M6 Ashburton – 3rd July 2019

Selections for: New Zealand Racing

Our selections for the M6 Ashburton – 3rd July 2019 are below: Good Luck! Back to Performance page

M6 Ashburton – 3rd July 2019

M6: Ashburton - 3rd Jul, 2019

Start time:11:25 am
Weather:Fine
Track:Dead4

Overview

Good southern meeting with the Winter Cup Trial creating some excitement

Day's "Best"

R5 (4) Londonderry Air

Best "Each Way"

R4 (12) Wanderin Over

Best "Roughie"

R3 (9) Suggestive Loox

Race 1 - PALAMOUNTAINS ANIMAL NUTRITION MAIDEN
Time: 11:25 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

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Top Pick
1 Rainman   F: 25323
  B(2) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Jason Laking )
Placed
Dividend : $1.50
Doesn't need to improve much to score the elusive maiden win. Looks well placed here and punters could rejoice after many close runs.
Main Danger
5 Decision Kept   F: 00X72
  B(12) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Chris Johnson )
Won
Dividends : $4.00 $2.00
Put the writing on the wall last time out when second. Heading in the right direction and only the wide draw is a concern.
Next Best
6 Ruby Noir   F: 0X2
  B(11) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Krishna Mudhoo )
 ( T-  Mike McCann )
Turned around a poor showing on debut to run second last start. The spell clearly worked wonders and it has plenty of upside.
Include in Multis
12 Wynmoore   F: 6
  B(10) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Tanya Jonker )
 ( T-  Kenny Moore )
Did enough on debut to warrant attention. Gets a significant 2kg claimer in the saddle and it should be closing on them late. Chance.
Longer Odds
9 True Elegance   F: 4X05
  B(7) W(56.5)
Better run for fifth last time out and it could add some value at double-figure odds.

Remarks

Maximum numbers lining up in the first
race-image
Rainman should run close

Results

Race Dividends
Win 5 $ 4.00
Place1 5 $ 2.00
Place2 1 $ 1.50
Place3 10 $ 7.00
Quinella 1:5 $ 6.30
Trifecta 5:1:10 $ 341.30
First4 5:1:10:3 $ 1406.30
Treble 5/9/5 $ 236.60

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 5, 6, 9, 12
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 2 - MOUNT SOMERS HONEY
Time: 11:55 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
5 Visconti   F: 09214
  B(1) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Lisa Allpress )
 ( T-  Terri Rae )
Didn't back up its impressive win last start, but it was a solid effort. Gets the inside draw and hugging the rail is ideal for this gelding.
Main Danger
13 Devine Love   F: 94094
  B(13) W(54)
 ( J-  Kylie Williams )
Is going to enjoy being down in the weights. Needs some cover from out wide but we're expecting to see a turnaround in form quickly.
Next Best
9 Dutch Courage   F: 06256
  B(3) W(57)
 ( J-  Jason Laking )
Won
Dividends : $5.70 $2.20
Good second placing three back and has been just behind the ruck since. Gets its chance from a good barrier here. Nice odds on offer from bookmakers.
Include in Multis
1 Lord Beaver   F: X3363
  B(2) W(60)
 ( J-  Corey Campbell )
Placed
Dividend : $4.10
Getting closer to a win after posting three third placings from its last four. Gets weight off its back and could spring a minor surprise at odds.
Longer Odds
2 Swiss Eire   F: 66031
  B(14) W(59)
In good form having scored last start. Right in this.

