M2 Tauranga – 23rd March 2019

Selections for: New Zealand Racing

Our selections for the M2 Tauranga – 23rd March 2019 are below: Good Luck! Back to Performance page

M2 Tauranga – 23rd March 2019

M2: Tauranga - 23rd Mar, 2019

Start time:12:38 pm
Weather:Overcast
Track:Dead4

Overview

Japan Trophy and BOP Cup on the card. Should be a great day in the sun and a great day on the punt.

Day's "Best"

R1 (1) Marbuzet

Best "Each Way"

R7 (9) The Mitigator

Best "Roughie"

R8 (13) O'Sam

Race 1 - RYAN BRADLEY BAYLEYS COMMERCIAL MAIDEN
Time: 12:38 | Distance: 1600m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top PickThe 'Day's Best'
1 Marbuzet   F: 34424
  B(5) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Ryan Elliot )
Placed
Dividend : $2.00
Rarely runs a bad race and is knocking on the door of a win. Gets in with an apprentice claim and looms as the hardest to beat.
Main Danger
8 Western Girl   F: 37333
  B(1) W(55.5)
 ( J-  Craig Grylls )
Ran against some smart types last start and coped well. Easier here and it should use the inside draw to its advantage. Good chance.
Next Best
4 Hasabro   F: 290X9
  B(2) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Leith Innes )
Won
Dividends : $6.80 $3.00
Went to Melbourne and should have won fresh up, but didn't show much following that. Average last start but it could improve quickly.
Include in Multis
3 On The Nighttrain   F: 263
  B(3) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Michael McNab )
 ( T-  Ben Ropiha )
Unlucky two back but had its chances last time out. Clearly has the talent and just needs to put it all together.
Longer Odds
2 Charred   F: 43200
  B(7) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Andrew Calder )
Looking to bounce back after two poor efforts. Chance to add some spice to payouts.

Remarks

Some nice types which could progress through the grades
race-image
Nice field to open the card at Tauranga

Results

Race Dividends
Win 4 $ 6.80
Place1 4 $ 3.00
Place2 1 $ 2.00
Quinella 1:4 $ 11.90
Trifecta 4:1:8 $ 68.00
First4 4:1:8:2 $ 328.90
Trifecta - Selected!
First 4 - Selected!

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 3, 4, 8
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 2 - NZB INSURANCE PEARL SERIES RACE
Time: 1:13 | Distance: 1300m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
1 Hasahalo   F: 900X0
  B(2) W(60)
 ( J-  Leith Innes )
Punters will have to take it on trust after four consecutive poor performances. Doesn't get an easier chance to return to form here. Late chance saloon.
Main Danger
2 Pasabahce   F: 33125
  B(4) W(59.5)
 ( J-  Ryan Elliot )
Won
Dividends : $5.70 $2.60
Impressive win three back and it hasn't done much wrong since. Looks a good chance at nice odds.
Next Best
3 Honneur Noir   F: 113X7
  B(3) W(58.5)
 ( T-  Peter Lock )
A little more was expected last start but it needed the run. Last preparation was quality and anything close to that takes it close here.
Include in Multis
7 La Mia Stella   F: 40115
  B(7) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Trudy Thornton )
Placed
Dividend : $2.30
Scored consecutive wins before running fifth at Ellerslie last start. Not disgraced there and this doesn't look any harder.
Longer Odds
9 Walkin' By   F: 62362
  B(5) W(54)
 ( T-  Tony Pike )
Can offer some good each way odds. Close last start and the light weight is a bonus.

Remarks

Stakes form throughout this field.
race-image
Hasahalo has Group 1 form

Results

Race Dividends
Win 2 $ 5.70
Place1 2 $ 2.60
Place2 7 $ 2.30
Quinella 2:7 $ 10.50
Trifecta 2:7:3 $ 96.80
First4 2:7:3:9 $ 433.70
Trifecta - Selected!
First 4 - Selected!

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 3, 7, 9
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 3 - TEAM WEALLEANS HANDICAP
Time: 1:48 | Distance: 1600m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
3 Sinarahma   F: 11352
  B(3) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Leith Innes )
Nice performances to win four starts back and has been close since. Gets a good run from the draw and despite drifting in the betting, looks a good chance.
Main Danger
2 Tightlign   F: 21439
  B(2) W(59)
 ( J-  Craig Grylls )
Won
Dividends : $3.30 $1.70
Big weight but is capable of carrying the weight. Drawn well and it could land on the speed, which helps at Tauranga, and give a good kick.
Next Best
5 Together   F: 31172
  B(4) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Michael McNab )
Placed
Dividend : $1.90
Goes best when settling on pace and this is the track to do that. Went well last start and it should rise through the grades.
Include in Multis
Insufficient Runners
Longer Odds
1 Stacey Ann   F: 82202
  B(1) W(59)
 ( J-  Trudy Thornton )
Has experience against some nice types and it could add some value.

