M2 Rotorua – 19th November 2019

Selections for: New Zealand Racing

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M2 Rotorua – 19th November 2019

M2: Rotorua - 19th Nov, 2019

Start time:12:45 pm
Weather:Fine
Track:Dead5

Overview

A rare Tuesday meeting and there are some quality races on show

Day's "Best"

R5 (7) Mekelle

Best "Each Way"

R4 (4) Mongolian Dynasty

Best "Roughie"

R1 (9) Ricky Baker
  • Race 1 - ISCL 1400
    Time: 12:45 | Distance: m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    4 Salt Bay   F: 169X6
      B(7) W(57)
     ( J-  Eilish McCall )
    Struggling to find its best form but it wouldn't need to improve too much. Gets a valuable 3kg off its back so include here.
    Main Danger
    2 Saignon   F: 48805
      B(3) W(57.5)
     ( J-  Ryan Elliot )
    Won
    Dividends : $4.10 $1.70
    Has been testing punters' patience but this is a winnable race. Looks a good chance of improving here.
    Next Best
    6 Penny Royal   F: 5X101
      B(1) W(55.5)
     ( J-  Vinnie Colgan )
    Placed
    Dividend : $1.60
    Two wins from its last three starts. Gets the inside draw and although it can produce the odd bad run, look for more consistency now.
    Include in Multis
    10 Craftyaffair   F: 6X321
      B(4) W(54)
    Broke through for the win last start and carrying 54kg is going to see it run close again. In good form and warrants attention.
    Longer Odds
    The 'Best Roughie'
    9 Ricky Baker   F: 70338
      B(6) W(54.5)
    Better than what its form has been showing. Include at odds.

    Remarks

    Even field to open the card
    race-image
    Salt Bay could win the first

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 2 $ 4.10
    Place1 2 $ 1.70
    Place2 8 $ 1.70
    Place3 6 $ 1.60
    Quinella 2:8 $ 11.60
    Trifecta 2:8:6 $ 104.90
    First4 2:8:6:9 $ 469.60

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    2, 4, 6, 9, 10
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 2 - MACMILLAN ACCOUNTANTS 3YO MAIDEN 1400
    Time: 1:15 | Distance: m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    1 Humbucker   F: 22
      B(1) W(57.5)
     ( J-  Opie Bosson )
    Placed
    Dividend : $1.30
    Nothing wrong with its two placings to date. A win looks likely to come soon and getting the inside draw could make that happen. Goes close.
    Main Danger
    7 Showbeel   F: 55X3
      B(7) W(55.5)
    Won
    Dividends : $3.30 $1.30
    Has shown enough in three runs to date to warrant attention. Has been well-backed to win and the breeding suggests it won't take long to break through.
    Next Best
      B(3) W(57.5)
     ( J-  Jason Waddell )
    Bred to be good. Chance on debut and it's still paying nice odds. Expect it to shorten.
    Include in Multis
    13 Graceful Way   F:
      B(5) W(55.5)
     ( T-  John Bell )
    Could run a good race on debut and this track should suit. Chance at nice odds.
    Longer Odds
    14 Sparkling Lady   F:
      B(2) W(55.5)
     ( J-  Rahul Beemud )
    Trial was only fair but the odds are too good to pass up.

    Remarks

    Punters should follow the form out of this race
    race-image
    Humbucker could go one better

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 7 $ 3.30
    Place1 7 $ 1.30
    Place2 1 $ 1.30
    Place3 11 $ 6.20
    Quinella 1:7 $ 2.00
    Trifecta 7:1:11 $ 111.30
    First4 7:1:11:13 $ 1041.90

