M2 Te Rapa – 15th February 2020

Selections for: New Zealand Racing

Our selections for the M2 Te Rapa – 15th February 2020 are below: Good Luck! Back to Performance page

M2 Te Rapa – 15th February 2020

M2: Ellerslie - 15th Feb, 2020

Start time:12:20 pm
Weather:Fine
Track:Dead4

Overview

The Avondale Cup and Guineas feature on the quality eight-race card at Ellerslie

Day's "Best"

R6 (2) Dragon Leap

Best "Each Way"

R7 (4) Concert Hall

Best "Roughie"

R8 (8) Vladivostok
  • Race 1 - STELLA ARTOIS 1200
    Time: 12:20 | Distance: 1200m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    2 Rainbow Dash   F: 21X7X
      B(1) W(57.5)
     ( J-  Masa Hashizume )
    Can run the odd poor race but is otherwise a classy type. Suited by the weight coming off its back. Looks tough to beat.
    Main Danger
    5 Madam Hass   F: 1124
      B(4) W(56.5)
     ( J-  Vinnie Colgan )
    Wasn't suited by the tempo its last couple. Probably won't be here either but it's too talented to ignore. Wouldn't mind a share in this one.
    Next Best
    1 Quick Thinker   F: 1356X
      B(3) W(58.5)
    Has the most promise but could struggle over this distance. Good betting support which suggests that it's ready to go.
    Include in Multis
    3 Woodcote Lass   F: 13018
      B(2) W(57.5)
     ( J-  Michael McNab )
    Placed
    Dividend : $4.20
    Mixing its form but the talent is there. Gets an inside draw and it could settle close and kick.
    Longer Odds
    4 Exuberant   F: 27053
      B(6) W(57.5)
     ( J-  Opie Bosson )
    Chance if it gets the breaks. One for odds.

    Remarks

    Small but quality field to open the card
    race-image
    Rainbow Dash should run well

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 6 $ 6.40
    Place1 6 $ 2.70
    Place2 3 $ 4.20
    Quinella 3:6 $ 25.20
    Trifecta 6:3:5 $ 102.20
    First4 6:3:5:1 $ 343.00

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    1, 2, 3, 4, 5
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 2 - PAPATOETOE GLASS 1200
    Time: 12:55 | Distance: 1200m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    9 Three Sixty   F: 6X182
      B(7) W(57.5)
     ( J-  Ryan Elliot )
    Placed
    Dividend : $2.10
    Good win when resuming and it got back to solid form when running second last start. Looks a good winning chance at value odds.
    Main Danger
    3 Master Park   F: X5223
      B(10) W(59.5)
    Placed
    Dividend : $1.80
    Getting close to another win after rattling off three consecutive placings. Drawn wide but it goes close with some luck.
    Next Best
    2 Virtuoso Lad   F: 24932
      B(1) W(60)
     ( J-  Opie Bosson )
    Won
    Dividends : $3.60 $1.60
    Another runner knocking on the door after two recent placings. Can handle a field of this nature, so include.
    Include in Multis
    11 Eridani   F: 01325
      B(6) W(57)
     ( J-  Taiki Yanagida )
    Drops down to 55kg with the claimer in the saddle. Won earlier this campaign and it shouldn't be too far away from them.
    Longer Odds
    6 Satriani   F: X2750
      B(12) W(58.5)
     ( J-  Andrew Calder )
     ( T-  Cydne Evans )
    Owns upset claims with the right run in transit.

    Remarks

    Wide-open field with numerous winning chances
    race-image
    Stick with Three Sixty

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 2 $ 3.60
    Place1 2 $ 1.60
    Place2 3 $ 1.80
    Place3 9 $ 2.10
    Quinella 2:3 $ 7.90
    Trifecta 2:3:9 $ 64.00
    First4 2:3:9:1 $ 621.40
    Double 6/2+ $ 17.60
    Trifecta - Selected!

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    2, 3, 6, 9, 11
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 3 - ECOCHILL 1500
    Time: 1:30 | Distance: 1500m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    9 Kaipaki Road   F: 21876
      B(5) W(56)
    The ability is there and running in this grade should help its cause. Needs to get back in form but it has promise.
    Main Danger
    7 Shanqueen   F: X2194
      B(2) W(56.5)
     ( J-  Leith Innes )
    Kicked off this campaign with a win and placing. Just needs a good sit behind the speed to finish off nicely. Include.
    Next Best
    10 Anjameme   F: 05069
      B(3) W(55)
    Punters are patiently waiting for it to return to winning form. Punters get good odds this time around so it's worth including.
    Include in Multis
    2 The Buzz   F: 55704
      B(1) W(59)
     ( J-  Cameron Lammas )
    Form could read better. Decent enough run for fourth last start and it won't find this much harder.
    Longer Odds
    4 Quick Preview   F: X1454
      B(4) W(58.5)
     ( J-  Taiki Yanagida )
    Won
    Dividends : $9.40 $2.60
    Capable on its day. Helped by the 2kg claim.

