M4 Otaki – 22nd February 2020

Selections for: New Zealand Racing

Our selections for the M4 Otaki – 22nd February 2020 are below: Good Luck! Back to Performance page

M4 Otaki – 22nd February 2020

M4: Otaki - 22nd Feb, 2020

Start time:12:42 pm
Weather:Overcast
Track:Dead6

Overview

Great meeting this one, attracting top horses, trainers and jockeys ,with the Group 1 Haunui Stakes the feature.

Day's "Best"

R7 (5) Prise De Fer

Best "Each Way"

R5 (6) Caribbean Rose

Best "Roughie"

R8 (9) Cruz Ramirez
  • Race 1 - RIVERSTONE CAFE 3YO
    Time: 12:42 | Distance: 1200m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    2 Tavattack   F: 1
      B(4) W(57.5)
    Very professional debut win and a repeat of that sees it remain unbeaten
    Main Danger
    5 Gold Bracelet   F: 41
      B(3) W(55.5)
     ( J-  Lisa Allpress )
    Won
    Dividends : $2.80 $1.40
    Progressed nicely late last year and obviously a danger here - although it had a recent trial, over 2 months since its last run might be the difference
    Next Best
    1 Kick Start   F: 33194
      B(8) W(57.5)
     ( T-  Gary Vile )
    A long priced 4th at Trentham but Danielle Johnson sticks and only the wide draw a concern
    Include in Multis
    6 Vent   F: 1X
      B(5) W(55.5)
     ( J-  Temyia Taiaroa )
    Placed
    Dividend : $2.30
    Won only race at 22/1 back in October and then put away. That experience will be to good advantage
    Longer Odds
    7 Riverfalls   F: 94146
      B(1) W(55.5)
    Baker/Forsman runner down from the north - has desirable inside draw

    Remarks

    Some promising runners resuming here
    race-image
    Allan Sharrock trains our top pick

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 5 $ 2.80
    Place1 5 $ 1.40
    Place2 6 $ 2.30
    Place3 3 $ 3.40
    Quinella 5:6 $ 11.60
    Trifecta 5:6:3 $ 158.20
    First4 5:6:3:4 $ 926.40

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    1, 2, 5, 6, 7
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 2 - CAVALLO FARM & CHRIS RUTTEN BLOODSTOCK HANDICAP
    Time: 1:17 | Distance: 1200m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    5 Stumpy   F: 42422
      B(8) W(56.5)
     ( J-  Lisa Allpress )
     ( T-  Kevin Gray )
    Lisa Allpress sticks with this one, despite having ridden the two favourites last time. We're taking the tip, although the wide draw is a concern
    Main Danger
    6 Heart Of Stone   F: 03211
      B(7) W(54.5)
     ( T-  John Bary )
    Placed
    Dividend : $1.30
    Very progressive type, winning last two comfortably. Also drawn wide but finishes strongly
    Next Best
    2 Fibonacci   F: 7X711
      B(2) W(58.5)
     ( J-  Trudy Thornton )
    Has to be in the mix based on last two wins ... but this tougher
    Include in Multis
    1 Tavis Court   F: 2221X
      B(6) W(59)
    3 wins and 6 seconds from 10 starts! You're going to get a good run for your money. Hasn't raced since October though
    Longer Odds
    7 Magico   F: 22254
      B(3) W(54.5)
    If there's going to be an upset, this could well be the one. Superbly consistent and you're getting good odds

    Remarks

    Several here with a clear winning chance
    race-image
    Has Lisa Allpress made the right call?

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 3 $ 11.00
    Place1 3 $ 2.60
    Place2 4 $ 3.40
    Place3 6 $ 1.30
    Quinella 3:4 $ 67.50
    Trifecta 3:4:6 $ 624.00
    First4 3:4:6:2 $ 5666.90
    Double 5+/3 $ 36.00

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    1, 2, 5, 6, 7
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 3 - OTAKI MAIL MAIDEN
    Time: 1:52 | Distance: 1600m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    4 Americo   F: 53332
      B(1) W(58)
     ( J-  Shaun McKay )
     ( T-  Peter McKay )
    Placed
    Dividend : $1.50
    When Shaun rides for his father, it's always worth a closer look. Drawn the rails and has shown real promise in 5 starts to date
    Main Danger
    5 Capital Gains   F: 72432
      B(6) W(58)
     ( J-  Rosie Myers )
    Placed
    Dividend : $1.70
    Bill Thurlow runner only just beaten last start ... and ran well for two seconds in New Plymouth.
    Next Best
    6 Sweet Charlie   F: 2
      B(3) W(58)
    Can only come on for debut third at Trentham
    Include in Multis
    9 Vancooga   F: 77502
      B(8) W(56)
     ( J-  Robert Hannam )
    Won
    Dividends : $6.40 $2.20
    Ran second at 80/1 last time ... so a big improvement on previous form. Could go on with it
    Longer Odds
      B(5) W(56.5)
     ( J-  Lisa Allpress )
    On debut and no trial information so take on trust ... but got to consider Sharrock/Allpress combination

    Remarks

    Americo one of a few here that could break their maiden ranking
    race-image
    Looks ready to win

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 9 $ 6.40
    Place1 9 $ 2.20
    Place2 4 $ 1.50
    Place3 5 $ 1.70
    Quinella 4:9 $ 12.50
    Trifecta 9:4:5 $ 87.40
    First4 9:4:5:10 $ 1581.40
    Trifecta - Selected!

