M2 Te Aroha – 14th August 2019

Selections for: New Zealand Racing

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M2 Te Aroha – 14th August 2019

M2: Te Aroha - 14th Aug, 2019

Start time:11:57 am
Weather:Cloudy
Track:Heavy11

Overview

They race on a deep heavy track but there's value in the betting markets

Day's "Best"

R2 (1) Bay Rocker

Best "Each Way"

R4 (5) Benaud

Best "Roughie"

R7 (6) Arite Guru

Race 1 - BECOME A MEMBER OF RACING TE AROHA MAIDEN HURDLE
Time: 11:57 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
1 Summer Warrior   F: 22243
  B(11) W(68)
 ( J-  Emily Farr )
 ( T-  Dean Wiles )
Indicative Odds: $2.60
Owns plenty of pace on the flat and that should translate well to the hurdles. Plenty of money coming for it.
Main Danger
2 Magic Cannon   F: X0933
  B(7) W(68)
 ( J-  Mathew Gillies )
Indicative Odds: $4.20
Back-to-back placings coming into this and that form looks good for this hurdle. Each-way odds on offer and it should be taken.
Next Best
11 Trisha Lea   F: 66410
  B(5) W(66)
 ( J-  Charlie Studd )
Indicative Odds: $4.20
Typically enjoys the conditions and it's a tough type. Suited to this type of racing and it could be sent out over the odds.
Include in Multis
5 In A Minute   F: 30962
  B(6) W(68)
 ( J-  Shaun Phelan )
Indicative Odds: $6.50
Turned around some fairly average form with a placing last start. Right in this and the Manning-trained runners handle the slop.
Longer Odds
10 Medini   F: P80F4
  B(9) W(66)
 ( J-  Shaun Fannin )
Indicative Odds: $8.00
Chance based on its most recent run.

Remarks

Should be an interesting maiden hurdle
race-image
Summer Warrior looks a strong type

Results

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 5, 10, 11
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 2 - THE GRAND TAVERN OPEN HURDLE
Time: 12:32 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top PickThe 'Day's Best'
1 Bay Rocker   F: 4F214
  B(1) W(67.5)
 ( J-  Shaun Phelan )
Indicative Odds: $2.00
Has been running well over the hurdles of late, including a win two back. Looks tough to beat here and should run close again.
Main Danger
4 Notabadrooster   F: 12F4X
  B(7) W(65)
 ( J-  Emily Farr )
Indicative Odds: $5.50
Giving away race fitness but it has a fair amount of ability. Betting suggests it could be right on the money for this run.
Next Best
5 Senassy   F: 5801F
  B(6) W(65)
 ( T-  Neil O'Dowd )
Indicative Odds: $4.20
Scored well two back before falling last time out. Punters should be expecting a rebound effort if it hasn't dented the confidence.
Include in Multis
6 So Keep Em   F: 49P14
  B(8) W(65)
 ( T-  Kevin Myers )
Indicative Odds: $8.00
Another runner which scored nicely two back. Battling run last start but that form looks good for this. Can't be left out.
Longer Odds
7 Henry Tudor   F: 0P145
  B(4) W(65)
 ( J-  Aaron Kuru )
Indicative Odds: $10.00
Looks a nice jumper in the making and it will see out this distance.

Remarks

The favourite is attracting attention in the betting
race-image
Bay Rocker looks a nice type

Results

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 4, 5, 6, 7
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 3 - THE SPRAY RIG MAIDEN 2200
Time: 1:07 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
2 Junior   F: 66722
  B(3) W(58.5)
Indicative Odds: $2.10
Punters will have to take the shorts but it is the best horse in the race. Big run for second last start and it's only a matter of time before breaking maidens.
Main Danger
1 Gingee   F: X8F30
  B(5) W(58.5)
Indicative Odds: $9.50
Mixing its form of late but the ability is there. Will likely sit midfield and try launch its claim around the home bend. Chance for the upset.
Next Best
3 Banks Road   F: 9X963
  B(9) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Andrew Calder )
Indicative Odds: $4.20
Form is improving with every run this preparation and that should stack up nicely for this. Odds are drifting but that's good for the punter.
Include in Multis
8 Zedcrest   F: 0X487
  B(12) W(58.5)
Indicative Odds: $19.00
Struggling of late but the apprentice claim is going to help. Drawing wide might not be the worst thing in the world here.
Longer Odds
4 Kipling   F: 78420
  B(8) W(58.5)
 ( T-  John Mason )
Indicative Odds: $12.00
Worth including at the odds. Has ability on its day.