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    1, 5, 7, 13, 14
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 3 - NOVARA PARK 3YO MAIDEN 1100
    Time: 1:50 | Distance: m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    1 Munster   F:
      B(1) W(57.5)
     ( T-  Jim Collett )
    Won
    Dividends : $2.80 $1.40
    Best-backed to win after impressing in a recent trial. Bred for speed and using the rail will be ideal on debut. Top chance.
    Main Danger
    5 Show The Love   F: 422
      B(4) W(55.5)
     ( J-  Cameron Lammas )
    Has the experience edge over the top well-favoured debutantes. Back-to-back second placings coming into this. Could push them.
    Next Best
    9 Palm Springs   F:
      B(2) W(55.5)
     ( T-  John Bell )
    Placed
    Dividend : $1.90
    Trial winner which looks to have a nice future ahead of it. Drawn to get all favours and run up to its odds. Respect.
    Include in Multis
    7 Triple Heart   F: 4434
      B(9) W(55.5)
     ( J-  Leith Innes )
    Backed and beaten to date, but it has improvement in store. Needs some luck from the draw but it swoop past them late.
    Longer Odds
    13 Patch Prince   F: 36X96
      B(3) W(57.5)
     ( J-  Sam Spratt )
    Placed
    Dividend : $3.10
    Has speed and could provide punters with good odds.

    Remarks

    Some quality debutantes taking part in this
    race-image
    Munster could make a winning debut

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 1 $ 2.80
    Place1 1 $ 1.40
    Place2 13 $ 3.10
    Place3 9 $ 1.90
    Quinella 1:13 $ 23.90
    Trifecta 1:13:9 $ 143.60
    First4 1:13:9:12 $ 1832.80
    Double 7/1+ $ 11.50
    Trifecta - Selected!

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    1, 5, 7, 9, 13
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 4 - ARAWA PARK FUNCTION ROOMS MAIDEN 1560
    Time: 2:25 | Distance: m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    The 'Best Each Way'
      B(8) W(57)
    Placed
    Dividend : $1.90
    Looks likely to improve with time after a nice run for fourth on debut. Nicely-bred type which should prove tough to beat.
    Main Danger
    1 Man Oh Man   F: 58X63
      B(7) W(58.5)
     ( J-  Opie Bosson )
    Placed
    Dividend : $1.50
    Much better run for third last time out. Has always shown ability and it could break through here. Better than most maiden runners.
    Next Best
    5 Declarada   F: 257X
      B(1) W(56.5)
    Won
    Dividends : $4.50 $1.60
    Gets the inside draw and it showed its best form when fresh up last preparation. Doesn't need to improve much to take this out.
    Include in Multis
    2 Razor   F: 20073
      B(4) W(58.5)
     ( J-  Taiki Yanagida )
    Has been in work for awhile now but that fitness could help. Gets some weight off its back so consider here.
    Longer Odds
    10 Rockley Beach   F: 58X56
      B(2) W(55)
     ( J-  Ryan Elliot )
     ( T-  Tony Pike )
    Chance with natural improvement. One for odds.

    Remarks

    Big field with many worthy chances
    race-image
    Mongolian Dynasty is a live chance

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 5 $ 4.50
    Place1 5 $ 1.60
    Place2 1 $ 1.50
    Place3 4 $ 1.90
    Quinella 1:5 $ 6.80
    Trifecta 5:1:4 $ 66.00
    First4 5:1:4:10 $ 242.80
    Trifecta - Selected!
    First 4 - Selected!

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    1, 2, 4, 5, 10
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 5 - CAMPBELLS INFRASTRUCTURE MAIDEN 1215
    Time: 3:00 | Distance: m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    The 'Day's Best'
    7 Mekelle   F: 25X
      B(3) W(56.5)
    Won
    Dividends : $1.40 $1.10
    Showed enough last campaign to warrant the short odds. Gets a good run from the draw and it could start odds-on.
    Main Danger
    6 Showaan   F:
      B(6) W(57)
     ( J-  Andrew Calder )
     ( T-  Glen Harvey )
    Placed
    Dividend : $3.10
    On debut and it looked good at the trials. Should be able to handle the track given its breeding. Goes close at each-way odds.
    Next Best
    2 Earl Of Orkney   F: 3
      B(12) W(58.5)
     ( J-  Jason Waddell )
    Third on debut and it has more improvement to come. No reason it couldn't win this race generous odds.
    Include in Multis
    3 Ruiz   F: 6X4
      B(9) W(58.5)
     ( J-  Taiki Yanagida )
    Improved run for fourth last start. Expecting it to break through relatively soon and could pay a nice price in doing so.
    Longer Odds
    8 Threadtheneedle   F: 20X95
      B(11) W(56.5)
    Chance with a nice drag into the race. Consider at odds.

