony Pike )
Won two races so far without hardly raising a sweat. Favouritism changed hands as soon as the draws came out.
Main Danger
1 Aotea Lad   F: 12
  B(12) W(56.5)
 ( J-  James McDonald )
Placed
Dividend : $1.70
Awkwardly drawn but with McDonald in the saddle I don't think Te Akau or stable backers have much to worry about. Does look one for later though.Awkwardly drawn but with McDonald in the saddle I don't think Te Akau or stable backers have much to worry about. Impsing type with blinkers on..
Next Best
11 Probabeel   F: 211
  B(16) W(54.5)
 ( J-  Opie Bosson )
Won
Dividends : $4.00 $1.70
Favouritism conceded after drawing 16. No one wants another Melody Belle
Include in Multis
3 Neptune's Spear   F: 12
  B(11) W(56.5)
Aussie trainer knows how to win this race, having won it twice before. He's naturally chirpy
Longer Odds
14 Flaunting   F: 21
  B(1) W(54.5)
 ( J-  Sam Spratt )
The talk is all about Te Akau's team but unwise to downplay this filly's chances. Was beaten by Yourdeel on debut but bounced out of that for comfortable win.

Remarks

Gear changes: Aotea Lad: Visor Blinkers on Challa (AUS): Blinkers on Appellant: Side Winkers on Probabeel: Side Winkers off, Visor Blinkers o
race-image

Results

Race Dividends
Win 11 $ 4.00
Place1 11 $ 1.70
Place2 1 $ 1.70
Place3 5 $ 1.80
Quinella 1:11 $ 8.10
Quaddie 1/4/14+/11 $ 4994.30

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 3, 11, 14
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 5 - WESTBURY CLASSIC
Time: 7:13 | Distance: 1400m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
1 Volpe Veloce   F: 0X424
  B(2) W(58)
Won
Dividends : $2.10 $1.40
Up to her old tricks in Railway - flopped out of gates, warmed up well as usual late. Her race to lose
Main Danger
5 Livin' On A Prayer   F: 22906
  B(10) W(55)
Perhaps isn't a group horse after all. Faltered but still ran a meritorius 6th in Telegraph, a big improvement on Couplands Mile and Railway efforts. 1400m today could change things for the better
Next Best
9 Le Castile   F: X2011
  B(6) W(55)
 ( J-  Vinnie Colgan )
Has had four wins but what's she beaten? - not very much. True test of her talent today
Include in Multis
3 Indecision   F: 21515
  B(12) W(56)
 ( J-  Jason Waddell )
 ( T-  Tony Pike )
Top four chance. Wih rain the odds would have shortened
Longer Odds
6 Yearn   F: 12032
  B(9) W(55)
 ( J-  Sam Spratt )
Placed
Dividend : $3.20
Bit erratic when trying to chase down Stratocaster here Jan 13. Spratt pinch-hiting for injured jock

Remarks

Stipe Comment: VOLPE VELOCE (RAILWAY) Began awkwardly
race-image
Volpe Veloce

Results

Race Dividends
Win 1 $ 2.10
Place1 1 $ 1.40
Place2 4 $ 2.40
Place3 6 $ 3.20
Quinella 1:4 $ 8.90
Trifecta 1:4:6 $ 123.30
First4 1:4:6:9 $ 593.50

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 3, 5, 6, 9
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 6 - KARAKA MILLION 3YO CLASSIC
Time: 7:48 | Distance: 1600m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top PickThe 'Day's Best'
1 Madison County   F: 21311
  B(6) W(56.5)
Placed
Dividend : $1.40
Class act. Co-trainer labels the 2000 Guineas winner in one. I'll buy into hs confidence
Main Danger
4 Surely Sacred   F: 121
  B(3) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Leith Innes )
 ( T-  Tony Pike )
Jock heading off on holiday soon (as in five week suspension) A win here would pay some of his bills
Next Best
5 Long Leaf   F: 83632
  B(10) W(56.5)
 ( J-  James McDonald )
Won
Dividends : $4.00 $1.70
Hayes invader with McDonald aboard. Won 3 in row last summer and group placed since.
Include in Multis
16 Queen Of Diamonds   F: 27113
  B(9) W(54.5)
 ( J-  Tommy Berry )
Worked brilliantly during the week, certainly the equal of Madison County. Does looks just one of many chances.
Longer Odds
14 Pinmedown   F: X5116
  B(13) W(54.5)
 ( J-  Jake Bayliss )
Aussie jock needs to reproduce Eight Carat ride and put the Royal Stakes misfire down to one of those days.

Remarks

Gear changes: Sir Nate: Tongue Tie on Long Leaf (AUS): Approved Plates on, Lugging Bit on, Side Winkers on
race-image
Madison County

Results

Race Dividends
Win 5 $ 4.00
Place1 5 $ 1.70
Place2 18 $ 27.30
Place3 1 $ 1.40
Place6 1,2+,9/1+,2,4/3,5,14+/1,5,10,1 $ 27.40
Quinella 5:18 $ 464.20
Trifecta 5:18:1 $ 3593.30
First4 5:18:1:16 $ 33671.20
Treble 11/1+/5 $ 77.10
Quaddie 14+/11/1+/5 $ 418.60

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 4, 5, 14, 16
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%