M8 Avondale – 6th November 2019

Selections for: New Zealand Racing

Our selections for the M8 Avondale – 6th November 2019 are below: Good Luck! Back to Performance page

M8 Avondale – 6th November 2019

M8: Avondale - 6th Nov, 2019

Start time:12:55 pm
Weather:Fine
Track:Dead4

Overview

Good fields at Avondale given that they raced at Ellerslie on Tuesday. Seven-race card

Day's "Best"

R4 (8) Birdsong

Best "Each Way"

R3 (2) O'Charm

Best "Roughie"

R1 (6) Our Star

Race 1 - AVONDALE SUNDAY MARKETS MAIDEN 2000
Time: 12:55 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
1 Sagunto   F: X8064
  B(6) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Shaun McKay )
 ( T-  Peter McKay )
Won
Dividends : $1.80 $1.00
Much better run last time out when fourth and that form should stack up well. Has been heavily backed and the distance suits.
Main Danger
2 Charred   F: 2X565
  B(3) W(58.5)
Placed
Dividend : $1.30
Has been just behind the winners this campaign but has the goods to win. Doesn't have to beat much here and there has been good money on.
Next Best
3 Etch   F: 30X37
  B(8) W(58.5)
 ( T-  Steven Cole )
Good run for third fresh up and it's another well-backed runner. Deserves respect and Etch shouldn't be too far away from them.
Include in Multis
5 Meant To Be   F: 49677
  B(9) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Taiki Yanagida )
Gets some weight off its back and an improving apprentice riding in the saddle. Could fire up at a nice price.
Longer OddsThe 'Best Roughie'
6 Our Star   F: 27875
  B(1) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Sam Spratt )
Gets an inside draw and it has shown promise in the past. Chance.

Remarks

Most of the money at the top of the book
race-image
Sagunto has upside

Results

Race Dividends
Win 1 $ 1.80
Place1 1 $ 1.00
Place2 2 $ 1.30
Place3 4 $ 2.30
Quinella 1:2 $ 2.90
Trifecta 1:2:4 $ 20.00
First4 1:2:4:9 $ 88.00

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 3, 5, 6
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 2 - AUCKLAND ALARMS MAIDEN 1200
Time: 1:30 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
5 Enrichment   F: 42X
  B(1) W(57)
 ( J-  Opie Bosson )
Looked good running second last start and the recent trial was solid. Looks a touch better than these but the odds are big.
Main Danger
10 Reiko   F:
  B(4) W(55)
Won
Dividends : $6.10 $1.50
Has looked good at the trials and late betting movement will be interesting. Stablemate to the favourite so watch where the money goes.
Next Best
2 Foo An Songs   F: 26X00
  B(5) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Jason Waddell )
Placed
Dividend : $1.60
Hasn't quite some back firing from a spell. However, it did show some talent last season so go on that. Nice odds on offer.
Include in Multis
1 Dontgiveadam   F: 07X0X
  B(3) W(58.5)
 ( T-  Peter Lock )
Placed
Dividend : $2.00
Form line doesn't appear any good but there is some ability in there. Gets some weight off its back to help.
Longer Odds
3 Forgetz   F: 06
  B(8) W(58.5)
 ( T-  J & B Vance )
Improvement is expected here. Chance.

Remarks

Dominating favourite lines up here
race-image
Enrichment is a short-priced fav

Results

Race Dividends
Win 10 $ 6.10
Place1 10 $ 1.50
Place2 2 $ 1.60
Place3 1 $ 2.00
Quinella 2:10 $ 22.60
Trifecta 10:2:1 $ 158.80
First4 10:2:1:5 $ 269.30
Trifecta - Selected!
First 4 - Selected!