Remarks

Most of the money with the favourite in this
race-image
Visconti looms as a chance

Results

Race Dividends
Win 9 $ 5.70
Place1 9 $ 2.20
Place2 7 $ 4.70
Place3 1 $ 4.10
Quinella 7:9 $ 62.00
Trifecta 9:7:1 $ 1120.10
First4 9:7:1:15 $ 4059.50

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 5, 9, 13
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 3 - MAJESTIC HORSE FLOATS LTD
Time: 12:30 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
4 Black Label   F: 01X11
  B(10) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Kylie Williams )
 ( T-  Steve Tyler )
Tough to overlook three wins on the bounce. Drawn wide but it is flying at the moment and deserves to be considered the toughest to beat.
Main Danger
5 Exemplar   F: 00111
  B(1) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Lisa Allpress )
Won
Dividends : $7.00 $2.50
Another which has rattled off three wins on the bounce. That turned around some poor form so it has been a big turn up. Nice chance in this.
Next Best
7 Miss Brahmos   F: X2524
  B(5) W(58)
 ( J-  Kin Kwo )
 ( T-  Terri Rae )
Has cost punters a little bit lately but the talent is there. Just needs the right run in the race to be a winning factor at nice odds.
Include in Multis
2 Celtic Cross   F: 44632
  B(7) W(59)
 ( J-  Kozzi Asano )
Placed
Dividend : $2.50
Better when the track is rain-affected but it has been running well of late. Good enough to be included and the odds are appealing.
Longer OddsThe 'Best Roughie'
9 Suggestive Loox   F: 50812
  B(8) W(56)
 ( J-  Corey Campbell )
Starting to show its northern form now. Gets a 2kg claim to help.

Remarks

Each-way all day type of race
race-image
Stick with Black Label - the good stuff

Results

Race Dividends
Win 5 $ 7.00
Place1 5 $ 2.50
Place2 11 $ 1.90
Place3 2 $ 2.50
Quinella 5:11 $ 26.20
Trifecta 5:11:2 $ 293.30
First4 5:11:2:3 $ 3037.40

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
2, 4, 5, 7, 9
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 4 - MAINLAND COACHWORK LTD
Time: 1:05 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

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Top PickThe 'Best Each Way'
12 Wanderin Over   F: 92421
  B(10) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Kin Kwo )
Turned some solid form into winning form last time out. Drops to 53.5kg with the claim and it could continue in that vein of form.
Main Danger
13 Kanumiss   F: 9X158
  B(3) W(56)
 ( J-  Chris Johnson )
 ( T-  Terri Rae )
Won
Dividends : $3.80 $1.70
Missed last start but looked much better prior to that. Has talent as shown fresh up and a good ride sees it fight out the finish.
Next Best
8 Roc The Cradle   F: 18673
  B(8) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Krishna Mudhoo )
Won five starts back and has struggled with the rise in grades since. Better effort when third last start so consider based on that.
Include in Multis
10 Chookie's Girl   F: 43416
  B(13) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Corey Campbell )
Likely to get back from the draw and flash home late. Still maturing and it could offer some cheek at odds. Chance.
Longer Odds
6 Slammer   F: 81569
  B(5) W(58)
 ( J-  Jacob Lowry )
Better than its recent form suggests. Include at odds.

Remarks

Another field with good numbers and plenty of value on offer
race-image
Wandering Over should run well

Results

Race Dividends
Win 13 $ 3.80
Place1 13 $ 1.70
Place2 11 $ 2.40
Place3 16 $ 5.00
Quinella 11:13 $ 12.20
Trifecta 13:11:16 $ 230.80
First4 13:11:16:5 $ 1244.00

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
6, 8, 10, 12, 13
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 5 - JJ LTD HANDICAP
Time: 1:40 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top PickThe 'Day's Best'
4 Londonderry Air   F: 03151
  B(9) W(54.5)
 ( J-  Corey Campbell )
Has turned a corner with its two recent wins. Still on the rise and it has every chance with only 52kg on its back. Good odds on offer.
Main Danger
6 Lady Bealey   F: 54442
  B(8) W(54)
 ( J-  Kylie Williams )
Placed
Dividend : $1.80
Getting close after another top effort last start. Lack of winning form is a concern but the drop in weight helps and it should go close.
Next Best
8 Sitarist   F: 02132
  B(7) W(54)
Won
Dividends : $3.80 $1.60
Hit the line nicely for second last start. Another which drops in weight and it hasn't run a bad race for awhile. Good hope.
Include in Multis
7 Smiling Assassin   F: 45426
  B(4) W(54)
 ( J-  Lisa Allpress )
Placed
Dividend : $2.00
Mixing its form a little bit but it has every chance to win on its day. Lisa Allpress rides and that could make the difference.
Longer Odds
5 Shantav   F: 07405
  B(1) W(54)
 ( J-  Terry Moseley )
Better than its recent form suggests. Goes well at double-figure odds.

