M4 Trentham – 16th March 2019

Selections for: New Zealand Racing

Our selections for the M4 Trentham – 16th March 2019 are below: Good Luck! Back to Performance page

M4 Trentham – 16th March 2019

M4: Trentham - 16th Mar, 2019

Start time:12:30 pm
Weather:Cloudy
Track:Dead6

Overview

Group 1 Oaks Day at Trentham with the Guineas and Cuddle Stakes also on the feature card

Day's "Best"

R5 (3) Concert Hall

Best "Each Way"

R7 (8) Sasso Corbaro

Best "Roughie"

R1 (6) Miss Doherty

Race 1 - THEE AULD FLOOZIE PREMIER
Time: 12:30 | Distance: 1400m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
4 Comeback   F: 34321
  B(1) W(57)
Won
Dividends : $2.20 $1.30
Scored a good win last start and the 4kg claim will help. Does require a good ride but should get all chances from the inside barrier.
Main Danger
5 Power O'Hata   F: X630X
  B(7) W(55.5)
Didn't show a heck of a lot last preparation but there is support this time around. Would take a power of beating at its best.
Next Best
3 Sweepstake   F: 63204
  B(3) W(58)
 ( J-  Rosie Myers )
Placed
Dividend : $2.30
Usually around the mark but does tend to find a few better than it. Drawn well and it should appreciate the slightly easier field.
Include in Multis
7 Saignon   F: 13472
  B(8) W(54)
 ( J-  Ryan Elliot )
Light weight with 53kg which is coming off a strong second placing. Could add some nice value at each way odds.
Longer OddsThe 'Best Roughie'
6 Miss Doherty   F: 50185
  B(5) W(54)
 ( J-  Dylan Turner )
Did the job three back and it could run well again. Just needs to find that turn-of-foot.

Remarks

Two runners have been best-backed in this
race-image
Power O'Hata could run an improved race

Results

Race Dividends
Win 4 $ 2.20
Place1 4 $ 1.30
Place2 3 $ 2.30
Place3 8 $ 3.50
Quinella 3:4 $ 10.00
Trifecta 4:3:8 $ 124.20
First4 4:3:8:7 $ 491.20

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
3, 4, 5, 6, 7
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 2 - TAB MARCH MADNESS CUP
Time: 1:05 | Distance: 1200m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
1 Equinox   F: 15
  B(3) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Michael McNab )
Won
Dividends : $1.50 $1.10
Shocking performance in the wet last start but looms as a major winning chance back on a firm surface. Has obvious talent and the odds are skinny.
Main Danger
5 In Fashion   F: 541
  B(1) W(55.5)
 ( J-  Lisa Allpress )
Placed
Dividend : $1.60
Got the job done by a length last start and the form out of that could stack up. Inside draw is ideal for its education.
Next Best
7 Shibuya Kosaten   F: 4X
  B(6) W(54)
 ( J-  Sam Spratt )
Wasn't the worst on debut and it has since won a trial. Stable has hit form of late and the light weight (54kg) helps.
Include in Multis
  B(4) W(56)
Placed
Dividend : $1.50
Always going to improve with racing. Solid run on debut and it should continue to grow over the course of the season.
Longer Odds
6 Serena   F: 1
  B(7) W(55.5)
 ( J-  Chris Johnson )
 ( T-  John Bary )
Nice win on debut and it could sling shot them late with a classic Chris Johnson ride.

Remarks

Equinox has a mortgage on the market
race-image
Equinox at the trials

Results

Race Dividends
Win 1 $ 1.50
Place1 1 $ 1.10
Place2 2 $ 1.50
Place3 5 $ 1.60
Quinella 1:2 $ 3.40
Trifecta 1:2:5 $ 12.90
First4 1:2:5:4 $ 71.80
Trifecta - Selected!