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 3, 5, 10
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 3 - TULLOCH CAFE MAIDEN 1200
Time: 2:05 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top PickThe 'Best Each Way'
2 O'Charm   F: 327X
  B(10) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Sam Spratt )
Not helped by the draw but it has plenty of ability. Placed at its first two starts and they came behind some nice types. Good chance in this.
Main Danger
4 Showoroses   F: 20X
  B(9) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Andrew Calder )
Won
Dividends : $3.30 $1.30
Handy second placing on debut before running poorly last start. Better for the experience and it could come back a better type. Chance.
Next Best
1 Showbeel   F: 55X
  B(3) W(56.5)
Placed
Dividend : $1.30
Not too far behind in some good races last season. Has been best backed to win and that form looks good for this. Include.
Include in Multis
12 Star Of Bombay   F:
  B(1) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Opie Bosson )
Placed
Dividend : $2.10
Plenty of experience at the trials and it gets to jump from the inside barrier. Worth including based on that.
Longer Odds
10 Rockin Robin   F: 65X60
  B(4) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Craig Grylls )
Better than what it has been showing. Could run a good race at odds.

Remarks

Some nice types and it's an even field
race-image
O'Charm has plenty of upside

Results

Race Dividends
Win 4 $ 3.30
Place1 4 $ 1.30
Place2 12 $ 2.10
Place3 1 $ 1.30
Quinella 4:12 $ 10.90
Trifecta 4:12:1 $ 60.10
First4 4:12:1:2 $ 122.60
Trifecta - Selected!
First 4 - Selected!

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 4, 10, 12
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 4 - NEXT AVONDALE TRIALS 13 NOVEMBER 1400
Time: 2:40 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top PickThe 'Day's Best'
8 Birdsong   F: 1X0
  B(3) W(56)
Won
Dividends : $2.20 $1.50
Impressive on debut before running poorly in a tough stakes race. Better suited back at this level. Goes on top.
Main Danger
7 Petrabella   F: 187X
  B(8) W(56.5)
 ( J-  Leith Innes )
Placed
Dividend : $1.50
Another debut winner which struggled when rising up in grade. Better-suited here and it only needs luck from the tricky draw.
Next Best
1 Looks Like   F: 7610X
  B(1) W(59)
 ( J-  Jason Waddell )
Did the job nicely two back and getting the inside draw is ideal. Chance to rebound after a disappointing run last start.
Include in Multis
3 Sacred Charm   F: 4X0X9
  B(5) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Sam Spratt )
Better for its recent run. Could push some of these close.
Longer Odds
5 Holy Loch   F: 4X909
  B(7) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Chelsea Burdan )
Placed
Dividend : $2.10
Needs to lift but it could add some value in this race.

Remarks

Form out of this race will stack up beautifully this season
race-image
Birdsong looks the goods

Results

Race Dividends
Win 8 $ 2.20
Place1 8 $ 1.50
Place2 7 $ 1.50
Place3 5 $ 2.10
Quinella 7:8 $ 4.70
Trifecta 8:7:5 $ 56.40
First4 8:7:5:9 $ 291.70
Treble 10/4/8+ $ 69.30
Quaddie 1+/10/4/8+ $ 105.70
Trifecta - Selected!

Betting Suggestions

Quaddies
R4 (7) Petrabella(8) Birdsong
R5 (1) Mercy Hill(5) Palamedes
R6 (2) Marbuzet(12) Shenanigans (13) Sword Of Freedom
R7 (1) Rip Em Up(2) Shanqueen (4) Movinonbye (11) Sympathique
Quaddies % to a $20 stake:

Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 3, 5, 7, 8
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 5 - JAN SKINNER BIRTHDAY CELEBRATIONS 1600
Time: 3:10 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
1 Mercy Hill   F: 112X0
  B(6) W(60)
Looks the one to beat despite running down the track last start. Form prior was very good and anything close sees it winning here.
Main Danger
5 Palamedes   F: 06214
  B(5) W(54)
Placed
Dividend : $2.00
Experienced type and that could work in its favour here. Gets in with a light weight of 52kg and that's a big pull in the weights.
Next Best
3 Oratia   F: 414X0
  B(1) W(55.5)
Won
Dividends : $4.00 $1.90
Jumping from the inside draw is ideal and it could turn around a recent struggling effort. Has been well-received in the market.
Include in Multis
2 St Andre   F: X0556
  B(4) W(56)
 ( J-  Sam Weatherley )
Hasn't been all that far away recently so it could push a few of these close. Chance.
Longer Odds
8 Moet Molly   F: 38489
  B(2) W(54)
 ( J-  Trudy Thornton )
 ( T-  Scott Wenn )
Could battle away at a big price.

