M4 Avondale – 18th October 2019

Selections for: New Zealand Racing

Our selections for the M4 Avondale – 18th October 2019 are below: Good Luck! Back to Performance page

M4 Avondale – 18th October 2019

M4: Avondale - 18th Oct, 2019

Start time:11:54 am
Weather:Cloudy
Track:Slow9

Overview

Big 10-race card at Avondale, following mid-week abandonments, leading into the weekend

Day's "Best"

R5 (11) Diamonds Galore

Best "Each Way"

R1 (3) Amusez Moi

Best "Roughie"

R10 (1) Ohceedee

Race 1 - TAB SPRING LOADED PROMOTION MAIDEN 1200
Time: 11:54 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top PickThe 'Best Each Way'
3 Amusez Moi   F: 6
  B(12) W(57.5)
 ( T-  Nigel Tiley )
Placed
Dividend : $2.70
Good at the trials before a nice debut when well backed. Will improve from the run and be a very competitive chance
Main Danger
9 O'Jessica   F:
  B(6) W(55.5)
 ( J-  Sam Spratt )
Both trial efforts were very good and a solid debut is expected.
Next Best
14 Siracusa   F:
  B(1) W(55.5)
Placed in a trial very well and should be competitive here
Include in Multis
10 Shotgun Sally   F:
  B(2) W(55.5)
Won well at the trials on Dead ground. Heavy track is the only concern.
Longer Odds
8 Megeve   F:
  B(9) W(55.5)
Won
Dividends : $16.20 $4.60
Trialed well and with the claim looks good value

Remarks

3 year old with plenty of trial talent
race-image
Nigel looks to have a promising colt

Results

Race Dividends
Win 8 $ 16.20
Place1 8 $ 4.60
Place2 3 $ 2.70
Place3 18 $ 5.50
Quinella 3:8 $ 64.60
Trifecta 8:3:18 $ 940.50
First4 - $ 0.00

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
3, 8, 9, 10, 14
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 2 - AUCKLAND ALARMS MAIDEN 1200
Time: 12:29 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
9 Wondering   F: 872X2
  B(13) W(56.5)
Good runs last few starts. Seem to handle the heavy track and if she can get the right run from the gate I expect her to go close.
Main Danger
1 Ihu   F: 2245
  B(11) W(58.5)
Placed
Dividend : $2.50
Always consistent since his debut. Will go forward and won't be far away in the finish.
Next Best
3 Wild Like   F: 4346X
  B(4) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Vinnie Colgan )
 ( T-  Tony Pike )
Showed promise that he would win one easy last prep and off that trial he could be in for a good prep
Include in Multis
2 Burton   F: 253
  B(10) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Opie Bosson )
Placed
Dividend : $4.20
Good second on debut and both runs since have been good enough.
Longer Odds
6 Fraaj de Luca   F:
  B(8) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Cameron Lammas )
Wasn't bad in a trial versus race winners and looks the odds runner.

Remarks

Full field contest the second of the day
race-image
King Coleman picks up this ride

Results

Race Dividends
Win 10 $ 7.50
Place1 10 $ 2.20
Place2 1 $ 2.50
Place3 2 $ 4.20
Quinella 1:10 $ 20.40
Trifecta 10:1:2 $ 288.30
First4 10:1:2:4 $ 4132.20
Double 8/10 $ 74.20

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 3, 6, 9
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 3 - AVONDALE SUNDAY MARKETS MAIDEN 1600
Time: 1:04 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
3 Malik   F: 27
  B(2) W(58.5)
Won
Dividends : $2.60 $1.40
Just beaten on debut. Wasn't the worst in a strong race last time and will find this easier.
Main Danger
4 Glorious Dream   F: 3
  B(8) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Sam Weatherley )
Placed
Dividend : $1.50
Good run on Slow ground on debut and I expect him to run a bold one here
Next Best
2 Etch   F: 530X3
  B(3) W(58.5)
 ( T-  Steven Cole )
Got ability and was good when third fresh up
Include in Multis
5 Triomphe   F: 630X3
  B(6) W(58.5)
Placed
Dividend : $1.60
Got home very good fresh up. Will be fitter but the track is a concern.
Longer Odds
1 Bayeux   F: 58X02
  B(5) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Sam Spratt )
Good last start. Got ability and if he handles the track will be the odds runner

Remarks

Smaller field but looks to have some quality here
race-image
Malik looks hard to beat with the scratching of the favourite

Results

Race Dividends
Win 3 $ 2.60
Place1 3 $ 1.40
Place2 5 $ 1.60
Place3 4 $ 1.50
Quinella 3:5 $ 6.40
Trifecta 3:5:4 $ 29.00
First4 3:5:4:1 $ 84.30
Treble 8/10/3+ $ 319.70
Trifecta - Selected!
First 4 - Selected!