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 5, 6, 7
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 3 - YEALANDS FAMILY WINES NZ ST LEGER
Time: 1:40 | Distance: 2600m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
1 Sampson   F: 34144
  B(6) W(55.5)
Won
Dividends : $2.90 $1.50
Impressive win three back and hasn't been far away since. Looks ideally weighted for this and the money will likely come strong on the day.
Main Danger
8 Special Light   F: 22111
  B(10) W(53)
 ( T-  Tony Pike )
Looking for its fourth consecutive win and it's tough to back against it with only 53kg on the back. Should be another well-supported runner.
Next Best
5 Soleseifei   F: X3325
  B(7) W(53)
 ( J-  Lisa Allpress )
Placed
Dividend : $2.30
Dangerous down in the weights and the 2600m shouldn't pose any problems. Three placings already this preparation so include.
Include in Multis
7 Korakonui   F: 85514
  B(8) W(53)
 ( J-  Chris Johnson )
Likely to settle midfield throughout and come with a searching run late. Conditions should suit and punters will get value odds.
Longer Odds
3 The Boy Wonder   F: 64685
  B(4) W(55)
 ( J-  Jake Bayliss )
Better than advertised and the rise in distance could do the trick.

Remarks

Multiple form lines for this staying feature
race-image
Sampson could turn to winning form

Results

Race Dividends
Win 1 $ 2.90
Place1 1 $ 1.50
Place2 9 $ 2.20
Place3 5 $ 2.30
Quinella 1:9 $ 8.70
Trifecta 1:9:5 $ 68.60
First4 1:9:5:7 $ 252.20
Treble 4+/1+/1+ $ 15.50

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 3, 5, 7, 8
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 4 - HARDY TRADE PREMIER
Time: 2:15 | Distance: 1600m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
2 Neeson   F: 52615
  B(6) W(60)
 ( J-  Leith Innes )
Good win two back and wasn't beaten far last start. Stable going well and it's capable of carrying the big weight to victory.
Main Danger
8 Zachaz   F: 11
  B(9) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Jake Bayliss )
Placed
Dividend : $2.20
Unbeaten runners always have more excitement attached to them. Has looked good and is in the right hands for this.
Next Best
9 Awesome Al   F: 66021
  B(10) W(57)
 ( J-  Chris Johnson )
Put some poor form behind it with a good placing and win last time out. Tough draw but could get to the best part of the track in the straight.
Include in Multis
11 Fictitious   F: 21953
  B(1) W(55.5)
 ( T-  Lisa Latta )
Interesting runner which could add some value to this. Gets a nice run off the inside and it should be in the mix.
Longer Odds
4 Sleek Secret   F: 82503
  B(3) W(58)
 ( J-  Shaun McKay )
Better for the third placing last start and it should improve off that. Each way odds on offer.

Remarks

Punters are getting good odds throughout this field
race-image
Neeson gets the job done narrowly here

Results

Race Dividends
Win 10 $ 13.80
Place1 10 $ 3.70
Place2 8 $ 2.20
Place3 3 $ 2.20
Quinella 8:10 $ 41.50
Trifecta 10:8:3 $ 580.80
First4 10:8:3:11 $ 2466.30

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
2, 4, 8, 9, 11
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 5 - WENTWOOD GRANGE CUDDLE STAKES
Time: 2:50 | Distance: 1600m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top PickThe 'Day's Best'
3 Concert Hall   F: 12711
  B(10) W(55)
Won
Dividends : $1.80 $1.10
Big winner last start and it continues to go from strength-to-strength. Drawn wide but can get back and come with a sustained run.
Main Danger
1 Igraine   F: 14129
  B(3) W(56)
Good winter performer but has some form on dry tracks. Classy at best and it has good barrier speed to put it into the race.
Next Best
2 Livin' On A Prayer   F: 90606
  B(6) W(55)
 ( J-  Cameron Lammas )
Running well below its best but class will take it a long way. Has finished first or second in 11 of its 21 starts so include.
Include in Multis
4 Jessiegee   F: 25241
  B(11) W(55)
 ( J-  Lisa Allpress )
Placed
Dividend : $2.50
Won the Wairoa Cup and although this is a stronger race, having that fitness under the belt will help. Can't be left out.
Longer Odds
5 Tinkalicious   F: 39151
  B(1) W(55)
 ( J-  Rosie Myers )
Placed
Dividend : $2.50
Past winner on this track and that's a good form guide.