Remarks

Small field with a dominating favourite
race-image
Mercy Hill has upside

Results

Race Dividends
Win 3 $ 4.00
Place1 3 $ 1.90
Place2 5 $ 2.00
Quinella 3:5 $ 7.50
Trifecta 3:5:1 $ 24.90
First4 3:5:1:2 $ 69.80
Double 8+/3 $ 6.70
Trifecta - Selected!
First 4 - Selected!

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 3, 5, 8
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 6 - WESTBROOK WINES MAIDEN 1400
Time: 3:43 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
12 Shenanigans   F:
  B(3) W(57)
 ( J-  Ryan Elliot )
Won
Dividends : $2.70 $1.50
Has looked good at the trials and it could make a winning start to its career. Nicely bred and it should be going close here.
Main Danger
  B(1) W(57)
 ( J-  Opie Bosson )
Another well-performed runner out of the trials. Drawn to get all favours off the inside and there is good confidence with bookmakers.
Next Best
2 Marbuzet   F: 427X6
  B(4) W(58.5)
Owning race experience could help against the debutantes. Showed some good form when last in work so it should run well at odds.
Include in Multis
3 Foodie King   F: 9564X
  B(8) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Andrew Calder )
Placed
Dividend : $2.50
Showed some promise when last in work and a winning turn won't be far off. Tough field here but keep in mind given the odds on offer.
Longer Odds
7 Zawadi   F:
  B(2) W(58.5)
 ( J-  Trudy Thornton )
Trial form has been solid and it could cause an upset.

Remarks

Appears to be a few nice types in this
race-image
Shenanigans could win on debut

Results

Race Dividends
Win 12 $ 2.70
Place1 12 $ 1.50
Place2 3 $ 2.50
Place3 11 $ 3.40
Quinella 3:12 $ 13.50
Trifecta 12:3:11 $ 158.90
First4 12:3:11:14 $ 955.00

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
2, 3, 7, 12, 13
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%

Race 7 - NZB INSURANCE PEARL SERIES RACE MAIDEN
Time: 4:18 | Distance: m | Prize $

Selections (Click horse or jockey for additional information)

  View Full Field
Top Pick
1 Rip Em Up   F: 455X5
  B(7) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Jason Waddell )
Won
Dividends : $2.40 $1.70
Running out of chances but it has more talent than most here. Knocking on the door of a win and this looks an ideal target.
Main Danger
2 Shanqueen   F: 5333X
  B(2) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Leith Innes )
Placed
Dividend : $1.80
Ended last campaign with three consecutive third placings. Drawn well in barrier two and it should finish close up again.
Next Best
11 Sympathique   F: 9X6
  B(4) W(56)
 ( J-  Craig Grylls )
Form doesn't appear to be the best but it has obvious talent. Drawn well and there is good money on. That's a good sign.
Include in Multis
4 Movinonbye   F: 4
  B(1) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Rebecca Scott )
Went well enough on debut to be considered a winning chance in this. Can't be left out.
Longer Odds
5 Spelterini   F: 64
  B(6) W(57.5)
 ( J-  Chelsea Burdan )
Improving and it could add some value.

Remarks

Many of these will break through soon
race-image
Rip Em Up could go close

Results

Race Dividends
Win 1 $ 2.40
Place1 1 $ 1.70
Place2 2 $ 1.80
Quinella 1:2 $ 2.70
Trifecta 1:2:5 $ 27.70
First4 1:2:5:11 $ 76.50
Double 12+/1+ $ 5.80
Trifecta - Selected!
First 4 - Selected!

Betting Suggestions


Multi's
Boxed Tri's and FF's
1, 2, 4, 5, 11
RETURNS - $20 STAKE
Boxed Trifecta % Bet = 33%
Boxed First Four % Bet = 16%