M6 Invercargill – 16th February 2019

Selections for: New Zealand Racing

Our selections for the M6 Invercargill – 16th February 2019 are below: Good Luck! Back to Performance page

M6 Invercargill – 16th February 2019

M6: Invercargill - 16th Feb, 2019

Start time:12:10 pm
Weather:Showery
Track:Slow8

Overview

Invercargill Gold Cup, Southland Guineas and Southland Stakes headline the quality 10-race card

Day's "Best"

R2 (2) Sentient

Best "Each Way"

R3 (1) Friar Tuck

Best "Roughie"

R5 (3) The Quiet Man

Race 1 - SOUTHERN INSULATION MAIDEN
Time: 12:10 | Distance: 1200m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
1 Port Stephens   F: 3
  B(11) W(58.5)
 ( T-  Sally McKay )
Indicative Odds: $5.00
Race experience could be key here and running third on debut is an ideal preparation. Has been steady in the market all week.
Main Danger
7 Tap Tap   F: 57742
  B(2) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Rohan Mudhoo )
Indicative Odds: $4.20
Has plenty of experience and should have broken maiden grades by now but gets its chance now. 3kg claim helps and it has a recent placing to boast.
Next Best
5 Lord Zacford   F: 5
  B(8) W(58)
 ( J-  Jacob Lowry )
Indicative Odds: $6.50
Wasn't too far away on debut when fifth and there's enough money on to warrant attention. Drawn well and respect its chances.
Include in Multis
2 Chowder   F: X0286
  B(12) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Darryl Bradley )
Indicative Odds: $8.00
Last few efforts have been a touch poor but it hasn't had all luck. Tough draw so will rely on luck again but consider at each way odds.
Longer Odds
8 Betty May   F:
  B(3) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Lee Callaway )
Indicative Odds: $17.00
On debut and it could show something off a good barrier draw.

Remarks

Not much form to go on in the first so late betting moves will speak volumes
race-image
Sally McKay lines up Port Stephens

Results

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 5, 7, 8
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 2 - SPEIGHTS HANDICAP
Time: 12:42 | Distance: 1200m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top PickThe 'Day's Best'
2 Sentient   F: 82726
  B(1) W(59)
 ( J-  Jacob Lowry )
 ( T-  G & M Eade )
Indicative Odds: $2.60
Twice-placed from its last three starts and it has been one of the better-backed runners of the day. Inside draw only makes it harder to beat.
Main Danger
1 Son Of Surf   F: 04351
  B(12) W(59.5)
 ( J-  Tanya Jonker )
 ( T-  Sally McKay )
Indicative Odds: $5.50
Gets some weight relief from Tanya Jonker. Tough draw so it might head forward and give them something to catch. Last start winner which is in form.
Next Best
5 Jim's Gift   F: X8133
  B(4) W(57)
 ( J-  Kalai Selvan )
 ( T-  John Yeo )
Indicative Odds: $6.50
Hasn't done much wrong since running a poor eighth fresh up. That includes a win and two third placings. Deserves to be respected.
Include in Multis
3 Non Blonde   F: 01905
  B(3) W(58)
 ( T-  Sally McKay )
Indicative Odds: $9.50
Drops to 55kg with the claim and it has won this campaign. The rest of its efforts have been poor but it has been specked at double-figure odds.
Longer Odds
4 The De Boy   F: 22107
  B(5) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Corey Campbell )
Indicative Odds: $16.00
Another with a claimer in the saddle and it has shown enough this preparation. Won well three back after backing up two second placings.