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    4, 5, 6, 8, 9
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 4 - VETS ON RIVERBANK HANDICAP
    Time: 2:27 | Distance: 1400m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    1 Sword Of Fire   F: 719X2
      B(7) W(59.5)
    Placed
    Dividend : $1.30
    Great run at Trentham, on return from Singapore, last time. Money was down there and has been backed heavily here too
    Main Danger
    4 Monkey Shoulder   F: 32493
      B(3) W(58.5)
     ( J-  Dylan Turner )
    A clear 'back to form' run for this Allan Sharrock runner last time
    Next Best
    3 Ozil   F: 5X288
      B(1) W(59)
     ( J-  Rosie Myers )
    Finishing on strongly at Trentham when blocked for a run 200 out.
    Include in Multis
    7 Horlistic   F: 312
      B(4) W(57.5)
     ( T-  Ilone Kelly )
    Has answered everything asked of it in 3 runs to date, including a win. Looks the EW value
    Longer Odds
    6 Floral Belt   F: 88663
      B(8) W(57.5)
     ( J-  Ryan Bishop )
     ( T-  Kevin Gray )
    Course and distance winner that had 'improver' written all over it after last run. Nice odds on offer

    Remarks

    Sword Of Fire won 1 of 3 starts in Singapore and looks the class act here
    race-image
    Sword Of Fire to turn up the heat here

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 9 $ 14.20
    Place1 9 $ 2.90
    Place2 1 $ 1.30
    Place3 2 $ 3.00
    Quinella 1:9 $ 9.80
    Trifecta 9:1:2 $ 287.50
    First4 9:1:2:3 $ 1430.90
    Double 9/9 $ 34.40

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    1, 3, 4, 6, 7
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 5 - ASHLEY & ROSE FOGDEN MEMORIAL
    Time: 3:04 | Distance: 2100m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    The 'Best Each Way'
    6 Caribbean Rose   F: 13545
      B(4) W(56.5)
    Baker/Forsman runner down from Cambridge .. been running well without winning but didn't get a great run last time. Will be primed for this
    Main Danger
    1 Blue On Black   F: 6X172
      B(2) W(58.5)
     ( J-  Trudy Thornton )
    Won
    Dividends : $3.80 $2.10
    The clear danger on form ... won on return and and two runs since have been very good
    Next Best
    9 Shakespeare   F: 49892
      B(6) W(53)
     ( J-  Lisa Allpress )
    Formline doesn't look anything special but that was a nice run for 2nd last time and trainers are hopeful it can run in the Derby
    Include in Multis
    8 Lord Bouzeron   F: 86142
      B(5) W(53)
     ( J-  Rosie Myers )
    Placed
    Dividend : $2.30
    Won at big odds 3 back and has continued to perform well since ... this a bit easier too
    Longer Odds
    7 Aratoka   F: 06229
      B(7) W(56.5)
     ( J-  Leah Hemi )
     ( T-  Ian Adams )
    Forget last run .... judged on two previous starts, both for seconds, it looks worth a dollar or two in this open field

    Remarks

    An open race that could see 'multis' being the best approach
    race-image
    The sweet smell of success?

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 1 $ 3.80
    Place1 1 $ 2.10
    Place2 8 $ 2.30
    Quinella 1:8 $ 8.50
    Trifecta 1:8:9 $ 37.40
    First4 1:8:9:7 $ 307.80
    Trifecta - Selected!
    First 4 - Selected!

    Betting Suggestions

    Quaddies
    R5 (1) Blue On Black(6) Caribbean Rose (9) Shakespeare
    R6 (3) Awesome Al(5) Skyphyta
    R7 (1) Shadows Cast(2) The Mitigator (5) Prise De Fer (6) Germanicus (9) Avantage
    R8 (1) Hoist(3) Rio Star (6) Enchanting Pearl (9) Cruz Ramirez
    Quaddies % to a $20 stake:

    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    1, 6, 7, 8, 9
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 6 - EL CHEAPO CARS
    Time: 3:39 | Distance: 2200m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    3 Awesome Al   F: 83241
      B(7) W(55)
     ( J-  Lisa Allpress )
    Awesome Al all day long for us here! Loved the step up in distance last time and Lisa will give this 6 time winner every chance
    Main Danger
    5 Skyphyta   F: X2395
      B(5) W(54.5)
    Stepping up from 1550m to 2200 and the way it finished strongly to the line last time, you'd think this will be ideal
    Next Best
    8 Valmur   F: 34123
      B(3) W(54)
     ( J-  Rosie Myers )
     ( T-  Les Collins )
    Won impressively at Trentham 3 back and now steps up a class. Will still test them and we're seeing good money coming for it
    Include in Multis
    4 Kamanda Lincoln   F: 50696
      B(4) W(54.5)
     ( J-  Darryl Bradley )
     ( T-  Lisa Latta )
    Only beaten 5 lengths in the Wellington Cup and has been freshened since. Darryl Bradley is riding well
    Longer Odds
    2 Gorbachev   F: 13610
      B(2) W(64)
    Won
    Dividends : $9.10 $3.20
    Disappointed in the Wellington Cup, having won at Taupo in previous start. Too classy not to rate a chance of an upset. Bit of money coming in too

    Remarks

    A competitive field, many have competed in the Wellington Cup recently

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 2 $ 9.10
    Place1 2 $ 3.20
    Place2 7 $ 6.10
    Quinella 2:7 $ 59.60
    Trifecta 2:7:5 $ 505.00
    First4 2:7:5:1 $ 3936.70
    Double 1/2 $ 27.10

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    2, 3, 4, 5, 8
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 7 - HAUNUI FARM WFA GROUP ONE CLASSIC (G1)
    Time: 4:14 | Distance: 1600m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    The 'Day's Best'
    5 Prise De Fer   F: 11111
      B(5) W(59)
    Placed
    Dividend : $1.70
    Jamie Richards has two top chances and we're going for the winner of its last 5 ... has continued to set up and win and the flood on money for it suggests it might well do so again. Exciting prospect for the future.
    Main Danger
    9 Avantage   F: 87214
      B(1) W(57)
    Won
    Dividends : $3.50 $1.70
    Richards other runner and with Danielle aboard, will be afforded every chance over the 1600m. All class, having won the Telegraph , and was finishing strongly against the 'shark' last time
    Next Best
    2 The Mitigator   F: 10412
      B(10) W(59)
     ( J-  Shaun McKay )
     ( T-  Peter McKay )
    What a run for second against Te Akau Shark last time. We rate its chance and punters are getting a good price. EW?
    Include in Multis
    1 Shadows Cast   F: 15235
      B(2) W(59)
     ( J-  Lisa Allpress )
    If this one runs on the pace, it is going to be very hard to beat.
    Longer Odds
    6 Germanicus   F: 20111
      B(7) W(59)
     ( J-  Rosie Myers )
     ( T-  Danica Guy )
    Has 'come of age', winning last three. Winning form is good form and it could be a giant killer here

    Remarks

    $200k on offer here and just ;look at the field its drawn!
    race-image
    Johnathan will be excited about his prospects here

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 9 $ 3.50
    Place1 9 $ 1.70
    Place2 5 $ 1.70
    Place3 3 $ 3.00
    Quinella 5:9 $ 5.60
    Trifecta 9:5:3 $ 98.20
    First4 9:5:3:1 $ 369.40

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    1, 2, 5, 6, 9
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%
  • Race 8 - AQUASHIELD ROOFING HANDICAP
    Time: 4:49 | Distance: 1600m | Prize $

  • Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

      View Full Field
    Top Pick
    6 Enchanting Pearl   F: 721
      B(8) W(57)
     ( J-  Lisa Allpress )
     ( T-  N & H Auret )
    Has continued to progress in all 3 races, winning last time on this track. Did it well and should go back to back
    Main Danger
    1 Hoist   F: X3066
      B(4) W(60)
    This easier than it has been running against ... and although only 6th last time, was only beaten 2l and was blocked for its run
    Next Best
    3 Rio Star   F: 42314
      B(9) W(58.5)
     ( J-  Chris Johnson )
    Took 38 starts to win one but did run second 9 times! Could well return to winners circle here
    Include in Multis
    8 Rukita   F: 77218
      B(7) W(56.5)
     ( J-  Robert Hannam )
    Placed
    Dividend : $3.40
    Forget last run ... better judged on very good win on this track two back
    Longer Odds
    The 'Best Roughie'
    9 Cruz Ramirez   F: 6X16
      B(11) W(56.5)
     ( J-  Dylan Turner )
    Finished very strongly to win here on return then never got into the race at Whanganui. Rates well here and odds are tasty

    Remarks

    The 'get out' stakes but we're placed with a very even field
    race-image
    Lisa Allpress has a good strike rate for the Auret's

    Results

    Race Dividends
    Win 14 $ 21.50
    Place1 14 $ 5.80
    Place2 13 $ 12.10
    Place3 8 $ 3.40
    Quinella 13:14 $ 231.10
    Trifecta 14:13:8 $ 9420.10
    First4 - $ 0.00
    Double 9+/14 $ 61.50

    Betting Suggestions


    Multi's
    Boxed Tri's and FF's
    1, 3, 6, 8, 9
    RETURNS - $20 STAKE
    Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
    Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%