Remarks

Plenty of quality form lines in this
race-image
Londonderry Air is a good bet

Results

Race Dividends
Win 8 $ 3.80
Place1 8 $ 1.60
Place2 7 $ 2.00
Place3 6 $ 1.80
Quinella 7:8 $ 13.20
Trifecta 8:7:6 $ 89.30
First4 8:7:6:2 $ 944.60
Trifecta - Selected!

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
4, 5, 6, 7, 8
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 6 - HINDS RIDGE FARM WINTER CUP TRIAL
Time: 2:15 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
1 Signify   F: 20165
  B(5) W(61.5)
 ( T-  Alex Cowan )
Hasn't quite hit the line to its best ability its last couple. Looked good winning prior to that and the odds are appealing here. Quality type.
Main Danger
7 Trudeau   F: 06141
  B(7) W(54)
 ( J-  Chris Johnson )
Confidence is up now after posting two wins from its last three starts. 54kg on the back and it could make the rise in class.
Next Best
2 Elfee   F: 03846
  B(6) W(56)
 ( J-  Lisa Allpress )
Finding it tough to cross the line first but it's only a matter of time before it gets back to winning form. Each-way chance.
Include in Multis
9 Waimate Bill   F: 12X43
  B(9) W(54)
 ( J-  Amless Bohorun )
51kg on its back and that should make a big difference. Warming up nicely with two good runs this campaign. Nice chance.
Longer Odds
3 Flying Sardine   F: 79409
  B(1) W(54)
 ( J-  Kin Kwo )
 ( T-  K & A Tyler )
Out of form but it only needs pace on up front to show its best. Worth including.

Remarks

Some quality types lining up here
race-image
Signify is all class

Results

Race Dividends
Win 5 $ 6.60
Place1 5 $ 2.00
Place2 4 $ 3.70
Place3 8 $ 4.90
Quinella 4:5 $ 45.00
Trifecta 5:4:8 $ 743.90
First4 5:4:8:7 $ 3474.30
Treble 13+/8/5 $ 128.80

Betting Suggestions

Quaddies
R6 (1) Signify(2) Elfee (7) Trudeau
R7 (1) Forged(2) Jin Lu (6) Gifted (10) Queen Jetsun
R8 (1) Albut Me(3) Strad (6) Beneficial
R9 (1) Billabong Billy(3) Lincoln Zephyr (9) Gloss
Quaddies % to a $20 stake: 25

Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 3, 7, 9
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 7 - WRIGHTSON'S PGG SEEDS
Time: 2:54 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
2 Jin Lu   F: 13193
  B(1) W(59)
 ( J-  Jason Laking )
Placed
Dividend : $2.10
Drawn to get every chance off the inside barrier. Hit top form earlier this campaign with two wins and anything close to that takes it close here.
Main Danger
6 Gifted   F: 17X21
  B(2) W(56)
 ( J-  Tanya Jonker )
Won
Dividends : $9.00 $2.60
In hot form this season with a win and a placing from two starts. Can handle the rise in class and it's a progressive type in the making.
Next Best
10 Queen Jetsun   F: X2229
  B(11) W(54)
 ( J-  Kylie Williams )
Didn't fire last start but was showing consistent form prior to that. Ran three consecutive placings which should be good enough form for this.
Include in Multis
1 Forged   F: 68055
  B(10) W(60.5)
 ( J-  Brett Murray )
 ( T-  Mike McCann )
Form doesn't read well but it's better than advertised. Gets some weight relief and it could find improvement in this field.
Longer Odds
8 Abbey Kay   F: 68213
  B(9) W(55.5)
 ( J-  Gee Saejorhor )
 ( T-  Steve Tyler )
51.5kg on the back and it was a good winner two back. Right in this and the odds are worth the risk.