Remarks

Small field but it's going to be one of the best contests of the day.
race-image
Tightlign could offer value

Results

Race Dividends
Win 2 $ 3.30
Place1 2 $ 1.70
Place2 5 $ 1.90
Quinella 2:5 $ 6.40
Trifecta 2:5:1 $ 31.20
First4 2:5:1:3 $ 32.60
Trifecta - Selected!
First 4 - Selected!

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
Insufficient Runners
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 4 - TRITON PACIFIC OWENS PLATE
Time: 2:23 | Distance: 1200m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
5 Santa Catarina   F: 200X2
  B(2) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Michael McNab )
Placed
Dividend : $1.10
Has experience in Australia and went awfully close at Ellerslie last time out. Better for that experience and the money has come in droves.
Main Danger
1 Born Dragon   F: 17334
  B(6) W(60)
 ( J-  Vinnie Colgan )
 ( T-  J & B Vance )
Won
Dividends : $8.10 $1.90
Hasn't been too far away from the prize of late and it looms as a chance to defeat the odds-on favourite.
Next Best
2 Justacanta   F: 5266X
  B(8) W(59.5)
 ( J-  Taiki Yanagida )
Resumes and gets a valuable 3kg apprentice in the saddle. Could be a good hope on that and it's another well-priced.
Include in Multis
7 Fullinbloom   F: X410X
  B(3) W(56)
Recent trials placing was a good guide for this. Often shows early pace and it could add some value at odds.
Longer Odds
9 Lady Zeraph   F: X174X
  B(5) W(55.5)
Stable is going well and we wouldn't be ruling this runner out at double-figure odds.

Remarks

Huge betting move on the favourite.
race-image
Aussie form with the favourite

Results

Race Dividends
Win 1 $ 8.10
Place1 1 $ 1.90
Place2 4 $ 1.90
Place3 5 $ 1.10
Quinella 1:4 $ 21.10
Trifecta 1:4:5 $ 63.40
First4 1:4:5:7 $ 344.30
Treble 2/2/1 $ 142.70
Quaddie 4/2/2/1 $ 919.00

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 5, 7, 9
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 5 - SNOW WILLIAMS BAYLEYS REAL ESTATE HANDICAP
Time: 3:00 | Distance: 2100m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
4 Spring Delight   F: 32210
  B(2) W(57)
 ( J-  Craig Grylls )
Won
Dividends : $1.40 $1.00
Was an autumn delight two back when scoring at Avondale with ease before running 10th in the Sunline Vase. Too short in betting but is the best horse in the race.
Main Danger
2 Alternative Fact   F: 61002
  B(9) W(57.5)
Has talent but just needs to put it all together. Good run for second last time out and it could add some value for win bettors.
Next Best
1 The Glint   F: 35617
  B(3) W(59)
 ( J-  Shaun McKay )
 ( T-  Peter McKay )
Mixes form as shown when winning two back, but running seventh last start. Gets a nice run from the draw and it could go forward here.
Include in Multis
5 Nocturnal   F: 29507
  B(7) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Jake Bayliss )
Not quite in the form needed to win this race but it could be a sleeper pick. Jockey riding in good form and confidence is key.
Longer Odds
9 Rocanic   F: 25580
  B(8) W(55)
 ( J-  Masa Hashizume )
No weight on its back and a daring ride could see them all chasing.

Remarks

Punters get another odds-on favourite in Spring Delight
race-image
Spring Delight has been well-received in the betting

Results

Race Dividends
Win 4 $ 1.40
Place1 4 $ 1.00
Place2 8 $ 4.50
Place3 6 $ 5.70
Quinella 4:8 $ 20.30
Trifecta 4:8:6 $ 318.70
First4 4:8:6:2 $ 1472.30

Betting Suggestions

Quaddies
R5 (2) Alternative Fact(4) Spring Delight
R6 (1) Roger That(3) Felaar (7) Cha Siu Bao (8) Artiste
R7 (2) Hiflyer(3) Volpe Veloce (9) The Mitigator
R8 (3) Civilised(9) Incantesimo (11) So You Sparkle (13) O'Sam
Quaddies % to a $20 stake:

Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 4, 5, 9
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 6 - DRYMIX CEMENT BAY OF PLENTY CUP
Time: 3:35 | Distance: 2100m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
1 Roger That   F: 32144
  B(2) W(61)
 ( J-  Nik Bakar )
Placed
Dividend : $2.00
Not a huge fan of this track but it goes well most days and the 3kg claim helps. Likely to sit off the pace and come with a swooping run.
Main Danger
3 Felaar   F: 72351
  B(5) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Leith Innes )
Placed
Dividend : $1.70
Scored a quality win last time out and although there's more depth to this race, it's a stayer on the rise. Could go back-to-back.
Next Best
7 Cha Siu Bao   F: 55133
  B(3) W(55.5)
 ( J-  Craig Grylls )
Doesn't lack ability but it can produce the odd question mark performance. In good form now and that could result in a win. Nice odds.
Include in Multis
8 Artiste   F: 13314
  B(10) W(55)
 ( J-  Taiki Yanagida )
Won
Dividends : $6.70 $2.30
Tricky draw but they won't go overly hard in this and it could slot in nicely. 52kg on the back makes it worth including.
Longer Odds
10 Sunburst   F: 42046
  B(9) W(54)
 ( J-  Eilish McCall )
 ( T-  Danica Guy )
50kg on the back, which brings any runner into contention. Include for value.