    Remarks

    An even betting contest
    race-image
    Kaipaki Road could return to form

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 4 $ 9.40
    Place1 4 $ 2.60
    Place2 11 $ 9.30
    Place3 5 $ 3.60
    Quinella 4:11 $ 150.70
    Trifecta 4:11:5 $ 5309.90
    First4 4:11:5:2 $ 7160.10

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    2, 4, 7, 9, 10
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 4 - BARFOOT & THOMPSON 1600
    Time: 2:05 | Distance: 1600m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    3 Shezathinka   F: 31X26
      B(4) W(58.5)
     ( J-  Opie Bosson )
    Placed
    Dividend : $1.70
    Didn't let down last start but it should find this race more to its liking. Draws well, Opie rides, and it could be good enough to bounce back.
    Main Danger
    10 Gravitelle   F: 4011
      B(2) W(55.5)
     ( J-  Leith Innes )
     ( T-  Lance Noble )
    Rising up in grade after winning back-to-back races. Clearly has plenty of ability and there is good money coming for it at odds.
    Next Best
    2 Iron Eagle   F: 36143
      B(6) W(59)
     ( J-  Shaun McKay )
     ( T-  Peter McKay )
    Usually around the mark, as it showed when winning three starts ago. Good specking coming at each way odds, so consider.
    Include in Multis
    1 Ohceedee   F: 35182
      B(1) W(60)
     ( T-  Steven Cole )
    It should be able to find a nice position from the inside draw. Likes to battle away and it should lodge its claim at some stage.
    Longer Odds
    9 Sunburst   F: 70243
      B(5) W(56)
     ( T-  Danica Guy )
    Far too good to leave out. Right in this.

    Remarks

    Another even betting field
    race-image
    Shezathinka has the class

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 6 $ 23.60
    Place1 6 $ 4.30
    Place2 3 $ 1.70
    Place3 4 $ 1.80
    Quinella 3:6 $ 55.10
    Trifecta 6:3:4 $ 638.30
    First4 6:3:4:10 $ 6004.90
    Double 4/6 $ 128.70

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    1, 2, 3, 9, 10
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 5 - DUNSTAN FEEDS 1200
    Time: 2:40 | Distance: 1200m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    3 Sheezallmine   F: 10210
      B(1) W(55.5)
     ( J-  Tegan Newman )
    Placed
    Dividend : $1.20
    Not everything went to plan last start but don't overlook its ability. Impressive win prior to that and dropping in weight is ideal. Classy at best.
    Main Danger
    6 Short Fuse   F: 74533
      B(7) W(53)
    Placed
    Dividend : $1.50
    Only a three-time winner but it has been suggesting that a win isn't far off. Hit the line nicely last start and carrying 53kg is ideal.
    Next Best
    4 Sword Of Osman   F: 1712X
      B(5) W(55.5)
     ( J-  Michael McNab )
    Can't overlook any runner from this stable this season. Top juvenile which could hit the ground running if it handles racing against older types.
    Include in Multis
    2 Santa Monica   F: 56064
      B(9) W(56.5)
     ( J-  Leith Innes )
    Big race winner that needs a confidence boost. That was a nice effort last start and it could figure in the finish based on that run.
    Longer Odds
    8 Hammer King   F: 37X45
      B(3) W(53)
     ( J-  Taiki Yanagida )
    Drops to 51kg and it must be included on that. Owns upset claims.

    Remarks

    A few more than handy types line up here
    race-image
    Sheezallmine could be all yours

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 9 $ 11.60
    Place1 9 $ 2.60
    Place2 6 $ 1.50
    Place3 3 $ 1.20
    Quinella 6:9 $ 18.10
    Trifecta 9:6:3 $ 111.50
    First4 9:6:3:4 $ 334.40

    Betting Suggestions

    Quaddies
    R5 (3) Sheezallmine(4) Sword Of Osman (6) Short Fuse
    R6 (2) Dragon Leap
    R7 (3) Platinum Invador(4) Concert Hall (13) Intrigue
    R8 (2) Iago(3) River Run (4) Checkers (11) Lavaglo
    Quaddies % to a $20 stake:

    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    2, 3, 4, 6, 8
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 6 - JAMIESON PARK AVONDALE GUINEAS (G2)
    Time: 3:15 | Distance: 2100m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    The 'Day's Best'
    2 Dragon Leap   F: 121
      B(1) W(56.5)
     ( J-  Opie Bosson )
    Won
    Dividends : $1.60 $1.20
    Should be unbeaten and it looks the logical top choice here. Going to get every chance in the run and it has plenty of upside. Short odds but not lacking value.
    Main Danger
    3 Scorpz   F: 31113
      B(9) W(56.5)
     ( J-  Vinnie Colgan )
    Placed
    Dividend : $2.20
    Tough type that keeps giving in the straight. Scored three consecutive wins and only good horses do that.
    Next Best
    1 Sherwood Forest   F: 51341
      B(2) W(56.5)
     ( J-  Michael McNab )
     ( T-  Tony Pike )
    Placed
    Dividend : $1.60
    Impressive win last start and it looks set for a big run here. Specked in the betting but it's a touch unders. Still, owns logical winning claims.
    Include in Multis
    4 Tibetan   F: 23235
      B(7) W(56.5)
     ( J-  Leith Innes )
    Struggling to win races, which is the concern. Looks a decent type in the making and should improve over longer distances.
    Longer Odds
    11 Karalino   F: 12725
      B(3) W(54.5)
     ( J-  Cameron Lammas )
    Good enough to give some of these a scare.

    Remarks

    Always a good form guide for the Derby
    race-image
    Take the shorts with Dragon Leap

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 2 $ 1.60
    Place1 2 $ 1.20
    Place2 3 $ 2.20
    Place3 1 $ 1.60
    Quinella 2:3 $ 6.40
    Trifecta 2:3:1 $ 26.20
    First4 2:3:1:4 $ 59.90
    Trifecta - Selected!
    First 4 - Selected!

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    1, 2, 3, 4, 11
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 7 - JOE MCDONALD AVONDALE CUP (G2)
    Time: 3:50 | Distance: 2400m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    The 'Best Each Way'
    4 Concert Hall   F: 54414
      B(17) W(58.5)
     ( J-  Ryan Elliot )
    Looked very good in a recent trial. That bodes well for a good run here and it will have time to find cover from the draw.
    Main Danger
    3 Platinum Invador   F: 83210
      B(7) W(59)
     ( J-  Leith Innes )
     ( T-  Lisa Latta )
    Placed
    Dividend : $2.20
    Loves the staying distances and the 1800m was too short for it last start. Derby placegetter with some class.
    Next Best
    13 Intrigue   F: 39242
      B(14) W(52)
     ( T-  Tony Pike )
    Costing win punters plenty this season. However, the ability is there and it has been set for this race. 52kg is a dream.
    Include in Multis
    12 Starrybeel   F: 59731
      B(2) W(53)
    Another runner that will appreciate the distance. Got back to winning form last start and that could continue.
    Longer Odds
    11 Daytona Red   F: 1X365
      B(4) W(54)
     ( J-  Sam Spratt )
    Worth including at the odds.

    Remarks

    Lovely field for the feature
    race-image
    Concert Hall looks the goods

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 15 $ 32.40
    Place1 15 $ 9.10
    Place2 3 $ 2.20
    Place3 1 $ 8.40
    Quinella 3:15 $ 89.00
    Trifecta 15:3:1 $ 11085.00
    First4 15:3:1:5 $ 17090.90

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    3, 4, 11, 12, 13
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 8 - AUCKLAND CO-OP TAXIS 2100
    Time: 4:25 | Distance: 2100m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    2 Iago   F: X0422
      B(13) W(59.5)
     ( J-  Opie Bosson )
    Needs a lot of luck from the draw but they often find their spots early at Ellerslie. Has the talent to kick on with it after two placings.
    Main Danger
    11 Lavaglo   F: 15204
      B(10) W(57)
     ( J-  Michael McNab )
    Scored well enough five starts ago to warrant attention. Punters are getting value odds and it shouldn't be far away.
    Next Best
    3 River Run   F: X4327
      B(6) W(59.5)
     ( T-  Tony Pike )
    Placed
    Dividend : $2.20
    Running out of chances but is doing enough to warrant inclusion. Looked good placing twice this season. Chance.
    Include in Multis
    4 Checkers   F: 48X35
      B(3) W(58.5)
    Might have needed both runs back from a spell. Fitness levels should be there and it shouldn't be far away from them.
    Longer Odds
    The 'Best Roughie'
    8 Vladivostok   F: 33165
      B(5) W(58)
     ( J-  Lisa Allpress )
    Won
    Dividends : $8.40 $2.90
    Better than what it showed last start. Rebound chance.

    Remarks

    Even field in the last race of the day
    race-image
    Iago is a live chance

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 8 $ 8.40
    Place1 8 $ 2.90
    Place2 3 $ 2.20
    Place3 16 $ 3.60
    Quinella 3:8 $ 18.00
    Trifecta 8:3:16 $ 513.60
    First4 8:3:16:7 $ 8120.70
    Double 15/8 $ 297.40

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    2, 3, 4, 8, 11
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%