M4 Otaki – 20th October 2019

Selections for: New Zealand Racing

Our selections for the M4 Otaki – 20th October 2019 are below: Good Luck! Back to Performance page

M4 Otaki – 20th October 2019

M4: Otaki - 20th Oct, 2019

Start time:1:10 pm
Weather:Cloudy
Track:Heavy11

Overview

Plenty of rain has affected today’s track but some nice horses running

Day's "Best"

R8 (2) Tavis Court

Best "Each Way"

R7 (1) Armaguard

Best "Roughie"

R4 (1) Ruffy Rahtwo

Race 1 - AQUASHIELD ROOFING 1600
Time: 1:10 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
4 Collinstreet   F: 211X1
  B(3) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Chelsea Burdan )
Won
Dividends : $3.70 $1.70
Was a bit of a surprise winner fresh up. Will be fitter and will handle the track
Main Danger
2 Hartley   F: 53711
  B(1) W(59.5)
 ( J-  Rosie Myers )
Won his last two on firmer ground during the HB Carnival. May get away with a Heavy track in race 1.
Next Best
3 Toms   F: 411X7
  B(5) W(59)
 ( J-  Lisa Allpress )
Placed
Dividend : $2.90
Nice run fresh up. Will take fitness improvement and the heavy track should be ok.
Include in Multis
Insufficient Runners
Longer Odds
5 Beyond The Fort   F: 1121X
  B(6) W(58)
 ( J-  Dylan Turner )
Talented mare fresh up who may handle today's track

Remarks

Very tough way to start the day
race-image
Collinstreet can win the opener

Results

Race Dividends
Win 4 $ 3.70
Place1 4 $ 1.70
Place2 3 $ 2.90
Quinella 3:4 $ 9.50
Trifecta 4:3:7 $ 130.80
First4 4:3:7:2 $ 192.30

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
Insufficient Runners
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 2 - NZB INSURANCE PEARL SERIES RACE 1600
Time: 1:45 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
4 Miss Woburn   F: 1
  B(1) W(59)
 ( J-  Lisa Allpress )
Placed
Dividend : $1.20
Won well on debut and should handle the rise in class.
Main Danger
5 Simona   F: 341
  B(3) W(59)
 ( J-  Ryan Elliot )
Won nicely last start and has wet track form when third on debut.
Next Best
6 Zena Belle   F: 54415
  B(2) W(59)
 ( J-  Holly Andrew )
 ( T-  Tina Egan )
Won well enough in maiden and looks a chance in a 5 horse field
Include in Multis
Insufficient Runners
Longer Odds
Insufficient Runners

Remarks

The Pearl bonus may go off here with another race depleted with scratchings
race-image
Miss Woburn to remain unbeaten

Results

Race Dividends
Win 10 $ 12.50
Place1 10 $ 3.30
Place2 4 $ 1.20
Quinella 4:10 $ 9.30
Trifecta 10:4:5 $ 68.00
First4 10:4:5:6 $ 171.50

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
Insufficient Runners
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 3 - EL CHEAPO CARS RAUKAWA CUP
Time: 2:20 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
8 Whatsup   F: 28763
  B(5) W(54)
 ( J-  Lisa Allpress )
 ( T-  Kevin Gray )
Placed
Dividend : $1.40
Just missed at Hawkes Bay on the last day of the Carnival. Going well handles the wet and got a nice weight
Main Danger
6 Blackmagicwoman   F: 95913
  B(1) W(54.5)
 ( J-  Eilish McCall )
Placed
Dividend : $1.80
This mare is in very good form. Dropping back in grade in her third at Auckland. Elish rides her well.
Next Best
5 Nitro Ted   F: 12744
  B(9) W(55.5)
 ( T-  Paul Pascoe )
Been in good form during the Winter. Very good run in the Egmont Cup last time and looks well placed.
Include in Multis
2 Sylvester   F: 61626
  B(6) W(61)
 ( J-  Chris Johnson )
 ( T-  Sylvia Kay )
Racing well and should get through the track. The weight will be very interesting.
Longer Odds
4 High Quality   F: 33555
  B(4) W(55.5)
 ( J-  Ryan Elliot )
 ( T-  Geoff Haigh )
Won
Dividends : $10.70 $2.50
Hasn't had much luck in some of his runs during his formline. Never runs a bad race and I expect the same again.