Remarks

Quality field with some rising stars involved
race-image
Concert Hall blows them away

Results

Race Dividends
Win 3 $ 1.80
Place1 3 $ 1.10
Place2 4 $ 2.50
Place3 5 $ 2.50
Quinella 3:4 $ 9.50
Trifecta 3:4:5 $ 55.90
First4 3:4:5:1 $ 194.70
Quaddie 1+/1+/10/3+ $ 198.60
Trifecta - Selected!
First 4 - Selected!

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 3, 4, 5
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 6 - NORWOOD FAMILY WELLINGTON GUINEAS
Time: 3:30 | Distance: 1400m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
1 Dawn Patrol   F: 1122
  B(15) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Michael McNab )
Placed
Dividend : $1.60
Drawn deep but it is the class runner of the field. Has a Group 1 placing and that experience should take it close.
Main Danger
3 Qiji Express   F: 128X1
  B(10) W(56.5)
Show a good turn-of-speed when winning at Ellerslie fresh up. Likely to continue improving as it grows stronger. Winning chance.
Next Best
8 Vigor Winner   F: 11
  B(4) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Sam Spratt )
Placed
Dividend : $2.40
Massive rise in class but its two wins have been good. Bred to get better over longer distances and we wouldn't rule it out.
Include in Multis
11 She's A Thief   F: X7412
  B(1) W(54.5)
 ( J-  Jake Bayliss )
Hasn't done much wrong this season which includes a recent win and placing. Nice striding type which could get some of this.
Longer Odds
12 Emily Margaret   F: 73921
  B(5) W(54.5)
 ( J-  Robert Hannam )
Won
Dividends : $13.60 $4.20
Makes its own luck and that could work in a race like this. Goes into the mix.

Remarks

Cracking field where bookmakers have labeled Dawn Patrol as the best chance
race-image
Dawn Patrol brings Group 1 form

Results

Race Dividends
Win 12 $ 13.60
Place1 12 $ 4.20
Place2 8 $ 2.40
Place3 1 $ 1.60
Quinella 8:12 $ 52.90
Trifecta 12:8:1 $ 655.70
First4 12:8:1:5 $ 6263.00
Treble 10/3+/12 $ 703.60
Trifecta - Selected!

Betting Suggestions

Quaddies
R6 (1) Dawn Patrol(3) Qiji Express (8) Vigor Winner
R7 (3) Passing Shot(4) Princess Kereru (5) Volks Lightning (8) Sasso Corbaro
R8 (1) Imelda Mary(2) Queen Of Diamonds (3) Pinmedown (8) Savy Yong Blonk
R9 (4) Deerfield(5) Just Fabulous (9) Lady Rudolph
Quaddies % to a $20 stake:

Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 3, 8, 11, 12
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 7 - GAVELHOUSE.COM LIGHTNING HANDICAP
Time: 4:05 | Distance: 1200m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top PickThe 'Best Each Way'
8 Sasso Corbaro   F: X7101
  B(6) W(53)
 ( J-  Rosie Myers )
Australian sprinting form always lines up well in New Zealand. Showed why last start and the confidence is only going to increase.
Main Danger
3 Passing Shot   F: 89521
  B(3) W(57.5)
Controlled the pace and scored an impressive win last start. More than capable of winning at this level so stick with it.
Next Best
4 Princess Kereru   F: 51271
  B(2) W(56)
 ( J-  Cameron Lammas )
Placed
Dividend : $1.60
Well-deserved win at Ellerslie last start and the form out of that should stack up well. Drawn well and could be running on late.
Include in Multis
5 Volks Lightning   F: 50834
  B(9) W(54.5)
 ( J-  Ryan Elliot )
Won
Dividends : $9.20 $2.70
Has been out of the winners' enclosure of awhile now but we can't discount its ability to cause an upset. Allow one more chance.
Longer Odds
11 Vinnie's Volley   F: 22732
  B(4) W(53)
 ( J-  Chris Johnson )
 ( T-  John Bary )
Due a big-race win and this could be it. Value at odds.