    Remarks

    Plenty of money with the favourite
    race-image
    Mekelle has been well backed

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 7 $ 1.40
    Place1 7 $ 1.10
    Place2 6 $ 3.10
    Place3 4 $ 4.80
    Quinella 6:7 $ 11.60
    Trifecta 7:6:4 $ 132.60
    First4 7:6:4:8 $ 755.40

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    2, 3, 6, 7, 8
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 6 - POMARE ELECTRICAL MAIDEN 1215
    Time: 3:35 | Distance: m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    8 Shiranui   F: 427X
      B(1) W(56.5)
     ( J-  Jason Waddell )
    Looked the goods when running second two back. Has been freshened up for this run and it should be right around the mark.
    Main Danger
    9 Endean Lass   F: 3579X
      B(5) W(56.5)
     ( J-  Chelsea Burdan )
    Chance if it has come back a stronger type. Has been well-backed to win so consider here.
    Next Best
    5 The Green Dragon   F: 28X00
      B(8) W(57)
    Placed
    Dividend : $1.80
    Hasn't been great this season but expect quick improvement. Could run a nice race here.
    Include in Multis
    2 Outtalign I Am   F: 9
      B(9) W(58.5)
    Placed
    Dividend : $3.00
    Fair on debut but it could have needed the run. Not much depth to this field so consider.
    Longer Odds
    10 Tangodanzer   F: 480X
      B(7) W(56.5)
     ( J-  Joe Kamaruddin )
    Upset chance.

    Remarks

    Not much covering this maiden field
    race-image
    Shiranui runs at short odds

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 11 $ 11.80
    Place1 11 $ 2.50
    Place2 5 $ 1.80
    Place3 2 $ 3.00
    Quinella 5:11 $ 31.60
    Trifecta 11:5:2 $ 1463.00
    First4 11:5:2:9 $ 4580.40
    Treble 5/7+/11 $ 107.60

    Betting Suggestions

    Quaddies
    R6 (2) Outtalign I Am(5) The Green Dragon (8) Shiranui (9) Endean Lass
    R7 (6) Caribbean Rose(7) Jakama Krystal (11) Oceans Eight
    R8 (2) Teen Titan(5) Uncle Ern (8) Two Madison (10) Gravitelle
    R9 (1) Zamax(2) Malik (3) Wheao
    Quaddies % to a $20 stake:

    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    2, 5, 8, 9, 10
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 7 - HOLIDAY INN MAIDEN 1400
    Time: 4:10 | Distance: m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    11 Oceans Eight   F: 46
      B(4) W(56.5)
     ( J-  Opie Bosson )
    Well-backed last start but didn't quite get the best of runs. Better suited here and the money has come again. Allow another chance.
    Main Danger
    6 Caribbean Rose   F: 6232X
      B(6) W(56.5)
    Won
    Dividends : $4.30 $1.60
    Looked likely to win last season but it didn't come. Should have strengthened up nicely in the offseason and is ready to fire now.
    Next Best
    7 Jakama Krystal   F: 45X53
      B(1) W(56.5)
     ( J-  Jason Waddell )
     ( T-  Glynn Brick )
    Placed
    Dividend : $2.20
    Nothing wrong with that effort last time out. It suggested that a win isn't far off and there has been strong money come for it.
    Include in Multis
    8 Western Girl   F: 3247X
      B(10) W(56.5)
    Another which looked likely last time in work. Should be able to break through sooner rather than later.
    Longer Odds
    12 Sardonia   F: 57X5
      B(7) W(56.5)
    Could add some spice to multiples.

