M2 Te Rapa – 25th September 2019

Selections for: New Zealand Racing

Our selections for the M2 Te Rapa – 25th September 2019 are below: Good Luck! Back to Performance page

M2 Te Rapa – 25th September 2019

M2: Te Rapa - 25th Sep, 2019

Start time:12:32 pm
Weather:Showery
Track:Slow8

Overview

Heavy rain has hit throughout the week but a competitive seven-race card is on offer.

Day's "Best"

R6 (8) Livvy Lass

Best "Each Way"

R5 (1) Summer Wind

Best "Roughie"

R4 (2) Scomadi

Race 1 - MELBOURNE CUP @ TE RAPA 5 NOVEMBER 2100
Time: 12:32 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
7 Super Hoof   F: 10421
  B(4) W(54)
 ( J-  Cameron Lammas )
 ( T-  Glenn Old )
Won
Dividends : $2.40 $1.80
Was well backed to win last start and it got the job done nicely. Gets in here with a light weight and it should handle conditions.
Main Danger
1 Richard Of Yorke   F: 15223
  B(6) W(59)
 ( J-  Chelsea Burdan )
Tough customer which doesn't know how to run a bad race. Big weight but the 3kg claimer helps. Right in this.
Next Best
4 Divine Duke   F: 46244
  B(2) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Taiki Yanagida )
Doesn't put in a bad run but doesn't win all that often. Another which gets an apprentice claim and it should get a good run in transit.
Include in Multis
6 Sweet Treat   F: 41256
  B(5) W(54.5)
 ( J-  Trudy Thornton )
Placed
Dividend : $3.50
Gets through conditions well and it has a recent win to boast. Never out of the hunt against the small fields.
Longer Odds
2 Francis Drake   F: 54634
  B(7) W(58)
 ( J-  Sam Spratt )
Stablemate to Sweet Treat which could work to the line nicely.

Remarks

Many of these have been well backed to win
race-image
Super Hoof looks close to a win

Results

Race Dividends
Win 7 $ 2.40
Place1 7 $ 1.80
Place2 6 $ 3.50
Quinella 6:7 $ 14.60
Trifecta 7:6:1 $ 57.50
First4 7:6:1:2 $ 229.00
Trifecta - Selected!
First 4 - Selected!

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 4, 6, 7
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 2 - PATHWAYS IMMIGRATION SPECIALISTS MAIDEN 1400
Time: 1:07 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
2 Go Bobby   F: 3
  B(4) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Ryan Elliot )
Good third placing on debut and it's only going to improve with more racing. Punters are getting each-way odds and it should prove tough to beat.
Main Danger
12 Love Struck   F: 6
  B(10) W(55.5)
 ( J-  Vinnie Colgan )
Did enough on debut when sixth. Another which should improve with race fitness and there is some specking in the betting. Chance.
Next Best
13 Two Illicit   F:
  B(8) W(55.5)
Placed
Dividend : $1.90
Has been nicely backed on debut and that's a good sign. Stable usually gets them firing on debut so keep safe.
Include in Multis
3 Mongolian Heaven   F: 539X
  B(2) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Craig Grylls )
Placed
Dividend : $1.30
Impressive run for third two starts back. Didn't quite follow that through but a maiden win won't be far away this spring. Goes into the mix.
Longer Odds
4 Woodhall Road   F: 5
  B(3) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Andrew Calder )
 ( T-  Glynn Brick )
Has had one run and should derive benefit from that.