Remarks

Highly talented sprinting field
race-image
Impressive winner last start

Results

Race Dividends
Win 5 $ 9.20
Place1 5 $ 2.70
Place2 4 $ 1.60
Place3 2 $ 2.30
Quinella 4:5 $ 17.80
Trifecta 5:4:2 $ 202.00
First4 5:4:2:3 $ 1412.10

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
3, 4, 5, 8, 11
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 8 - AL BASTI EQUIWORLD DUBAI NZ OAKS
Time: 4:45 | Distance: 2400m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
1 Imelda Mary   F: 11813
  B(4) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Cameron Lammas )
Had little luck last start and it could turn the tables. Form prior was Oaks form and punters are getting good odds for the filly.
Main Danger
2 Queen Of Diamonds   F: 13431
  B(17) W(56.5)
Dictated play last start and it will need good barrier speed to win from barrier 18. Has time to find cover, however, and the money on instills confidence.
Next Best
3 Pinmedown   F: 11691
  B(14) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Jake Bayliss )
Impressive win in the Sunline Vase at Ellerslie. First look at this track but it's growing with confidence and should go well again.
Include in Multis
8 Savy Yong Blonk   F: 11753
  B(5) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Michael McNab )
Has looked an Oaks type for awhile now. Will appreciate the distance and it could add some value to selections.
Longer Odds
12 Dare To Compare   F: 31501
  B(8) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Shaun McKay )
Last start winner which could cause a boil over. Include for a potential payout boost.

Remarks

Group 1 feature with numerous winning chances
race-image
Mary could kick back to form

Results

Race Dividends
Win 5 $ 21.10
Place1 5 $ 5.50
Place2 10 $ 9.00
Place3 17 $ 15.90
Quinella 5:10 $ 325.30
Trifecta 5:10:17 $ 35826.60
First4 5:10:17:6 $ 20457.80

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 3, 8, 12
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 9 - NEW WORLD STOKES VALLEY PREMIER
Time: 5:25 | Distance: 1400m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
4 Deerfield   F: 21
  B(8) W(59)
Won
Dividends : $6.10 $2.10
Comes into this after posting a good win last start. Has plenty of upside and the odds on offer are generous. Could shorten on the day.
Main Danger
9 Lady Rudolph   F: 213
  B(9) W(57)
Placed
Dividend : $1.00
Yet to finish outside of the placings from three starts. Looks a nice type for the future and bookmakers have it well-fancied.
Next Best
5 Just Fabulous   F:
  B(13)
 ( J-  )
Extremely consistent type which won't worry about the tricky draw. Has placed on this track so consider.
Include in Multis
6 Kapinos   F: 22321
  B(11) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Lisa Allpress )
In form after posting a win at Awapuni. That capped off some good form and it's capable of producing another tidy performance.
Longer Odds
13 Margot   F: 67543
  B(6) W(55)
 ( J-  Michael McNab )
 ( T-  Suzy Gordon )
Better effort last time out and it could improve on that.

Remarks

This market isn't lacking value
race-image
Deerfield looks a nice type

Results

Race Dividends
Win 4 $ 6.10
Place1 4 $ 2.10
Place2 1 $ 3.60
Place3 9 $ 1.00
Place6 3,8,10/3+,4,5/1+,8,12/2,4,5/5,10,17/1,4,9+,12 $ 218.30
Quinella 1:4 $ 37.60
Treble 5/5/4 $ 817.60
Quaddie 12/5/5/4 $ 32025.30

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
4, 5, 6, 9, 13
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%