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 3, 4, 5
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 4 - NZB INSURANCE PEARL SERIES RACE MAIDEN
Time: 1:39 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
3 Angelica   F: 40342
  B(8) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Michael McNab )
Got home well for second fresh up. Proven on heavy track and I would be disappointed if she is not in the first 3.
Main Danger
2 Ludus   F: 023X2
  B(1) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Opie Bosson )
Placed
Dividend : $1.10
Good run fresh up. Some nice races at the end of last prep and if she handles the track won't be far away
Next Best
1 Livvy Lass   F: 56224
  B(5) W(57.5)
Won
Dividends : $3.00 $1.20
Unlucky two back went a good race last time. Honest mare who Pam holds in high regard.
Include in Multis
7 Our Star   F: 72787
  B(9) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Taiki Yanagida )
Good run four back on Heavy ground and could run a bolter.
Longer Odds
5 Hey Soul Sister   F: 58
  B(2) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Sam Spratt )
Both runs in career have been ok and could be a chance

Remarks

Pearl bonus up for grabs here
race-image
Graham got a good chance in this

Results

Race Dividends
Win 1 $ 3.00
Place1 1 $ 1.20
Place2 2 $ 1.10
Place3 6 $ 5.90
Quinella 1:2 $ 2.90
Trifecta 1:2:6 $ 133.10
First4 1:2:6:3 $ 337.00
Double 3+/1 $ 7.50

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 3, 5, 7
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 5 - 5 STAR HORSE TRANSPORT MAIDEN 1400
Time: 2:14 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top PickThe 'Day's Best'
11 Diamonds Galore   F: 2
  B(10) W(54)
Won
Dividends : $2.30 $1.30
Made very good ground on debut and off that run looks very hard to beat in this.
Main Danger
9 Humbucker   F:
  B(2) W(56)
Placed
Dividend : $1.50
Very good at the trials and should be very competitive on debut
Next Best
7 Little Stevie   F: 837
  B(7) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Rebecca Scott )
 ( T-  Cydne Evans )
Good third two back and was good last start in a strong race.
Include in Multis
6 Blew By You   F: 2520
  B(1) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Rowena Smyth )
Disappointing last start but prior form was very good.
Longer Odds
1 Louis Fourteen   F: 745X3
  B(8) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Sam Weatherley )
Nice run fresh up. Looks the odds runner who will improve from the run

Remarks

My best bet comes up in this
race-image
Diamonds Galore is the one to beat

Results

Race Dividends
Win 11 $ 2.30
Place1 11 $ 1.30
Place2 9 $ 1.50
Place3 12 $ 2.00
Quinella 9:11 $ 4.20
Trifecta 11:9:12 $ 30.90
First4 11:9:12:5 $ 392.80
Quaddie 10/3+/1/11+ $ 150.70

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 6, 7, 9, 11
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 6 - WEST BROOK WINES MAIDEN 1400
Time: 2:49 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
  B(1) W(56)
 ( J-  Opie Bosson )
Won
Dividends : $2.40 $1.20
Got home well on debut when doing things wrong. Will improve from the run and the extra distance suits
Main Danger
11 Silver Lake   F: 62
  B(3) W(54)
 ( J-  Leith Innes )
 ( T-  Lance Noble )
Placed
Dividend : $1.20
Lance rates this filly. Track is the issue but both runs have been excellent.
Next Best
3 Rising Renown   F:
  B(8) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Rowena Smyth )
Good winner at the trials when greenly and he is at decent odds.
Include in Multis
1 Secret Runner   F: 543X4
  B(2) W(58.5)
Good run fresh up and if he handles the track he won't be far away.
Longer Odds
13 Surf 'N' Turf   F:
  B(6) W(54)
Trials have been good enough and comes in well at the weights

Remarks

Last race before the quaddie
race-image
Stephen Marsh a good chance for the win here

Results

Race Dividends
Win 6 $ 2.40
Place1 6 $ 1.20
Place2 7 $ 5.30
Place3 11 $ 1.20
Quinella 6:7 $ 58.90
Trifecta 6:7:11 $ 210.70
First4 6:7:11:5 $ 2588.00
Double 11+/6+ $ 3.10

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 3, 6, 11, 13
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 7 - PERFECTION PRINT IN AVONDALE 1600
Time: 3:29 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
8 Quizzy Lizzy   F: 13041
  B(2) W(55.5)
Won well last start on a Heavy track. Heavy track today and looks the one to beat
Main Danger
1 Creative Genius   F: 946X2
  B(1) W(59)
 ( T-  Steven Cole )
Good second fresh up. Won a trial on heavy ground and if he handles the track can figure in the finish.
Next Best
3 Cherry Lane   F: 12176
  B(3) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Rowena Smyth )
Won
Dividends : $4.10 $2.20
Has been good over the winter. Been struggling lately but has her chance to get back in form
Include in Multis
Insufficient Runners
Longer Odds
7 Just Treasure   F: 12615
  B(4) W(55.5)
Fresh up but should get through the ground.