Remarks

Only a couple of runners backed by punters here
race-image
Jacob Lowry sits on the top pick

Results

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 3, 4, 5
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 3 - SHEET METALCRAFT HANDICAP
Time: 1:17 | Distance: 1200m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top PickThe 'Best Each Way'
1 Friar Tuck   F: X3412
  B(1) W(59.5)
Indicative Odds: $5.00
Has been all around the mark this campaign and that combined for a win last time out. Harder here but the claim helps. Big chance.
Main Danger
2 Always On Call   F: 15316
  B(6) W(58.5)
 ( J-  BB Hong )
Indicative Odds: $5.00
Twice a winner from its last five starts and BB Hong has been riding winners of late. Has dropped nicely in betting for this.
Next Best
3 He's Mi Brother   F: 38201
  B(5) W(58)
 ( J-  Amless Bohorun )
Indicative Odds: $7.00
Backed up a poor effort with a win last time out. Inexperienced rider in the saddle but this is a race where the claimer could dominate.
Include in Multis
4 Nopele   F: 58112
  B(3) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Kalai Selvan )
Indicative Odds: $5.50
Back-to-back wins before running second last time out. Always around the mark and this isn't the strongest field in the land.
Longer Odds
7 Katango   F: 64303
  B(4) W(55.5)
 ( J-  Tanya Jonker )
Indicative Odds: $12.00
53.5kg on the back and it could improve on a recent placing.

Remarks

Loose favourite and that's good news for value punters
race-image
Hopefully Friar goes better than it looks

Results

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 3, 4, 7
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 4 - ROBERT DENNIS RACING STABLES MAIDEN
Time: 1:52 | Distance: 1600m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
8 Scandalous   F: 54302
  B(2) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Dylan Turner )
Indicative Odds: $4.00
Getting close to a win after running second last start and it should get every chance from a good barrier. Needs to win soon.
Main Danger
9 Raise Ya Cards   F: 3536
  B(3) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Corey Campbell )
Indicative Odds: $4.80
Fair efforts to date but it will only get better with time. Drawn well, gets a claim and it should be fighting out the finish.
Next Best
1 Our Boy Baz   F: 32235
  B(12) W(58.5)
 ( T-  K & A Tyler )
Indicative Odds: $4.20
Tricky draw but it has been around the mark for awhile and it only needs to find a half-length to beat this field.
Include in Multis
2 The Flagon   F: 6X672
  B(7) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Terry Moseley )
Indicative Odds: $6.00
Didn't show much early but improved significantly to run second last start when getting little luck in the straight. Chance to rebound.
Longer Odds
5 Manhattan Fire   F: 797
  B(8) W(58.5)
Indicative Odds: $19.00
Expect quick improvement after some moderate efforts.

Remarks

Punters are getting another great betting field to invest in
race-image
Raise Your Cards is a chance

Results

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 5, 8, 9
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 5 - WHITE ROBE LODGE HANDICAP
Time: 2:27 | Distance: 2115m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
7 Riviera Rock   F: 24132
  B(3) W(56)
 ( J-  Dylan Turner )
 ( T-  G & M Eade )
Indicative Odds: $2.90
Has been steady this season and it scored nicely three back. Has backed that up with two placings so put on top here.
Main Danger
1 Nesta   F: 58268
  B(7) W(59.5)
 ( J-  Lee Callaway )
Indicative Odds: $4.80
Has the class edge of many of these and although carrying a big weight, it has quality on its side. Betting is telling the story so respect.
Next Best
9 Te Quiera   F: 0X127
  B(2) W(54)
Indicative Odds: $7.00
Kicked off this campaign with a win and then a placing. Only moderate last start but the 52kg helps so consider.
Include in Multis
4 Iwo Jima   F: 10721
  B(4) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Robert Hannam )
Indicative Odds: $6.00
Comes into this with a last start win and Robert Hannam is riding in good form. Could try steal the race from in front.
Longer OddsThe 'Best Roughie'
3 The Quiet Man   F: 04474
  B(11) W(58)
 ( J-  Amless Bohorun )
Indicative Odds: $8.50
Hasn't won for awhile now but it has been around the mark. Chance here.