Remarks

Plenty of focus on the fav in the betting
race-image
Junior could become senior

Results

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 3, 4, 8
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 4 - 2019 STALLION SERVICES SCHEME 1400
Time: 1:42 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top PickThe 'Best Each Way'
5 Benaud   F: 8X883
  B(2) W(57.5)
Indicative Odds: $6.00
Wasn't showing much throughout its career before running third last start. Heading in the right direction and getting 4kg off the back helps.
Main Danger
3 Dalmar   F: 82102
  B(12) W(58.5)
 ( T-  Simon Rees )
Indicative Odds: $4.60
Produced one poor run this campaign but the rest have been good. That includes a win three back and a placing last start. Tough to beat.
Next Best
2 Vincentius   F: X0407
  B(6) W(59)
 ( J-  Craig Grylls )
Indicative Odds: $6.00
Better than what it has been showing recently. Gets a good draw and it could track them into the field and stake its claim late.
Include in Multis
1 Hear My Voice   F: 0X001
  B(11) W(59)
 ( J-  Shaun McKay )
 ( T-  Scott Wenn )
Indicative Odds: $8.00
Caused a massive upset when winning last start but the penny might have dropped now. Can't be leaving it out here at nice odds.
Longer Odds
7 Its A Kinda Magic   F: 81684
  B(13) W(55.5)
 ( J-  Taiki Yanagida )
Indicative Odds: $9.50
Has a recent win to boast and it gets in with a nice weight. Include here.

Remarks

Many each-way types lining up in this
race-image
Benaud could streak away for the win

Results

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 3, 5, 7
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 5 - G LEMON, M DARROCH, OPTIMISM MAIDEN STEEPLE
Time: 2:17 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
7 El Corby   F: 1B249
  B(7) W(68)
 ( J-  Aaron Kuru )
Indicative Odds: $3.10
Needs to turn around some fair efforts but this is a better target. Handy type on its day and it has been well-found in the betting.
Main Danger
3 Willare   F: X0342
  B(5) W(68)
 ( J-  Toni Moki )
Indicative Odds: $5.00
Toni Moki is riding well at the moment and she could get this runner over the line. Good second placing last start and it's only a matter of time for Willare.
Next Best
2 Kokanee Gold   F: 3X654
  B(1) W(68)
 ( J-  Mathew Cropp )
Indicative Odds: $10.00
Improving and winning this isn't out of the realm of possibility. Looks a nice each-way chance.
Include in Multis
4 Eddie Gilbert   F: 66266
  B(2) W(68)
 ( T-  Kevin Myers )
Indicative Odds: $8.00
Can't be ruling out a runner from this stable over the jumps. Recent form has been average but it could turn that around here.
Longer Odds
6 Crackthegoodstuff   F: 4X056
  B(4) W(68)
 ( J-  Reece Cole )
Indicative Odds: $41.00
Upset chance.

Remarks

This looks an exciting steeplechase
race-image
El Corby has been well backed

Results

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
2, 3, 4, 6, 7
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 6 - TE AROHA VETERINARY SERVICES OPEN STEEPLE
Time: 2:52 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
5 Raisafuasho   F: 07751
  B(2) W(65)
 ( J-  Shaun Fannin )
Indicative Odds: $3.60
Picked them up and put them down with authority last time out. Usually needs good speed up front but it deserves to be favourite here.
Main Danger
3 Lacustre   F: 35325
  B(5) W(66)
 ( J-  Aaron Kuru )
Indicative Odds: $3.40
Last few runs have been a touch disappointing but a win isn't far off. Jockey is riding very well at the moment so that's a positive.
Next Best
1 The Arabian Duke   F: 24653
  B(1) W(68)
 ( J-  Gary Walsh )
Indicative Odds: $4.80
Hasn't won for awhile now but that was a good placing last start and it should go close. Punters are getting nice odds.
Include in Multis
2 Just Got Home   F: 78213
  B(3) W(67)
 ( J-  Emily Farr )
Indicative Odds: $4.80
More than capable type which showed that two starts back. Backed that up with a nice placing and it should go close again.
Longer Odds
6 Caballo Noir   F: 84P70
  B(7) W(65)
 ( J-  Toni Moki )
Indicative Odds: $41.00
Could cause a big upset if it gets some luck.