Remarks

Many of these are at each-way odds
race-image
Go Bobby should go well

Results

Race Dividends
Win 8 $ 15.90
Place1 8 $ 4.20
Place2 3 $ 1.30
Place3 13 $ 1.90
Quinella 3:8 $ 27.30
Trifecta 8:3:13 $ 320.00
First4 8:3:13:6 $ 3339.90

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
2, 3, 4, 12, 13
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 3 - WANDERERS FUNDRAISING LUNCH 4 OCT MAIDEN 1200
Time: 1:42 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

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Top Pick
  B(10) W(56)
Placed
Dividend : $1.60
Has looked good at the trials with a win and a placing. Drawn wide but that could help on this track. Has been heavily-backed to win.
Main Danger
5 She's A Smash Hit   F: 23
  B(1) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Chelsea Burdan )
Won
Dividends : $4.20 $1.50
Running on the rails can help on this track. Twice-placed from two career starts and it gets in nicely on the weights. Big chance.
Next Best
1 Major Billy Lister   F: 70022
  B(5) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Sam Weatherley )
 ( T-  Bill Pomare )
Back-to-back placings coming into this. Handles conditions and although carrying a big weight, it could add some each-way value.
Include in Multis
11 Rockin Robin   F: 65X
  B(3) W(54)
 ( J-  Craig Grylls )
Didn't do much wrong in two starts last preparation. Likely to score a win this campaign and it gets only 54kg on its back.
Longer Odds
3 Pontiac   F: 6X
  B(4) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Jason Waddell )
Chance to improve on its debut run.

Remarks

Many good-looking youngsters in this
race-image
Run to Perfection could do exactly that

Results

Race Dividends
Win 5 $ 4.20
Place1 5 $ 1.50
Place2 9 $ 1.60
Place3 7 $ 2.10
Quinella 5:9 $ 5.40
Trifecta 5:9:7 $ 62.90
First4 5:9:7:8 $ 488.10
Double 8/5 $ 43.40

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 3, 5, 9, 11
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 4 - AMBER GARDEN CENTRE MAIDEN 1200
Time: 2:17 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
11 Vamos Bebe   F:
  B(5) W(54)
 ( J-  Michael McNab )
Placed
Dividend : $1.40
On debut and it has been given plenty of trials to prepare for this. Te Akau doesn't often miss with their debutantes and money has come.
Main Danger
8 Green Hero   F:
  B(3) W(56)
 ( J-  Andrew Calder )
Won
Dividends : $6.90 $2.50
Has looked good at the trials and it's drawn to get every chance in the run. Could show some pace on debut and sit close to the pace.
Next Best
7 The Green Dragon   F: 328X
  B(7) W(56)
Having race experience will count against this field and having two placings help. Staying steady in the betting so respect its chances.
Include in Multis
9 Imaready   F: 4
  B(4) W(54)
 ( J-  Craig Grylls )
Placed
Dividend : $2.90
Nice enough run on debut for fourth. Gets a good chance here to improve on that position and carrying 54kg helps.
Longer OddsThe 'Best Roughie'
2 Scomadi   F: 2340X
  B(10) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Ryan Elliot )
 ( T-  Tony Pike )
Didn't fire last start but its form prior was much better. Chance.

Remarks

Big field to kick off the quaddie
race-image
Vamos Bebe could show up

Results

Race Dividends
Win 8 $ 6.90
Place1 8 $ 2.50
Place2 11 $ 1.40
Place3 9 $ 2.90
Quinella 8:11 $ 8.20
Trifecta 8:11:9 $ 174.80
First4 8:11:9:12 $ 2434.70
Treble 8/5/8 $ 533.40
Quaddie 7+/8/5/8 $ 1328.90
Trifecta - Selected!

Betting Suggestions

Quaddies
R4 (7) The Green Dragon(8) Green Hero (11) Vamos Bebe
R5 (1) Summer Wind(4) Tiny Terror (10) Flaunt It Girl (11) Ristretto
R6 (1) Ihu(5) Glorious Dream (8) Livvy Lass (9) Ludus
R7 (1) Drake Bay(16) Kaipaki Road
Quaddies % to a $20 stake:

Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
2, 7, 8, 9, 11
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 5 - SVS 1200
Time: 2:54 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top PickThe 'Best Each Way'
1 Summer Wind   F: 133X
  B(1) W(59.5)
 ( J-  Vinnie Colgan )
Impressive winner on debut before running two third placings. Gets the inside draw and punters are getting nice odds. Good chance.
Main Danger
4 Tiny Terror   F: X2624
  B(7) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Cameron Lammas )
Has gone close twice already this campaign with two second placings. Looks set to win a race and this could be its best chance.
Next Best
11 Ristretto   F: 1X6X
  B(2) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Michael McNab )
Showed them a clean pair of heels on debut. Not quite up to par last start but punters should expect better here.
Include in Multis
10 Flaunt It Girl   F: 370X1
  B(6) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Shaun McKay )
 ( T-  Jason Price )
Got the job done nicely start so stick with it. No reason why it couldn't win again.
Longer Odds
12 Tia Celeste   F: X5375
  B(12) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Chelsea Burdan )
Won
Dividends : $11.60 $3.50
Battles nicely is worth sticking with.

Remarks

Each way types spread throughout this field
race-image
Summer Wind is a value runner

Results

Race Dividends
Win 12 $ 11.60
Place1 12 $ 3.50
Place2 8 $ 3.70
Place3 6 $ 2.90
Quinella 8:12 $ 80.70
Trifecta 12:8:6 $ 1942.30
First4 - $ 0.00

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 4, 10, 11, 12
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 6 - DUNSTAN FEEDS MAIDEN 1400
Time: 3:29 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top PickThe 'Day's Best'
8 Livvy Lass   F: X5622
  B(6) W(56.5)
Long overdue a win and has been knocking on the door with consecutive second placings. Must be going close in this.
Main Danger
9 Ludus   F: 023X
  B(7) W(56.5)
Placed
Dividend : $1.90
Back-to-back placings coming into this. Has spelled for this and it could return a better condition. Has been nicely backed.
Next Best
1 Ihu   F: 224
  B(12) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Sam Spratt )
Backed and beaten in all three career starts. Handles the conditions and it should be fitter for this. One more chance.
Include in Multis
  B(5) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Sam Weatherley )
Placed
Dividend : $2.40
Not lacking trials eight of them. There is good support on debut and it pays to follow the money with this runner.
Longer Odds
2 Fiery Dragon   F: 2847X
  B(3) W(58.5)
Good enough to show some cheek fresh up.

Remarks

Looks another each-way field
race-image
Livvy Lass looks set to win

Results

Race Dividends
Win 11 $ 21.80
Place1 11 $ 5.10
Place2 9 $ 1.90
Place3 5 $ 2.40
Quinella 9:11 $ 52.00
Trifecta 11:9:5 $ 819.90
First4 11:9:5:8 $ 4949.80

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 5, 8, 9
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 7 - FAIRVIEW MOTORS MAIDEN 1600
Time: 4:04 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
16 Kaipaki Road   F: 72
  B(4) W(54)
Won
Dividends : $2.30 $1.30
Much better run for second last time out and it has been heavily backed to win. 54kg on the back and this stable is starting to fire.
Main Danger
1 Drake Bay   F: 45733
  B(8) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Vinnie Colgan )
Placed
Dividend : $1.60
Probably should have won a race by now. Looking good after consecutive placings and it should prove tough to hold out.
Next Best
12 Blew By You   F: 252
  B(7) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Rowena Smyth )
Hasn't done much wrong in three career starts. Has two second placings to boast and every chance of going close here.
Include in Multis
7 Way South   F: 44
  B(5) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Andrew Calder )
Not too far away to date with two fourths. Not an easy field to beat but it has winning claims.
Longer Odds
10 Buddy Perfect   F: 7
  B(6) W(58.5)
Chance here and it could handle conditions.

Remarks

A couple of well-backed runners in this
race-image
Kaipaki Road should run well

Results

Race Dividends
Win 16 $ 2.30
Place1 16 $ 1.30
Place2 2 $ 4.70
Place3 1 $ 1.60
Quinella 2:16 $ 27.00
Trifecta 16:2:1 $ 142.40

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 7, 10, 12, 16
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%