Remarks

Riviera Rock has been the best backed runner
race-image
Riviera looks idyllic

Results

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 3, 4, 7, 9
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 6 - DUNEDIN CASINO SOUTHLAND STAKES
Time: 3:02 | Distance: 1400m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
3 Kiwi Ida   F: 11530
  B(5) W(58)
Indicative Odds: $3.50
Owns a stack of talent and only needs pace up front for it to show its best. Requires a quiet ride and patience from the apprentice.
Main Danger
5 Tomm Jones   F: 93122
  B(6) W(57)
 ( J-  Robert Hannam )
Indicative Odds: $5.50
Good win three back and has been threatening to win again since. Nicely weighted and it could continue a good day for Hannam.
Next Best
1 Accidental Offside   F: 11263
  B(7) W(60)
 ( J-  Doni Prastiyou )
Indicative Odds: $4.60
Always a chance and despite the big weight, it won't matter as much over this distance. Has been nicely backed so consider here.
Include in Multis
2 Shaara   F: X7653
  B(10) W(60)
 ( J-  Rohan Mudhoo )
Indicative Odds: $13.00
Indicated a return to form when running third last start and it could offer some value odds. 3kg claimer in the saddle.
Longer Odds
4 Gold'nguru   F: 5411X
  B(1) W(57)
 ( J-  Jacob Lowry )
 ( T-  Leda Beck )
Indicative Odds: $16.00
Ended last campaign with consecutive wins so consider at odds in this.

Remarks

First of the stakes races and this one should be an exciting edition
race-image
Kiwi Ida could storm home

Results

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 3, 4, 5
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 7 - ILT ASCOT PARK HOTEL SOUTHLAND GUINEAS
Time: 3:39 | Distance: 1600m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
1 Air Max   F: 42211
  B(5) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Terry Moseley )
Indicative Odds: $2.60
Scored nicely its last two and it could be the best type to come out of this race. Drawn well and it has plenty of upside. Likely to start as the favourite.
Main Danger
3 Weaponry   F: 1134
  B(9) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Dylan Turner )
Indicative Odds: $2.80
Pretty disappointing last start but we're prepared to give it another chance. In good hands and it just needs a better trip in transit.
Next Best
5 Upscale   F: 20142
  B(4) W(54.5)
 ( J-  Darryl Bradley )
Indicative Odds: $6.00
Never too far away from the mark and there's enough money on to suggest that it could win. Nicely weighted so watch with interest.
Include in Multis
2 Fire Show   F: 23445
  B(2) W(56.5)
Indicative Odds: $5.50
Needs to lift a touch to win this race but shouldn't find this any harder than recent assignments. Heavily-backed type.
Longer Odds
6 Fox In Socks   F: 31389
  B(3) W(54.5)
 ( J-  Robert Hannam )
Indicative Odds: $15.00
Needs to turn around two poor efforts but it has upset potential. Showed plenty earlier this preparation.

Remarks

Good mix of north vs. south
race-image
Air Max could take flight

Results

Betting Suggestions

Quaddies
R7 (1) Air Max(2) Fire Show (3) Weaponry (5) Upscale
R8 (1) The Gordonian(4) Orepuki Lad
R9 (1) Timy Tyler(2) Wild Jack (3) Residential (6) Hoofbeat
R10 (3) The Sparkle(5) Picture Me Rollin (9) Morrellmac
Quaddies % to a $20 stake:

Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 3, 5, 6
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 8 - BAILLIE & LEWIS PHARMACY INVERCARGILL GOLD CUP
Time: 4:14 | Distance: 2600m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
4 Orepuki Lad   F: X3321
  B(1) W(55)
 ( J-  Dylan Turner )
 ( T-  G & M Eade )
Indicative Odds: $1.95
Tough to overlook its most recent win and it's no wonder the money has come. Inside draw, light weight and only a moderate field to beat.
Main Danger
1 The Gordonian   F: X0822
  B(8) W(60)
 ( J-  Rohan Mudhoo )
Indicative Odds: $5.00
Has been producing good efforts and looks a chance after consecutive second placings. 3kg claim so include for win selections.
Next Best
2 Shantav   F: 73916
  B(4) W(57)
 ( J-  Tanya Jonker )
Indicative Odds: $6.00
Did the job nicely two back but couldn't back that up with a win. 55kg helps and it could be an upset chance with the perfect run in transit.
Include in Multis
6 The Quiet Man   F: 04474
  B(7) W(54)
 ( J-  Amless Bohorun )
Indicative Odds: $13.00
Only carries 51kg and that's an extremely light weight. Not the best horse in this race but must be considered based on that.
Longer Odds
8 Madam De Soir   F: 79791
  B(5) W(54)
 ( J-  Robert Hannam )
Indicative Odds: $26.00
Hannam rides and it's coming off a win. Harder here however but don't discount.

Remarks

Orepuki Lad is the shortest-priced runner of the day
race-image
Orepuki Lad is a top type

Results

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 4, 6, 8
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 9 - CASTLEDALE @ TE RUNGA SUMMER CUP
Time: 4:49 | Distance: 1600m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
1 Timy Tyler   F: 41335
  B(1) W(61.5)
 ( J-  Gee Saejorhor )
 ( T-  K & A Tyler )
Indicative Odds: $6.00
Nice win four back and it has been close since. Never really holds winning form which bodes well for this and it gets a significant weight relief.
Main Danger
3 Residential   F: 54129
  B(9) W(59.5)
Indicative Odds: $2.60
Has the ability to put this field away with ease. Needs to show more than it did last start but we're expecting it to be well-backed come race day.
Next Best
2 Wild Jack   F: 14512
  B(10) W(61.5)
 ( J-  Amless Bohorun )
Indicative Odds: $4.40
3kg claimer in the saddle which is a good boost to have. Likely to sit on the pace of the front runners before peeling wide and coming with a run.
Include in Multis
6 Hoofbeat   F: 33114
  B(6) W(56)
 ( J-  Robert Hannam )
Indicative Odds: $6.50
Scored consecutive wins earlier this preparation before running fourth last start. Just another good ride for Robert Hannam.
Longer Odds
8 Zabay   F: 43212
  B(5) W(54.5)
 ( J-  Corey Campbell )
Indicative Odds: $8.00
52.5kg on the back and it could add some value to multiples.

Remarks

The form should stack up nicely out of this race
race-image
Timy has big wins on the board

Results

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 3, 6, 8
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 10 - SEAN & BECKY BELLEW @ HARCOURTS HANDICAP
Time: 5:24 | Distance: 1600m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
3 The Sparkle   F: 86333
  B(7) W(58)
Indicative Odds: $4.00
From a stable that knows how to train winners and it should get every chance in this. Has been specked at each way odds so put on top.
Main Danger
5 Picture Me Rollin   F: 32812
  B(3) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Rohan Mudhoo )
Indicative Odds: $4.40
Has turned around its form nicely with a win and a placing. Drawn well and it shouldn't be too far away from the leading pack.
Next Best
9 Morrellmac   F: 50594
  B(10) W(56)
 ( J-  Terry Moseley )
Indicative Odds: $6.00
Much better run for fourth last start and there's plenty of betting support. The stable knows something and that's a big sign.
Include in Multis
1 Majic El   F: 10054
  B(12) W(60)
 ( J-  Gee Saejorhor )
Indicative Odds: $8.50
Only fair of late but it has talent and a 4kg claimer in the saddle. The claimer could have a field day at Invercargill this Saturday.
Longer Odds
4 Fulltothebrim   F: 75920
  B(9) W(58)
Indicative Odds: $17.00
Chance to rebound and give punters some extra value in multiples.

Remarks

Lovely open field to close the 10-race card
race-image
The Sparkle has ability

Results

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 3, 4, 5, 9
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%