Remarks

Quality field as expected and it's a wide-open betting affair.
race-image
Form with Felaar

Results

Race Dividends
Win 8 $ 6.70
Place1 8 $ 2.30
Place2 3 $ 1.70
Place3 1 $ 2.00
Quinella 3:8 $ 12.40
Trifecta 8:3:1 $ 112.40
First4 8:3:1:5 $ 2539.60
Trifecta - Selected!

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 3, 7, 8, 10
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 7 - WINDSOR PARK STUD JAPAN NZ INTERNATIONAL TROPHY
Time: 4:15 | Distance: 1600m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top PickThe 'Best Each Way'
9 The Mitigator   F: 12382
  B(13) W(55)
 ( J-  Shaun McKay )
 ( T-  Peter McKay )
Loves finding the front and giving a good kick. That's ideal on this track and we're happy to take the odds on offer.
Main Danger
3 Volpe Veloce   F: 24148
  B(9) W(56)
 ( J-  Michael McNab )
Won
Dividends : $3.30 $1.60
Best horse in the field and although only fair last start, it's good enough to bounce back and score in the feature of the day.
Next Best
2 Hiflyer   F: 6X002
  B(14) W(57)
 ( T-  Peter Lock )
Has seemingly lost a bit of its turn-of-foot. That's a concern but it will get back and fly home in this. Chance if they go fast up front.
Include in Multis
8 True Enough   F: 11112
  B(6) W(55)
 ( J-  Craig Grylls )
Placed
Dividend : $2.80
Hasn't done much wrong this campaign and it's coming off four wins and a last start placing. Goes into the mix.
Longer Odds
12 Nicoletta   F: 47767
  B(12) W(54)
 ( J-  Ryan Elliot )
Form in the winter is too good to leave her out. Dry track here but consider with the light weight.

Remarks

Plenty of well-performed types in this
race-image
Hiflyer could fly home

Results

Race Dividends
Win 3 $ 3.30
Place1 3 $ 1.60
Place2 5 $ 6.40
Place3 8 $ 2.80
Quinella 3:5 $ 43.50
Trifecta 3:5:8 $ 551.60
First4 3:5:8:1 $ 3362.00

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
2, 3, 8, 9, 12
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 8 - CRAIGS INVESTMENT PARTNERS HANDICAP
Time: 4:55 | Distance: 1600m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
9 Incantesimo   F: 43874
  B(7) W(58)
 ( J-  Masa Hashizume )
Placed
Dividend : $1.90
Hasn't won for awhile now and punters could be concerned, but it has performed against harder fields than this. Each way odds on offer.
Main Danger
11 So You Sparkle   F: 55234
  B(12) W(57)
 ( J-  Shaun McKay )
 ( T-  Tony Pike )
Not a bad run last start and it has been right behind the winners of late. Include here.
Next Best
3 Civilised   F: X0832
  B(10) W(59.5)
 ( J-  Leith Innes )
Knocking on the door after two good performances for placings. Big weight and tricky draw but for those risks, punters are getting nice odds.
Include in Multis
4 Acutus   F: 03355
  B(8) W(59)
 ( J-  Vinnie Colgan )
 ( T-  J & B Vance )
Hasn't been too far away from the mark this season. Stable can improve them quickly so don't discount.
Longer OddsThe 'Best Roughie'
13 O'Sam   F: 90338
  B(1) W(55)
 ( J-  Trudy Thornton )
Typically has better support than what is being shown. Having a tough rider in the saddle could help. Odds appeal.

Remarks

Big betting field to close the card.
race-image
Incantesimo has a chance at odds

Results

Race Dividends
Win 1 $ 16.30
Place1 1 $ 4.70
Place2 9 $ 1.90
Place3 8 $ 5.30
Place6 2,5/1,4,5+/4+,6,8/1,3+,8/3+,5,8/1,8,9+ $ 24.30
Quinella 1:9 $ 32.40
Trifecta 1:9:8 $ 1996.30
First4 1:9:8:11 $ 8376.00
Treble 8/3+/1 $ 455.00
Quaddie 4+/8/3+/1 $ 994.00

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
3, 4, 9, 11, 13
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%