Remarks

More value from bookmakers for punters to enjoy
race-image
Jin Lu could run at value

Results

Race Dividends
Win 6 $ 9.00
Place1 6 $ 2.60
Place2 7 $ 2.30
Place3 2 $ 2.10
Quinella 6:7 $ 26.60
Trifecta 6:7:2 $ 202.40
First4 6:7:2:1 $ 1130.50
Double 5/6 $ 36.20

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 6, 8, 10
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 8 - SIMS BAKERY
Time: 3:29 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
1 Albut Me   F: X6221
  B(4) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Corey Campbell )
Placed
Dividend : $1.40
Kicked best when winning last time out and the 2kg claim will help its chances here. Going well and we're predicting another tidy effort.
Main Danger
3 Strad   F: 0X317
  B(1) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Jacob Lowry )
 ( T-  Alex Cowan )
Won
Dividends : $5.60 $1.90
Needs to turn around a poor effort last start but the inside draw will help with that. Only needs to run up to the best of its ability.
Next Best
6 Beneficial   F: 30755
  B(10) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Terry Moseley )
Placed
Dividend : $1.80
Form doesn't read well but it has been running against some solid fields. Knocking on the door after two fifths in a row.
Include in Multis
2 Vee Twelve   F: 11929
  B(3) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Tanya Jonker )
Looked like a V4 last start but it looked good prior to that when winning two in a row. Right in this with the claimer in the saddle.
Longer Odds
9 Reliable Glow   F: 34137
  B(5) W(56.5)
Has shown enough form this season to warrant attention here.

Remarks

One of the better fields of the day
race-image
Albut Me could win again

Results

Race Dividends
Win 3 $ 5.60
Place1 3 $ 1.90
Place2 1 $ 1.40
Place3 6 $ 1.80
Quinella 1:3 $ 7.30
Trifecta 3:1:6 $ 70.80
First4 3:1:6:5 $ 197.50
Trifecta - Selected!

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 3, 6, 9
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 9 - NEW HEMISPHERE HEMP FOODS
Time: 4:04 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
3 Lincoln Zephyr   F: 785X1
  B(9) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Chris Johnson )
Turned around some average form to score nicely last time out. Had a good ride on that occasion and requires one here as well.
Main Danger
9 Gloss   F: 22045
  B(10) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Lisa Allpress )
Placed
Dividend : $2.30
Hasn't been too far behind of late and it's good enough to win a race like this. Should be respected.
Next Best
1 Billabong Billy   F: 08212
  B(3) W(59)
Placed
Dividend : $2.10
In career-best form with a recent win and two placings. Jockey is in good form and it's drawn well enough to figure in the finish.
Include in Multis
13 Mowenna   F: 99353
  B(6) W(55.5)
 ( J-  Rahul Beeharry )
Drops in weight to 52.5kg and it has been going well of late. Nice odds on offer from bookmakers.
Longer Odds
14 Heaven Knows   F: 0X033
  B(4) W(54.5)
 ( J-  Tanya Jonker )
Last couple of runs have been good. Even chance to show up at odds.

Remarks

Many winning chances in the last
race-image
Ahyum could run at delicious odds

Results

Race Dividends
Win 2 $ 14.40
Place1 2 $ 4.90
Place2 9 $ 2.30
Place3 1 $ 2.10
Quinella 2:9 $ 26.70
Trifecta 2:9:1 $ 574.00
First4 2:9:1:15 $ 3824.30

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 3, 9, 13, 14
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%