Remarks

Even field with many winning chances
race-image
Raisafuasho will have supporters

Results

Betting Suggestions

Quaddies
R6 (1) The Arabian Duke(2) Just Got Home (3) Lacustre (5) Raisafuasho
R7 (1) Nunchucks(2) Ascomanni (4) Keepella Heights
R8 (2) Bullybrook(3) Mascarpone (6) Karalino
R9 (1) Fast Mover(2) Ihu (5) Ayappan (9) Red Chois
Quaddies % to a $20 stake:

Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 3, 5, 6
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 7 - PIAKO MITSUBISHI AMATEURS 1600
Time: 3:29 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
4 Keepella Heights   F: X0410
  B(7) W(67)
 ( J-  Scott Wenn )
 ( T-  Simon Rees )
Indicative Odds: $3.20
Capable type and Scott Wenn is a capable rider. Good win two back and although average last start, it should find this slightly easier.
Main Danger
2 Ascomanni   F: 80453
  B(6) W(68.5)
Indicative Odds: $4.00
Handles the conditions and should be battling away in this field. Nearing another win and it could take advantage of the even field.
Next Best
1 Nunchucks   F: 79X66
  B(2) W(69)
 ( J-  Scotty MacNab )
 ( T-  Kevin Myers )
Indicative Odds: $4.00
Might have needed the two runs back in this campaign. Should be fitter for it and get every chance to win.
Include in Multis
3 Straight Sets   F: 34323
  B(8) W(68.5)
Indicative Odds: $5.50
Doesn't know how to run a bad race and it could be a co-trainer/jockey win for Bailey. Can't be left out.
Longer OddsThe 'Best Roughie'
6 Arite Guru   F: 84126
  B(1) W(66.5)
 ( J-  Jessica Grundy )
Indicative Odds: $13.00
Owns upset claims and punters are getting odds worth taking.

Remarks

Most of the money at the top of the book
race-image
Keepella Heights has upside

Results

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 3, 4, 6
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 8 - TE AROHA GRAINS & STOCK FEEDS MAIDEN 1200
Time: 4:04 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
3 Mascarpone   F: 2
  B(1) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Ryan Elliot )
Indicative Odds: $2.80
Rogerson has a big opinion of this runner, which isn't unusual. Looked handy on debut when making ground and it could make a nice winter type.
Main Danger
1 Fleurgundy   F: 6X23
  B(7) W(57.5)
Indicative Odds: $3.80
Has been backed and beaten so far, but we'll allow another chance. Has talent and it should be able to rebound nicely and go close.
Next Best
2 Bullybrook   F: 2
  B(5) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Rowena Smyth )
 ( T-  Ray Gavin )
Indicative Odds: $3.40
Battled away nicely on debut for second and it will only take benefit from the experience. Shouldn't be too far away from them.
Include in Multis
6 Karalino   F:
  B(2) W(55.5)
 ( J-  Craig Grylls )
Indicative Odds: $5.00
Include in quaddie bets based on its trial performance. Bred to handle the conditions and any positive betting move is a good sign.
Longer Odds
5 Thistle Do   F: 5
  B(4) W(57.5)
Indicative Odds: $26.00
Chance to improve on a fair debut effort. Include at the odds.

Remarks

Small field but there's some nice maiden types running
race-image
Mascarpone looks a nice type

Results

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 3, 5, 6
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 9 - RACING TE AROHA SUPPORTERS CLUB MAIDEN 1200
Time: 4:38 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
2 Ihu   F: 2
  B(15) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Sam Spratt )
Indicative Odds: $3.20
Good run for second on debut and it looks a natural winter type. Should only strengthen up from that run and go close here.
Main Danger
1 Fast Mover   F: X6322
  B(4) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Shaun McKay )
Indicative Odds: $4.00
Three placings in a row and that should be good form for this. Drawn well and there's plenty of money coming for it.
Next Best
9 Red Chois   F: X324X
  B(8) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Craig Grylls )
Indicative Odds: $6.00
Twice-placed last campaign from three starts. Showed enough ability to win here and a maiden win looks eminent.
Include in Multis
5 Ayappan   F: 5
  B(17) W(58.5)
Indicative Odds: $5.50
Fair effort on debut and it could be better for the run. Drawn wide but they might be coming wide at this time of the day.
Longer Odds
7 Major Billy Lister   F: 070
  B(7) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Taiki Yanagida )
 ( T-  Bill Pomare )
Indicative Odds: $34.00
Has improvement to come so stick with it.

Remarks

Many winning hopes in this
race-image
Ihu has upside

Results

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 5, 7, 9
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%