    Remarks

    Another even maiden contest
    race-image
    Oceans Eight could be a blockbuster

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 6 $ 4.30
    Place1 6 $ 1.60
    Place2 7 $ 2.20
    Place3 9 $ 2.80
    Quinella 6:7 $ 13.30
    Trifecta 6:7:9 $ 108.50
    First4 6:7:9:2 $ 1313.00

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    6, 7, 8, 11, 12
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 8 - LASER ELECTRICAL MAIDEN 1950
    Time: 4:45 | Distance: m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    10 Gravitelle   F: 40
      B(2) W(56.5)
     ( J-  Leith Innes )
     ( T-  Lance Noble )
    Won
    Dividends : $3.50 $1.50
    Handy fourth on debut before struggling last start. Didn't get much luck but the talent is there and it should score a maiden win soon. Could come here.
    Main Danger
    8 Two Madison   F: 8X824
      B(12) W(56.5)
     ( J-  Sam Spratt )
    Placed
    Dividend : $2.10
    Threatening to win a race after many solid efforts. Has found a winnable race and punters are getting good odds.
    Next Best
    2 Teen Titan   F: 28226
      B(4) W(58.5)
     ( J-  Opie Bosson )
    Placed
    Dividend : $1.40
    Put the writing on the wall with consecutive placings before running sixth last start. Chance of rebounding and getting off the mark.
    Include in Multis
    5 Uncle Ern   F: 5X857
      B(5) W(58.5)
     ( J-  Shaun McKay )
     ( T-  Jacob McKay )
    Could improve with recent runs under the belt. Chance here so consider.
    Longer Odds
    4 Prestigious Lad   F: X6290
      B(11) W(58.5)
    Could battle on nicely and run close.

    Remarks

    Good odds throughout this field
    race-image
    Gravitelle has upside

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 10 $ 3.50
    Place1 10 $ 1.50
    Place2 8 $ 2.10
    Place3 2 $ 1.40
    Quinella 8:10 $ 12.40
    Trifecta 10:8:2 $ 54.00
    First4 10:8:2:3 $ 422.80
    Trifecta - Selected!

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    2, 4, 5, 8, 10
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 9 - ATKINSON DONALDSON PLUMBERS 1950
    Time: 5:20 | Distance: m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    2 Malik   F: 2715
      B(6) W(59)
    Placed
    Dividend : $1.70
    A touch disappointing last start but it has rebound qualities. Looked good winning prior to that and we're getting it another chance.
    Main Danger
    1 Zamax   F: 31233
      B(7) W(59.5)
     ( J-  Opie Bosson )
    Doesn't know how to run a bad race. Good win four back and has backed that up with some handy placings. Right in this.
    Next Best
    3 Wheao   F: 02X36
      B(12) W(58)
     ( J-  Vinnie Colgan )
    Won
    Dividends : $7.80 $2.70
    Owns form in some strong races. That could show up here and although drawn wide, it should be tough to beat.
    Include in Multis
    10 Dance Card   F: 21X96
      B(8) W(56)
     ( J-  Leith Innes )
     ( T-  Lance Noble )
    Improving run last time out and it showed quality form towards the end of last campaign. Right in this.
    Longer Odds
    7 Hattie Bee   F: 0X475
      B(2) W(57)
     ( J-  Chris Dell )
    Always a chance if the pace is on.

    Remarks

    One of the better fields of the day
    race-image
    Malik could rebound

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 3 $ 7.80
    Place1 3 $ 2.70
    Place2 4 $ 8.70
    Place3 2 $ 1.70
    Quinella 3:4 $ 85.70
    Trifecta 3:4:2 $ 813.70
    First4 3:4:2:10 $ 4113.20
    Double 10/3 $ 20.80

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    1, 2, 3, 7, 10
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%