Remarks

Very competitive Raukawa Cup
race-image
Whatsup in very good form

Results

Race Dividends
Win 4 $ 10.70
Place1 4 $ 2.50
Place2 8 $ 1.40
Place3 6 $ 1.80
Quinella 4:8 $ 14.90
Trifecta 4:8:6 $ 137.40
First4 4:8:6:7 $ 2701.40
Trifecta - Selected!

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
2, 4, 5, 6, 8
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 4 - OTAKI MAIL 2100
Time: 2:55 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
12 Jazamour   F: 14X36
  B(1) W(56)
 ( J-  Shaun McKay )
Nice run fresh up. Wasn't the worst of runs last time and I think can win this third up.
Main Danger
2 Classclown   F: X2212
  B(10) W(59.5)
Placed
Dividend : $1.70
Form has been excellent this prep and won't be far away in this.
Next Best
11 Deuce Coupe   F: 97031
  B(8) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Rosie Myers )
 ( T-  Suzy Gordon )
Won well last start but the big question is the real heavy track we meet today.
Include in Multis
8 Keep It Savvy   F: 90339
  B(5) W(58)
 ( J-  Robert Hannam )
 ( T-  Lisa Latta )
Average last start but prior form was good enough to run well here
Longer OddsThe 'Best Roughie'
1 Ruffy Rahtwo   F: 23440
  B(12) W(60)
 ( J-  Holly Andrew )
 ( T-  Tina Egan )
Didn't get a run last start but prior form was good. Looks the value runner.

Remarks

Tough contest to pick the winner
race-image
Warren Bolton has a good chance here

Results

Race Dividends
Win 7 $ 23.30
Place1 7 $ 6.00
Place2 2 $ 1.70
Place3 14 $ 3.20
Quinella 2:7 $ 34.80
Trifecta 7:2:14 $ 929.10
First4 7:2:14:12 $ 4124.10

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 8, 11, 12
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 5 - SUNRANS SPA 1200
Time: 3:30 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
5 Straight Sets   F: 32484
  B(6) W(58)
 ( J-  Ryan Elliot )
Going good races. Track no worries and looks a good chance in this.
Main Danger
4 Desert Magic   F: 128X7
  B(2) W(58.5)
Won
Dividends : $4.10 $2.30
Showed promise last prep. 990m race fresh up and will be better for the run.
Next Best
9 Floral Belt   F: 88548
  B(4) W(56)
 ( J-  Temyia Taiaroa )
 ( T-  Kevin Gray )
Raced well during the Winter. Should get through the track and had a nice trial
Include in Multis
Insufficient Runners
Longer Odds
11 Dana's Prophecy   F: 9X90X
  B(1) W(54.5)
 ( J-  Madan Singh )
 ( T-  Geoff Haigh )
Has performed well fresh up before so don't rule out.

Remarks

First leg of the quaddie
race-image
Rogerson brings this fella down

Results

Race Dividends
Win 4 $ 4.10
Place1 4 $ 2.30
Place2 1 $ 1.90
Quinella 1:4 $ 7.60
Trifecta 4:1:9 $ 64.70
First4 4:1:9:5 $ 150.60

Betting Suggestions

Quaddies
R5 (4) Desert Magic(5) Straight Sets (9) Floral Belt
R6 (6) Deerfield(7) London Express
R7 (1) Armaguard(4) Times Ticking (5) Cover Drive (10) Zappeur
R8 (2) Tavis Court
Quaddies % to a $20 stake:

Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
Insufficient Runners
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 6 - CAVALLO FARM & CHRIS RUTTEN BLOODSTOCK 1200
Time: 4:05 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
6 Deerfield   F: 32010
  B(2) W(54)
 ( J-  Robert Hannam )
Won well over 1200m. Struggled over 1400m but back in distance and should handle the track.
Main Danger
7 London Express   F: 12371
  B(1) W(54)
 ( J-  Chelsea Burdan )
Won
Dividends : $1.60 $1.20
Very impressive winning last start. Quality mare who will love the track.
Next Best
4 Stradivarius   F: 5X419
  B(3) W(54)
 ( J-  Madan Singh )
Good winning two back. Struggled in a strong Group 3 race and this is easier. Should get through the tracks.
Include in Multis
Insufficient Runners
Longer Odds
9 Salamanca   F: 75685
  B(5) W(54)
 ( J-  Eilish McCall )
Placed
Dividend : $3.80
Nice run last start and could run a good race at odds.

Remarks

Good sprint field. Deerfield vs London Express
race-image
We have gone with Deerfield

Results

Race Dividends
Win 7 $ 1.60
Place1 7 $ 1.20
Place2 9 $ 3.80
Quinella 7:9 $ 8.50
Trifecta 7:9:1 $ 67.40
First4 7:9:1:12 $ 241.80
Double 4/7+ $ 9.50

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
Insufficient Runners
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 7 - RIVERSTONE CAFE 1400
Time: 4:40 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top PickThe 'Best Each Way'
1 Armaguard   F: 18247
  B(7) W(59)
 ( J-  Zinjete Moki )
 ( T-  Suzy Gordon )
Placed
Dividend : $2.70
Has been in good form during the winter. Should get through the track and at good each way odds.
Main Danger
10 Zappeur   F: 87782
  B(10) W(55)
Making debut for Patrick Campbell but showed ability when with Stephen Marsh and was good second last start.
Next Best
5 Cover Drive   F: 070X3
  B(3) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Rosie Myers )
 ( T-  Kevin Myers )
Good third fresh up. May find the Heavy track out of his range.
Include in Multis
4 Times Ticking   F: 18X6
  B(5) W(58)
Won
Dividends : $4.00 $2.00
Not much luck fresh up. Looks like winning in short notice. Track is a big query
Longer Odds
6 Kotahi   F: X60X6
  B(11) W(57)
 ( J-  Robert Hannam )
 ( T-  Lisa Latta )
Been disappointing lately. Trial was good and will be fitter for fresh up run.

Remarks

Some value with our top pick
race-image
Zinjete Moki only ride today

Results

Race Dividends
Win 4 $ 4.00
Place1 4 $ 2.00
Place2 1 $ 2.70
Place3 2 $ 4.30
Quinella 1:4 $ 15.30
Trifecta 4:1:2 $ 269.10
First4 4:1:2:5 $ 2233.70

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 4, 5, 6, 10
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 8 - VETS ON RIVERBANK 1400
Time: 5:15 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top PickThe 'Day's Best'
2 Tavis Court   F: 10222
  B(9) W(60)
Won
Dividends : $1.80 $1.10
Will put him self on speed. Has a great record will handle the track and won't be far off them.
Main Danger
8 Platinum Volos   F: 44533
  B(7) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Chelsea Burdan )
 ( T-  Lisa Latta )
Going good races. Not far behind Polly Grey last time in the grey race and looks good chance.
Next Best
5 Red Forest   F: 48018
  B(4) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Holly Andrew )
Her performance two starts back puts her in the picture at odds
Include in Multis
9 Bring To The Block   F: X3456
  B(10) W(58)
 ( J-  Leah Hemi )
 ( T-  Shane Brown )
Been racing well and should run home very well in this.
Longer Odds
1 Yin Dragon   F: 41765
  B(1) W(62)
 ( J-  Zinjete Moki )
 ( T-  Lisa Latta )
Been racing well enough during the winter months and could be the odds runner on a real heavy track.

Remarks

Last race of the day another race with depleted numbers due to scratchings
race-image
Tavis Court is our best bet

Results

Race Dividends
Win 2 $ 1.80
Place1 2 $ 1.10
Place2 3 $ 4.70
Place3 13 $ 3.30
Quinella 2:3 $ 17.50
Trifecta 2:3:13 $ 164.90
First4 2:3:13:5 $ 730.60

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 5, 8, 9
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%