Remarks

First leg of the quaddie
race-image
Quizzy Lizzy looks very hard to beat

Results

Race Dividends
Win 3 $ 4.10
Place1 3 $ 2.20
Place2 6 $ 2.40
Quinella 3:6 $ 12.10
Trifecta 3:6:8 $ 66.00
First4 3:6:8:1 $ 133.40

Betting Suggestions

Quaddies
R7 (1) Creative Genius(8) Quizzy Lizzy
R8 (1) The Poormanzabeel(2) Double Happy (4) Tipical
R9 (1) Aero De Paris(5) Goboniego (9) Fleurgundy
R10 (1) Ohceedee(9) Mount Midoriyama (11) Trouble
Quaddies % to a $20 stake:

Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
Insufficient Runners
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 8 - AJC.CO.NZ 2100
Time: 4:04 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
2 Double Happy   F: 92141
  B(1) W(58)
 ( J-  Leith Innes )
 ( T-  Nigel Tiley )
Won
Dividends : $3.10 $1.50
Good winning on better ground last time. Looks a good stayer and well placed to win here
Main Danger
1 The Poormanzabeel   F: 50410
  B(7) W(60)
Track too firm last time but was tough on heavy ground. No reason he cannot gain form in this.
Next Best
4 Tipical   F: 72541
  B(2) W(58)
 ( J-  Troy Harris )
 ( T-  Tony Pike )
Placed
Dividend : $1.70
Won in a highweight well last time. Handles the track and never runs a bad one.
Include in Multis
6 Franklin   F: 627X0
  B(3) W(57.5)
Good stayer who gets through heavy ground and will be fitter for fresh up.
Longer Odds
3 Rocking Good Time   F: 01439
  B(8) W(58)
Placed
Dividend : $3.20
Ran some good races on heavy ground before last start and should be the odds runner here.

Remarks

Interesting field with some promising stayers
race-image
Nigel Tiley has a nice stayer in Double Happy

Results

Race Dividends
Win 2 $ 3.10
Place1 2 $ 1.50
Place2 4 $ 1.70
Place3 3 $ 3.20
Quinella 2:4 $ 4.90
Trifecta 2:4:3 $ 88.60
First4 2:4:3:5 $ 250.00
Trifecta - Selected!

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 3, 4, 6
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 9 - NEXT AVONDALE TRIALS 29 OCTOBER 1200
Time: 4:39 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
1 Aero De Paris   F: X2124
  B(5) W(60)
 ( J-  Troy Harris )
Won
Dividends : $2.50 $1.40
Solid winner on heavy ground this prep. Unlucky not to win two back and was good last time. Looks the one to beat
Main Danger
5 Goboniego   F: X666X
  B(8) W(58)
 ( J-  Cameron Lammas )
Placed
Dividend : $1.80
Fresh up and has good form on Slower ground to run well in this.
Next Best
9 Fleurgundy   F: 32100
  B(6) W(55.5)
Won well on heavy ground. Since then has been on firm ground and back on heavy must be a chance in this.
Include in Multis
4 Way Above   F: 7X010
  B(3) W(59)
 ( J-  Sam Spratt )
 ( T-  Steven Cole )
Made good ground at the trials recently and could run a good one in this.
Longer Odds
7 Call Me Bob   F: 79790
  B(9) W(58)
 ( J-  Taiki Yanagida )
 ( T-  Nigel Tiley )
Struggling at the moment but can find form in this

Remarks

Top Pick brings the right form here
race-image
Aero De Paris looks hard to beat

Results

Race Dividends
Win 1 $ 2.50
Place1 1 $ 1.40
Place2 5 $ 1.80
Place3 12 $ 1.50
Quinella 1:5 $ 5.10
Trifecta 1:5:12 $ 31.40
First4 1:5:12:14 $ 207.50

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 4, 5, 7, 9
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 10 - TULLOCH CAFE 1600
Time: 5:14 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
9 Mount Midoriyama   F: 44786
  B(5) W(58)
 ( T-  Nigel Tiley )
Decent run last time when unlucky and could be ready to run to his best here
Main Danger
11 Trouble   F: 0X976
  B(8) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Taiki Yanagida )
Placed
Dividend : $1.60
Won a strong race on wet ground during the New Years. Been out of form so far this prep but in the right race to win this.
Next Best
8 Anatow   F: X4817
  B(9) W(58)
 ( J-  Vinnie Colgan )
Good winner on heavy ground two back and looks well placed on heavy ground.
Include in Multis
10 Splendido   F: 98163
  B(4) W(58)
 ( J-  Leith Innes )
Races much better last three. Track a concern but brings the right Good track form in this
Longer OddsThe 'Best Roughie'
1 Ohceedee   F: X78X8
  B(6) W(60)
 ( J-  Troy Harris )
 ( T-  Steven Cole )
Won
Dividends : $14.00 $3.20
Poor fresh up but back on wet ground could run a good race at odds.

Remarks

Final race of the day
race-image
King Coleman could win the last

Results

Race Dividends
Win 1 $ 14.00
Place1 1 $ 3.20
Place2 4 $ 3.30
Place3 11 $ 1.60
Quinella 1:4 $ 53.50
Trifecta 1:4:11 $ 569.80
First4 1:4:11:3 $ 3103.20
Double 1+/1 $ 12.70

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 8, 9, 10, 11
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%